Online Resource6bPre-evaluation of scenarios and prior distributions by locating observed summary statistics among simulated ones

GSM-Uniform / SMM-Uniform
Summary statistics / Observed
data / Scenario 1 / Scenario 2 / Scenario 3 / Scenario 4 / Scenario 1 / Scenario 2 / Scenario 3 / Scenario 4
A_1 / 6.4000 / 0.2961 / 0.2549 / 0.2751 / 0.3526 / 0.5275 / 0.4667 / 0.5276 / 0.4514
A_2 / 6.1333 / 0.3891 / 0.3123 / 0.4256 / 0.3965 / 0.6215 / 0.5173 / 0.6384 / 0.4878
HE_1 / 0.5972 / 0.2172 / 0.1707 / 0.2088 / 0.2717 / 0.2904 / 0.2343 / 0.2782 / 0.2149
HE_2 / 0.5741 / 0.2560 / 0.1947 / 0.2935 / 0.2817 / 0.3610 / 0.2640 / 0.3610 / 0.2272
V_1 / 4.1176 / 0.2851 / 0.1821 / 0.3190 / 0.3437 / 0.5393 / 0.4226 / 0.5739 / 0.4113
V_2 / 4.2966 / 0.3272 / 0.2240 / 0.3889 / 0.3797 / 0.6529 / 0.5109 / 0.6431 / 0.4575
M_1 / 0.8597 / 0.4241 / 0.5637 / 0.3610 / 0.4155 / 0.1016 / 0.2014 / 0.0755 / 0.2011
M_2 / 0.8326 / 0.4448 / 0.5392 / 0.3957 / 0.3900 / 0.0577 / 0.1198 / 0.1092 / 0.1743
FST_1&2 / 0.1312 / 0.2133 / 0.2410 / 0.8649 / 0.7774 / 0.1696 / 0.2096 / 0.8663 / 0.7013
LIK_1&2 / 1.6652 / 0.0085** / 0.0069** / 0.4267 / 0.4038 / 0.0335* / 0.0317* / 0.6519 / 0.3948
LIK_2&1 / 1.4479 / 0.0046** / 0.0032** / 0.3988 / 0.3253 / 0.0207* / 0.0169* / 0.6322 / 0.2809

Numbers 1 and 2 associated to summary statistics represent values for SW and NE groups, respectively; A, mean number of alleles across loci; HE, mean gene diversity across loci; V, mean allele size variance across loci; M, Garza-Williamson index, an indicator of recent demographic history (i.e. an indexis very small in populations having experienced a recent bottleneck and close to 1.0 in stationary populations); FST, pairwise population differentiation; LIK, mean index of classification; *, **, ***, indicate that the observed S.S. is in the 5%, 1% and 0.1% of the tails of the distribution, respectively, suggesting the aspectsthat were misspecified(over or underestimation) by the model-prior combinationunder a particular scenario.All scenarios under both mutation models with log-uniform priors hadseveral misspecified parameters. Thus, results are not shown .