Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.

ILLINOIS
MSA Indices & Forecast /
Release
11/15/2015 / data
May 2004 / Sep 2015 / Issue
2015.11 /

*Valuesbelow (above) zero indicate that an MSAisperforming less well(better) than Chicago.

  • From early 2007 to early 2009, all MSAs performed better than Chicago.
  • However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, MSAs generally performed less well than Chicagoexcept for Bloomington-Normal.
  • After December 2012, all MSAs performed less well than Chicago.
  • According to the forecast forSeptember2016,Champaign-Urbana, Decatur, Peoria, Rockford and Springfieldare likely to performless well over this periodthan Chicago. All the other MSAs will compare favorably to Chicago.

Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 88.55
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 89.91 / 91.95 / 115.51
Forecast / 87.28 / 86.14 / 99.32 / ~ / 99.35

Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

  • Compared to last month, Bloomington-Normal moved down one position reaching the 5th place of the rank.
  • In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normalmoved up 2 positions reachingthe 3rd place of the rank.

Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 105.38
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 106.48 / 107.78 / 89.33
Forecast / 104.11 / 101.11 / 81.50 / ~ / 98.40

Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

  • Compared to last month, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul movedup4positionsreaching the 2ndplaceofthe rank.
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in the 1st place of the rank.

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 98.21
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 100.59 / 104.98 / 97.94
Forecast / 96.23 / 94.15 / 87.59 / ~ / 110.36

Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

  • Compared to last month, Davenport-Rock Island-Molineremained in the7thplace of the rank.
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline remained in the10thplace in the rank.

Decatur (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 93.37
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 93.47 / 93.05 / 86.91
Forecast / 93.28 / 93.42 / 82.63 / ~ / 97.74

Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

  • Compared to the previous month, Decatur moved down 8 positions reaching the 9th place of the rank.
  • In the 12 months growth league table, Decaturmoved down2 positions reaching the 8th place in the rank.

Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 100.64
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 101.86 / 104.12 / 105.40
Forecast / 101.15 / 102.25 / 85.74 / ~ / 115.97

Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

  • Kankakee– Bradleymoved up 9 positions reaching the 1st place of the monthly performance rank table.
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Kankakee– Bradleymoved up 2 positions reaching the7thplace of the rank.

Peoria (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 88.93
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 91.28 / 95.67 / 91.99
Forecast / 86.66 / 82.13 / 56.17 / ~ / 70.12

Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

  • Compared to last month, Peoriamoved up6 positions reaching the 3rdplaceof the rank.
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Peoriamoved down 1 position reaching the 9thplace of the rank.

Rockford (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 100.74
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 100.53 / 100.31 / 95.05
Forecast / 98.99 / 98.28 / 88.84 / ~ / 100.98

Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

  • Compared to last month, Rockfordmoved down7 positions reaching the10rdplace of the rank.
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Rockfordmoved down 3 positions reaching the 6th place of the rank.

Springfield (Reference Month – September 2015)

Current / 93.47
1 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 94.29 / 94.94 / 83.11
Forecast / 92.56 / 91.27 / 83.41 / ~ / 98.30

Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

  • Compared to last month, Springfield moved down3 positions reachingthe8thplace of the rank.
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Springfield moved up 2 positions reaching the 5thplace of the rank.

Notes:

