DDI 2009 Politics generic
125
Politics – DDI
Alex Resar, Dana Snay, Will Hardwicke, Trev Aufderheide, Sonali Kalvala, Abhik Pramanik, Adora Parker, Becca Rothfeld, Drew Hull, Kevin Jiang
DDI 2009 Politics generic
125
Politics – DDI 1
Health care 1NC 4
Health care 1NC 5
CTBT 1NC 6
CTBT 1NC 7
Cap and trade 1NC 8
Cap and trade 1NC 9
***GENERAL UNIQUENESS 10
Yes capital 11
Yes capital – A2: poll results 12
Yes agenda – F-22 win 13
Obama won on F-22 14
No capital 15
No capital 16
No public popularity 17
No bipart 18
Obama won’t spend capital 19
Lobbies support Obama now 20
Econ recovery inevitable 21
***LINKS 22
Poverty programs unpopular 23
Poverty programs unpopular 24
A2: Conservatives support poverty programs 25
Poverty programs popular 26
GOP supports poverty reduction 27
Social services unpopular 28
Social services unpopular 29
Social services unpopular 30
Social services unpopular 31
Social services popular 32
Spending costs capital 33
Spending costs capital 34
Spending costs capital – Blue Dogs 35
Abortion funding unpopular 36
Immigration policies unpopular 37
Immigration policies unpopular 38
Immigrant health care unpopular 39
Immigration policies popular 40
Health care costs capital 41
Welfare/food stamps unpopular 42
Prison reform popular 43
Post office unpopular 44
Post office reform popular 45
Bankruptcy reform unpopular 46
***AGENT LINKS 47
Courts link 48
Courts link 49
Courts link 50
Courts link – president gets the blame 51
Courts don’t link 52
Courts don’t link 53
Agencies link – general 54
Agencies link – president = lightning rod 55
Agencies link – Congress must approve budgets 56
***INTERNAL LINKS 57
Controversial policies drain capital 58
Legislation costs capital 59
Capital finite 60
Capital finite 61
Capital determines agenda 62
Capital determines agenda 63
Focus key 64
A2: Winners win 65
Popularity key to agenda 66
Popularity key to agenda 67
Popularity not key to capital 68
Popularity not key to capital 69
Public popularity not key 70
Flips flops kill agenda 71
Flips flops kill agenda 72
Winners win – Obama 73
Winners win – Obama 74
Winners win – Obama 75
Winners win – general 76
Teflon 77
No spillover/vote switching 78
No spillover/vote switching 79
Yes spillover/vote switching 80
***HEALTH CARE UNIQUENESS 81
Yes health care – general 82
Yes health care – general 83
Yes health care – lobbies 84
Yes health care – lobbies 85
Yes health care – lobbies 86
Yes health care – momentum 87
Yes health care – Obama 88
Yes health care – Obama 89
Yes health care – bipart 90
Yes health care – predictive 91
Yes health care – vote count 92
Yes health care – reconciliation 93
Yes health care – Dems 94
Yes health care – Medicare provisions 95
Yes health care – soon 96
Yes health care – win on F-22 97
Yes health care – finance committee 98
Obama pushing health care 99
Obama pushing health care 100
Obama pushing health care 101
Now key 102
Now key 103
Now key 104
August deadline not key 105
***HEALTH CARE INTERNALS 106
Capital key to health care 107
Capital key to health care 108
Capital key to health care 109
Capital key to health care 110
Capital key to health care 111
Capital key to health care – Dems 112
Capital key to health care – public 113
Capital key to health care – momentum 114
Focus key to health care 115
Focus key to health care 116
Spending kills health care 117
Hyde link – kills health care 118
Popularity key to health care 119
Bipart key to health care 120
Bipart key to health care 121
Bipart key to health care 122
Moderates/Blue Dogs key to health care 123
Moderates/Blue Dogs key to health care 124
***IMPACTS 125
***ECONOMY 125
Health care key to economy – debt spirals 126
Debt spiral impact short-term – signal 127
Health care key to economy – laundry list 128
Health care key to economy – bankruptcy 129
Health care key to economy – general 130
Health care key to economy – general 131
Health care key to economy – general 132
Health care key to economy – general 133
Health care key to economy – most important factor 134
Health care key to economy – state budgets 135
Health care key to economy – small businesses 136
Health care key to economy – chronic illness 137
Health care reform key to solve chronic illness 138
A2: Raises prices 139
A2: Raises taxes 140
Health care key to competitiveness 141
Health care key to competitiveness 142
***ENTITLEMENT SPENDING 143
Health care solves entitlement spending 144
Health care solves entitlement spending 145
