STUDY OUTLINE FOR STOCHASTIC Ph.D. EXAMINATION

Probability and Statistics

(References: Ross [3], chpts. 1-3; Ross [4], chapt. 1; Kulkarni [2] , appendix.)

Probability and Random Variables

Sample space and events

Probability measures

Combinatorial analysis

Joint and conditional probability

Bayes’ theorem

Random variables

Expectation and moments

Variance, coefficient of variation

Independence

Covariance, correlation

Conditional expectation

Law of total probability

Probability distributions

Discrete random variables

Bernoulli distribution

Binomial distribution

Multinomial distribution

Geometric distribution

Hypergeometric distribution

Poisson distribution

Negative binomial distribution

Generating functions

Continuous random variables

Exponential distribution

Uniform distribution

Gamma distribution

Beta distribution

Normal distribution

Laplace transforms

Laplace-Stieltjes transforms

Convergence and Limit Theorems (Concepts, not proofs)

Convergence with prob. 1 (a.s., a.e.)

Strong law of large numbers

Convergence in probability

Weak law of large numbers

Convergence in distribution

Central limit theorem

Binomial ---- Poisson

Binomial ---- Normal

Discrete-Time Markov Chains

(References: Ross [4] chpt. 4; Heyman and Sobel [1], chpt. 7; Kulkarni [2] chpts. 2-4, Resnick [5] chpt 2.)

Transient Behavior

Chapman-Kolmogorov equations

k-step transition probabilities

Classification of states

Transience

Null recurrence

Positive recurrence

Periodicity, aperiodicity

Reducibility, irreducibility

Criteria for recurrence, transience

First-passage, recurrence times

Limiting and Stationary Behavior

Stationary equations

Stationary probabilities

Limiting probabilities

Computational Techniques

Direct methods

Iterative methods

Applications

M/GI/1 queue

GI/M/1 queue

Markov Chains with Rewards

Exponential Distribution and Poisson Processes

(References: Ross [3] chpt. 5; Ross [4] chpt. 2; Heyman and Sobel [1] chpt 4; Kulkarni [2] chpt. 5, Resnick [5] chpt. 4.)

Properties of Exponential Distribution

Poisson Process

Counting processes

Event times

Inter-arrival and waiting times

Conditional distributions

Splitting and Superposition

Generalizations of Poisson Process

Non-homogeneous Poisson process

Compound Poisson process

Continuous-Time Markov Chains

(References: Ross [4] chpt. 5; Heyman and Sobel, [1] chpt. 8; Kulkarni [2] chpt. 6, Resnick [5] chpt. 5.)

Markov property

Birth-Death Process

Limiting distribution

Applications to queues

Kolmogorov Equations

Forward and Backward Differential Equations

Stationary (Balance) Equations

Stationary Distributions

First-Passage Times

Uniformization

CTMC with Rewards

Renewal Processes

(References: Ross [4] chpt. 3; Heyman and Sobel [1] chpts. 5, 6; Kulkarni [2] chpt. 8, Resnick [5] chpt. 3.)

Counting process

Elementary renewal theorem: strong law

Renewal function

Renewal-type equations and solutions

Elementary renewal theorem: expectation

Key renewal theorem, Blackwell theorem

Delayed renewal processes

Alternating renewal processes

Forward and backward recurrence times

Renewal reward and cumulative processes

Regenerative processes

Markov Renewal Processes

(References: Heyman and Sobel [1] chpt. 9; Kulkarni [2] chpt. 9.)

Properties of Markov Renewal Process

Markov renewal kernel

Counting processes

Markov renewal functions

Generalized Markov Renewal Equations

Semi-Markov Process

Limiting behavior

Markov Regenerative Process

Queueing Processes

(References: Ross [4] chpt. 8; Heyman and Sobel [1] chpt. 11; Kulkarni [2] chpt. 7.)

Little’s Law

PASTA

Birth-Death Queues

M/GI/1 and GI/M/1 Queues

References

1.  D. Heyman and M. Sobel. Stochastic Models in Operations Research, Vol. I, McGraw-Hill Book Co., New York, 1982.

2.  V. G. Kulkarni, Stochastic Processes: Methods and Applications, Chapman and Hall, London, 1995.

3.  S. M. Ross, Introduction to Probability, Academic Press, Inc., Orlando, Florida, 1985, 3rd Edition.

4.  S. M. Ross, Stochastic Processes, John Wiley, New York, 1983

5. S. I. Resnick, Adventures in Stochastic Processes, Birkhouser.

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