West Coast Publishing China 2016 NEGATIVEPage 1

West Coast Publishing
China 2016
Negative
Edited by Jim Hanson
Researchers
Andrew Durand, Carter Henman, Eric Robinson, Jonathan Barsky, Jonathan Shane, Kendra Doty, Mary Marcum, Matt Stannard, Risha Bhattacharjee, Shelby Pryor, Tom Schally, William James Taylor
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Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and/or diplomatic engagement with the People’s Republic of China.

NEGATIVE EVIDENCE FILE INTRO

CHINA 2016-2017

WEST COAST NEGATVE

Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and/or diplomatic engagement with the People’s Republic of China.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Topic Neg Strategies

Topic Definitions

Substantially

Increase

Its

Diplomatic

Economic

Engagement

Engagement

Diplomatic Engagement

Diplomatic Engagement

Diplomatic Engagement

Economic Engagement

Economic Engagement

With

People’s Republic of China

Topicality Shells

Substantially is Without Material Quals: 1NC

Increase = Not New: 1NC

Engagement = Must Be Conditional: 1NC

Limiting “Engagement” Good

Intent to Define Impact

Negotiation Education Impact

China Education Impact

Government Engagement is Conditional

Distinct From Appeasement

Engagement Should Be Defined Reasonably

Engagement = Must Be Unconditional: 1NC

Not Conditional

Engagement = Must Be Positive: 1NC

Must Specify Engagement: 1NC

Dialogue Not Enough

PRC = The Government 1NC

PRC Does Not Include Taiwan 1NC

AT: One China Policy

AT: Taiwan is a State of the PRC

Neg Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

AIIB investments will fail

AIIB doesn’t solve development needs

AIIB hurts environmental standards

AIIB multilateralism fails

China will use the AIIB to support aggression

AIIB will lower human rights standards

Lending safeguard policies fail

Asia development turn

AIIB safeguards fail

Neg Military-to-Military Engagement

No Inherency

A2: Inherency

A2: Inherency

No Solvency

No Solvency – Military exchanges do not build trust

No Solvency – Military exchanges do not build trust

No Solvency – Military diplomatic engagement fails

No Solvency – NDAA prevents better mil-mil relations

A2: Maritime Security Adv.

A2: Maritime Advantage – No Solvency

A2: Maritime Advantage – No South China Seas war

A2: Maritime Advantage – No South China Seas war

A2: Maritime Advantage – No escalation

A2: Maritime Adv. – “Freedom of navigation” angers China

A2: Miscalculation Adv.

A2: Miscalculation Advantage – Maritime engagement turns

A2: Miscalculation Advantage – No Solvency

A2: Miscalculation Advantage – Theory is wrong

A2: Miscalculation Advantage – No miscalc war with China

A2: Japanese Nationalism Adv.

A2: Japanese Nationalism

A2: Relations Advantage

A2: Relations – Status Quo solves

A2: Relations – No solvency

A2: Relations – No downturn / impact answers

Neg Service Liberalization

Topicality: Engagement is Binding

Inherency Answers: China Allows Service Investment Now

Inherency Answers: China Allows Service Investment Now

No Solvency: Chinese Banking Barriers

No Solvency: Economic Gains of Liberalization Exaggerated

No Solvency: China Won't Sign

Solvency Claims are Dubious: China Doesn't Allow Access to Foreign Economic Research

State-Owned Enterprises Case Turn

State-Owned Enterprises Case Turn: Extensions: Critical to Chinese Economy

Growth Bad: Kills Environment

Limited Investment Counterplan Solvency

Limited Investment Counterplan Advantage: Maintaining Banking Regulation Good

Limited Investment Counterplan Advantage: Maintaining Banking Regulation Good

Regionalism Good Argument

Regionalism Good Extensions: Asian Regional Growth Good

Neg TPP Trans-Pacific Partnership

AT: Advantage – U.S. China Relations

1NC – AT: U.S.-China Relations F/L

2NC UQ: Relations High

2NC – Relations Resilient

2NC – Relations Alt Cause

2NC – Climate Cooperation Solves Aff Impact

2NC – AT: Interdependence

AT: Advantage – Trade

1NC – TPP Trade Scenario F/L

2NC – AT: Interdependence Solves War

1NC – TPP Economy Scenario

2NC – Asia Econ: No Impact

2NC – AT: Impact – Trade

2NC – AT: Trade Diversion

AT: Solvency (Generic)

