West Coast Publishing China 2016 NEGATIVEPage 1
West Coast PublishingChina 2016
Negative
Edited by Jim Hanson
Researchers
Andrew Durand, Carter Henman, Eric Robinson, Jonathan Barsky, Jonathan Shane, Kendra Doty, Mary Marcum, Matt Stannard, Risha Bhattacharjee, Shelby Pryor, Tom Schally, William James Taylor
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Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and/or diplomatic engagement with the People’s Republic of China.
NEGATIVE EVIDENCE FILE INTRO
CHINA 2016-2017
WEST COAST NEGATVE
Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and/or diplomatic engagement with the People’s Republic of China.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Topic Neg Strategies
Topic Definitions
Substantially
Increase
Its
Diplomatic
Economic
Engagement
Engagement
Diplomatic Engagement
Diplomatic Engagement
Diplomatic Engagement
Economic Engagement
Economic Engagement
With
People’s Republic of China
Topicality Shells
Substantially is Without Material Quals: 1NC
Increase = Not New: 1NC
Engagement = Must Be Conditional: 1NC
Limiting “Engagement” Good
Intent to Define Impact
Negotiation Education Impact
China Education Impact
Government Engagement is Conditional
Distinct From Appeasement
Engagement Should Be Defined Reasonably
Engagement = Must Be Unconditional: 1NC
Not Conditional
Engagement = Must Be Positive: 1NC
Must Specify Engagement: 1NC
Dialogue Not Enough
PRC = The Government 1NC
PRC Does Not Include Taiwan 1NC
AT: One China Policy
AT: Taiwan is a State of the PRC
Neg Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
AIIB investments will fail
AIIB doesn’t solve development needs
AIIB hurts environmental standards
AIIB multilateralism fails
China will use the AIIB to support aggression
AIIB will lower human rights standards
Lending safeguard policies fail
Asia development turn
AIIB safeguards fail
Neg Military-to-Military Engagement
No Inherency
A2: Inherency
A2: Inherency
No Solvency
No Solvency – Military exchanges do not build trust
No Solvency – Military exchanges do not build trust
No Solvency – Military diplomatic engagement fails
No Solvency – NDAA prevents better mil-mil relations
A2: Maritime Security Adv.
A2: Maritime Advantage – No Solvency
A2: Maritime Advantage – No South China Seas war
A2: Maritime Advantage – No South China Seas war
A2: Maritime Advantage – No escalation
A2: Maritime Adv. – “Freedom of navigation” angers China
A2: Miscalculation Adv.
A2: Miscalculation Advantage – Maritime engagement turns
A2: Miscalculation Advantage – No Solvency
A2: Miscalculation Advantage – Theory is wrong
A2: Miscalculation Advantage – No miscalc war with China
A2: Japanese Nationalism Adv.
A2: Japanese Nationalism
A2: Relations Advantage
A2: Relations – Status Quo solves
A2: Relations – No solvency
A2: Relations – No downturn / impact answers
Neg Service Liberalization
Topicality: Engagement is Binding
Inherency Answers: China Allows Service Investment Now
Inherency Answers: China Allows Service Investment Now
No Solvency: Chinese Banking Barriers
No Solvency: Economic Gains of Liberalization Exaggerated
No Solvency: China Won't Sign
Solvency Claims are Dubious: China Doesn't Allow Access to Foreign Economic Research
State-Owned Enterprises Case Turn
State-Owned Enterprises Case Turn: Extensions: Critical to Chinese Economy
Growth Bad: Kills Environment
Limited Investment Counterplan Solvency
Limited Investment Counterplan Advantage: Maintaining Banking Regulation Good
Limited Investment Counterplan Advantage: Maintaining Banking Regulation Good
Regionalism Good Argument
Regionalism Good Extensions: Asian Regional Growth Good
Neg TPP Trans-Pacific Partnership
AT: Advantage – U.S. China Relations
1NC – AT: U.S.-China Relations F/L
2NC UQ: Relations High
2NC – Relations Resilient
2NC – Relations Alt Cause
2NC – Climate Cooperation Solves Aff Impact
2NC – AT: Interdependence
AT: Advantage – Trade
1NC – TPP Trade Scenario F/L
2NC – AT: Interdependence Solves War
1NC – TPP Economy Scenario
2NC – Asia Econ: No Impact
2NC – AT: Impact – Trade
2NC – AT: Trade Diversion
AT: Solvency (Generic)
1NC – AT: TPP Solvency
2NC – AT: TPP Solvency
2NC – AT: TPP Solvency
Neg U.S. China Counterterrorism Coop
Topicality: Counterterrorism is Not Diplomatic Engagement
Russian Relations Disadvantage
Russian Relations Disadvantage
Human Rights Disadvantage
