Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.
ILLINOISMSA Indices & Forecast /
Release
2/15/2014 / data
May 2004 / Dec2013 / Issue
2014.2 /
*When figures dropping zero represents that MSAs are doing worse than Chicago; when figures rising above zero represents that MSAs are doing better than Chicago.
- From early 2007 to early 2009, All MSAs performed better than Chicago.
- However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, these MSAs generally performed worse than Chicago,except Bloomington-Normal performed better than Chicago.
- After December 2012,MSAs performed worse than Chicago.
- According to the forecast forDecember2014, MSA Bloomington, Kankakeeand Peoriaare likely to performworsethan Chicagoby then. All the other MSAs will compare favorably to Chicago.
Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – December 2013)
Current / 84.201 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 88.26 / 96.16 / 104.97
Forecast / 80.90 / 78.20 / 85.95 / ~ / 92.04
Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:
- Compared to last month, Bloomington-Normal lost by movingdown4positions reaching the 9th place of the rank.
- In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normaldropped 1 position reaching the 8th place of the rank.
Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – December 2013)
Current / 105.221 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 101.81 / 96.02 / 92.04
Forecast / 110.43 / 111.65 / 102.06 / ~ / 116.74
Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:
- Compared to last month, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul lostby movingdown4positionsreaching the 10thplacein the rank.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved down 5 positionsreaching the 7thplace of the rank.
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – December 2013)
Current / 98.491 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 97.54 / 95.54 / 94.23
Forecast / 99.48 / 99.49 / 92.35 / ~ / 108.82
Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:
- Compared to last month, Davenport-Rock Island-Molinegained by moving up5 positions reaching the5th place in the rank.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline moved up2 positions reaching the 3rdplace in the rank.
Decatur (Reference Month – December 2013)
Current / 85.921 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 86.67 / 87.21 / 96.89
Forecast / 85.58 / 87.98 / 93.96 / ~ / 127.12
Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate
- Compared to the previous month, Decatur gained 2 positions reaching the 1st place in the rank.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Decaturremained in the 10th place in the rank.
Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month –December 2013)
Current / 94.941 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 92.42 / 87.95 / 89.08
Forecast / 99.75 / 95.09 / 85.82 / ~ / 96.34
Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate
- Kankakee– Bradleydropped 7 positions reaching the 8th place in the rank of the monthly growth league table.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley moved down 1 position reachingthe5th positionof the rank.
Peoria (Reference Month – December 2013)
Current / 88.451 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 89.26 / 90.60 / 96.49
Forecast / 87.02 / 86.21 / 76.92 / ~ / 94.47
Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate
- Compared to last month, Peoriamoved up5 positions reaching the 3rd placeof the rank.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Peoriamoved up 3 positions reaching the6thplace in the rank.
Rockford (Reference Month – December 2013)
Current / 97.451 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 97.34 / 96.96 / 92.95
Forecast / 97.51 / 97.80 / 96.83 / ~ / 112.06
Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate
- Rockfordmoved down2 positions reaching the 6thplace of the rank.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Rockford moved up2 positions reaching the4thplace ofthe rank.
Springfield (Reference Month –December 2013)
Current / 108.501 Month / 3 Month / 1 Year
Historical / 102.02 / 92.06 / 88.89
Forecast / 115.13 / 125.22 / 98.72 / ~ / 110.67
Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate
- Compared to last month, Springfield moved down 5 positions reachingthe7th place of the rank.
- In the 12 months growth league table, Springfield moved up 1 position to the 2ndplace in the rank.
