Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2016.

IllinoisJob Index:

MSA Report
Release
Oct 29/2017 / data
Jan 1990 /Sep 2017 / Issue
17.10 /
Sep
2017 / Total non-farm employment / Sep 2017Number of Jobs / Aug2017 – Sep 2017 / Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%) / Number of Jobs / Growth Rate
(%) / Number of Jobs
Nation / 146,659,000 / -0.02 / -33,000 / 1.23 / 1,777,000
Rest of Midwest (RMW) / 20,527,800 / 0.13 / 25,900 / 1.20 / 243,200
Illinois / 6,034,100 / -0.18 / -10,800 / 0.06 / 3,700
Illinois Metro / 5,312,400 / -0.11 / -5,800 / 0.33 / 17,700
Illinois non-Metro (Rural) / 721,700 / -0.69 / -5,000 / -1.90 / -14,000
IllinoisChicago (Upstate) / 4,151,700 / -0.12 / -4,900 / 0.41 / 16,800
Illinois non-Chicago / 1,882,400 / -0.31 / -5,900 / -0.69 / -13,100

As a companion to the Sep 2014 Illinois Job Index that reports and positive rating, this MSA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.

The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state totals.

Talking Points
State, Downstate & Metro /
  • Illinois lost10,800 jobs inSeptember 2017, compared with a revised 2,600-job loss in August 2017. Compared toSeptember 2016, Illinois has added 3,700 jobs. The three-month moving average, a more stable measure of labor market, showed a decreaseof 4,300 jobs per month.
  • The state of Illinois now has 48,900 more jobs than in December 2007 when the recent recession started.
  • Since January 2010, when Illinois employment growth resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 450,400 new jobs .
  • Chicago-DownstateandMetro-Ruralall had negativeperformances.
  • Illinois Rural arealost5,000 jobs at-0.69% this month, compared to a revised2,100-joblossinAugust 2017. At the same time, Metro lost5,800 jobs at -0.11% inSeptember, compared to a revised 500-job lossin the previous month.
  • Chicago lost4,900jobs at -0.12% in September2017, compared to a revised 200-joblossinAugust 2017. Meanwhile, Downstate lost 5,900 jobs at -0.31%, compared to a revised 2,400-joblossin the previous month.
  • In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive0.33% growth by adding 17,700 jobs whereas Rurallost14,000jobs at -1.90%. Chicago added16,800jobs at 0.41% and Downstate lost13,100jobs at -0.69%.
  • ThroughSeptember 2017, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to January 1990 stood at 15.29%, 9.28%,16.27% and10.88%respectively.

MSA
page (2-4) /
  • Illinois Metro lost5,800 jobs at -0.11% inSeptember 2017.Threeout of ten MSAs posted positive growth.
  • Since the job recovery resumed in January 2010 in Illinois, Chicago Upstate has shown an average growth rate of 11.48%, which is the highest among all the IL MSAs; Bloomington-Normalhas experienced the lowest average growth rate,-1.72%.
  • In terms of growth performances, four MSAs posted net improvements fromAugusttoSeptember andfive declined in terms of rank.
  • Rockford dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, whileMetro-Eastclimbed to thefirst place.
  • In the 12-month growth league table,Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul droppedto the last place while Kankakeeclimbed to the first place.

Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – September 2017
Talking Points
State, Downstate & Metro /
  • While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to September2017was 0.007%. This is better than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw a decline of -0.09%.
  • Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is 0.02% while for Rural it is -0.05%. The same rate for Chicago (Upstate)is 0.03% and for Downstate it is-0.04%.
  • Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.03% and for Rural it was-0.16%.
  • Downstate registered a-0.15% average job lossin 2017, compared to an average gain of 0.04% in 2007, -0.11% decline in 2008, -0.35% decline in 2009, 0.13% growth in 2010, 0.01% growth in 2011, 0.11% growth in 2012, -0.03% decline in 2013, 0.08% job growth in 2014, -0.01% job loss in 2015 and 0.04% growth in 2016.