1NC – AT: TPP Solvency

2NC – AT: TPP Solvency

2NC – AT: TPP Solvency

Neg U.S. China Counterterrorism Coop

Topicality: Counterterrorism is Not Diplomatic Engagement

Russian Relations Disadvantage

Russian Relations Disadvantage

Human Rights Disadvantage

Human Rights Disadvantage

Inherency Answers

Solvency Answers

Solvency Answers

Solvency Answers

Conditioning Counterplan Solvency

Answers to Terrorism Scenario

Answers to Terrorism Scenario

Answers to Relations Advantage

Answers to Relations: No Armed Conflict Over Energy Resources

Answers to Relations Advantage

Answers to Relations Advantage

Answers to Science and Technology Scenario

CP Pressure CPs

Strategy Sheet

1NC Export Controls CP

2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency

2NC Export CP – Solvency – AT: Current Controls Fail

2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency Advocate – “High-Leverage Strategic Harm”

2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency Advocate – EU and Japan

2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency – AT: Allies Say No – EU

2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency – AT: Allies Say No – Japan

2NC Export Controls CP – Solvency – Allies Say Yes – Japan

2NC Export Controls CP – AT: Domestic Tradeoff DA

2NC Export Controls CP – AT: Domestic Tradeoff DA

2NC Export Controls CP – AT: Domestic Tradeoff DA

1NC Sanctions CP

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – China Complies

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – China Complies

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – Empirics

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – General – Empirics

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Cyber/IP

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Cyber/IP

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Cyber/IP

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – North Korea

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Territorial Disputes

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – Territorial Disputes

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – AT: General Sanctions Indicts

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – AT: Old Sanctions Indicts

2NC Sanctions CP Solvency – AT: Old Sanctions Indicts

2NC Sanctions CP – General – No Link to Politics

2NC Sanctions CP – Cyber – No Link to Politics

2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Perm Do Both – General

2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Perm Do Both – Cyber

2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Sanctions Bad – AT: Cyber Retal

2NC Sanctions CP – AT: Sanctions Bad – AT: Trade

1NC Tariffs CP

2NC Tariffs CP – Solvency

2NC Tariffs CP Solvency + Aff Solvency Takeout

2NC – AT: Pressure Bad – AT: Chinese Lashout – General

2NC – AT: Pressure Bad – AT: Chinese FoPo Lashout

2NC – AT: Pressure Bad – US-China Relations Turns

2NC – AT: Perm Do Both – General

2NC – AT: Perm – Do the CP – Diplomatic Engagement

2NC – AT: Perm – Do the CP – Economic Engagement

1NC Heg NB – Engagement Bad

1NC Heg NB – Impact

2NC Heg NB – Engagement Bad

1NC Solvency Takeout – China Says No

2NC Solvency Takeout – China Says No

2NC Solvency Takeout – Chinese Political Reform Advs

2NC Solvency Takeout – US-China Coop Advs

2NC Solvency Takeout – Dialogue Fails

DA China Appeasement DA

Disad Story…

1NC Shell—UQ

1NC Shell—Link

1NC Shell—Int. Link

1NC Shell—Impact

BLOCK EXTs

2NC—Impact Framing

2NC—Impact Framing

2NC—Impact Framing

Uniqueness Ext.

Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Laundry List

Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Asia Pivot

Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Military

Uniqueness—Little Cooperation Now—Economic

US Hegemony Sustainable

US Hegemony Sustainable

US Hegemony Sustainable

Link Ext.

Link—Top Level—Weakness= Taiwan Invasion

Link—Top Level—Weakness= Taiwan Invasion

Link—Top Level—Weakness= Taiwan Invasion

Link—Top Level—No Condition

Link—Top Level—Opposite Interests

Link—Top Level—Military Presence

Int. Link Ext.

Int. Link—China Seeks Concessions

Int. Link—China Seeks Concessions

Int. Link—China Pockets Concessions

Int. Link—South China Sea Concession

Disad Mechanics

China is a Threat—Military

China is a Threat—Military

China is a Threat—Economy

China is a Threat—Economy

Neg Answers to Aff Answers

A/T China Lash Out

A/T China Lash Out

A/T China Threat Construction

A/T Appeasement Effective

A/T US Won’t Defend Taiwan

A/T US Won’t Defend Taiwan

A/T Weak China Better

Impact Ext.

