Local Situation Report

Prepared: August 9, 2013 @ 1000

Local / GACC / Nat’l
2 / 2 / 3
Today's Fire Danger
MODERATE

INCIDENT SUMMARY for Yesterday

County and State Fires
Unit / Inc Name / Size / Cause / Status / Location / Remarks
MED BOW National forest
Unit / Inc Name / Size (Acres) / Cause / Status / Location / Remarks
WHPD BLM
Unit / Inc Name / Size / Cause / Status / Location / Remarks

Area Discussion:

No new fires, and a few false alarms yesterday in the zone.

Lightning Map:

INDICES (forecasted/actual)

FDRA / Predicted Today
Indices / Forecasted for 8/9 / Actual for 8/8
Echeta / BI / 53 / 57
Rochelle Hills / BI / 24 / 18
Rochelle Hills / ERC / 4 / 4
Poker Creek / ERC / 40 / 58
Casper Mtn / ERC / 45 / 60
Fales Rock / BI / 52 / 60
Esterbrook / ERC / 44 / 48
Sawmill Park / ERC / 33 / 32

Duty Officers for Today:

Duty Officers / FS - Laramie / Bones
FS - Saratoga / Hood
FS - Douglas / Rogge
BLM / Ellis
State / Graham
FS – MBF NF / Bentley
Local Aviation
Resources / Location / Status
2TJ (Duncan) State / Avail
2HX (Rawlins) BLM / UA
8MC (Ft. Wash) BIA / UA

Pumpkin Time for Aircraft for Today:

Sunrise / Sunset / Pumpkin Time
Gillette / 559 / 2015 / 2045
Casper / 605 / 2015 / 2045
Glenrock / 604 / 2014 / 2044
Laramie / 606 / 2009 / 2039

Fire Restriction for the zone:

Agency / Date / Closed / Remarks
BLM / Partial restrictions
JOX / Johnson County partial restrictions
PLX / Platte County partial restrictions
COX / Converse County partial restrictions
SHX / Sheridan County partial restrictions
GOX / Goshen County partial restrictions

Weather Discussion

Discussion: Zone 280

Casper BLM/Natrona County

CONTINUED INCREASES IN MOISTURE WILL RAISE BOTH CLOUD COVER AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL ZONES AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ROTATES OVER THE REGION TODAY. IN ADDITION TO LOWERING TEMPERATURES AND RAISING RH VALUES...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL ALSO DECREASE...EXCEPT FOR BRIEF PERIODS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS WHERE WINDS WILL BECOME ERRATIC WITH GUSTS TO 30 - 40 MPH. STORMS IN AND NEAR ZONES 280...281 AND 285 WILL ALSO HAVE AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.

NATRONA COUNTY/CASPER BLM-

149 AM MDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER...... MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS

MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL AFTER 1200.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.

24 HR TREND...... 3 DEGREES COOLER.

MIN HUMIDITY...... 23-29 PERCENT.

24 HR TREND...... 5 PERCENT WETTER.

20-FOOT WINDS...... EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN

SOUTHWEST UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST. GUSTS UP

TO 15 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST

UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST.

LAL....... 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT UNTIL 1200...THEN 25 PERCENT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST

UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST.

MIXING HEIGHT...... 2500-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6000-8500 FT

AGL.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (38000-58000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL

1200...THEN GOOD TO VERY GOOD (98000-118000

KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX...... 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED

FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER...... MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS Until 2400...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL UNTIL 2400.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.

24 HR TREND...... 3 DEGREES COOLER.

MAX HUMIDITY...... 78-84 PERCENT.

24 HR TREND...... 5 PERCENT WETTER.

HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.

20-FOOT WINDS...... SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN

SOUTH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN

SOUTH.

LAL....... 4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT UNTIL 2400...THEN 10 PERCENT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTH.

MIXING HEIGHT...... 3500-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 500-1500 FT

AGL.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (68000-88000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 2400...THEN

POOR (8000-22000 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX...... 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED

FIRE GROWTH

Weather Discussion

Discussion: Zone 301

Niobrara Converse Counties/lower elevations of Converse County/TBNG

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL

BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK...BUT DRIER BREEZY

CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

ISSUED BY WFO CHEYENNE
WYZ301 -

NIOBRARA/LOWER ELEVATIONS OF CONVERSE/THUNDER BASIN NATIONAL

GRASSLAND-

338 AM MDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER...... PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.

ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL 0900...THEN SCATTERED

SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.

24 HR TREND...... 2 DEGREES COOLER.

MIN HUMIDITY...... 29-35 PERCENT.

24 HR TREND...... 9 PERCENT WETTER.

20-FOOT WINDS...... SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

LAL...... 1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

MIXING HEIGHT...... 5500-6500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200-9100 FT AGL

IN THE AFTERNOON.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (53600-91900 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX...... 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME

DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER...... MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL

2400...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL 0300.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.

24 HR TREND...... 3 DEGREES COOLER.

MAX HUMIDITY...... 84-90 PERCENT.

24 HR TREND...... 4 PERCENT DRIER.

HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.

20-FOOT WINDS...... SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

LAL...... 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

MIXING HEIGHT...... 3700-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL

AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4800-49500 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX...... 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME

DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

Weather Discussion

Discussion: Zone 307

Medicine Bow NF

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL

BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK...BUT DRIER BREEZY

CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

ISSUED BY WFO CHEYENNE
WYZ307 -

SNOWY RANGE/MEDICINE BOW NF-

338 AM MDT FRI AUG 9 2013

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER...... MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 0900

UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-70.

24 HR TREND...... 5 DEGREES COOLER.

MIN HUMIDITY...... 32-38 PERCENT.

24 HR TREND...... 6 PERCENT WETTER.

20-FOOT WINDS...... SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

LAL...... 1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

MIXING HEIGHT...... 5400-6800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9300 FT AGL

IN THE AFTERNOON.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (54400-91900 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX...... 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME

DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER...... MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL

2400...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL 0300.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.

24 HR TREND...... UNCHANGED.

MAX HUMIDITY...... 68-74 PERCENT.

24 HR TREND...... 3 PERCENT WETTER.

HUMIDITY RECOVERY...POOR.

20-FOOT WINDS...... SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

LAL....... 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

MIXING HEIGHT...... 3900-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL

AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500-37600 KNOT-FT).

HAINES INDEX....... 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED

FIRE GROWTH.