MSA Indices series are available in the appendix

Appendix

B-N / C-U / D-RI-M / Decatur / Peoria / Rockford / Springfield / K-B
May-04 / 86.87 / 103.52 / 100.09 / 102.65 / 96.76 / 101.22 / 92.86 / 100.07
Jun-04 / 86.60 / 101.07 / 96.05 / 93.16 / 89.07 / 102.91 / 88.77 / 95.74
Jul-04 / 85.45 / 100.82 / 96.54 / 95.72 / 89.77 / 103.56 / 90.40 / 94.93
Aug-04 / 84.29 / 100.67 / 97.14 / 98.24 / 90.38 / 104.07 / 92.16 / 94.33
Sep-04 / 83.28 / 100.76 / 98.13 / 100.52 / 91.00 / 104.38 / 94.30 / 94.08
Oct-04 / 82.53 / 101.39 / 99.54 / 102.50 / 91.71 / 104.49 / 96.66 / 94.37
Nov-04 / 82.05 / 102.33 / 101.20 / 104.08 / 92.58 / 104.51 / 98.65 / 95.31
Dec-04 / 81.97 / 103.06 / 102.94 / 105.08 / 93.83 / 104.61 / 99.72 / 96.63
Jan-05 / 82.51 / 103.23 / 104.39 / 105.71 / 95.62 / 104.79 / 99.56 / 97.88
Feb-05 / 83.57 / 102.95 / 105.29 / 106.24 / 97.81 / 105.13 / 98.77 / 98.94
Mar-05 / 84.97 / 102.44 / 105.83 / 106.71 / 99.96 / 105.70 / 98.21 / 99.93
Apr-05 / 86.49 / 101.96 / 106.25 / 107.20 / 101.72 / 106.37 / 98.30 / 100.91
May-05 / 87.79 / 101.62 / 106.50 / 107.94 / 102.87 / 107.05 / 98.82 / 101.86
Jun-05 / 88.60 / 101.48 / 106.60 / 108.92 / 103.48 / 107.63 / 99.53 / 102.63
Jul-05 / 88.84 / 101.30 / 106.68 / 110.27 / 103.65 / 108.02 / 100.32 / 103.14
Aug-05 / 88.66 / 101.09 / 106.74 / 112.10 / 103.62 / 108.23 / 101.05 / 103.67
Sep-05 / 88.21 / 101.02 / 106.85 / 114.27 / 103.64 / 108.35 / 101.92 / 104.55
Oct-05 / 87.69 / 101.47 / 106.94 / 116.24 / 103.79 / 108.47 / 102.65 / 105.84
Nov-05 / 87.38 / 102.36 / 107.01 / 117.62 / 104.13 / 108.69 / 102.98 / 107.61
Dec-05 / 87.46 / 103.12 / 107.25 / 118.80 / 104.73 / 109.10 / 103.05 / 109.89
Jan-06 / 87.99 / 103.57 / 107.75 / 120.20 / 105.58 / 109.72 / 102.93 / 112.27
Feb-06 / 88.80 / 103.83 / 108.42 / 121.71 / 106.50 / 110.46 / 102.62 / 113.61
Mar-06 / 89.67 / 104.21 / 109.17 / 122.36 / 107.28 / 111.36 / 102.25 / 113.45
Apr-06 / 90.41 / 104.72 / 109.81 / 121.82 / 107.85 / 112.32 / 101.95 / 112.22
May-06 / 90.97 / 105.48 / 110.39 / 120.65 / 108.41 / 113.19 / 101.57 / 110.57
Jun-06 / 91.26 / 106.56 / 110.88 / 119.48 / 109.05 / 113.95 / 101.11 / 109.16
Jul-06 / 91.14 / 107.89 / 110.96 / 118.84 / 109.73 / 114.44 / 100.82 / 108.24
Aug-06 / 90.57 / 109.48 / 110.95 / 118.88 / 110.60 / 114.76 / 100.84 / 107.92