Taiwan Impact—Nuclear War

Taiwan Impact—Nuclear War

Taiwan Impact—Nuclear War

Taiwan Impact—Chemical War

Taiwan Impact—Hegemony

US/China War Bad—Extinction

US/China War Bad—Billions Die

US Hegemony Good—China War

US Hegemony Good—Great Power Wars

US Hegemony Good—Stability/ Deterrent

China Hegemony/ Expansionism Bad

China Can Be Deterred—A/T Miscalc

China Can Be Deterred—A/T Miscalc

Appeasement Bad—Terrorism

Appeasement Bad—Counter Balancing

Appeasement Bad—Engagement Bad

DA US India Relations DA

Disad Overview

1NC Shell

1NC Uniqueness—India

1NC Uniqueness—China

1NC Link—Relations

1NC Impact—Climate Change

1NC Impact—Extinction

Shell Optional Cards

Uniqueness

US-India Relations High Now - General

US-India Relations High Now – Military Cooperation

US-India Relations High Now – Modi

US-India Relations High Now – Declared Partnership

US-India Relations High Now – India Government

US-India Relations High Now – Regional Influence

A2 Investment Restrictions

A2 Civil Nuclear Initiative

China-India Relations High Now – General

Tensions/ Risk of Miscalc High

2NC – Relations Strong

2NC – AT: Alt Causes to Strong Relations

2NC – AT: Pakistan Hurts Relations

Links

US/ China Relations—Zero Sum

US/ China Relations—Security

US/ China Relations

US/ China Relations

Magnifier—Plan Upsets Allies

Magnifier—Asymmetry

Magnifier—Competition

Magnifier—Border Dispute

Magnifier—Border Dispute (2)

Magnifier—Chinese Encirclement

Magnifier—India Threatened

Link Magnifier

2NC – Link: Engagement

2NC – Link: U.S.-China Relations

2NC – Link: Perception

2NC – AT: Alt Causes/China Doesn’t Affect India

2NC – AT: Empirically Disproven

2NC – AT: India Doesn’t Perceive Plan

2NC – AT: Link Isn’t Reverse Causal

2NC – AT: Relations Not Zero Sum

2NC – AT: Pakistan Bigger Concern than China

Impacts

US-India Relations Good– General

US-India Relations Good – Climate Change

US/ India Relations Good—Contain China

US-India Relations Good – Economy/Trade

US-India Relations Good– Indo-Pak War

US-India Relations Good – Regional Stability

US-India Relations Good – Democracy

US-India Relations Good – Terrorism

Impact Magnifier – Spillover/Cyber-Security

Impact Magnifier – Spillover

2NC – Terror Impact UQ: Threat High/Real

2NC – Terror Impact I/L: Relations Key

2NC – Terror Impact > Extinction

2NC – Terror Turns: Kritik Impacts

2NC – AT: Criticisms of Terror Scholarship

2NC – AT: Impact Defense

2NC – AT: Impact Defense (Mueller)

2NC – AT: Terror Scholarship Flawed

2NC – Impact Container: Coop Solves Laundry List

2AC – Relations Turns Asian Stability

2NC – Relations Turns China Containment

2NC – Relations Turns Democracy

2NC – Relations Turns Freedom of Navigation

2NC – Relations Turns Maritime Cooperation

2NC – Relations Turns Space

2NC – Add-On: Cyberterror/Cyberwar

2NC – Add-On: Democracy

2NC – Add-On: Piracy

2NC – AT: Indo-Pak War/Relations Bad Turn

A/T 2AC Answers

A/T “US/India Relations Resilient”

A/T “US/India Relations Resilient”

A/T “US/India Relations Resilient”

A/T “India Won’t Be Aggressive”

A/T “India/China Relations Resilient”

A/T “India/ China Cooperate”

A/T “India/ China Cooperate”

A/T L/T—“China Relations Better”

A/T L/T—“China Relations Better”