Human Rights Disadvantage
Inherency Answers
Solvency Answers
Solvency Answers
Solvency Answers
Conditioning Counterplan Solvency
Answers to Terrorism Scenario
Answers to Terrorism Scenario
Answers to Relations Advantage
Answers to Relations: No Armed Conflict Over Energy Resources
Answers to Relations Advantage
Answers to Relations Advantage
Answers to Science and Technology Scenario
CP Pressure CPs
Strategy Sheet
1NC Export Controls CP
2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency
2NC Export CP – Solvency – AT: Current Controls Fail
2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency Advocate – “High-Leverage Strategic Harm”
2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency Advocate – EU and Japan
2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency – AT: Allies Say No – EU
2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency – AT: Allies Say No – Japan
2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency – Allies Say Yes – Japan
2NC Export Controls CP – AT: Domestic Tradeoff DA
2NC Export Controls CP – AT: Domestic Tradeoff DA
2NC Export Controls CP – AT: Domestic Tradeoff DA
1NC Sanctions CP
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – China Complies
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – China Complies
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – Empirics
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – Empirics
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Cyber/IP
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Cyber/IP
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Cyber/IP
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – North Korea
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Territorial Disputes
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Territorial Disputes
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – AT: General Sanctions Indicts
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – AT: Old Sanctions Indicts
2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – AT: Old Sanctions Indicts
2NC Sanctions CP – General – No Link to Politics
2NC Sanctions CP – Cyber – No Link to Politics
2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Perm Do Both – General
2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Perm Do Both – Cyber
2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Sanctions Bad – AT: Cyber Retal
2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Sanctions Bad – AT: Trade
1NC Tariffs CP
2NC Tariffs CP – Solvency
2NC Tariffs CP Solvency + Aff Solvency Takeout
2NC – AT: Pressure Bad – AT: Chinese Lashout – General
2NC – AT: Pressure Bad – AT: Chinese FoPo Lashout
2NC – AT: Pressure Bad – US-China Relations Turns
2NC – AT: Perm Do Both – General
2NC – AT: Perm – Do the CP – Diplomatic Engagement
2NC – AT: Perm – Do the CP – Economic Engagement
1NC Heg NB – Engagement Bad
1NC Heg NB – Impact
2NC Heg NB – Engagement Bad
1NC Solvency Takeout – China Says No
2NC Solvency Takeout – China Says No
2NC Solvency Takeout – Chinese Political Reform Advs
2NC Solvency Takeout – US-China Coop Advs
2NC Solvency Takeout – Dialogue Fails
DA China Appeasement DA
Disad Story…
1NC Shell—UQ
1NC Shell—Link
1NC Shell—Int. Link
1NC Shell—Impact
BLOCK EXTs
2NC—Impact Framing
2NC—Impact Framing
2NC—Impact Framing
Uniqueness Ext.
Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Laundry List
Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Asia Pivot
Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Military
Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Economic
US Hegemony Sustainable
US Hegemony Sustainable
US Hegemony Sustainable
Link Ext.
Link—Top Level—Weakness= Taiwan Invasion
Link—Top Level—Weakness= Taiwan Invasion
Link—Top Level—Weakness= Taiwan Invasion
Link—Top Level—No Condition
Link—Top Level—Opposite Interests
Link—Top Level—Military Presence
Int. Link Ext.
Int. Link—China Seeks Concessions
Int. Link—China Seeks Concessions
Int. Link—China Pockets Concessions
Int. Link—South China Sea Concession
Disad Mechanics
China is a Threat—Military
China is a Threat—Military
China is a Threat—Economy
China is a Threat—Economy
Neg Answers to Aff Answers
A/T China Lash Out
A/T China Lash Out
A/T China Threat Construction
A/T Appeasement Effective
A/T US Won’t Defend Taiwan
A/T US Won’t Defend Taiwan
A/T Weak China Better
Impact Ext.