Health care solves entitlement spending 146
Health care reform saves money – prevention 147
Health care reform saves money – generics 148
Health care reform saves money – generics 149
Health care reform saves money – A2: big upfront cost 150
Health care solves fiscal discipline 151
Health care key to economy – entitlements 152
Entitlement spending threatens economy 153
Entitlement spending threatens economy 154
***SPACE 155
Space 2NC 156
Space 2NC 157
Entitlement reform à NASA funding 158
NASA cuts kills space exploration 159
A2: VSE not key to exploration 160
VSE key to whole space program 161
Space key to human survival 162
Space exploration key to heg 163
Got to Get off the Rock by 2050 164
Space Colonization Solves War 165
***NMD 166
NMD 2NC 167
NMD good – prolif 168
NMD good – terrorism 169
NMD good – Iranian prolif 170
NMD good – Iranian prolif 171
NMD good – Russia 172
NMD good – A2: Russia backlash 173
NMD good – works 174
***DISEASE/HEALTH/POVERTY 175
Bioterror 2NC 176
Bioterror 2NC 177
Health care solves bioterror 178
Health care key to biotech 179
Health care key to pharma 180
Health care key to pharma 181
Pharma solves bioterror 182
Pharma solves bioterror 183
A2: Generics hurt innovation 184
Biotech good – heg 185
Biotech good – famine 186
Pandemic 2NC 187
Health care solves pandemics 188
Swine flu 2NC 189
Swine flu 2NC 190
Poverty 2NC 191
Obesity module 2NC 192
Healthcare = Moral Imperative 193
***AGENDA 194
Health care à permanent Democratic majority 195
Health care à whole agenda 196
Health care à whole agenda 197
Health care à cap and trade 198
***AFF ANSWERS 199
No health care – no capital 200
No health care – cost 201
No health care – Blue Dogs 202
No health care – Dems 203
No health care – Dems 204
No health care – Dems 205
No health care – Bayh 206
No health care – GOP 207
No health care – partisanship 208
No health care – public 209
No health care – cap and trade 210
No health care – A2: win on F-22 211
No health care – before recess 212
Obama won’t push health care 213
Capital not key to health care 214
Employment/econ key to health care 215
Winners win on healthcare 216
Obama Pushing kills health care 217
Health care reform fails 218
Health care kills economy – raises costs 219
Health care kills economy – taxes 220
Health care kills economy – jobs 221
Health care kills competitiveness 222
Health care reform increases costs 223
Health care reform increases costs 224
Health care reform increases costs 225
Health care reform increases costs 226
Health care reform increases costs 227
Health care kills biotech 228
Health care kills biotech 229
Health care kills pharma 230
Biotech bad – famine 231
Health care reform undermines health 232
SQ health coverage is excellent 233
Poverty turns health care 234
***CTBT NEG 235
Yes CTBT 236
Yes CTBT – Obama 237
Yes CTBT – North Korea test 238
Capital key to CTBT 239
Capital key to CTBT 240
CTBT key to non-prolif 241
CTBT key to non-prolif 242
US ratification key 243
A2: CTBT not effective 244
CTBT key to heg 245
CTBT à intl cooperation 246
CTBT à intl cooperation 247
No need to test 248
No need to test 249
***CTBT AFF 250
No CTBT – general 251
No CTBT – GOP 252
No CTBT – verification 253
No prolif 254
Norms can’t solve prolif 255
Norms can’t solve prolif 256
NPT breakdown inevitable 257
Sub-critical testing kills non-prolif 258
CTBT kills deterrence 259
CTBT kills deterrence 260
CTBT kills deterrence 261
Right to test is key to deterrence 262
Deterrence solves nuclear war 263
Deterrence solves nuclear war 264
***CAP AND TRADE UNIQUENESS 265
No cap and trade – general 266
No cap and trade – general 267
No cap and trade – overstretch 268
No cap and trade – Obama pushing 269
No cap and trade – Dems 270
No cap and trade – Dems 271
No cap and trade – GOP 272
No cap and trade – North Dakota 273
No cap and trade – economic fears 274
Obama pushing cap and trade 275
***CAP AND TRADE INTERNALS 276
Capital key to cap and trade 277
Capital key to cap and trade 278
Capital key to cap and trade 279
Moderates key to cap and trade 280
GOP key to cap and trade 281
***ECONOMY IMPACTS 282
Cap and trade kills economy – general 283
Cap and trade kills economy – general 284
Cap and trade kills economy – derivatives bubble 285
Cap and trade kills economy – derivatives bubble 286
Cap and trade kills economy – energy prices 287
Cap and trade kills economy – jobs 288
Cap and à trade war 289
Cap and à trade war 290
