Table S1. Sensibility of IUCN polygons, and sensibility and overprediction of suitability models based on such polygons.

Species / Sensibility of the IUCN polygon (number of effective occurrence localities) / Selected threshold for suitability model / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon, after trimming by ecoregions with at least two locality of occurrence
AMPHIBIANS
Ceratophrys cranwelli / 0.87 (55) / 0.5 / 0.73 / 12% / 0.96 / 12%
Chacophrys pierottii / 0.93 (15) / 0.9 / 0.53 / 10% / 0.93 / 10%
Hypsiboas cordobae / 0.78 (40) / 0.5 / 0.58 / 20% / 0.85 / 20%
Lepidobatrachus asper / 0.61 (31) / 0.3 / 0.68 / 138% / 0.81 / 19%
Lepidobatrachus laevis / 0.81 (36) / 0.1 / 0.86 / 188% / 1.00 / 4%
Lepidobatrachus llanensis / 0.85 (40) / 0.1 / 0.58 / 96% / 0.93 / 26%
Leptodactylus bufonius / 0.90 (156) / 0.1 / 0.87 / 58% / 0.96 / 31%
Leptodactylus chaquensis / 0.84 (209) / 0.3 / 0.77 / 45% / 0.88 / 1%
Leptodactylus laticeps / 0.80 (25) / 0.3 / 0.60 / 6% / 0.80 / 6%
Melanophryniscus cupreuscapularis / 1.00 (1) / -- / -- / -- / -- / --
Melanophryniscus klappenbachi / 1.00 (1) / -- / -- / -- / -- / --

Table S1 (cont.).

Species / Sensibility of the IUCN polygon (number of effective occurrence localities) / Selected threshold for suitability model / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon, after trimming by ecoregions with at least two locality of occurrence
Melanophryniscus paraguayensis / 1.00 (3) / 0.5 / 1.00 / 5% / 1.00 / 5%
Odontophrynus cordobae / 0.73 (11) / 0.01 / 0.73 / 0.4% / 0.73 / 0.4%
Odontophrynus lavillai / 1.00 (15) / 0.5 / 0.53 / 5% / 1.00 / 5%
Phyllomedusa sauvagii / 0.90 (82) / 0.01 / 0.93 / 253% / 0.93 / 31%
Physalaemus cuqui / 0.95 (20) / 0.9 / 0.45 / 52% / 0.95 / 16%
Pleurodema guayapae / 0.71 (17) / 0.1 / 0.76 / 33% / 0.76 / 33%
Pleurodema tucumanum / 0.95 (40) / 0.9 / 0.18 / 0% / 0.95 / 0%
Lysapsus limellum / 0.48 (61) / 0.9 / 0.39 / 0.2% / 0.48 / 0.2%
Rhinella bergi / 1.00 (11) / 0.9 / 0.36 / 0.1% / 1.00 / 0.1%
Scinax acuminatus / 0.97 (90) / 0.5 / 0.66 / 28% / 0.99 / 7%

Table S1 (cont.).

Species / Sensibility of the IUCN polygon (number of effective occurrence localities) / Selected threshold for suitability model / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon, after trimming by ecoregions with at least two localities of occurrence
BIRDS
Aratinga nenday / 0.63 (104) / 0.1 / 0.83 / 86% / 0.88 / 86%
Campephilus leucopogon / 0.74 (136) / 0.01 / 0.53 / 28% / 0.79 / 28%
Chunga burmeisteri / 0.77 (84) / 0.1 / 0.74 / 25% / 0.90 / 25%
Coryphistera alaudina / 0.91 (170) / 0.3 / 0.65 / 31% / 0.96 / 31%
Eudromia formosa / 0.68 (53) / 0.1 / 0.58 / 21% / 0.77 / 21%
Furnarius cristatus / 0.77 (99) / 0.2 / 0.71 / 11% / 0.86 / 11%
Hylatomus schulzii / 0.97 (29) / 0.1 / 0.62 / 36% / 1.00 / 36%
Knipolegus striaticeps / 0.79 (66) / 0.1 / 0.64 / 23% / 0.82 / 23%
Lophospingus pusillus / 0.66 (41) / 0.1 / 0.85 / 25% / 0.85 / 25%
Melanopareia maximiliani / 0.61 (64) / 0.1 / 0.23 / 13% / 0.69 / 13%
Nothura chacoensis / 0.80 (5) / 0.1 / 0.60 / 5% / 0.80 / 5%
Ortalis canicollis / 0.75 (267) / 0.1 / 0.70 / 36% / 0.82 / 31%

Table S1 (cont.).

