Tsdc Trump Bad Elections Disad

TSDC TRUMP BAD ELECTIONS DISAD

TSDC TRUMP BAD ELECTIONS DISAD

***TRUMP BAD 1NC***

*Otherization Impact

***Florida Module***

# - Economy

#Global Warming Impacts

# Trans Pacific Partnership

Internal Link Trump Destroys TPP

U-Clinton will support TPP in 2017

TPP IMPACTS

China joining solves Asian war

L - New Spending (Independents)

L - New Spending (Youth)

L-Govt spending upopular-protests prove

***Impacts – Republican Win Bad***

# - Laundry List

# - Iran

# - Economy

# - Prolif/Terror Attack

# - A2

A2 U-TRUMP WILL WIN

A2 L-Clinton Bad for economy

A2-Clinton Disastrous for foreign policy

A2 Clinton against TPP

A2 Clinton against China Engagement

A2 China Engagement popular-Trade proves

***TRUMP BAD 1NC***

1. Uniqueness: Clinton will win in 2016

1. Latest polls prove(must constantly update this)

Leada GoreJune 15, 2016 a

A new Bloomberg poll has Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton with a 12point lead over presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump. The national poll shows Clinton leading Trump 49 percent to 37 percent among likely voters in November's general election. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson was the choice for 9 percent of responders; 4 percent said they weren't sure; and 1 percent said they didn't plan to vote.

1. Links

1. Obama popularity key to Clinton victory

Joe Crowe May 2016

Moody's Analytics hasreleased its election modeland is predicting that Hillary Clinton will be the next president of the United States.Moody's Analytics has correctly predicted the winner of the presidency since 1980, basing its predictions on a two-year change in economic data in home prices, income growth, and gasoline prices,according to an NPRreport. Moody's analyst, Dan White, said that those three things affect a person's daily life the most.
"Things that affect marginal voter behavior most significantly are things that the average American is going to run into on an almost daily basis," White said.The Moody's analyst told NPR that a decline in gas prices points to a win for the incumbent Democratic Party."We are currently in the largest decline in gas prices we've had going back to World War II," White said.The model predicts that the Democratic nominee, who is likely to be Clinton, will earn 332 electoral votes while presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump will win 206.Moody's also looked at the approval rating of the incumbent president, measuring a two-year range moving up to election day.White said Obama's approval rating is key to the economic model's prediction. If the rise in approval ratings holds, Obama could have the highest approval rating since President Ronald Reagan at the end of the Cold War.

1. Election is on the brink and Trump could win

Matthew J. Belvedere

Dan Rather, former "CBS Evening News" anchor, said Wednesday that RepublicanDonald Trumpcan win the presidency, and Democratic supporters ofHillary Clintonshould be "very, very afraid.""I'm not predicting [Trump] will win, but I will say he's capable of winning in November. He has a path," Rather told CNBC's "Squawk Box," adding he does not expect the real estate billionaire to bow to pressure to be more "presidential.""Anybody who thinks Donald Trump is going to moderate himself along the way is either slightly 'touched' or 'smoking something very expensive.' It's not going to happen," said Rather, currently host of "The Big Interview" on AXS TV."My own opinion again," Rather said, "Democrats who want Hillary Clinton to be president should be afraid. They should be very, very afraid."

1. Engagement with China is not popular with U.S. voters

A) Engagement generally unpopular

PEW RESEARCH CENTER, December 2013.

The public’s skepticism about U.S. international engagement – evident in America’s Place in the World surveys four and eight years ago – has increased. Currently, 52% say the United States “should mind its own business internationally and let other countries get along the best they can on their own.” Just 38% disagree with the statement. This is the most lopsided balance in favor of the U.S. “minding its own business” in the nearly 50-year history of the measure.

B)Specifically with China

He Yafei Jan 25, 2016 (former vice minister of the Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the State Council, and former vice minister at the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs)

Here comes China, whose economic growth and military modernization in recent years represents, to American people, a world that undergoes rapid changes and evolves to a multipolar one where the US is no longer being able to call shot on everything. The resentment against globalization is on the rise. Overall strategic retrenchment and an emphatic shift to focus more on China are taking place simultaneously. “Scapegoating” China is inevitable. “China has taken jobs away from American workers”. “China is manipulating its currency to gain advantage in trade”. “China is being aggressive in the South China Sea and trying to drive the US out of the Western Pacific”. The list of complaints can go on and on. It doesn’t matter whether those accusations and complaints are true or not to American politicians and voters as long as they have “election value”. For instance, the renminbi has appreciated against the US dollar to the tune of 30% since 2008, but voices are still strong in America calling for the RMB to appreciate further.

