FL-07 Toplines

February 24-25, 2016

N=431 Likely 2016 General Election Voters

Intro: Hello from the one-minute survey team at D-C-C-C, I’m _________. May I please speak to _____________?

Q1. This November, there will be an election for President, Congress, and other local offices. I know it's a long way off, but what are the chances that you will vote in the November election?

Very likely to vote………………………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………………………………… 92%

Somewhat likely to vote………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………………………………………. 2%

Chances are 50-50 ………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………………………………………………. 4%

Somewhat unlikely to vote………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………………………………….. 0%

Very unlikely to vote………………………………….…….….……….……………..………………………………………………. 1%

Unsure/Refused………………………………….…….….……….……………..……………………………………………………. 2%

Q2. Do you have a favorable view or unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton?

Favorable view of Hillary Clinton……………………………….…….….……….………………………………………….…… 35%

Unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton ……………………………………….………………………………………………....... 54%

Never heard of Clinton or unsure ………………………………………………………………………………..…………..…. 11%

Q3. If the general election for President was held today, who would you vote for? [ROTATE]

Democrat Hillary Clinton………………………………….…….….……….……………..………………………………………… 37%

Republican Donald Trump………………………………….…….….……….……………..………………………………………. 27%

Undecided or would vote for someone else………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………. 36%

Q4. And if the election for U.S. Congress was held today, who would you vote for? [ROTATE]

The Democratic candidate………………………………….…….….……….……………..……………………………………… 41%

The Republican candidate………………………………….…….….……….……………..………………………………………. 36%

Undecided or would vote for someone else……………………….………….…….….……….……………..…………. 23%

Q5. Now, think about John Mica

Favorable view of John Mica………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………………………………… 38%

Unfavorable view of John Mica …………………………………………….…….….……….……………..…………………… 16%

Never heard of Hurd or unsure……………………………………………………….…………………………………………… 46%

Q6. Do you approve, or disapprove, of the job John Mica has done in Congress?

Approve of Mica’s job performance………………………………………………………………..…………………………… 35%

Disapprove of Mica’s job performance ……………………………..……………………..…………………………………. 19%

Unsure of Mica’s job performance …………………………………………………….………………………………………… 46%

Q7. If the election for U.S. Congress was held today, would you vote to reelect Republican John Mica, or would you vote for someone else?

Would vote to reelect Republican John Mica...……………………………………………………………………………. 40%

Would vote for someone else.……….……………………………………………….…...…………..………………..………. 45%

Unsure/Refused…….…………………………………………………………..………………………………………..…………..… 15%

Q8. And if the election for U.S. Congress was held today, who would you vote for? [ROTATE]

The Democratic candidate…………………………………………………………………………………..……………….……… 34%

Republican John Mica………………………………………………………………………………………..……..….…………….. 37%

Undecided or would vote for someone else………………………………………………………..……………......…… 29%

Q9. For statistical purposes only, can you tell me the year in which you were born?

Under 35………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 25%

35-45……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 16%

45-55……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 19%

55-65……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 18%

65+………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 22%

Q10. And finally,

If you are a woman, please press 1………………………………………………………………………………………………. 55%

If you are a man, please press 2……………………………………………………………………………………………………. 45%

END: Great, thanks for your time. Paid for by the D-C-C-C, 202-741-1350. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

Party Registration (from voter file):

Democrat……………………………….…….………………………………………………………………………………………... 35%

Republican………………………………..……..………………………………….…………………….………………………….. 27%

Independent/Other…………………………………………………………………………….……….……………………….… 38%

Race (from voter file):

White…………………………………………………………………….…….….……….………………………………………………. 68%

Asian……………………………………………………………………….….….………………………………………………………… 9%

Hispanic……………...………………………………………………………..……………………………………..………………….. 15%

Other………………………………..………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 8%