Sep-06 / 89.82 / 111.26 / 111.58 / 119.46 / 111.88 / 115.04 / 101.24 / 108.30
Oct-06 / 89.06 / 113.14 / 113.05 / 120.21 / 113.49 / 115.40 / 101.83 / 109.42
Nov-06 / 88.51 / 114.98 / 114.77 / 120.60 / 115.30 / 115.89 / 102.46 / 111.16
Dec-06 / 88.45 / 116.45 / 115.62 / 120.38 / 117.16 / 116.58 / 103.08 / 113.43
Jan-07 / 88.95 / 117.27 / 115.23 / 119.79 / 118.77 / 117.41 / 103.69 / 115.87
Feb-07 / 89.75 / 117.45 / 114.39 / 119.08 / 119.86 / 118.26 / 104.26 / 117.82
Mar-07 / 90.65 / 117.07 / 113.62 / 118.37 / 120.37 / 119.07 / 104.81 / 119.07
Apr-07 / 91.49 / 116.34 / 113.18 / 117.67 / 120.56 / 119.74 / 105.55 / 119.60
May-07 / 92.19 / 115.47 / 113.27 / 116.67 / 120.63 / 120.22 / 106.43 / 119.55
Jun-07 / 92.85 / 114.75 / 113.82 / 115.24 / 120.55 / 120.40 / 107.37 / 119.04
Jul-07 / 93.57 / 114.09 / 114.55 / 113.63 / 120.26 / 120.25 / 108.44 / 118.01
Aug-07 / 94.25 / 113.76 / 115.21 / 112.18 / 119.82 / 119.87 / 109.95 / 116.61
Sep-07 / 94.80 / 113.97 / 115.44 / 111.03 / 119.48 / 119.30 / 111.64 / 115.32
Oct-07 / 95.23 / 114.83 / 115.28 / 110.05 / 119.48 / 118.59 / 113.19 / 114.68
Nov-07 / 95.65 / 116.28 / 115.21 / 109.27 / 119.82 / 117.88 / 114.66 / 114.73
Dec-07 / 96.14 / 117.87 / 115.44 / 108.86 / 120.24 / 117.17 / 116.30 / 114.95
Jan-08 / 96.84 / 119.19 / 115.76 / 108.81 / 120.54 / 116.43 / 117.91 / 115.10
Feb-08 / 97.94 / 119.89 / 115.87 / 108.73 / 120.61 / 115.65 / 119.24 / 115.63
Mar-08 / 99.43 / 120.04 / 115.72 / 108.44 / 120.23 / 114.78 / 120.34 / 116.27
Apr-08 / 101.06 / 119.90 / 115.50 / 107.88 / 119.43 / 113.76 / 121.09 / 116.42
May-08 / 102.55 / 119.70 / 115.41 / 107.23 / 118.51 / 112.61 / 121.17 / 116.24
Jun-08 / 103.79 / 119.60 / 115.29 / 106.53 / 117.71 / 111.39 / 120.71 / 115.87
Jul-08 / 104.46 / 119.64 / 115.02 / 105.78 / 117.11 / 110.15 / 120.03 / 115.31
Aug-08 / 104.36 / 119.57 / 114.54 / 105.06 / 116.75 / 108.87 / 119.45 / 114.61
Sep-08 / 103.46 / 118.94 / 113.81 / 104.28 / 116.34 / 107.40 / 119.13 / 113.84
Oct-08 / 101.77 / 117.38 / 112.76 / 103.28 / 115.49 / 105.64 / 118.93 / 112.77
Nov-08 / 99.71 / 115.16 / 111.28 / 102.03 / 113.89 / 103.58 / 118.63 / 110.89
Dec-08 / 97.80 / 112.78 / 109.38 / 100.44 / 111.49 / 101.24 / 118.22 / 107.97
Jan-09 / 96.58 / 110.28 / 106.97 / 98.38 / 108.21 / 98.72 / 117.77 / 104.59