1. Trump is Anti-China and will disengage with China

Bradner,June30, 2016 (Eric, Staff writer CNN) “Donald Trump vows to scrap trade deals, threatens China”

Trump has broken from Republican orthodoxy and embraced a protectionist trade stance that more closely mirrors liberals such as Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. The real estate mogul has opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and on Tuesday said he'd seek to withdraw the United States from the North American Free Trade Agreement -- a move that would result in the upheaval of economies across the continent. Trump argued that by doing so, he'd create more manufacturing jobs in the United States -- a key element of his appeal to white, working-class communities in swing states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan

C. Impacts:

1. TRUMP WILL GO NUCLEAR

Blair, June 11, 2016 . (

(Bruce G. Blair is a nuclear security expert and a research scholar at the Program on Science and Global Security at Princeton and the co-founder of Global Zero.)
What Exactly Would It Mean to Have Trump’s Finger on the Nuclear Button? POLITICO.CO June 11, 2016)

“The biggest problem we have is nuclear— nuclear proliferation and having some maniac, having some madman go out and get a nuclear weapon. That's in my opinion that is the single biggest problem that our country faces right now.” Hillary Clinton, June 2, 2016: “This is not someone who should ever have the nuclear codes. It’s not hard to imagine Donald Trump leading us into a war just because somebody got under his very thin skin.” To a degree we haven’t seen, perhaps, since the candidacy of Senator Barry Goldwater in 1964, the question of Donald Trump’s temperament and judgment on matters of war and WASHINGTON AND THE WORLD What Exactly Would It Mean to Have Trump’s Finger on the Nuclear Button? And it’s not just Trump’s generalelection opponent, Hillary Clinton, who’s hinting at this; his former GOP rival, Marco Rubio, repeated his earlier concerns about Trump only this week, saying America can't give "the nuclear codes of the United States to an erratic individual." Others would side with Trump’s view that the weapons themselves—which pack a destructive force amounting to “Hiroshima times a thousand,” as he put it—are the evil. But these points are not mutually exclusive. What would it mean to have Trump’s fingers on the nuclear button? We don't really know, but we do know this: In the atomic age, when decisions must be made very quickly, the presidency has evolved into something akin to a nuclear monarchy. With a single phone call, the commander in chief has virtually unlimited power to rain down nuclear weapons on any adversarial regime and country at any time. You might imagine this awesome executive power would be hamstrung with checks and balances, but by law, custom and congressional deference there may be no responsibility where the president has more absolute control. There is no advice and consent by the Senate. There is no secondguessing by the Supreme Court. Even ordering the use of torture—which Trump infamously once said he would do, insisting the military “won’t refuse. They’re not gonna refuse me”— imposes more legal constraints on a president than ordering a nuclear attack. If he were president, Donald Trump—who likes to say he doesn't spend a lot of time conferring with others ("My primary consultant is myself," he declared in March)— would be free to launch a civilizationending nuclear war on his own any time he chose.

1. NUCLEAR WAR EQUALS EXTINCTION

Nuclear apartheid is a poison that will spread across the world leaving human rights violations in its wake.

Gopal,’98 - Prof. of History @ Jawaharlal Nehru Univ.,(Sarvepalli, International Social Scicence Journal 50.157, “Images of world Society: a Third World View,”)BBL

A world society, of course, is not just the product of relations between the constituent states; perhaps even more important than international politics are domestic conditions. It goes without saying that our future can be neither just nor stable as long as racism is prevalent and in some areas is even the basis of state policy. Apartheid is not only an intolerable violation of human dignity and freedom; it fouls the atmosphere everywhere and endangers world peace. The inequality between races does not always take so flagrant a form, but the poison is widespread and needs to be eradicated before we can even consider laying firm foun- dations for a world society. There are other forms of inequality which, if less criminal than racism, also call for our attention.The current efforts to secure for women a proper status in society will obviously have to continue. If the worth of a civilization is properly assessed by the way it treats its women, this criterion will apply to the world community as well.

*Otherization Impact

Otherization is the root of dehumanization and conflict. Nuclear wars and holocaust are made possible by otherization of the enemy

Kovel 84, Prof Pol, Comm, & Psych @ Einstein, (Joel, 1984, Against the State of Nuclear Terror, p175-6) MH

