PartA. PERSONAL INFORMATION
First and Family name / Frank Granville BallSocial Security, Passport, ID number / 505918237 / Age / 60
Researcher numbers / Researcher ID
Orcid code
A.1. Current position
Name of University/Institution / The University of NottinghamDepartment / School of Mathematical Sciences
Address and Country / University Park, NottinghamNG7 2RD
Phone number / (0115) 9514969 / E-mail /
Current position / Professor of Applied Probability / From / 1993
Espec. cód. UNESCO / 1208;1209
Keywords / Applied probability, epidemic models, aggregated Markov processes, ion channel models,stochastic compartmental models, semi-Markov processes, Laplace transform based inference, MCMC for hidden continuous time Markov chains
A.2.Education
DPhil Thesis / Hertford College, Oxford / 1982Diploma in Mathematical Statistics / Churchill College, Cambridge / 1977
BSc Mathematics (Class I Honours) / University of Manchester / 1976
A.3. JCR articles, h Index, thesis supervised…
Publications: Papers in refereed journals - over 111 (See the List of Publications);
Supervisor of 14 Ph.D. and 2MPhil students.
PartB. SUMMARY (max. 3500 characters, including spaces)
Education:
BSc Mathematics (Class I Honours), University of Manchester (1976); Diploma in Mathematical Statistics, Churchill College, Cambridge (1977); DPhil Thesis title: ‘Some statistical problems in the epidemiology of fox rabies’, Hertford College, Oxford (1982). Prizes won: 1975 Dalton Mathematical Scholarship.
Specialization:
Applied probability, epidemic models, aggregated Markov processes, ion channel models,
stochastic compartmental models, semi-Markov processes, Laplace transform based
inference, MCMC for hidden continuous time Markov chains.
Conference and meeting involvement: over 76.
Some of the Invited Talks:
-CoSyDy one-day meeting on Complexity and Epidemic Dynamics; Queen Mary,
University of London, 2014
-Workshop on Infectious Disease Dynamics; Cambridge, 2013-LMS Symposium on Grand Biological Challenges for Mathematicians: from Cells
and Microbes to Brains; Durham, 2012
-58th World Statistics Congress of the International Statistical Institute; Dublin, 2011
Visiting positions held:
-University of Western Australia and Murdoch University Australian Research Councilvisiting fellowship (1990,1992, 2001).
-Monash University (1990)
-Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge (1993, 2006, 2013, 2014)
Positions of responsibility:
-Honorary Secretary, East Midlands Local Group of Royal Statistical Society.-Associate Editor, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B.
-Member of Royal Statistical Society Research Section Committee.
-Member of Editorial Board of CRC Press Stochastic Modelling Series.
-Encyclopedia of Biostatistics, Section Editor for Modelling of Diseases and
-Human Biological Phenomena.
-Mathematical Biosciences, Member of Bellman Prize Committee.
-Member of Editorial Board of Mathematical Medicine and Biology.
-Member of Editorial Board of Mathematical Biosciences.
-Member of EPSRC Peer Review College.
-Associate Editor, Scandinavian Journal of Statistics.
Administration: some of the positions:
-Postgraduate Admissions Officer (2004-2005)
-Head of Division of Statistics School Strategy Group (1998- 2004)
-Deputy Head of School (1998-1999)
-Head of Department (1997-1998)
-Chair of Research Committee (1995-1997)
External Examining: Heriot-Watt University, University of Manchester, Open University, Lancaster University, University of Liverpool, University of Manchester, University of Birmingham, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia, University College of Swansea, University of Sheffield, University of Bristol, University College London, University of Kent, University College of Swansea, Utrecht University, The Netherlands, University of Oxford, Heriot-Watt University.
Refereeing: (Selected list of some journals)
Papers for Advances in Applied Probability, Annals of Applied Probability, Annals of Probability, Annals of Statistics, Applied Statistics, Australian and New Zealand, Journal of Statistics, Bernoulli, Biometrical Journal, Biometrics, Biometrika,Biophysical Journal, Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, Ecological Modelling,Electronic Journal of Probability, IMA Journal of Mathematics Applied in Medicine and Biology, Journal of Applied Ecology, Journal of Applied Probability, Journal of Biological Dynamics, Journal of Mathematical Biology, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B, Journal of Theoretical Biology, Mathematical Biosciences, Mathematical Population Studies.
