2009 Bostonmayoral Election Poll

Boston Globe

2009 BostonMayoral Election Poll

Prepared by:

Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

The SurveyCenter

University of New Hampshire

October, 2009

Contents

Technical Report 1

Questionnaire 2

Data Tables 14

The Boston GlobePoll – 2009 Boston Mayoral Election

Conducted by the UNHSurveyCenter

October 2009

Technical Report

Field Period: October 10 to October 15, 2009

Hours: 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.

Median Completion Time: 12 minutes

Sample Size: 553 randomly selected Bostonadults (RDD)

438 likely 2009 Boston Mayoral election voters

Sampling Error: +/- 4.4%

Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 18.9%

The Boston Globe

Conducted by the UNHSurveyCenter

October 2009

INTRO:

“Good afternoon/evening. My name is ______and I’m calling from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center for the Boston Globe Poll. We are conducting a short, confidential study about politics and life in Boston, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.”

1CONTINUE

99REFUSED

RESIDENT

“Just to confirm, do you live in the City of Boston?”

1LIVE IN BOSTON OR BOSTON NEIGHBORHOOD:

ALLSTON BRIGHTON, CHARLESTOWN, DORCHESTER, EAST BOSTON, HYDE PARK, JAMAICA PLAIN, MATTAPAN, NORTH END, ROSLINDALE, ROXBURY, SOUTH BOSTON, SOUTH END, WEST ROXBURY

2LIVE OUTSIDE BOSTON TERMINATE

99NA / REFUSED  TERMINATE

BIR1

“In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the ADULTS who currently live in your household including yourself who had the most recent birthday? I don’t mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?”

1INFORMANT  SKIP TO SEX

2SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY):______ SKIP TO INT2

3DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME  CONTINUE WITH BIR2 BELOW

4DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN  SKIP TO SEX

99REFUSED ENTER NONRESPONSE INFORMATION

BIR2

“Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?”

1INFORMANT _____ SKIP TO SEX

2SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ SKIP TO INT2

3PERSON NOT AVAILABLE

99REFUSED

INT2

ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON

“Hello, this is ______calling from the University of New Hampshire for the Boston Globe. We are conducting a short, confidential study about politics and life in Boston, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the registered voter in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?”

1YES

2APPOINTMENT

99REFUSAL

SEX

“Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. We really appreciate your help. Before we begin I want to assure you that all of your answers are strictly confidential. They will be combined with answers from other people from across Boston. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Boston and this call may be monitored for quality assurance.”

“Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time.”

IF ASKED: “This survey will take about ten minutes to complete.”

RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT

1MALE

2FEMALE

99NA

MIPMA

“First of all ... there are many problems facing the City of Boston today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the City of Boston today?” (PROBE: “Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”)

RECORD VERBATIM PROBE FOR SPECIFIC RESPONSE

TRCKKBOS

“Do you think things in the City of Boston are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”

1RIGHT DIRECTION

2WRONG TRACK

98DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION)

*99NA

MAYAPP

“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Menino (men NEE noh) is handling his job as Mayor?”

(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as Mayor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?”

(IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as Mayor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?”

(IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as Mayor?”

1STRONGLY APPROVE

2APPROVE SOMEWHAT

3LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING

6DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT

7STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

*99NA

MAYOR2

“How effective do you think Mayor Menino is at solving the problems that Boston faces … very effective … somewhat effective … not very effective … ort not effective at all?”

1VERY EFFECTIVE

2SOMEWHAT EFFECTIVE

3NOT VERY EFFECTIVE

4NOT EFFECTIVE AT ALL

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

MAYOR4

“Tom Menino has already served four terms as Mayor of Boston. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Menino for a fifth term as Boston Mayor, or does this have no impact on your vote?”

1MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR

2MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST

3NO IMPACT

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

MAYOR6

“Based on what you have seen or heard, do you think the City of Boston is well run or poorly run?”

“Is that very or only somewhat?”

1VERY WELL RUN

2SOMEWHAT WELL RUN

3NEUTRAL – VOUNTEERED

4SOMEWHAT POORLY RUN

5VERY POORLY RUN

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

FAV

“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. First, ... how about ...

ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV2

FAV1“Boston Mayor Tom Menino?”

1FAVORABLE

2NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED

3UNFAVORABLE

98DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY

*99NA / REFUSED

FAV2“BostonCity Councilor Michael Flaherty?”

PRIM1

“Thinking back, did you happen to vote in the preliminary mayoral election on September 22?”

IF YES: “Who did you vote for … Tom Menino, Sam Yoon, Michael Flaherty, or Kevin McCrea?”

1MENINO

2YOON

3FLAHERTY

4McCREA

5DID NOT VOTE

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

ROTATE MEET1 AND MEET2

MEET1

“Have you, personally, ever met Mayor Menino?”

1YES

2NO

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

MEET2

“Have you, personally, ever met City Councilor Michael Flaherty?”

1YES

2NO

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

VOTEINT

“Let’s turn to politics for a minute. As you know, the election for Mayor of Boston is being held in November. How interested would you say you are in the Boston mayoral election ... extremely interested ... very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?”

1EXTREMELY INTERESTED

2VERY INTERESTED

3SOMEWHAT INTERESTED

4NOT VERY INTERESTED

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

LIKELY

"Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)

1I will probably NOT vote in the 2009 Boston Mayoral election,  SKIPTO EMAIL1

2I MAY vote in the Boston Mayoral election,

3Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the Mayoral election,

4I will DEFINITELY vote in the Mayoral election, or

5I just don't know at this time."  SKIPTO EMAIL1

*99NA/REFUSED  SKIPTO EMAIL1

ELECT1

“Have you definitely decided who you are going to vote for in the election for Mayor of Boston … are you leaning to a candidate … or have you considered the candidates and still trying to make up your mind?”

1DEFINITELY DECIDED

2LEANING TOWARD A CANDIDATE

3STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

ELECT2

“If the election for Boston Mayor were held today, which of the following would you vote for ... Tom Menino or Michael Flaherty?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

1TOM MENINO

2MICHAEL FLAHERTY

3OTHER CANDIDATE - VOLUNTEERED

97WILL NOT VOTE - VOLUNTEERED

98UNDECIDED / DK / NOT SURE

*99NA / REFUSED

ELECT3

“Michael Flaherty has proposed that Sam Yoon serve as his deputy mayor if he is elected. Does this political alliance make you more or less likely to vote for Flaherty or does this make little difference in your vote?”

1MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR FLAHERTY

2MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST FLAHERTY

3NO IMPACT

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

EMAIL1

“Mayor Menino’s administration has come under fire recently for deleting emails despite a state public records law that requires such emails be kept for at least two years. How closely have you followed this issue … very closely somewhat closely … not very closely … or not at all?”

1VERY CLOSELY

2SOMEWHAT CLOSELY

3NOT VERY CLOSELY

4NOT CLOSELY AT ALL

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

EMAIL2

“In your view, how important of an issue for the city of Boston do you think Menino’s compliance with public records law is … very important … somewhat important … not very important … or not important at all?”

1VERY IMPORTANT

2SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT

3NOT VERY IMPORTANT

4NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

SKIP NON-VOTERS TO CONTROL

EMAIL3

“Does the deletion of emails by Mayor Menino’s staff, and Menino’s handling of the issue make you more or less likely to vote for Menino, or does this make little difference in your vote?”

1MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR MENINO

2MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST MENINO

3NO IMPACT

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

CONTROL

“Over his 16 years in office, Mayor Menino has exerted tight control over development of buildings and neighborhoods in Boston. Would you say his involvement in development issues has made the city a better place to live for people like you … a worse place to live … or do you think his involvement in development makes little difference for people like you?”

1BETTER PLACE TO LIVE

2WORSE PLACE TO LIVE

3NO DIFFERENCE

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE

*99NA / REFUSED

SERVICE

“In the past year, have you requested specific help or services from the City of Boston, such as help fixing a pothole or addressing a neighborhood problem?

IF YES: “How would you rate the city’s performance in addressing your problem … excellent … good … fair … poor … or very poor?”

1EXCELLENT

2GOOD

3FAIR

4POOR

5VERY POOR

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE

*99NA / REFUSED

EDUC1

“Let’s turn to education. How would you rate the quality of education provided by Boston Public Schools … excellent … good … fair … poor … or very poor?”