Notes:
MSA Indices series are available in the appendix
Appendix
B-N / C-U / D-RI-M / Decatur / Peoria / Rockford / Springfield / K-BMay-04 / 79.93 / 111.90 / 96.49 / 84.01 / 86.89 / 96.55 / 117.81 / 97.76
Jun-04 / 80.56 / 111.76 / 96.62 / 86.90 / 87.33 / 97.48 / 115.29 / 99.29
Jul-04 / 81.42 / 111.23 / 96.88 / 89.61 / 87.75 / 98.41 / 112.67 / 100.72
Aug-04 / 82.60 / 110.14 / 97.34 / 91.78 / 88.04 / 99.17 / 109.94 / 101.92
Sep-04 / 84.04 / 108.47 / 98.21 / 93.39 / 88.48 / 99.69 / 107.44 / 102.79
Oct-04 / 85.81 / 106.87 / 99.37 / 94.75 / 89.01 / 100.02 / 105.60 / 103.32
Nov-04 / 87.89 / 105.52 / 100.70 / 95.68 / 89.79 / 100.32 / 104.71 / 103.55
Dec-04 / 89.77 / 104.40 / 102.09 / 96.21 / 91.21 / 100.73 / 104.98 / 103.59
Jan-05 / 91.08 / 103.62 / 103.10 / 96.86 / 93.31 / 101.24 / 106.14 / 103.48
Feb-05 / 91.72 / 103.28 / 103.83 / 97.71 / 95.67 / 101.84 / 107.65 / 103.25
Mar-05 / 91.38 / 103.35 / 104.38 / 98.33 / 97.88 / 102.49 / 108.81 / 103.17
Apr-05 / 90.37 / 103.87 / 104.98 / 99.22 / 99.68 / 103.23 / 109.43 / 103.34
May-05 / 89.38 / 104.44 / 105.54 / 100.29 / 100.76 / 103.94 / 109.45 / 103.52
Jun-05 / 88.87 / 104.91 / 106.02 / 101.46 / 101.25 / 104.52 / 108.77 / 103.87
Jul-05 / 88.76 / 105.16 / 106.58 / 102.93 / 101.28 / 104.92 / 107.91 / 104.41
Aug-05 / 88.91 / 105.23 / 106.98 / 104.78 / 101.12 / 105.24 / 106.98 / 105.03
Sep-05 / 89.38 / 105.23 / 107.27 / 106.85 / 100.91 / 105.59 / 106.17 / 105.65
Oct-05 / 89.92 / 105.49 / 107.31 / 108.60 / 100.76 / 106.02 / 106.01 / 106.33
Nov-05 / 90.57 / 106.13 / 107.36 / 110.01 / 100.86 / 106.56 / 106.46 / 106.89
Dec-05 / 91.02 / 107.09 / 107.81 / 111.85 / 101.37 / 107.26 / 106.85 / 107.43
Jan-06 / 91.34 / 108.05 / 108.47 / 114.23 / 102.40 / 108.07 / 107.14 / 107.94
Feb-06 / 91.28 / 108.68 / 109.12 / 116.63 / 103.60 / 108.85 / 107.26 / 108.38
Mar-06 / 90.52 / 108.79 / 109.65 / 117.36 / 104.61 / 109.57 / 106.97 / 108.62
Apr-06 / 89.41 / 108.27 / 110.08 / 117.12 / 105.35 / 110.30 / 106.56 / 108.65
May-06 / 88.16 / 107.67 / 110.72 / 116.42 / 106.09 / 111.05 / 106.36 / 108.73
Jun-06 / 87.10 / 107.00 / 111.35 / 116.15 / 106.84 / 111.74 / 106.22 / 109.07
Jul-06 / 86.57 / 106.02 / 111.45 / 116.47 / 107.63 / 112.31 / 106.04 / 109.71
Aug-06 / 86.54 / 104.80 / 111.78 / 117.36 / 108.68 / 112.82 / 106.18 / 110.57
Sep-06 / 86.94 / 103.43 / 112.64 / 118.56 / 110.13 / 113.39 / 106.81 / 111.57
Oct-06 / 87.67 / 102.15 / 113.97 / 119.67 / 111.81 / 114.04 / 108.16 / 112.70
