Stephen M. Pollock

RESUME/ C.V.

Stephen M. PollockDATE: January 2012

Herrick Professor Emeritus of Manufacturing

Professor Emeritus of Industrial and Operations Engineering

Dept. of Industrial & Operations Engineering

University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-2117

Tel: (734) 764-9403Fax: (734) 764-3451e-mail:

EDUCATION:

B. Eng. Physics, Cornell University, 1958

S.M. (Physics), 1960; Ph.D. (Physics and Operations Research), 1964 Massachusetts Institute of Technology

PREVIOUS POSITIONS:

June 1964-September 1965, Arthur D. Little, Inc.

Assistant Professor, Associate Professor, US Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA (1964-1969)

PRINCIPAL RESEARCH AND TEACHING INTERESTS:

Mathematical Modeling of Systems, Sequential Decision Analysis, Operations Research in Public Systems, Bayesian Statistics

CONSULTING:

Arthur D. Little, Inc., 1964-1968

LSSL, Fort Ord, California 1966- 67

Whirlpool Corporation, 1970- 74

Mellonics Systems Division, Litton Industries, 1967 - 69

Novatek, Incorporated, 1972-1973

Vector Research, Incorporated, 1972 - 1985

PRC - Public Management Services, Inc., 1975 - 79

BDM - Energy Systems and Civil Programs, 1975 - 79

Woodward Clyde Consultants, 1977-1978

University of Illinois, Chicago Circle, 1977, 1979

Law Enforcement Assistance Administration, 1976

22 Circuit Court of Michigan (Washtenaw County) 1979 - 80

Police Executive Research Foundation, 1978-1980

Hyman, Gurwin, Nachman, Friedman and Winkleman, 1979-93

Penn. Department of Justice (Anti-Trust Division), 1979

Koba Associates, Inc., 1979

EPA (Office of Audit), 1979

Black and Veatch, 1981

Environmental Dynamics, Inc. 1982

Ethyl Corporation, 1984

Michigan State Troopers Association, 1984

U.S. Army Research Institute, 1984

Proditech, Inc., 1984

KMS Industries, 1985-87

Upjohn Co. 1987–90

Dow-Corning, 1993-95

Kenneth Feinberg & Assoc. 1993 - 95

U.S. Department of Transportation 1994

Applied Analysis Corporation, Inc. 1995 – 2000

University of Michigan Hospital, Catheterization Laboratory, 1999-2000

University of Michigan Hospital, Department of Radiation Oncology, 1999-2006

The Feinberg Group, 2001-2004

General Motors Corporation (Worldwide Purchasing Metallics), 2001

Joint IED Defeat Organization (JIEDDO), 2007 – 2011

UMTRI 2007 -- 2010

SCIENTIFIC AND PROFESSIONAL SOCIETIES:

Sigma Xi

Institute of Industrial Engineers

The Institute of Management Sciences

Operations Research Society of America (President, 1986-87)

INFORMS (Fellow)

American Association for the Advancement of Science (Fellow]

Council of Industrial Engineering Academic Department Heads (1981-1990)

Council of Scientific Society Presidents (1986-7)

Conference Board on Mathematical Sciences (Executive Committee (1987-89)

HONORS AND AWARDS:

Space Technology Laboratory Fellow, 1960

National Science Foundation Senior Faculty Fellow, 1975-1976

Alpha Pi Mu Outstanding Teacher Award 1989

Stephen S. Attwood Award (Outstanding Contributions to the College of Engineering) 1990

University of Michigan, Society of Fellows 1992-95

University of Michigan, Tauber Manufacturing Institute Fellow 1999 – 2002

Kimball Medal, Institute of Operations Research and Management Sciences 2002

National Academy of Engineering 2002

OTHER PROFESSIONAL AND ACADEMIC ACTIVITIES:

Area Editor:Operations Research, 1977-1982

Assoc. Editor:Operations Research, 1974-1977, 1983- present

SIAM Journal of Applied Mathematics, 1971-1975

Management Science 1990 - present

Senior Editor:IIE Transactions, 1985-89

NSF/ORSA /TIMS Visiting Lecturer, 1968-2004

NSF National Graduate Fellowship Panelist, 1973-1975

Invited Participant at NATO Advanced Research Institute on Education in Systems Science, 1978

Invited Participant at NATO Advanced Research Institute on Search Theory, 1979

NRC Senior Research Associate Program Panelist, 1980-1982, 1985

Member, U.M. Delegation to People's Republic of China to study Decision and Systems Analysis in Different Social Settings (with specific application to water treatment planning), 1982

NSF U.S.-India Scientific Cooperation Program, 1986

Visiting Scholar, Indian Statistical Institute, New Delhi, 1986

NSF DRMS Advisory Panel, 1987-1990

Invited Lecturer, Bilkent University, Ankara, 1988

NSF STOR Advisory Committee, 1988

NSF ORPS National Advisory Committee 1989 - 91; Panelist 1995

NSF SES PYI Panelist 1991

NRC Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics, 1992 – 1995

U.S. Army Science Board 1994 – 1999

NRC/NAS panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems 1999-2001

AAAS – Section P Nomination Committee 1999

NRC/NAS/U.S. Army ATEC Expert Panel on IAV Test and Evaluation (Chair), 2001-3

NRC Organizing Committee for Workshop on Evolutionary Acquisition 2004-5

NRC Panel on NASA Roadmaps (Modeling and Simulation, Systems Engineering, and Cost and Risk Analysis) 2005