1EXCELLENT

2GOOD

3FAIR

4POOR

5VERY POOR

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE / DEPENDS – PROBE: “Based on what you have seen or heard …”

*99NA / REFUSED

EDUC2

“How many of the persons who CURRENTLY live in your household are under 18 years of age, including babies and small children?”

0NONE  SKIP TO CLEAN1

1ONE

2TWO

3THREE

4FOUR

5FIVE

6SIX

7SEVEN OR MORE

98DK  SKIP TO CLEAN1

*99NA / REFUSED  SKIP TO CLEAN1

EDUC3

“Have you considered moving out of Boston to send your children to public schools in other communities?”

1YES

2NO

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE

*99NA / REFUSED

CLEAN1

“How would you rate the cleanliness of streets, parks, and public spaces in Boston? Would you say they are almost always clean and litter free … usually clean … seldom clean … or never clean and litter free?”

1ALMOST ALWAYS CLEAN

2USUALLY CLEAN

3SELDOM CLEAN

4NEVER CLEAN

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE – REPEAT QUESTION

*99NA / REFUSED

CRIME1

“Let’s think about crime and safety for a minute.”

“How safe do you feel walking around your neighborhood in the daytime? Very safe … somewhat safe … somewhat unsafe … or very unsafe?”

1VERY SAFE

2SOMEWHAT SAFE

3SOMEWHAT UNSFAE

4VERY UNSFAE

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE – REPEAT QUESTION

*99NA / REFUSED

CRIME2

“How safe do you feel walking around your neighborhood at night? Very safe … somewhat safe … somewhat unsafe … or very unsafe?”

1VERY SAFE

2SOMEWHAT SAFE

3SOMEWHAT UNSFAE

4VERY UNSFAE

98DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE – REPEAT QUESTION

*99NA / REFUSED

ZIPC

“Now, a few final questions . . .”

“What is your zip code?” ENTER 5-DIGIT ZIPCODE

99998DK DO NOT PROBE

99999NA / REFUSED

“What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you’ve completed and got credit for ...” [READ RESPONSES]

1“Eighth grade or less,

2Some high school,

3High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.)

4Technical school,

5Some college,

6College graduate,

7Or postgraduate work?”

98DK (DO NOT PROBE)

*99NA / REFUSED

“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?”

(IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?”

(IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?”

(IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?”

1STRONG DEMOCRAT

2NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT

3INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS

4INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER

5INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS

6NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN

7STRONG REPUBLICAN

98OTHER PARTY

*99DK / NA / REFUSED

“What is your current age?”

______

: : : : (RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45)

: : : :

96NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER

97REFUSED

98DK

*99NA

“How many years have you lived in Boston?”

IF “ALL MY LIFE” ASK – “About how many years is that?”

RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OF RESIDENCE

1ONE YEAR OR LESS

9696 YEARS OF MORE

97REFUSED

98DK

*99NA

“How many times have you moved in the past 5 years?”

0NONE / HAVE NOT MOVED IN LAST 5 YEARS

1ONE TIME

55 OR MORE TIMES

98DON'T KNOW

*99REFUSED

“Are you of Hispanic or Spanish origin?"

1YES

2NO

98DON'T KNOW

*99REFUSED

“Which of the following best describes your race? Is it ...White ... African-American ... Asian ... Native-American ... or some other race?”

1WHITE (CAUCASIAN)

2BLACK (AFRICAN-AMERICAN)

3HISPANIC

4ASIAN

5NATIVE AMERICAN

6OTHER – SPECIFY: ______

98DON’T KNOW

*99NO ANSWER/REFUSED

“Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?”