Taiwan Impact—Nuclear War
Taiwan Impact—Nuclear War
Taiwan Impact—Nuclear War
Taiwan Impact—Chemical War
Taiwan Impact—Hegemony
US/China War Bad—Extinction
US/China War Bad—Billions Die
US Hegemony Good—China War
US Hegemony Good—Great Power Wars
US Hegemony Good—Stability/ Deterrent
China Hegemony/ Expansionism Bad
China Can Be Deterred—A/T Miscalc
China Can Be Deterred—A/T Miscalc
Appeasement Bad—Terrorism
Appeasement Bad—Counter Balancing
Appeasement Bad—Engagement Bad
DA US India Relations DA
Disad Overview
1NC Shell
1NC Uniqueness—India
1NC Uniqueness—China
1NC Link—Relations
1NC Impact—Climate Change
1NC Impact—Extinction
Shell Optional Cards
Uniqueness
US-India Relations High Now - General
US-India Relations High Now – Military Cooperation
US-India Relations High Now – Modi
US-India Relations High Now – Declared Partnership
US-India Relations High Now – India Government
US-India Relations High Now – Regional Influence
A2 Investment Restrictions
A2 Civil Nuclear Initiative
China-India Relations High Now – General
Tensions/ Risk of Miscalc High
2NC – Relations Strong
2NC – AT: Alt Causes to Strong Relations
2NC – AT: Pakistan Hurts Relations
Links
US/ China Relations—Zero Sum
US/ China Relations—Security
US/ China Relations
US/ China Relations
Magnifier—Plan Upsets Allies
Magnifier—Asymmetry
Magnifier—Competition
Magnifier—Border Dispute
Magnifier—Border Dispute (2)
Magnifier—Chinese Encirclement
Magnifier—India Threatened
Link Magnifier
2NC – Link: Engagement
2NC – Link: U.S.-China Relations
2NC – Link: Perception
2NC – AT: Alt Causes/China Doesn’t Affect India
2NC – AT: Empirically Disproven
2NC – AT: India Doesn’t Perceive Plan
2NC – AT: Link Isn’t Reverse Causal
2NC – AT: Relations Not Zero Sum
2NC – AT: Pakistan Bigger Concern than China
Impacts
US-India Relations Good– General
US-India Relations Good – Climate Change
US/ India Relations Good—Contain China
US-India Relations Good – Economy/Trade
US-India Relations Good– Indo-Pak War
US-India Relations Good – Regional Stability
US-India Relations Good – Democracy
US-India Relations Good – Terrorism
Impact Magnifier – Spillover/Cyber-Security
Impact Magnifier – Spillover
2NC – Terror Impact UQ: Threat High/Real
2NC – Terror Impact I/L: Relations Key
2NC – Terror Impact > Extinction
2NC – Terror Turns: Kritik Impacts
2NC – AT: Criticisms of Terror Scholarship
2NC – AT: Impact Defense
2NC – AT: Impact Defense (Mueller)
2NC – AT: Terror Scholarship Flawed
2NC – Impact Container: Coop Solves Laundry List
2AC – Relations Turns Asian Stability
2NC – Relations Turns China Containment
2NC – Relations Turns Democracy
2NC – Relations Turns Freedom of Navigation
2NC – Relations Turns Maritime Cooperation
2NC – Relations Turns Space
2NC – Add-On: Cyberterror/Cyberwar
2NC – Add-On: Democracy
2NC – Add-On: Piracy
2NC – AT: Indo-Pak War/Relations Bad Turn
A/T 2AC Answers
A/T “US/India Relations Resilient”
A/T “US/India Relations Resilient”
A/T “US/India Relations Resilient”
A/T “India Won’t Be Aggressive”
A/T “India/China Relations Resilient”
A/T “India/ China Cooperate”
A/T “India/ China Cooperate”
A/T L/T—“China Relations Better”
A/T L/T—“China Relations Better”
DA US-Japan Relations DA
***Summary***
***1NC Shell***
***Uniqueness Extensions***
US-China Relations Low – Security Tensions
US–China Relations Low – South China Sea
US-China Relations Low – Regional Power Plays
US-China Relations Low – THAAD
US-China Relations Low – General
A2 Peaceful Rise
A2 Relations High - Downplaying
US-Japan Relations High – Economic Leadership
US-Japan Relations High – Diplomacy
US-Japan Relations High – Southeast Asia
US-Japan Relations High – Hiroshima Visit
US-Japan Relations High – Robotics
A2 Trump Thumps
A2 Iran Thumper
***Link Extensions***
Link – Economic Blocs
Link – Trade-Off
Link – Rebalance
Link – General
Link Magnifiers
***Internal Link Extensions***
General Extensions
Japan Key Regional Player
***Impact Extensions***
US-Japan Alliance Good – Asian Stability
US-Japan Alliance Good – Russia War
US-Japan Alliance Good – Disease Spread
US-Japan Alliance Good – Climate Change
US-Japan Alliance Good – Nuke Rearm
US-Japan Alliance Good – Japanese Cybersecurity
US-Japan Alliance Good – Asian Democracies
DA Russia DA
Explanation
1NC
Uniqueness
UQ: China-Russia Coop High – General
UQ: China-Russia Coop High – Framing
UQ: Russia Arms Exports to China High
Links
Ext: L – Generic
Ext: L – Generic
Ext: L – Generic
Ext: L – Generic
Ext: L – Generic