Feb-09 / 96.60 / 107.50 / 103.99 / 96.01 / 104.17 / 96.15 / 117.13 / 101.69
Mar-09 / 97.80 / 104.40 / 100.66 / 94.16 / 99.76 / 93.74 / 116.09 / 99.74
Apr-09 / 99.84 / 101.26 / 97.54 / 93.23 / 95.73 / 91.65 / 114.56 / 98.70
May-09 / 102.33 / 98.55 / 94.84 / 92.90 / 92.64 / 89.98 / 112.88 / 98.28
Jun-09 / 104.80 / 96.46 / 92.38 / 92.91 / 90.51 / 88.82 / 111.27 / 98.01
Jul-09 / 107.09 / 95.09 / 90.32 / 93.02 / 89.16 / 88.20 / 109.72 / 97.61
Aug-09 / 109.30 / 94.21 / 88.84 / 92.92 / 88.38 / 88.02 / 108.44 / 97.11
Sep-09 / 111.57 / 93.55 / 88.08 / 92.52 / 88.01 / 88.09 / 107.95 / 96.51
Oct-09 / 113.90 / 92.80 / 87.84 / 91.96 / 87.84 / 88.20 / 108.53 / 95.88
Nov-09 / 115.90 / 91.92 / 87.73 / 91.52 / 87.83 / 88.21 / 109.82 / 95.52
Dec-09 / 117.08 / 90.99 / 87.58 / 91.23 / 87.98 / 88.19 / 111.15 / 95.77
Jan-10 / 117.06 / 90.16 / 87.34 / 91.29 / 88.15 / 88.22 / 111.92 / 96.59
Feb-10 / 115.76 / 89.76 / 87.02 / 91.99 / 88.45 / 88.41 / 111.99 / 97.74
Mar-10 / 113.78 / 90.29 / 86.73 / 93.39 / 89.26 / 88.81 / 111.33 / 98.62
Apr-10 / 111.84 / 91.61 / 86.48 / 95.21 / 90.63 / 89.31 / 110.06 / 99.01
May-10 / 110.18 / 93.12 / 86.10 / 97.04 / 92.19 / 89.75 / 108.33 / 98.67
Jun-10 / 108.82 / 94.30 / 85.66 / 98.40 / 93.64 / 90.09 / 106.49 / 97.56
Jul-10 / 107.77 / 94.91 / 85.37 / 99.04 / 94.78 / 90.33 / 104.87 / 96.31
Aug-10 / 106.98 / 94.88 / 85.26 / 99.15 / 95.46 / 90.50 / 103.97 / 95.17
Sep-10 / 106.33 / 94.21 / 85.27 / 98.98 / 95.80 / 90.67 / 103.84 / 94.17
Oct-10 / 105.87 / 93.02 / 85.32 / 98.69 / 95.94 / 90.88 / 103.89 / 93.34
Nov-10 / 105.85 / 91.40 / 85.31 / 98.48 / 95.82 / 91.14 / 103.53 / 92.39
Dec-10 / 106.41 / 89.50 / 85.42 / 98.30 / 95.28 / 91.37 / 102.38 / 91.08
Jan-11 / 107.42 / 87.68 / 85.76 / 97.70 / 94.22 / 91.46 / 100.75 / 89.47
Feb-11 / 108.49 / 86.31 / 86.35 / 96.66 / 92.92 / 91.37 / 99.16 / 87.76
Mar-11 / 108.81 / 85.49 / 87.23 / 95.61 / 91.85 / 91.03 / 97.80 / 86.45
Apr-11 / 108.17 / 85.20 / 88.40 / 94.93 / 91.17 / 90.54 / 96.62 / 85.69
May-11 / 107.16 / 85.35 / 89.51 / 94.77 / 90.81 / 89.99 / 95.62 / 85.42
Jun-11 / 106.34 / 85.83 / 90.27 / 95.07 / 90.76 / 89.47 / 94.65 / 85.71
Jul-11 / 106.14 / 86.62 / 90.55 / 95.57 / 91.11 / 89.12 / 93.55 / 86.42
Aug-11 / 106.75 / 87.47 / 90.46 / 95.83 / 91.75 / 88.93 / 92.44 / 87.47
Sep-11 / 108.30 / 88.13 / 90.21 / 95.76 / 92.33 / 88.91 / 91.68 / 88.75