Average Growth Rates for Illinois, RMW and the Nation
2013(%) / 2014(%) / 2015(%) / 2016(%) / 2017(%)
Illinois / 0.07 / 0.09 / 0.00 / 0.03 / 0.02
RMW / 0.12 / 0.12 / 0.12 / 0.11 / 0.09
Nation / 0.14 / 0.19 / 0.16 / 0.13 / 0.10

By MSA

Market Area / Sep 2017Number of Jobs / Aug 2017 – Sep 2017 / Last 12 months
Growth compared to Illinois / Growth Rate % / Number
Of Jobs / Growth Rate % / Number
of Jobs
Bloomington-Normal (B-N) / 94,500 / - / -0.10 / -100 / 1.50 / 1,400
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R) / 109,000 / + / -0.34 / -400 / -0.45 / -500
Chicago / 4,151,700 / + / -0.12 / -4,900 / 0.41 / 16,800
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M) / 183,000 / + / 0.03 / 100 / -0.06 / -100
Decatur / 51,100 / + / -0.11 / -100 / -0.14 / -100
Kankakee / 45,100 / - / 0.40 / 200 / 2.22 / 1,000
Peoria / 174,900 / - / -0.36 / -600 / -0.30 / -500
Rockford / 149,900 / + / -0.66 / -1,000 / -0.43 / -600
Springfield / 115,500 / - / -0.30 / -300 / -0.43 / -500
Metro-East / 237,800 / + / 0.60 / 1,400 / 0.35 / 800
Illinois / -0.18 / -10,800 / 0.06 / 3,700

MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate

Monthly growth:

Rank / August 2017 / September 2017 / Rank / Change**
1 / Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(0.55%) / Metro-East(0.6%) / 1 / (+3)
2 / Decatur(0.18%) / Kankakee(0.4%) / 2 / (+7)
3 / Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul(0.07%) / Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(0.03%) / 3 / (-2)
4 / Metro-East(0.06%) / Bloomington-Normal(-0.1%) / 4 / (+6)
5 / Rockford (0.05%) / Decatur(-0.11%) / 5 / (-3)
6 / Chicago(-0.02%) / Chicago(-0.12%) / 6 / (+0)
7 / Peoria(-0.09%) / Springfield (-0.3%) / 7 / (+1)
8 / Springfield (-0.59%) / Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul(-0.34%) / 8 / (-5)
9 / Kankakee(-0.8%) / Peoria(-0.36%) / 9 / (-2)
10 / Bloomington-Normal(-0.97%) / Rockford (-0.66%) / 10 / (-5)

Growth over last 12-months:

Rank / August 2017 / September 2017 / Rank / Change**
1 / Bloomington-Normal (1.91%) / Kankakee (2.22%) / 1 / (+1)
2 / Kankakee (0.72%) / Bloomington-Normal (1.5%) / 2 / (-1)
3 / Chicago (0.62%) / Chicago (0.41%) / 3 / (+0)
4 / Springfield (0.48%) / Metro-East (0.35%) / 4 / (+6)
5 / Peoria (0.24%) / Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.06%) / 5 / (+1)
6 / Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.23%) / Decatur (-0.14%) / 6 / (+1)
7 / Decatur (0.19%) / Peoria (-0.3%) / 7 / (-2)
8 / Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (0.14%) / Springfield (-0.43%) / 8 / (-4)
9 / Rockford (0.1%) / Rockford (-0.43%) / 9 / (+0)
10 / Metro-East (0.07%) / Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.45%) / 10 / (-2)
Talking Points
MSA League
Tables /
  • Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul(3rd to 8th)and Rockford (5th to 10th) experienced the deepest fallsinSeptember 2017.
  • Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(1stto3rd), Decatur (2nd to 5th), and Peoria (7th to 9th) alsodropped in terms of ranks from last month.
  • The most remarkable upward move inSeptember was recorded for Kankakee(9thto 2nd).
  • In the 12-month growth league table, upward moveswererecorded for Kankakee(2nd to 1st), Metro-East(10th to 4th),Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (6th to 5th), and Decatur (7th to 6th).
  • Downward moveswere recorded forBloomington-Normal (1st to 2nd), Peoria (5th to 7th), Springfield (4th to 8th), and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul(8th to 10th).
  • In the 12-month growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantouldropped to thelast placewhileKankakee climbed to the first place.

*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of growth rate from previous month.

**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a‘’ and decline by a‘’and for an unchanged position a‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month