1ONE

2TWO

3THREE

4FOUR

5FIVE

6SIX

7SEVEN OR MORE

98DK

*99NA / REFUSED

“How much TOTAL income did you and your family receive in 2008, not just from wages or salaries but from ALL sources -- that is, before taxes and other deductions were made? Was it ... (READ CATEGORIES)

ANNUALMONTHLY EQUIVALENT

1Less than $15,000,LESS THAN $1,250

2$15,000 - $29,999,$1,250 - $2,499

3$30,000 - $44,999,$2,500 - $3,749

4$45,000 - $59,999,$3,750 - $4,999

5$60,000 - $74,999,$5,000 - $6,249

6$75,000 - $99,999, or$6,250 - $8,333

7$100,000 and over?”$8,334 AND OVER

97REFUSED

98DK

*99NA

D10

“Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”

1ONE

2TWO

3THREE

4FOUR

5FIVE

6SIX

7SEVEN OR MORE

8SURVEY DONE ON CELL PHONE – NO LAND LINE

98DK

*99NA / REFUSED

D11

“Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we’ve been talking about?”

1YES  “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ______

2NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)

99NA / REFUSED

“Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”

Tabular Results

City Regions

CBD to Allston Brighton = East Boston, Charlestown, North End, Downtown, Beacon Hill, Back Bay, Kenmore, Fenway, Allston Brighton

South End / South Boston

Southwest = Jamaica Plain, Hyde Park, Roslindale, West Roxbury

Southeast = Dorchester, Mattapan, Roxbury

"First of all ... there are many problems facing the City of Boston today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the City of Boston today?"

Crime/Qual ofTrans-Economy/Cost ofHighDon't

ViolenceSchoolsportationJobsHousingTaxesOtherKnow(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON24%19%7%14%3%2%28%3%554

Democrat25%22%6%17%4%1%25%2%353

Independent22%16%6%12%5%3%31%6%96

Republican26%14%5%6%1%7%35%5%74

Menino voter28%17%5%16%5%0%26%3%225

Flaherty voter18%26%6%15%4%3%28%2%139

Other voter12%23%0%0%7%0%58%0%12

Undecided voter12%37%9%7%2%2%27%3%59

Likely voter22%21%6%15%4%2%28%2%460

Nonlikely voter37%6%11%12%1%4%24%7%89

Male23%19%7%15%4%2%29%2%266

Female26%19%7%13%3%2%27%4%288

18 to 3431%16%16%9%1%2%21%4%117

35 to 4925%23%8%9%4%2%26%1%139

50 to 6422%19%1%17%5%1%32%3%154

65 and over22%16%4%17%2%4%28%6%104

White18%23%7%12%3%2%32%3%316

African American33%10%4%19%6%2%22%4%118

Hispanic40%12%14%15%3%0%14%2%46

Other25%21%5%9%3%4%32%1%48

High school or less36%8%6%20%4%2%20%4%147

Some college26%17%3%17%2%4%30%1%90

College graduate25%19%6%12%4%1%30%3%166

Postgraduate12%31%9%8%3%3%30%3%143

Less than $30K35%10%6%22%6%3%17%1%66

$30K to $60K19%16%12%16%2%4%29%2%75

$60K to $75K36%12%2%2%8%0%32%8%37

$75K to $100K11%18%6%28%1%4%30%2%36

More than $100K10%31%7%11%2%2%34%3%128

No children in HH25%17%7%14%3%2%29%4%364

One child24%11%8%14%4%6%30%2%86

Two or more children24%34%2%14%5%1%19%2%103

CBD to Allston/Brighton21%19%11%10%4%1%31%4%177

Southend S. Boston25%21%5%13%2%6%25%1%56

Southwest11%26%7%18%6%2%27%2%134

Southeast37%12%3%15%2%2%26%4%186

10 yrs or less in Boston17%16%14%9%3%2%36%3%146

11 to 20 years23%22%10%10%9%0%24%3%81

21 to 30 years31%26%4%14%3%0%18%3%94

More than 30 years28%18%2%17%2%4%26%3%219

Not moved in past 5 years22%21%4%17%3%3%26%3%324

Moved one time27%23%9%9%5%1%23%4%117

Moved 2 or more times26%11%10%8%3%0%39%2%60

Extremely interested21%23%3%16%6%1%27%2%159

Very interested27%20%3%15%3%3%27%2%202

Some/little interest25%13%14%11%2%2%28%5%184

"Do you think things in the City of Boston are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?"