Oct-11 / 110.65 / 88.38 / 89.90 / 95.74 / 92.69 / 89.04 / 91.63 / 89.94
Nov-11 / 113.06 / 88.50 / 89.55 / 95.78 / 93.07 / 89.23 / 92.15 / 90.63
Dec-11 / 114.59 / 88.94 / 89.28 / 96.02 / 93.73 / 89.47 / 92.81 / 90.89
Jan-12 / 114.61 / 89.97 / 89.35 / 96.49 / 94.83 / 89.78 / 93.17 / 91.09
Feb-12 / 113.38 / 91.24 / 89.98 / 97.08 / 96.30 / 90.18 / 93.16 / 91.18
Mar-12 / 111.51 / 92.34 / 91.01 / 97.62 / 97.79 / 90.58 / 92.93 / 90.92
Apr-12 / 109.40 / 92.99 / 91.98 / 97.43 / 98.99 / 90.92 / 92.55 / 90.23
May-12 / 107.28 / 93.20 / 92.67 / 96.28 / 99.69 / 91.14 / 92.19 / 89.21
Jun-12 / 105.43 / 93.12 / 93.11 / 94.71 / 99.95 / 91.25 / 92.02 / 88.09
Jul-12 / 104.14 / 93.02 / 93.31 / 93.08 / 99.99 / 91.24 / 92.04 / 87.16
Aug-12 / 103.51 / 92.91 / 93.36 / 91.71 / 99.73 / 91.17 / 91.98 / 86.41
Sep-12 / 103.37 / 92.94 / 93.38 / 90.81 / 99.08 / 91.15 / 91.50 / 85.74
Oct-12 / 103.59 / 93.15 / 93.41 / 90.35 / 98.16 / 91.27 / 90.67 / 85.12
Nov-12 / 104.08 / 93.21 / 93.39 / 90.28 / 97.05 / 91.54 / 89.89 / 84.74
Dec-12 / 104.69 / 93.07 / 93.45 / 90.50 / 95.84 / 91.97 / 89.38 / 84.62
Jan-13 / 105.18 / 92.97 / 93.64 / 90.96 / 94.61 / 92.52 / 89.28 / 84.69
Feb-13 / 105.42 / 93.22 / 93.79 / 91.29 / 93.61 / 92.97 / 89.13 / 85.06
Mar-13 / 105.40 / 93.78 / 93.61 / 91.14 / 92.89 / 93.19 / 88.70 / 85.81
Apr-13 / 105.35 / 94.24 / 93.11 / 90.65 / 92.25 / 93.20 / 88.36 / 86.94
May-13 / 105.65 / 94.28 / 92.59 / 90.04 / 91.71 / 93.19 / 88.33 / 88.35
Jun-13 / 106.58 / 93.83 / 92.34 / 89.51 / 91.31 / 93.24 / 88.38 / 89.98
Jul-13 / 108.10 / 92.92 / 92.41 / 89.07 / 90.98 / 93.37 / 88.22 / 91.65
Aug-13 / 110.04 / 91.79 / 92.69 / 88.49 / 90.62 / 93.53 / 87.38 / 93.16
Sep-13 / 112.12 / 90.58 / 93.21 / 87.79 / 90.32 / 93.69 / 85.76 / 94.18
Oct-13 / 114.17 / 89.51 / 93.92 / 87.15 / 90.14 / 93.92 / 83.88 / 94.48
Nov-13 / 115.69 / 88.71 / 94.75 / 86.66 / 90.14 / 94.21 / 82.25 / 94.34
Dec-13 / 116.39 / 88.44 / 95.61 / 86.33 / 90.37 / 94.50 / 81.37 / 94.18
Jan-14 / 116.35 / 88.71 / 96.61 / 86.38 / 90.94 / 94.75 / 81.72 / 94.14
Feb-14 / 115.51 / 89.33 / 97.94 / 86.91 / 91.99 / 95.05 / 83.11 / 94.19
Mar-14 / 114.24 / 90.18 / 99.57 / 87.55 / 93.43 / 95.43 / 85.08 / 94.78
Apr-14 / 112.97 / 91.30 / 101.08 / 88.38 / 95.00 / 95.94 / 87.26 / 96.18