Cap and trade à trade war with China 291
Cap and trade will have tariffs 292
Protectionism impact 293
Cap and trade kills chemical industry 294
Chemical industry impact 295
Cap and trade kills the steel industry 296
Steel industry impact 297
Cap and trade kills ag sector 298
Cap and trade kills manufacturing 299
***A2: WARMING 300
Cap and trade doesn’t solve warming 301
Cap and trade doesn’t solve climate 302
No modeling 303
No warming 304
No warming 305
Warming good – CO2 fertilization 306
Warming good – CO2 sink feedbacks 307
***NUCLEAR POWER 308
Cap and trades à nuclear power 309
Nuclear power bad – warming 310
Nuclear power bad – terrorism 311
Nuclear power à prolif 312
***AFF ANSWERS 313
Yes cap and trade 314
Yes cap and trade – compromise 315
Yes cap and trade – predictive 316
Yes cap and trade – reconciliation 317
Now isn’t key to cap and trade 318
Cap and trade inevitable 319
Obama won’t push cap and trade 320
Capital not key to cap and trade 321
Cap and trade doesn’t hurt economy 322
Cap and trade key to economy – investment/stimulus 323
Cap and trade key to economy – jobs 324
Cap and trade key to economy – prices 325
Cap and trade key to economy – general 326
A2: Derivatives market 327
Cap and trade won’t have tariffs 328
Tariffs don’t cause trade conflict 329
Steel industry NU 330
No chemical industry impact 331
Cap and trade solves warming 332
Cap and trade solves warming 333
Warming bad – species 334
Warming bad – species 335
Warming bad – general 336
Warming bad – economy 337
Nuclear power good – warming 338
Nuclear power key to non-prolif 339
Alex Resar, Dana Snay, Will Hardwicke, Trev Aufderheide, Sonali Kalvala, Abhik Pramanik, Adora Parker, Becca Rothfeld, Drew Hull, Kevin Jiang
DDI 2009 Politics generic
125
Health care 1NC
Health care reform will pass – even the critics admit that Obama will be able to sell it
Bloomberg, 7-25-09, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aIiiRyGaM.Os
The top Senate Republican drafting health-care legislation and a leader of House Democrats balking at the plan said they don’t expect committee and floor-vote delays to keep a bill from passing this year. Charles Grassley, the ranking Republican on the Senate Finance Committee, said “it’s going to be difficult” for his panel to approve legislation in the next two weeks. Beyond that, the odds of Congress enacting an overhaul later this year are “very, very good,” the Iowa senator said in an interview with Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt,” airing this weekend. Representative Mike Ross of Arkansas, chairman of the health-care task force for the Blue Dog Coalition, about 50 self-described fiscally conservative House Democrats, said it would be a mistake for Speaker Nancy Pelosi to bring the measure to the chamber’s floor before lawmakers take their August recess. “I don’t think they have the votes,” Ross said in a separate “Political Capital” interview. By year’s end, “we will meet the president’s goal of passing meaningful and substantive health-care reform,” he also said.
[insert link]
Pushing controversial legislation burns political capital
Mark Seidenfeld, Associate Professor, Florida State University College of Law, Iowa Law Review, October 1994
In addition, the propensity of congressional committees to engage in special-interest-oriented oversight might seriously undercut presidential efforts to implement regulatory reform through legislation. n198 On any proposed regulatory measure, the President could face opposition from powerful committee members whose ability to modify and kill legislation is well-documented. n199 This is not meant to deny that the President has significant power that he can use to bring aspects of his legislative agenda to fruition. The President's ability to focus media attention on an issue, his power to bestow benefits on the constituents of members of Congress who support his agenda, and his potential to deliver votes in congressional elections increase the likelihood of legislative success for particular programs. n200 Repeated use of such tactics, however, will impose economic costs on society and concomitantly consume the President's political capital. n201 At some point the price to the President for pushing legislation through Congress exceeds the benefit he derives from doing so. Thus, a President would be unwise to rely too heavily on legislative changes to implement his policy vision.