Part C. RELEVANT MERITS
C.1. Publications (Selected List of the last publications)
2000(with G F Yeo).Superposition of spatially interacting aggregated continuoustime Markov chains.Methodology Computing Appl Prob 2, 93-116.
2000(with R K Milne and G F Yeo).Stochastic models for systems of interacting ionchannels.IMA J Math Appl Med Biol 17, 263-293.
2001(with O D Lyne).Stochastic multitype SIR epidemics among a populationpartitioned into households.Adv Appl Prob 33, 99-123.
2001(with V T Stefanov).Further approaches to computing fundamental characteristics of birth-death processes.J Appl Prob 38, 995-1005.
2002(with O D Lyne).Optimal vaccination policies for stochastic epidemics among a population of households.Math Biosci. 177-178, 333-354.
2002(with O D Lyne).Epidemics among a population of households. In: C Castillo-Chavez, S Blower, P van den Driessche, D Kirschner and A-A Yakubu (Eds).IMA Proceedings 126, Mathematical approaches for emergingand re-emerging infectious diseases Part II: models, methods and theory, 115-142.
2002(with T Britton and P D O’Neill).Empty confidence sets for epidemics, branchingprocesses and Brownian motion.Biometrika 89, 211-224.
2002(with R K Milne and G F Yeo).Multivariate semi-Markov analysis of burst propertiesof multiconductance single ion channels.J Appl Prob 39, 179-196.
2002(with P J Neal).A general model for stochastic SIR epidemics with two levels ofmixing.Math Biosci 180, 73-102.
2003(with P J Neal).The great circle epidemic model.Stoch Proc Appl 107, 233-268.
2004(with R K Milne).Applications of simple point process methods to superpositions of aggregated stationary processes.Aust NZ J Stat 46, 181-196.
2004(with P J Neal).Poisson approximation for epidemics with two levels of mixing.Ann Probab 32, 1168-1200.
2004(with T Britton and O D Lyne).Stochastic multitype epidemics in a community ofhouseholds; estimation of threshold parameter R* and secure vaccination coverage.Biometrika 91, 345-362.
2004(with R K Milne and G F Yeo).A unified approach to burst properties ofmulticonductance single ion channels.Math Med & Biol 21, 205-245.
2004(with T Britton and O D Lyne).Stochastic multitype epidemics in a community of households: estimation and form of optimal vaccination schemes.Math Biosci 191, 19-40.
2005(with V T Stefanov).Evaluation of identity-by-descent probabilities for half-sibs on continuous genome.Math Biosci 196, 215-225.
2005(with R K Milne).Simple derivations of properties of counting processes associated with Markov renewal processes.J Appl Prob 42, 1031-1043.
2005(with T Britton).An epidemic model with exposure-dependent severities.J Appl Prob 42, 932-949.
2006(with N G Becker).Control of transmission with two types of infection.Math Biosci 200, 170-187.
2006(with O D Lyne).Optimal vaccination schemes for epidemics among a population of households. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 15,481-497.
2007(with P D O’Neill and J Pike).Stochastic epidemic models in structured populations featuring dynamic vaccination and isolation.J Appl Prob 44, 571-585.
2007(with R K Milne and G F Yeo).Marked continuous-time Markov chain modellingof burst properties of single ion channels.J Appl Math and Decision Science, vol 2007, Article ID 48138.
2007(with T Britton).An epidemic model with infector-dependent severity. Adv Appl Prob 39, 949-972.
2008(with P Neal).Network epidemic models with two levels of mixing.Math Biosci 212, 69-87.
2008(with I L Dryden and M Golalizadeh).Brownian motion and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes in planar shape space.Methodology Computing Appl Prob 10, 1-22.
2008(with E S Knock and P D O’Neill).Control of emerging infectious diseasesusing responsive imperfect vaccination and isolation.Math Biosci 216, 100-113.
2009(with T Britton).An epidemic model with infector and exposure dependentseverity.Math Biosci 218, 105-120.
2009(with V T Stevanov).Reward distributions associated with some block tridiagonal transition matrices with applications to identity-by-descent. Adv Appl Prob 41, 523-545.
2009(with D Sirl and P Trapman).Threshold behaviour and final outcome of an epidemic on a random network with household structure.Adv Appl Prob 41, 765-796.
