Florida Atlantic University’s Center for Environmental Studies presents

Effects of Gulf Stream Variations on Sea Levels along the Eastern Coast

Venue: B-1 Auditorium, South Florida Water Management District

3301 Gun Club Road, West Palm Beach, Florida 33406

May 9, 2017

TENTATIVE AGENDA

9:15 Security Check-in (B-1 Building entrance)

9:30 Welcome and Introductions

10:00 Purpose of the meeting

10:20 Shimon Wdowinski (Florida International University) (pre-recorded)

Decadal-scale variations in the coupling between sea level along the Florida Atlantic coast and the strength of the Florida Current
Several studies have shown a strong correlation between sea level rise along the US Atlantic coast and the strength of the Florida Current. In my presentation, I will examine the suggested coupling using the following three data types: coastal tide gauge, FC transport, and satellite altimetry. The analyses of the three data types indicate a decadal scale changes in the coupling, as well as interesting relations to El Nino and La Nina events.

10:40 Tal Ezer (Old Dominion University)

The link between the Gulf Stream and sea level along the U.S. East Coast as seen in observations and models

11:00 Break

11:15 William Sweet (NOAA)

Using a time-dependent extreme value model of Virginia Key monthly highest tides, the probability of extreme event flooding such as occurred during Sep 2015 are quantified in terms of seasonal and long-period tidal cycles, a long-term sea level rise related trend and co-variability with Florida Current transport.

11:35 Ben Kirtman (University of Miami)

Towards a regional sea level rise prediction system from days to decades

11:55 Ricardo Dominguez (NOAA)

Recent efforts from NOAA/AOML towards monitoring and improving the understanding of changes in the Florida Current: relationships with sea-level along the east U.S. coast

12:15 Lunch (on your own)

1:15 Plenary Discussion

2:45 Wrap up and next steps

3:15 Concluding Remarks