Political capital key to healthcare reform
Chiropractic Economics 7-7-2009
http://www.chiroeco.com/chiropractic/news/7360/861/Prioritizing-healthcare-reform-components/
INDIANAPOLIS – Faced with a barrage of pressing issues, the Obama administration has placed health-care reform high on its agenda. The timing bodes well for change, according to Aaron E. Carroll, M.D., director of the Indiana University Center for Health Policy and Professionalism, associate professor of pediatrics at the IU School of Medicine and a pediatrician at Riley Hospital for Children. "If the new administration wants to accomplish significant reform, they will need political capital, which they have now," says Dr. Carroll, who is a health services researcher and a Regenstrief Institute affiliated scientist. "We have a government elected with a mandate for change and health care is an area that requires reform. Moreover, with the economy in its current state, with unemployment on the rise, and with health care costs on the ascent, more and more people will not be able to afford insurance or health care. Therefore, more will be in need of reform." According to Dr. Carroll there are now more than 45 million people in America who have not had health insurance for the entire year; almost twice that number lack coverage for a portion of the year. Over the last few years, most of the newly uninsured are from the middle class. As unemployment rises, along with food, utilities and other prices, a growing number of people will be unable to afford health insurance, especially as it gets increasingly expensive.
Health care 1NC
The impact is a new Great Depression. Reform is key to signal long term fiscal solvency and prevent spiraling sell-offs of US debt
Boston Globe, 2-23-09
Budget analysts are worried that a continuing economic crisis will make it impossible to raise sufficient funds from foreign markets to finance the nation's debt. In the last four years, about three-quarters of US debt was purchased by foreign interests, most prominently by China. If other nations lose confidence that the United States will pay its debts, however, some economists fear an international financial crisis could escalate and turn into a worldwide depression. In any case, it is widely expected that debt purchasers will soon demand higher interest rates, which would translate into higher costs for US taxpayers. Obama is being urged by some analysts to start moving toward a balanced budget as soon as possible to send a signal to the world that deficit spending will abate. Yet some analysts are offering Obama conflicting advice, warning him not to repeat what they regard as the mistake of President Franklin Roosevelt, who launched the New Deal but eventually heeded calls to curtail deficit spending, only to see a new recession batter his presidency. A key player in the summit will be Senator Judd Gregg, the New Hampshire Republican who backed out of his commitment to be Obama's commerce secretary and then voted against the stimulus bill. Despite the embarrassment caused by Gregg's about-face, the White House believes that he could be one of its most important allies in the overhaul of Social Security, Medicare, and tax policy. That is because Gregg is the co-sponsor of the measure that would create a bipartisan commission to put together far-reaching recommendations for an up-or-down vote by Congress. In an interview, Gregg said that under such a procedure, the measures could be passed within a year, as long as most of the benefit cuts and tax increases were not slated to take effect until well after the recession is over. "We need an up-or-down vote on a package that will be unquestionably bipartisan and fair," Gregg said, a reference to criticism that Obama's stimulus bill was too partisan. Asked about his hopes for the summit, he said, "It can either be very nice public relations or move the ball down the road on what is an impending fiscal tsunami." Some budget specialists are skeptical. Robert Reischauer, former head of the Congressional Budget Office, said Obama should have seized the opportunity to pair the stimulus bill with the overhaul of Social Security, Medicare, and the tax code. "When you are shoveling out the goodies, you have a greater probability of getting people to sign on to some fiscal diet," said Reischauer, who has been invited to the summit. He said he is worried that nothing will happen on the most difficult issues until political leaders "have a gun at our heads. The system tends to respond only in the face of unavoidable crisis." Analysts across the political spectrum agree that the current path is unsustainable. Unless there is a major budgetary change, federal spending will go from being about 20 percent of the nation's economy to 42 percent in 2050, according to the Concord Coalition. The major reason is that entitlement programs for older Americans are running short of funds. Social Security is slated to pay out more money than it receives by 2017. Obama suggested during his campaign that he might support changing the level of income at which Social Security taxes are calculated. Another frequently mentioned option is raising the retirement age. But any measure will be even more controversial than usual because so many Americans have seen their private retirement plans pummeled by the stock market collapse. Medicare, the government-run healthcare program for older Americans, is already running a deficit, which is expected to increase quickly as baby boomers retire. That is why many analysts are urging Obama to link changes in Medicare with an overhaul of the health system.