September 2017 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Market Area / Construc-tion (CON) / Manufac-turing (MAN) / Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU) / Informa-tion
(INF) / Financial activities (FIN) / Professional & business services (PRO) / Education & health (EDU) / Leisure & hospitality (LEI) / Other Services (OTH) / Govern-ment (GOV)
Bloomington-Normal / 3.22 (3.4%) / 3.11 (3.3%) / 14.11 (14.9%) / 0.79 (0.8%) / 20.19 (21.4%) / 10.6 (11.2%) / 11.42 (12.1%) / 11.46 (12.1%) / 3.72 (3.9%) / 15.85 (16.8%)
Champaign-Urbana / 3.54 (3.2%) / 8.01 (7.3%) / 16.2 (14.9%) / 2.73 (2.5%) / 4.71 (4.3%) / 7.7 (7.1%) / 15.04 (13.8%) / 10.57 (9.7%) / 3.14 (2.9%) / 37.13 (34.1%)
Chicago / 143.61 (3.5%) / 343.31 (8.3%) / 830.01 (20%) / 75.44 (1.8%) / 289.7 (7%) / 773.17 (18.6%) / 638.89 (15.4%) / 408.24 (9.8%) / 173.66 (4.2%) / 471.77 (11.4%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline / 9.75 (5.3%) / 22.31 (12.2%) / 37.52 (20.5%) / 1.89 (1%) / 7.47 (4.1%) / 24.09 (13.2%) / 28.67 (15.7%) / 17.82 (9.7%) / 7.54 (4.1%) / 25.97 (14.2%)
Decatur / 3.09 (6%) / 10.23 (20%) / 10.96 (21.5%) / 0.5 (1%) / 1.99 (3.9%) / 3.2 (6.3%) / 8.83 (17.3%) / 4.79 (9.4%) / 2.09 (4.1%) / 5.36 (10.5%)
Kankakee / 1.37 (3%) / 6.59 (14.6%) / 9.81 (21.8%) / 0.39 (0.9%) / 1.98 (4.4%) / 3.57 (7.9%) / 9.06 (20.1%) / 4.08 (9%) / 1.61 (3.6%) / 6.62 (14.7%)
Peoria / 8.11 (4.6%) / 22.66 (13%) / 31.85 (18.2%) / 2.42 (1.4%) / 7.49 (4.3%) / 24.52 (14%) / 28.98 (16.6%) / 19.73 (11.3%) / 7.85 (4.5%) / 21.21 (12.1%)
Rockford / 4.87 (3.2%) / 31.14 (20.8%) / 27.66 (18.5%) / 1.77 (1.2%) / 5.38 (3.6%) / 15.71 (10.5%) / 24.31 (16.2%) / 14.26 (9.5%) / 8.67 (5.8%) / 16.39 (10.9%)
Springfield / 4.46 (3.9%) / 3.21 (2.8%) / 18.12 (15.7%) / 1.54 (1.3%) / 6.19 (5.4%) / 15.44 (13.4%) / 20.27 (17.6%) / 10.02 (8.7%) / 6.57 (5.7%) / 29.79 (25.8%)
IL / 213.31 (3.5%) / 571.53 (9.5%) / 1200.91 (19.9%) / 99.28 (1.6%) / 395.99 (6.6%) / 950.91 (15.7%) / 924.29 (15.3%) / 593.53 (9.8%) / 251.72 (4.2%) / 824.73 (13.7%)

* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East

Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – September 2017

MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co., Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co. IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East: Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin (Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co. Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state totals.

Employment Forecast for MSAs

MSAs / Sep 2017* / Sep 2018 (p)* / Number of Jobs * / Growth Rate % / Growth / Sector with
Highest
Growth Rate
(p) / Sector with Lowest Growth Rate (p)
Bloomington-Normal / 94,500 / 94,400 / -100~300 / -0.12%~ 0.35% / - / CON(3.08%) / INF(-16.66%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul / 109,000 / 109,100 / 100~200 / 0.07%~0.15% / + / LEI(1.85%) / CON (-2.27%)
Chicago / 4,151,700 / 4,167,200 / 15,500~59,000 / 0.37%~1.42% / + / PRO (2.42%) / INF(-3.33%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline / 183,000 / 183,400 / 400~1,200 / 0.23%~0.66% / + / MAN(1.67%) / INF(-2.00%)
Decatur / 51,100 / 50,300 / -700~-600 / -1.46%~-1.27% / - / LEI(1.18%) / PRO(-3.26%)
Kankakee / 45,100 / 45,400 / 300~400 / 0.63%~0.80% / + / INF (5.28%) / TTU(-2.06%)
Peoria / 174,900 / 174,400 / -400~500 / -0.25%~0.29% / - / PRO (2.13%) / EDU(-5.13%)
Rockford / 149,900 / 150,000 / 100~1,000 / 0.07%~0.64% / + / MAN (1.13%) / CON (-4.89%)
Springfield / 115,500 / 115,400 / -100~100 / -0.07%~0.10% / - / PRO (2.11%) / MAN(-4.33%)

*Total Non-Farm Jobs

Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT / release 10/29/2017 / / page 1