RightWrongDon't

DirectionTrackKnow(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON62%29%9%550

Democrat65%25%10%353

Independent49%38%13%94

Republican59%37%3%73

Menino voter79%16%6%224

Flaherty voter42%44%14%140

Other voter53%47%0%12

Undecided voter69%17%13%59

Likely voter64%26%9%459

Nonlikely voter50%40%9%87

Male61%30%8%263

Female62%27%10%288

18 to 3464%21%14%115

35 to 4964%30%6%140

50 to 6458%33%10%155

65 and over64%25%11%104

White64%27%9%315

African American64%27%9%118

Hispanic53%38%9%46

Other53%35%12%47

High school or less61%28%11%145

Some college54%39%8%90

College graduate66%26%8%167

Postgraduate64%25%11%142

Less than $30K56%32%13%65

$30K to $60K57%32%11%75

$60K to $75K72%18%10%37

$75K to $100K62%33%5%37

More than $100K65%26%9%129

No children in HH62%28%11%361

One child56%35%9%85

Two or more children68%27%6%103

CBD to Allston/Brighton57%35%9%173

Southend S. Boston58%31%12%57

Southwest73%21%6%134

Southeast60%28%12%186

10 yrs or less in Boston65%22%14%144

11 to 20 years75%18%7%81

21 to 30 years55%40%5%93

More than 30 years60%30%10%219

Not moved in past 5 years62%29%9%321

Moved one time64%25%11%117

Moved 2 or more times64%33%4%59

Extremely interested61%31%8%156

Very interested67%27%6%202

Some/little interest57%29%14%183

"GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Menino (men NEE noh) is handling his job as Mayor?"

ApproveNeutralDisapprove(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON66%8%25%551

Democrat69%7%24%353

Independent55%16%29%94

Republican65%9%27%72

Menino voter95%3%2%226

Flaherty voter29%6%65%140

Other voter32%23%45%12

Undecided voter56%20%23%59

Likely voter67%7%26%462

Nonlikely voter62%18%19%85

Male67%8%25%265

Female66%8%25%286

18 to 3468%12%20%117

35 to 4966%9%25%138

50 to 6464%8%28%155

65 and over71%5%24%104

White61%8%31%317

African American79%6%15%117

Hispanic76%11%13%45

Other66%13%21%47

High school or less77%6%16%146

Some college57%11%31%89

College graduate67%8%25%167

Postgraduate61%9%30%143

Less than $30K83%7%10%65

$30K to $60K64%5%31%75

$60K to $75K72%1%27%37

$75K to $100K64%14%22%37

More than $100K63%7%31%128

No children in HH67%8%25%364

One child61%16%23%85

Two or more children69%5%26%102

CBD to Allston/Brighton59%10%30%176

Southend S. Boston54%8%38%58

Southwest72%5%24%133

Southeast73%9%17%184

10 yrs or less in Boston66%13%21%145

11 to 20 years77%5%17%81

21 to 30 years62%10%28%93

More than 30 years66%6%28%218

Not moved in past 5 years67%5%29%322

Moved one time67%13%20%117

Moved 2 or more times69%11%19%60

Extremely interested62%7%31%159

Very interested71%4%24%203

Some/little interest65%13%22%180

"How effective do you think Mayor Menino is at solving the problems that Boston faces ... very effective ... somewhat effective ... not very effective ... or not effective at all?"

VerySomewhatNot VeryNot At AllDon't

EffectiveEffectiveEffectiveEffectiveKnow(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON25%53%13%6%3%553