The irrationality that often befalls groups on the margins of society reveals the working of a general mechanism that undoubtedly contributes in a major way to the stability of irrational and oppressive social orders. When society as a whole is irrational and permeated with violence and domination, then each individual within it will stand to internalize some of the same as he or she runs the gauntlet of personal development. By “internalize,” I mean the development of unconscious structured relations with others. We each have an internal (i.e., intrapsychic) group of relations between the “I” and the “Other” that is, on the one hand, quite fantastic and out of immediate contact with external reality, while, on the other, is shaped by that reality and is shaped by it in turn. Such shaping occurs through the mental processes called introjection (modeling of the self by the world) and projection (modeling of the world according to the self). The Other, being the negation of the self, can take on many characteristics, good or bad. The Other, therefore, is both a rough replication of the goodness and badness of the external world as well as a determinant of that goodness or badness. When we congregate into groups (including the society which is integral to these groups) the relations of Otherness take on a decisive importance. For in the formation of a group a kind of splitting necessarily takes place between elements of the Other. This splitting is shaped about the irreducible fact of the group (or society) and its identity. If there is a group, then one is either in it or not. From another angle, groups take shape about the deployment of the feeling of “insideness.” And once one is in, then there must be an outside. If there is an America, then one can be an American. If so, then all others become Other, and non-Americans or foreigners. A lot of history has turned around the fact that the basic inside-outside relations of groups have come to be fused with the goodness and badness of the Other. Then all those inside become good, and all outside, bad. The members of the group each return to being of the “purified pleasure ego,” described earlier when we were developing the notion of paranoia and the general psychology of technocracy. Insofar as the bad outside takes on a persecutory quality, the group itself becomes paranoid—with this key difference between the group and the individual level: that the individual paranoiac experiences the persecution immediately, while the member of the group is insulated by identification with the others and his or her participation in the group’s practice. In this way, the paranoia is delegated to the group as a whole. We might say that it becomes de-subjectified and passes beyond the psychologies of the individuals of the group. The individual mind remains under the sway of the affiliation of the good Other that remains inside group relations. Meanwhile the persecutory potential of the outsiders is reduced by dehumanization. This is how people remain “normal” individually while countenancing and even actively carrying out the most heinous and irrational acts on the “thingified” and dehumanized bodies of outsiders. It tells us a lot about how gracious and kindly white Southerners could lynch and castrate blacks; of how good, clean efficient Germans could turn Jews into lampshades; of how Israelis, with their ancient tradition of Jewish compassionateness, earned through centuries of suffering, could calculatedly dispossess the Palestinian people; and of course, how the friendly Americans could annihilate Hiroshima and cut their swath through history.

Trump Link. Trump goes beyond otherization. Trump is flat out a racist. Yes we said it and it is the Uncomfortabble truth about the Donald

empirical examples

O’Connor and Marans 2016 ( Lydia O’ConnorReporter, The Huffington Post ,Daniel MaransReporter, Huffington Post “Here Are 10 Examples Of Donald Trump Being Racist” May 19, 2016

1. He does not disavow the KKK

Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump may have failed to disavow the Ku Klux Klanin late February, but he’ll have you know he is not racist. In fact, he claims to be “the least racist person that you have ever met,” and last summer he pulled out the old standby about not having a racist bone in his body.But he hasn’t given us a lot of reason to believe that. In fact, despite Trump’s protests to the contrary, he has a long history of saying and doing racist things. It’s not really surprising that he’s won the support and praise of the country’s white supremacists.Here’s a running list of some of the most glaringly racist things associated with Trump. We’re sure we’ll be adding to it soon.Apparently Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.) does not mind Trump’s racism. Sessions endorsed the GOP front-runner on MondayThree times in a row on Feb. 28, Trump sidestepped opportunities to renounce white nationalist and former KKK leader David Duke, who told his radio audience last week that voting for any candidate other than Trump is “really treason to your heritage.”

1. He refuses to rent to Black people The Justice Department sued his company — twice — for not renting to black people

When Trump was serving as the president of his family’s real estate company, the Trump Management Corporation, in 1973, the Justice Department sued the company for alleged racial discrimination against black people looking to rent apartments in Brooklyn, Queens and Staten Island.

The lawsuit charged that the company quoted different rental terms and conditions to black rental candidates than it did with white candidates, and that the company lied to black applicants about apartments not being available. Trump called those accusations “absolutely ridiculous” and sued the Justice Department for $100 million in damages for defamation.

Without admitting wrongdoing, the Trump Management Corporation settled the original lawsuit two years later and promised not to discriminate against black people, Puerto Ricans or other minorities. Trump also agreed to send weekly vacancy lists for his 15,000 apartments to the New York Urban League, a civil rights group,and to allow the NYUL to present qualified applicants for vacancies in certain Trump properties.

Just three years after that, the Justice Department sued the Trump Management Corporation again for allegedly discriminating against black applicants by telling them apartments weren’t available.

1. He refused to condemn the white supremacists who are campaigning for him

When asked by CNN’s Jake Tapper if he would condemn Duke and say he didn’t want a vote from him or any other white supremacists, Trump claimed that he didn’t know anything about white supremacists or about Duke himself. When Tapper pressed him twice more, Trump said he couldn’t condemn a group he hadn’t yet researched.