Review 2 2005.1.13

Chapter 5, 6

Random Variables, Discrete Probability Function and Continuous Probability Density

Expected Value and Variance of Random Variable

Binomial Probability Distribution Function, Poisson Probability Distribution Function and Hypergeometric Probability Distribution Function

Uniform Probability Density Function, Normal Probability Density Function, and Exponential Probability Density Function:

Chapter 7:

Compute the standard error and the probability of the sample mean or the sample proportion within some range.

Different sampling methods.

Example 1:

The probability density function for a continuous random variable X is

Please find (a) k(b) (c) and

[solution:]

(a)

Thus,

(b)

(c)

.

Since

,

.

Example 2:

Twenty percent of the applications received for a particular position are rejected. What is the probability that among the next fourteen applications,

(a) none will be rejected?

(b) all will be rejected?

(c) less than 2 will be rejected?

(d) more than one will be rejected?

(e) Determine the expected number of rejected applications and its variance.

[solution:]

Let X represent the number of rejections among the next fourteen applications. Then, the distribution function of X is

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

Example 3:

A new automated production process has been averaging 2 breakdown per 8 hours of operation. Assume the number of breakdowns follows a Poisson probability distribution.

(a) What is the mean time between breakdown and the distribution for the time between breakdowns?

(b) What is the probability that the process will run one hour or more before another breakdown?

(c) What is the probability that the process can run a full 8-hour shift without a breakdown?

[solution:]

(a)

.

Then, the time between breakdowns is exponentially distributed with probability density function

.

(b)

[method 1:]

Let Y be the random variable representing the time between breakdowns with exponential probability density.

.

[method 2:]

Let X be the random variable representing the number of breakdowns within 1 hour. Then,

(c)

[method 1:]

.

[method 2:]

Let S be the random variable representing the number of breakdowns within 8 hour. Then, .

Example4:

Let . Compute (a) (b) (c) (d) .

[solution:]

Since , then .

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

Example5:

A bank has kept records of the checking balances of its customers and determined that the average daily balance of its customers is $300 with a standard deviation of $48. A random sample of 144 checking accounts is selected.

a.What is the probability that the sample mean will be more than $306.60?

b.What is the probability that the sample mean will be less than $308?

c.What is the probability that the sample mean will be between $302 and

$308?

  1. What is the probability that the sample mean will be at least $296?

e. How large of a sample needs to be taken to provide a 0.4015 probability that thesample mean will be between $300 and$304?

[solution:]

Since ,

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

(e)

Example6:

In a university, 10% of the students live in the dormitories. A random sample of 100 students is selected for a particular study.

(a)What is the probability that the sample proportion (the proportion living in the dormitories) is between 0.172 and 0.178?

(b)What is the probability that the sample proportion (the proportion living in the dormitories) is greater than 0.025?

[solution:]

(a)

(b)

1