2010(with D Sirl and P Trapman).Analysis of a stochastic SIR epidemic on a randomnetwork incorporating household structure.Math Biosci 224, 53-73.
2010(with P Neal).Applications of branching processes to the final size of SIRepidemics.In: Lecture Notes in Statistics – Proceedings 197, M González Velasco, I M Puerto, R Martίnez, M Molina, M Mota and A Ramos (Eds), Workshop on Branching Processes and Their Applications, 207-224,Springer-Verlag.
2011(with T Britton and D Sirl).Household epidemic models with varying infectionresponse.J Math Biol 63, 309-337.
2011 (with E Knock and P D O’Neill).Threshold behaviour of emerging epidemics featuring contact tracing.Adv Appl Prob 43, 1048-1065.
2011 Identifiability of aggregated Markov models of single ion channels.Proceedingsof the 58th World Statistics Congress of the International Statistical Institute.
2012(with D Sirl).An SIR epidemic model on a population with random network and household structure, and several types of individuals.Adv Appl Prob 44, 63-86.
2012(with L Pellis and P Trapman).Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures I: definition and calculation of R0.Math Biosci 235, 85-99.
2013(with T Britton and D Sirl).A network with tunable clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution, and an epidemic thereon.J Math Biol 66, 979-1019.
2013(with D Sirl).Acquaintance vaccinationin an epidemic on a random graph with specified degree distribution.J Appl Prob 50, 1147-1168.
2014(with D Sirl and P Trapman).Epidemics on random intersection graphs. Ann Appl Probab 24, 1081-1128.
2014(with M González, R Martίnez and M Slavtchova-Bojkova).Stochastic monotonicity and continuity properties of functions defined on Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes, with application to vaccination in epidemic modelling.Bernoulli 20, 2076-2101.
2015(with L Pellis, S Bansal, K Eames, T House, V Isham and P Trapman).Eight challenges for network epidemic models.Epidemics 10, 58-62.
2015(with T Britton, T House, V Isham, D Mollison, L Pellis and G Scalia Tomba).Seven challenges for metapopulation models of epidemics, including household models.Epidemics 10, 63-67.
2015(with E S Knock and P D O’Neill).Stochastic epidemic models featuring contact tracing with delays.Math Biosci 266, 23-35.
C.2Grant Awarded (Selected List of the last grants awarded)
1994(with A O’Hagan).EPSRC.Bayesian inference for ion channel gatingmechanisms via the Gibbs sampler.£71700.
1996EPSRC.Stochastic modelling of ion channels.£1260.Visiting Fellowship for Dr G F Yeo.
1997(with D Mollison).EPSRC.Stochastic modelling and statistical inference forepidemics among populations divided into households.£117,879.
1999(with P D O’Neill).EPSRC.Statistical inference for stochastic epidemic modelsin structured populations.£2600.Visiting Fellowship for Dr T Britton.
2001(with P C Matthews, H M Byrne, J A D Wattis, P D O’Neill and I L Dryden).EPSRC-JREI.A computational facility for mathematical and stochasticmodelling in the Biomedical Sciences.£121,735.
2001EPSRC.Parametric and structural inferences from bursts of single ion channel openings.£1890.Visiting Fellowship for Dr G F Yeo.
2002EPSRC.Pseudo-likelihood statistical inference from bursts of single ion channelopenings.£7565.Visiting Fellowship for Dr R K Milne.
2002(with A T A Wood and I L Dryden).EPSRC.Applications of saddlepoint/Laplace techniques to ion channel models and shape analysis.£7720. Visiting Fellowship for Professor R W Butler.
2005(with S J Hill).MRC Mathematical modelling and analysis of single ligand-receptor interactions.£60,492.
2006The Leverhulme Trust.Stochastic modelling in the biomedical sciences.£25,000.Leverhulme Research Fellowship.
2006EPSRC Stochastic epidemic models in structured populations.£228,495.
2007(with P D O’Neill).EPSRC.Stochastic modelling and statistical inference forepidemics in structured populations.£15853.Visiting Fellowship for Professor T Britton.
2013(with A Skordos, J Mehnen, A Long, M Tretyakov, K Cliffe, D Lesnic, K Potter, I Jones and P Schubel) EPSRC. Robustness-performance optimisation for automated composites manufacture. £971,499.
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