Democrat26%53%14%5%3%354

Independent17%52%14%12%5%95

Republican30%50%11%8%1%73

Menino voter45%51%1%1%2%227

Flaherty voter4%48%34%14%0%140

Other voter7%44%24%17%8%12

Undecided voter11%71%12%1%6%59

Likely voter25%54%13%6%2%464

Nonlikely voter22%47%12%11%8%86

Male23%53%14%8%2%267

Female26%52%13%5%4%286

18 to 3418%62%13%1%5%116

35 to 4924%50%16%5%5%139

50 to 6424%51%13%10%2%155

65 and over32%51%10%5%2%104

White20%55%16%8%2%318

African American30%52%10%5%3%118

Hispanic42%34%16%0%8%46

Other29%57%5%5%4%47

High school or less37%41%12%7%2%147

Some college16%59%16%7%2%90

College graduate28%56%9%4%3%167

Postgraduate14%57%17%7%5%144

Less than $30K33%47%14%7%0%65

$30K to $60K24%49%15%12%0%75

$60K to $75K43%35%10%4%7%37

$75K to $100K19%69%10%0%2%37

More than $100K14%61%16%7%1%129

No children in HH23%53%14%7%4%364

One child24%59%11%4%2%86

Two or more children32%47%12%7%2%103

CBD to Allston/Brighton20%54%16%6%4%176

Southend S. Boston21%43%17%17%2%57

Southwest23%57%14%4%2%134

Southeast31%51%9%5%4%187

10 yrs or less in Boston18%60%12%4%6%145

11 to 20 years27%58%9%3%3%82

21 to 30 years23%49%16%9%2%93

More than 30 years29%49%13%7%2%219

Not moved in past 5 years26%53%12%7%2%324

Moved one time22%59%10%6%3%117

Moved 2 or more times19%47%21%7%6%60

Extremely interested34%46%12%6%1%159

Very interested26%55%12%6%1%203

Some/little interest14%58%16%7%6%182

MoreMore

LikelyLikely VoteNoDon’t

Vote ForAgainstImpactKnow(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON21%39%36%4%552

Democrat24%36%38%2%352

Independent13%49%32%7%96

Republican21%44%33%2%74

Likely voter22%40%35%3%461

Nonlikely voter16%32%45%7%87

Menino voter42%11%44%3%225

Flaherty voter0%82%16%1%140

Other voter7%68%25%0%12

Undecided voter7%47%40%7%59

Male19%41%37%2%266

Female23%37%36%5%286

18 to 3415%42%39%4%117

35 to 4920%38%39%2%138

50 to 6419%41%36%5%154

65 and over31%33%32%3%104

White15%46%36%3%319

African American33%26%35%5%118

Hispanic31%22%44%3%45

Other26%43%31%0%46

High school or less36%24%36%4%144

Some college16%43%40%1%90

College graduate22%41%32%5%167

Postgraduate8%48%42%2%144

Less than $30K31%20%41%7%66

$30K to $60K29%40%30%1%76

$60K to $75K21%35%44%0%37

$75K to $100K18%34%45%3%37

More than $100K9%53%35%2%129

No children in HH19%40%37%4%364

One child27%38%32%3%86

Two or more children23%35%40%2%102

CBD to Allston/Brighton22%49%25%4%176

Southend S. Boston9%44%45%2%57

Southwest15%36%45%4%133

Southeast29%29%39%3%186

10 yrs or less in Boston13%40%40%6%148

11 to 20 years23%38%39%0%80

21 to 30 years16%48%32%4%93

More than 30 years27%34%37%2%218

Not moved in past 5 years23%40%34%3%321

Moved one time20%33%43%4%117

Moved 2 or more times14%43%38%6%61

Extremely interested22%37%39%1%159

Very interested23%40%32%4%201

Some/little interest17%40%40%4%184

"Based on what you have seen or heard, do you think the City of Boston is well run or poorly run?"

"Is that very or only somewhat?"

VerySomewhatSomewhatVeryDon't

Well RunWell RunNeutralPoorly Run Poorly RunKnow(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON23%33%15%15%11%2%553