Nov-06 / 88.59 / 101.17 / 115.04 / 120.10 / 113.70 / 114.80 / 109.61 / 113.96
Dec-06 / 89.50 / 100.73 / 114.75 / 119.92 / 115.63 / 115.70 / 111.15 / 115.37
Jan-07 / 90.48 / 100.95 / 113.84 / 119.20 / 117.16 / 116.68 / 112.33 / 116.96
Feb-07 / 91.44 / 102.13 / 112.97 / 118.08 / 118.02 / 117.68 / 113.16 / 118.12
Mar-07 / 92.17 / 104.12 / 112.50 / 117.09 / 118.49 / 118.69 / 113.68 / 118.57
Apr-07 / 92.92 / 106.79 / 112.53 / 116.17 / 118.69 / 119.52 / 114.02 / 118.55
May-07 / 93.78 / 109.51 / 113.17 / 115.07 / 118.80 / 120.10 / 114.13 / 118.36
Jun-07 / 94.71 / 111.89 / 114.15 / 113.69 / 118.61 / 120.26 / 113.90 / 118.18
Jul-07 / 95.99 / 113.66 / 115.15 / 112.39 / 118.12 / 120.07 / 113.09 / 117.89
Aug-07 / 97.64 / 114.79 / 115.75 / 111.22 / 117.50 / 119.66 / 111.98 / 117.26
Sep-07 / 99.77 / 114.98 / 115.38 / 110.21 / 117.20 / 119.11 / 111.06 / 116.24
Oct-07 / 102.01 / 114.42 / 114.67 / 109.22 / 117.37 / 118.49 / 110.36 / 115.17
Nov-07 / 104.29 / 113.65 / 114.36 / 108.63 / 117.82 / 117.94 / 110.02 / 114.48
Dec-07 / 106.32 / 113.28 / 114.54 / 108.67 / 118.35 / 117.31 / 110.07 / 114.36
Jan-08 / 107.68 / 113.45 / 114.99 / 109.01 / 118.69 / 116.65 / 110.57 / 114.79
Feb-08 / 107.90 / 114.02 / 115.37 / 109.18 / 118.56 / 115.89 / 110.95 / 115.81
Mar-08 / 107.28 / 114.99 / 115.48 / 108.96 / 117.99 / 115.01 / 111.25 / 116.25
Apr-08 / 106.35 / 116.29 / 115.50 / 108.64 / 117.25 / 113.94 / 111.76 / 115.67
May-08 / 105.35 / 117.87 / 115.44 / 108.45 / 116.63 / 112.72 / 112.42 / 114.15
Jun-08 / 104.44 / 119.40 / 115.13 / 108.33 / 116.12 / 111.44 / 113.06 / 112.24
Jul-08 / 103.95 / 120.73 / 114.70 / 108.25 / 115.87 / 110.18 / 113.39 / 110.17
Aug-08 / 103.91 / 121.48 / 114.08 / 108.28 / 115.80 / 108.88 / 113.28 / 107.96
Sep-08 / 104.36 / 121.45 / 113.25 / 107.80 / 115.53 / 107.30 / 112.81 / 105.66
Oct-08 / 105.65 / 120.44 / 112.07 / 106.95 / 114.60 / 105.34 / 111.99 / 103.76
Nov-08 / 107.37 / 118.18 / 110.56 / 105.49 / 112.72 / 102.93 / 110.99 / 102.48
Dec-08 / 109.38 / 114.65 / 108.70 / 103.26 / 109.85 / 100.13 / 109.31 / 101.44
Jan-09 / 110.97 / 110.39 / 106.29 / 100.07 / 106.14 / 97.16 / 106.60 / 100.56
Feb-09 / 111.65 / 105.72 / 103.35 / 96.64 / 101.94 / 94.35 / 103.26 / 99.86
Mar-09 / 111.64 / 101.50 / 100.23 / 94.51 / 97.63 / 91.92 / 99.76 / 99.55
Apr-09 / 111.34 / 98.09 / 97.42 / 93.28 / 94.14 / 90.01 / 96.93 / 99.63
May-09 / 111.48 / 95.30 / 94.96 / 92.64 / 91.63 / 88.68 / 94.54 / 99.97
Jun-09 / 112.09 / 93.30 / 92.81 / 92.28 / 89.84 / 87.90 / 92.58 / 100.33