Species / Sensibility of the IUCN polygon (number of effective occurrence localities) / Selected threshold for suitability model / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon, after trimming by ecoregions with at least two localities of occurrence
Paroaria capitata / 0.84 (232) / 0.1 / 0.45 / 33% / 0.88 / 33%
Phacellodomus sibilatrix / 0.77 (81) / 0.5 / 0.53 / 27% / 0.83 / 27%
Poospiza melanoleuca / 0.80 (298) / 0.5 / 0.49 / 28% / 0.83 / 28%
Pseudocolopteryx dinelliana / 0.80 (15) / 0.5 / 0.73 / 7% / 0.87 / 7%
Rhinocrypta lanceolata / 0.73 (100) / 0.3 / 0.55 / 25% / 0.81 / 25%
Rhynchospiza strigiceps / 0.71 (73) / 0.3 / 0.56 / 37% / 0.90 / 37%
Saltatricula multicolor / 0.78 (117) / 0.01 / 0.46 / 13% / 0.81 / 13%
Strix chacoensis / 0.71 (21) / 0.01 / 0.71 / 21% / 0.71 / 21%
Tarphonomus certhioides / 0.91 (89) / 0.2 / 0.61 / 35% / 0.96 / 35%
Xiphocolaptes major / 0.87 (149) / 0.2 / 0.75 / 39% / 0.90 / 13%

Table S1 (cont.).

Species / Sensibility of the IUCN polygon (number of effective occurrence localities) / Selected threshold for suitability model / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon, after trimming by ecoregions with at least two localities of occurrence
MAMMALS
Akodon toba / 0.64 (28) / 0.1 / 0.57 / 12% / 0.64 / 12%
Andalgalomys pearsoni / 0.83 (12) / 0.5 / 0.83 / 0% / 0.83 / 0%
Cabassous chacoensis / 0.76 (21) / 0.1 / 0.76 / 0.1% / 0.76 / 0.1%
Calyptophractus retusus / 0.53 (19) / 0.3 / 0.53 / 22% / 0.63 / 22%
Catagonus wagneri / 0.70 (33) / 0.1 / 0.64 / 14% / 0.82 / 14%
Chacodelphis formosa / 0.80 (5) / 0.1 / 0.60 / 207% / 1.00 / 207%
Ctenomys argentinus / 0.75 (16) / 0.1 / 0.69 / 194% / 0.88 / 194%
Ctenomys bergi / 1.00 (9) / 0.1 / 1.00 / 0% / 1.00 / 0%
Ctenomys bonettoi / 0.40 (5) / 0.3 / 0.40 / 0% / 0.40 / 0%
Ctenomys conoveri / 0.73 (15) / 0.1 / 0.47 / 46% / 0.80 / 46%
Ctenomys fochi / 1.00 (1) / -- / -- / -- / -- / --
Ctenomys occultus / 0.33 (6) / 0.1 / 0.50 / 184% / 0.50 / 184%
Graomys chacoensis / 1.00 (18) / 0.01 / 0.94 / 102% / 1.00 / 29%

Tabla 1

Species / Sensibility of the IUCN polygon (number of effective occurrence localities) / Selected threshold for suitability model / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold / Sensibility of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon / Overprediction of suitability model at selected threshold plus the IUCN polygon, after trimming by ecoregions with at least two localities of occurrence
Holochilus chacarius / 0.67 (75) / 0.1 / 0.60 / 45% / 0.68 / 45%
Pediolagus salinicola / 0.82 (74) / 0.1 / 0.86 / 15% / 0.86 / 15%
Salinoctomys loschalchalerosorum / 1.00 (1) / -- / -- / -- / -- / --
Thylamys pulchellus / 0.65 (17) / 0.1 / 0.76 / 67% / 0.76 / 56%
Thylamys pusillus / 0.85 (26) / 0.1 / 0.96 / 47% / 0.96 / 47%
Tolypeutes matacus / 0.77 (125) / 0.1 / 0.84 / 45% / 0.84 / 27%