DA US-Japan Relations DA

***Summary***

***1NC Shell***

***Uniqueness Extensions***

US-China Relations Low – Security Tensions

US–China Relations Low – South China Sea

US-China Relations Low – Regional Power Plays

US-China Relations Low – THAAD

US-China Relations Low – General

A2 Peaceful Rise

A2 Relations High - Downplaying

US-Japan Relations High – Economic Leadership

US-Japan Relations High – Diplomacy

US-Japan Relations High – Southeast Asia

US-Japan Relations High – Hiroshima Visit

US-Japan Relations High – Robotics

A2 Trump Thumps

A2 Iran Thumper

***Link Extensions***

Link – Economic Blocs

Link – Trade-Off

Link – Rebalance

Link – General

Link Magnifiers

***Internal Link Extensions***

General Extensions

Japan Key Regional Player

***Impact Extensions***

US-Japan Alliance Good – Asian Stability

US-Japan Alliance Good – Russia War

US-Japan Alliance Good – Disease Spread

US-Japan Alliance Good – Climate Change

US-Japan Alliance Good – Nuke Rearm

US-Japan Alliance Good – Japanese Cybersecurity

US-Japan Alliance Good – Asian Democracies

DA Russia DA

Explanation

1NC

Uniqueness

UQ: China-Russia Coop High – General

UQ: China-Russia Coop High – Framing

UQ: Russia Arms Exports to China High

Links

Ext: L – Generic

Ext: L – Generic

Ext: L – Generic

Ext: L – Generic

Ext: L – Generic

Ext: L – Generic

Ext: L – Generic

Internal Links

Ext – IL: China Key – Russia Econ – General

2NC IL: China Key – Russia Econ – Arms Sales

2NC IL: China Key – Framing

2NC IL: China Key – State Collapse

Impact – Russia Econ

Ext: Econ Collapse => Aggression

Ext: Aggression => Extinction

2NC I: China Aggression

2NC I: NK Prolif

Ext: NK Prolif => Extinction

2NC I: State Collapse

Ext: Econ Decline => State Collapse

I: State Collapse => Miscalc

Ext: State Collapse => Miscalc

Ext: Miscalc => Extinction

Answers to Answers

A2: UQ OW L – Russia-China Coop Inevitable – Econ Concerns

A2: Decreased China-Russia Coop = Good

A2: India Solves Russia Exports

A2: Russia Econ Collapse Good – Imperialism

Kritik Orientalism Kritik

1NC

Link

Contact Zone

Culture

Chinese Progress

Economic Development

Engagement

Historical Ignorance

Humanism

Modernity

Queer Theory

Postmodernism

Privileging Western Scholarship

Protest/Social Movement

Impact

Colonization

Self-fulfilling prophecy

Domination

State of Exception

Alternative

Reject

Solvency

Decentralized Consciousness

Block Answers

AT: Permutation

Flawed Theory

Framework

No orientalism

Not Monolithic

Identifying Orient Bad

Root Cause—Sexual Difference

Kritik Securitization Kritik

1NC

1NC

1NC

1NC

Links

China – Engagement / Cooperation

China – Positivist IR scholaship

China – Knowable Object

China – “Security interests”

China - Threat Construction

China - Threat Construction

China - U.S. Relations

China - Space

China – Powershift Narrative

Maritime Security

Maritime Security

U.S. Hegemony (General)

U.S. hegemony (China threat)

Nuclear war escalation scenarios

Middle East Security

Climate Change

Climate Change

“9/11”

Fear Appeals Bad

Alternatives

Security Cosmopolitanism - Solvency

Security Cosmopolitanism – Solvency / Governments

Security Cosmopolitanism – Ontology /War

Mechanics

Social Constructions

A2: “Threats are Real”

A2: Permutations – Alt. is a Pre-requisite

A2: Permutations – Mutually Exclusive

A2: State Good

Impacts

Impact Extension – Policymaking / Error Replication

Topic Neg Strategies

Equipped with a general mapping of possible affirmative cases, we will now discuss core arguments available to the negative that can be used to interact with a variety of different plans. Generally speaking, Neg teams will benefit from challenging not just whether Chinese cooperation on an issue is desirable, but whether the affirmative plan for achieving that cooperation is the best route. This will require a nuanced investigation of foreign policy strategies concerning affirmative advantage areas, and creative applications of the embedded debates over other containment, appeasement, and other contrasting approaches.

Counterplans

Pressure/Containment/Sanctions – The negative team may challenge the affirmative solvency mechanism by calling into question the use of positive incentives to bring about desired change from China, rather than encouraging behavior with the use of “carrots” the U.S. could make use of “sticks” e.g. negative inducements or punishments such as sanctions to compel the same action targeted by the plan or something else. These counterplans will vary depending on the incentives used by the Aff and directly clash with their solvency by disputing what China responds to and why. Containment approaches produce many net-benefit options. Appeasement and other similarly reasoned disads will be useful because they interact with the Aff solvency and make comparative claims. If it’s true that leverage is more effective at bringing about change, then it follows that concessions from engagement get pocketed and fail bring about desired changes. These contrasting approaches are also perceived very differently, by China, domestically, and by allies offering numerous net-benefit options.

Process/Agent – Policy wonks, do not be dismayed. Though this an international topic the focus on engagement introduces some interesting debates over political process, as well as questions concerning which agencies and how engagement should be conducted. Diplomacy is multifaceted and meticulous research will reveal detailed options for implementation questions. From the allocation of State Department resources and diplomats, to the role of Executive branch leadership, Neg teams can pose alternatives to normal means plan action—options like Track II diplomatic channels that offer opacity to the process or independent Executive action can offer Aff-specific benefits.