May-14 / 111.78 / 92.37 / 102.32 / 89.59 / 96.43 / 96.64 / 89.51 / 98.21
Jun-14 / 110.52 / 93.10 / 103.56 / 90.92 / 97.43 / 97.45 / 91.78 / 100.55
Jul-14 / 109.12 / 93.57 / 104.92 / 92.08 / 98.03 / 98.33 / 93.89 / 102.83
Aug-14 / 107.54 / 94.06 / 106.05 / 92.97 / 98.36 / 99.16 / 95.35 / 104.57
Sep-14 / 105.74 / 94.86 / 106.08 / 93.49 / 98.49 / 99.89 / 95.65 / 105.40
Oct-14 / 103.67 / 96.13 / 105.14 / 93.79 / 98.60 / 100.48 / 94.88 / 105.52
Nov-14 / 101.54 / 97.81 / 104.21 / 94.06 / 98.60 / 100.87 / 93.68 / 105.38
Dec-14 / 99.49 / 99.96 / 103.90 / 94.17 / 98.56 / 101.02 / 92.63 / 105.19
Jan-15 / 97.47 / 102.47 / 104.31 / 93.76 / 98.62 / 100.99 / 92.14 / 105.12
Feb-15 / 95.61 / 104.99 / 105.09 / 92.94 / 98.61 / 100.81 / 92.52 / 105.34
Mar-15 / 94.18 / 106.80 / 105.82 / 92.31 / 98.55 / 100.52 / 93.43 / 105.47
Apr-15 / 93.17 / 107.74 / 106.26 / 92.12 / 98.23 / 100.33 / 94.22 / 105.09
May-15 / 92.54 / 107.98 / 106.14 / 92.45 / 97.27 / 100.29 / 94.75 / 104.23
Jun-15 / 91.95 / 107.78 / 104.98 / 93.05 / 95.67 / 100.31 / 94.94 / 104.12
July-15 / 91.07 / 107.32 / 102.94 / 93.44 / 93.61 / 100.37 / 94.82 / 101.71
Aug-15 / 89.91 / 106.48 / 100.59 / 93.47 / 91.28 / 100.53 / 94.29 / 101.86
Sep-15 / 88.55 / 105.38 / 98.21 / 93.37 / 88.93 / 100.74 / 93.47 / 100.64
Oct-15 / 87.28 / 104.11 / 96.23 / 93.28 / 86.66 / 98.99 / 92.56 / 101.15
Nov-15 / 86.39 / 102.70 / 94.89 / 93.28 / 84.42 / 98.66 / 91.79 / 102.29
Dec-15 / 86.14 / 101.11 / 94.15 / 93.42 / 82.13 / 98.28 / 91.27 / 102.25
Jan-16 / 86.63 / 99.35 / 93.82 / 93.64 / 79.71 / 97.87 / 90.98 / 102.03
Feb-16 / 87.85 / 97.49 / 93.69 / 93.76 / 77.16 / 97.42 / 90.84 / 101.84
Mar-16 / 89.64 / 95.62 / 93.72 / 93.59 / 74.50 / 96.95 / 90.77 / 101.63
Apr-16 / 91.84 / 93.85 / 94.01 / 93.04 / 71.80 / 96.45 / 90.70 / 101.29
May-16 / 94.25 / 92.23 / 94.77 / 92.13 / 69.12 / 95.92 / 90.63 / 100.71
June-16 / 96.77 / 90.79 / 96.18 / 91.01 / 66.52 / 95.34 / 90.58 / 99.84
July-16 / 99.33 / 89.55 / 98.32 / 89.87 / 64.03 / 94.72 / 90.55 / 98.72
Aug-16 / 101.96 / 88.57 / 101.12 / 88.84 / 61.67 / 94.03 / 90.49 / 97.44
Sep-16 / 104.68 / 87.89 / 104.43 / 87.97 / 59.45 / 93.28 / 90.33 / 102.97
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=Champaign-Urbana
K-B= Kankakee-Bradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast / release 11/15/2014 / / page 1