Jul-09 / 112.80 / 92.07 / 91.21 / 91.85 / 88.71 / 87.60 / 91.19 / 100.70
Aug-09 / 112.96 / 91.39 / 90.18 / 90.96 / 88.10 / 87.64 / 90.48 / 100.85
Sep-09 / 112.35 / 91.07 / 89.77 / 89.58 / 87.85 / 87.80 / 90.08 / 100.87
Oct-09 / 111.38 / 90.81 / 89.59 / 88.22 / 87.84 / 87.91 / 89.68 / 100.57
Nov-09 / 110.56 / 90.69 / 89.38 / 87.09 / 88.07 / 87.90 / 89.30 / 99.62
Dec-09 / 110.14 / 90.81 / 89.03 / 86.22 / 88.45 / 87.90 / 89.04 / 98.27
Jan-10 / 110.50 / 91.37 / 88.56 / 86.25 / 88.67 / 87.95 / 89.27 / 96.87
Feb-10 / 111.61 / 92.22 / 88.17 / 87.60 / 89.04 / 88.26 / 89.91 / 95.65
Mar-10 / 113.04 / 92.80 / 88.01 / 89.94 / 90.16 / 88.82 / 91.08 / 95.10
Apr-10 / 114.37 / 92.80 / 87.75 / 92.92 / 91.71 / 89.45 / 92.56 / 95.04
May-10 / 115.33 / 92.28 / 87.26 / 95.55 / 93.22 / 90.06 / 94.00 / 95.18
Jun-10 / 115.98 / 91.37 / 86.76 / 97.23 / 94.54 / 90.59 / 95.15 / 94.81
Jul-10 / 116.29 / 90.47 / 86.49 / 97.79 / 95.43 / 90.98 / 95.97 / 93.98
Aug-10 / 116.42 / 89.95 / 86.27 / 97.94 / 95.86 / 91.29 / 96.10 / 92.95
Sep-10 / 116.34 / 89.75 / 86.03 / 97.87 / 96.08 / 91.56 / 95.72 / 92.04
Oct-10 / 115.72 / 89.80 / 85.79 / 97.98 / 96.18 / 91.88 / 94.91 / 91.02
Nov-10 / 114.04 / 89.83 / 85.59 / 98.38 / 95.84 / 92.25 / 93.87 / 89.90
Dec-10 / 111.57 / 89.97 / 85.76 / 98.36 / 94.89 / 92.50 / 92.77 / 88.93
Jan-11 / 108.77 / 90.22 / 86.29 / 97.45 / 93.60 / 92.55 / 91.72 / 88.02
Feb-11 / 106.90 / 90.64 / 87.11 / 96.13 / 92.51 / 92.28 / 91.03 / 87.43
Mar-11 / 106.89 / 90.96 / 88.29 / 95.32 / 91.82 / 91.81 / 90.85 / 87.32
Apr-11 / 107.83 / 91.05 / 89.63 / 95.29 / 91.56 / 91.27 / 90.81 / 87.38
May-11 / 108.82 / 90.96 / 90.60 / 96.06 / 91.54 / 90.71 / 91.01 / 87.54
Jun-11 / 109.26 / 90.83 / 91.17 / 97.31 / 91.92 / 90.28 / 91.75 / 87.84
Jul-11 / 108.97 / 90.59 / 91.34 / 98.64 / 92.66 / 90.04 / 92.69 / 88.12
Aug-11 / 108.03 / 90.35 / 91.25 / 99.28 / 93.54 / 89.89 / 93.66 / 88.58
Sep-11 / 106.33 / 90.30 / 91.11 / 99.89 / 94.12 / 89.88 / 94.20 / 89.36
Oct-11 / 104.27 / 90.41 / 90.98 / 100.41 / 94.56 / 89.98 / 94.17 / 90.41
Nov-11 / 102.38 / 90.44 / 90.86 / 100.95 / 95.14 / 90.16 / 93.67 / 91.42
Dec-11 / 101.17 / 90.17 / 90.86 / 101.74 / 96.06 / 90.40 / 92.99 / 92.36
Jan-12 / 100.62 / 89.55 / 91.38 / 102.58 / 97.45 / 90.77 / 92.39 / 93.15
Feb-12 / 100.74 / 88.81 / 92.44 / 103.34 / 98.98 / 91.26 / 91.86 / 93.62
Mar-12 / 101.53 / 87.97 / 93.63 / 103.64 / 100.38 / 91.80 / 91.35 / 93.54
Apr-12 / 102.64 / 86.96 / 94.46 / 102.17 / 101.30 / 92.33 / 90.70 / 93.01
May-12 / 103.89 / 85.98 / 94.97 / 99.70 / 101.63 / 92.69 / 89.83 / 92.36