Democrat26%35%11%18%9%1%352

Independent19%26%20%9%20%6%95

Republican22%32%19%11%15%1%74

Menino voter42%37%11%4%4%2%224

Flaherty voter2%24%16%33%23%2%140

Other voter7%12%0%64%17%0%12

Undecided voter12%51%17%11%7%2%59

Likely voter25%33%14%16%10%2%460

Nonlikely voter15%33%18%12%18%3%89

Male24%33%13%15%13%2%264

Female23%33%16%15%11%2%290

18 to 3418%41%11%17%10%3%118

35 to 4921%32%16%18%13%1%141

50 to 6426%33%15%12%13%1%151

65 and over27%34%14%9%12%4%104

White24%36%12%14%12%2%318

African American27%29%14%19%9%1%117

Hispanic25%24%14%18%18%1%47

Other16%31%33%10%10%0%47

High school or less25%33%18%12%12%0%146

Some college17%31%17%20%13%2%90

College graduate28%31%9%15%14%3%168

Postgraduate21%40%15%15%7%2%142

Less than $30K24%28%16%16%12%4%66

$30K to $60K24%27%11%13%21%4%74

$60K to $75K36%35%3%20%6%0%37

$75K to $100K21%37%13%24%5%0%37

More than $100K20%39%11%18%12%0%128

No children in HH23%36%15%14%10%3%366

One child21%25%13%19%23%0%84

Two or more children27%32%14%17%9%1%102

CBD to Allston/Brighton21%29%14%17%16%3%177

Southend S. Boston24%30%10%15%20%0%58

Southwest29%36%13%13%7%1%132

Southeast21%37%17%15%8%2%187

10 yrs or less in Boston18%36%15%16%11%2%147

11 to 20 years27%38%18%10%5%1%82

21 to 30 years26%23%20%21%9%1%92

More than 30 years25%35%10%12%15%3%218

Not moved in past 5 years26%30%15%15%11%2%322

Moved one time16%42%16%12%11%2%117

Moved 2 or more times19%34%11%21%12%3%61

Extremely interested28%28%15%14%13%2%159

Very interested26%35%14%16%7%2%201

Some/little interest17%37%14%16%15%1%184
"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you have never heard of him or her. First, how about ... Boston Mayor Tom Menino."

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON69%7%22%1%554

Democrat72%9%19%0%354

Independent57%4%36%3%95

Republican74%4%21%1%73

Menino voter96%3%1%0%227

Flaherty voter33%6%61%0%139

Other voter41%18%41%0%12

Undecided voter67%18%14%1%59

Likely voter70%7%22%0%461

Nonlikely voter67%8%22%3%89

Male72%6%22%0%266

Female67%9%22%1%288

18 to 3474%4%23%0%117

35 to 4965%10%23%2%140

50 to 6466%7%26%0%155

65 and over78%6%14%2%104

White66%8%26%1%317

African American76%8%16%0%118

Hispanic74%6%17%4%47

Other72%3%24%1%48

High school or less78%5%17%1%147

Some college63%12%24%1%89

College graduate71%7%22%1%168

Postgraduate65%8%27%1%143

Less than $30K84%6%9%1%65

$30K to $60K59%11%28%2%76

$60K to $75K74%2%23%0%37

$75K to $100K78%7%15%0%37

More than $100K68%5%26%0%129

No children in HH70%8%21%1%365

One child63%9%28%0%86

Two or more children73%5%21%0%103

CBD to Allston/Brighton67%5%27%1%176

Southend S. Boston52%12%35%1%58

Southwest73%8%18%1%133

Southeast75%7%17%1%187

10 yrs or less in Boston74%8%18%0%145

11 to 20 years76%4%18%1%82

21 to 30 years64%4%30%2%94

More than 30 years68%9%22%1%219

Not moved in past 5 years70%7%21%1%324

Moved one time73%8%18%0%117

Moved 2 or more times65%5%28%1%61

Extremely interested70%6%24%0%158

Very interested72%5%22%1%203

Some/little interest65%10%23%1%184

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you have never heard of him or her. First, how about ... BostonCity Councilor Michael Flaherty."

FavorableNeutralUnfavorableDK(N=)

CITY OF BOSTON50%15%16%19%556

Democrat49%16%17%18%356

Independent58%9%15%17%95

Republican47%18%11%25%74

Menino voter37%18%27%18%227

Flaherty voter81%6%4%9%140

Other voter48%12%33%7%12

Undecided voter46%24%9%21%59

Likely voter53%15%17%15%463

Nonlikely voter31%17%11%41%89

Male52%11%19%18%267

Female48%18%14%21%289

18 to 3454%17%8%21%118

35 to 4945%16%11%28%141

50 to 6457%10%18%15%155

65 and over40%15%28%17%104

White57%15%13%15%319

African American41%16%18%25%118

Hispanic23%12%23%42%47

Other48%8%26%18%48

High school or less39%12%20%28%148

Some college56%13%13%18%90

College graduate53%16%16%16%168

Postgraduate54%17%14%15%144

Less than $30K37%12%15%36%66

$30K to $60K49%10%19%21%76