Ext: L – Generic
Ext: L – Generic
Internal Links
Ext – IL: China Key – Russia Econ – General
2NC IL: China Key – Russia Econ – Arms Sales
2NC IL: China Key – Framing
2NC IL: China Key – State Collapse
Impact – Russia Econ
Ext: Econ Collapse => Aggression
Ext: Aggression => Extinction
2NC I: China Aggression
2NC I: NK Prolif
Ext: NK Prolif => Extinction
2NC I: State Collapse
Ext: Econ Decline => State Collapse
I: State Collapse => Miscalc
Ext: State Collapse => Miscalc
Ext: Miscalc => Extinction
Answers to Answers
A2: UQ OW L – Russia-China Coop Inevitable – Econ Concerns
A2: Decreased China-Russia Coop = Good
A2: India Solves Russia Exports
A2: Russia Econ Collapse Good – Imperialism
Kritik Orientalism Kritik
1NC
Link
Contact Zone
Culture
Chinese Progress
Economic Development
Engagement
Historical Ignorance
Humanism
Modernity
Queer Theory
Postmodernism
Privileging Western Scholarship
Protest/Social Movement
Impact
Colonization
Self-fulfilling prophecy
Domination
State of Exception
Alternative
Reject
Solvency
Decentralized Consciousness
Block Answers
AT: Permutation
Flawed Theory
Framework
No orientalism
Not Monolithic
Identifying Orient Bad
Root Cause—Sexual Difference
Kritik Securitization Kritik
1NC
1NC
1NC
1NC
Links
China – Engagement / Cooperation
China – Positivist IR scholaship
China – Knowable Object
China – “Security interests”
China - Threat Construction
China - Threat Construction
China - U.S. Relations
China - Space
China – Powershift Narrative
Maritime Security
Maritime Security
U.S. Hegemony (General)
U.S. hegemony (China threat)
Nuclear war escalation scenarios
Middle East Security
Climate Change
Climate Change
“9/11”
Fear Appeals Bad
Alternatives
Security Cosmopolitanism - Solvency
Security Cosmopolitanism – Solvency / Governments
Security Cosmopolitanism – Ontology /War
Mechanics
Social Constructions
A2: “Threats are Real”
A2: Permutations – Alt. is a Pre-requisite
A2: Permutations – Mutually Exclusive
A2: State Good
Impacts
Impact Extension – Policymaking / Error Replication
Topic Neg Strategies
Equipped with a general mapping of possible affirmative cases, we will now discuss core arguments available to the negative that can be used to interact with a variety of different plans. Generally speaking, Neg teams will benefit from challenging not just whether Chinese cooperation on an issue is desirable, but whether the affirmative plan for achieving that cooperation is the best route. This will require a nuanced investigation of foreign policy strategies concerning affirmative advantage areas, and creative applications of the embedded debates over other containment, appeasement, and other contrasting approaches.
Counterplans
Pressure/Containment/Sanctions – The negative team may challenge the affirmative solvency mechanism by calling into question the use of positive incentives to bring about desired change from China, rather than encouraging behavior with the use of “carrots” the U.S. could make use of “sticks” e.g. negative inducements or punishments such as sanctions to compel the same action targeted by the plan or something else. These counterplans will vary depending on the incentives used by the Aff and directly clash with their solvency by disputing what China responds to and why. Containment approaches produce many net-benefit options. Appeasement and other similarly reasoned disads will be useful because they interact with the Aff solvency and make comparative claims. If it’s true that leverage is more effective at bringing about change, then it follows that concessions from engagement get pocketed and fail bring about desired changes. These contrasting approaches are also perceived very differently, by China, domestically, and by allies offering numerous net-benefit options.
Process/Agent – Policy wonks, do not be dismayed. Though this an international topic the focus on engagement introduces some interesting debates over political process, as well as questions concerning which agencies and how engagement should be conducted. Diplomacy is multifaceted and meticulous research will reveal detailed options for implementation questions. From the allocation of State Department resources and diplomats, to the role of Executive branch leadership, Neg teams can pose alternatives to normal means plan action—options like Track II diplomatic channels that offer opacity to the process or independent Executive action can offer Aff-specific benefits.