Jun-12 / 104.97 / 85.29 / 95.13 / 96.89 / 101.66 / 92.95 / 88.89 / 91.74
Jul-12 / 105.38 / 85.13 / 95.02 / 94.16 / 101.57 / 93.13 / 88.18 / 91.21
Aug-12 / 105.26 / 85.43 / 94.78 / 91.95 / 101.13 / 93.26 / 87.74 / 91.01
Sep-12 / 104.71 / 86.39 / 94.49 / 90.36 / 100.34 / 93.44 / 87.53 / 90.79
Oct-12 / 103.80 / 87.92 / 94.27 / 89.40 / 99.25 / 93.72 / 87.24 / 90.31
Nov-12 / 102.78 / 90.01 / 94.12 / 89.02 / 97.98 / 94.18 / 86.67 / 89.83
Dec-12 / 101.94 / 92.04 / 94.23 / 89.04 / 96.49 / 94.77 / 85.88 / 89.08
Jan-13 / 101.62 / 93.37 / 94.47 / 89.34 / 95.16 / 95.41 / 84.93 / 87.94
Feb-13 / 101.84 / 93.66 / 94.56 / 89.26 / 94.45 / 95.93 / 84.24 / 86.56
Mar-13 / 102.48 / 93.39 / 94.32 / 88.74 / 93.94 / 96.18 / 83.95 / 85.36
Apr-13 / 103.23 / 92.98 / 93.82 / 88.15 / 93.38 / 96.23 / 83.67 / 84.74
May-13 / 103.39 / 92.78 / 93.38 / 87.76 / 92.94 / 96.30 / 83.74 / 84.55
Jun-13 / 102.65 / 92.76 / 93.43 / 87.65 / 92.53 / 96.43 / 84.44 / 84.73
Jul-13 / 101.10 / 93.11 / 93.86 / 87.60 / 91.95 / 96.61 / 85.97 / 85.31
Aug-13 / 99.01 / 94.11 / 94.56 / 87.36 / 91.25 / 96.77 / 88.55 / 86.38
Sep-13 / 96.16 / 96.02 / 95.54 / 87.21 / 90.60 / 96.96 / 92.06 / 87.95
Oct-13 / 92.38 / 98.67 / 96.56 / 86.97 / 89.94 / 97.14 / 96.45 / 90.07
Nov-13 / 88.26 / 101.81 / 97.54 / 86.67 / 89.26 / 97.34 / 102.02 / 92.42
Dec-13 / 84.20 / 105.22 / 98.49 / 85.92 / 88.45 / 97.46 / 108.50 / 94.94
Jan-14 / 80.90 / 108.27 / 99.17 / 85.58 / 87.66 / 97.51 / 115.13 / 102.48
Feb-14 / 78.86 / 110.43 / 99.48 / 86.26 / 87.02 / 97.58 / 120.98 / 99.75
Mar-14 / 78.20 / 111.51 / 99.53 / 87.98 / 86.56 / 97.80 / 125.22 / 97.25
Apr-14 / 78.79 / 111.65 / 99.49 / 90.40 / 86.21 / 98.23 / 127.30 / 95.09
May-14 / 80.27 / 111.19 / 99.54 / 93.15 / 85.92 / 98.87 / 127.14 / 93.34
Jun-14 / 82.20 / 110.49 / 99.72 / 95.94 / 85.67 / 99.67 / 125.07 / 92.05
Jul-14 / 84.14 / 109.78 / 100.00 / 98.55 / 85.45 / 100.54 / 121.70 / 91.24
Aug-14 / 85.78 / 109.16 / 100.25 / 100.92 / 85.24 / 101.41 / 117.66 / 90.93
Sep-14 / 86.97 / 108.60 / 100.35 / 103.08 / 84.99 / 102.23 / 113.54 / 91.09
Oct-14 / 87.76 / 108.06 / 100.26 / 105.15 / 84.65 / 102.95 / 109.79 / 91.69
Nov-14 / 88.35 / 107.46 / 99.98 / 107.21 / 84.17 / 103.60 / 106.71 / 92.66
Dec-14 / 88.94 / 106.77 / 99.63 / 109.29 / 83.56 / 104.17 / 104.52 / 93.89
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=Champaign-Urbana
K-B= Kankakee-Bradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast / release 2/15/2014 / / page 1