NRC Panel on Modeling, Simulation and Analysis for Defense Transformation 2004-06

NRC Panel on Technologies to Deter Currency Counterfeiting 2005-06

ARL Survivability and Lethality Analysis technical Advisory Board 2005-08

NAE Section 8 Peer Committee (chair) 2006

ARO Mathematical Sciences Division Board of Visitors 2006

NRC Committee on Methodological Improvements to DHS’s Biological Agent Risk Analysis 2006-7

NRC/IOM Committee on Effectiveness of National Biosurveillance Systems: BioWatch and the Public Health System 2008-9

NRC Committee on the Mathematical Foundations of Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification 2010-2011

NRC Committee on Prepositioned Medical Countermeasures for the Public, 2010-2011

REFEREED PUBLICATIONS

Pollock, S., "Minimum Cost Checking Using Imperfect Information", Management Science, (Series A), 13, No. 7, March 1967.

Pollock, S., and Donis, J., Allocation of Resources to Randomly Occurring Opportunities", Naval Research Logistics Quarterly, 14, No. 4, December 1967.

Pollock, S., "Measures for the Comparison of Information Retrieval Systems", American Documentation, 19, No. 4, October 1968. (Also a chapter in Introduction to Information Science, ed. by Tefko Saracevis, R. R. Bowker Co., New York and London, pp. 592-602, 1970.)

Pollock, S., "A Bayesian Reliability Growth Model", IEEE Transactions on Reliability, R-17, No. 4, December, 1968.

Pollock, S., "A Simple Model of Search for a Moving Target”, Operations Research, Vol. 18, No. 5, September-October, 1970.

Pollock, S., "Search, Detection and Subsequent Action, Some Problems on the Interfaces" Operations Research, Vol. 19, No. 3, May-June, 1971.

Pollock, S., "Social Systems: Closing the Loop", Warner Modular Publications, Module 18, pp. 1-5, (1973).

Pollock, S., "Statistical Detection Models", Chapter 7, and "Search Models”, Chapter 8, Selected Methods and Models in Military Operations Research, ed. by P. W. Zehna, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., pp. 227-250, pp. 251-274, 1971.

Pollock, S., G.E. Wangdahl G.E. and J.B.Woodward III, "Minimum Trajectory Pipe Routing”, Journal of Ship Research, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 46-49, March, 1974.

Chen, K., J. Lathrop, C. Kirkwood and S. Pollock, "Energy R & D Modeling for Budgetary Decisions”, (with K. Chen, J. Lathrop and C. Kirkwood), Modeling and Simulation, Vol. 7, 1976. Also published in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Vol. SMC-7, No. 4, April 1977.

Pollock, S., "A Model for the Evaluation of Golf Handicapping”, Operations Research, Vol. 22, No. 5, September-October, pp. 1040-1050, 1974.

Pollock, S. "Mathematical Modeling: Applying the Principles of the Art Studio”, Engineering Education, November, pp. 167-171, 1976.

Pollock, S. "Application of Mathematical Models in Public Systems”, and The Modeling Studio”, in Discrete Mathematics and Its Applications, M. Thompson, ed., Indiana University, 1976.

Maltz, M., S. Pollock and R. McLeary, "Recidivism and Likelihood Functions: A Reply to Stollmack”, Evaluation Quarterly, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 124-131, February 1979.

Lee, M., D. Chaffin and S. Pollock, "A Stochastic Model of Muscle Fatigue in Cyclic Heavy Exertions”, Journal of the Korean Institute of Industrial Engineering, Vol. 5, No. 2, December 1979.

Keefer, D. and S. Pollock, "Approximations and Sensitivity in Multi-objective Resource Allocation Models”, (with D. Keefer), Operations Research, Vol. 28, No. 1, pp. 114-128, January-February 1980.

Pollock, S. and M. Maltz, "Artificial Inflation of a Poisson Rate by a 'Selection Effect,' Operations Research, Vol. 28, No. 3, May-June, 1980.

Pollock, S. and M. Maltz, "An Empirical Investigation of Bid-Rigging”, White Collar Crime, (ed. by Geis and Stotland), Sage Publications, Inc., 1980.

Pollock, S., "Surveillance and Search Theory”, Search Theory and Applications (ed. by Halley and Stone), Plenum Press, New York, 1980.

Pollock, S., "Innovation in Systems Science Education: The Modeling Studio”, Education in Systems Science, (ed. by B. A. Bayraktor, et al.) Taylor and Francis Ltd., London, 1979.

Engels, J., S. M. Pollock and J. Clark, "Observations on the Statistical Nature of Terrestrial Irradiation”, Solar Energy, Vol. 26, pp. 91-92, 1981.

Engels, J., S. M. Pollock and J. Clark, "The Probability Distribution of Terrestrial Irradiation”, Solar Energy, Vol. 26, p. 471, 1981.

Kirkwood, C. and S. Pollock, "Multiple Attribute Scenarios, Bounded Probabilities and Threats of Nuclear Theft”, Futures, Vol. 14, No. 6, pp. 545-553, December 1982.

Pollock, S. and Farrell, R., "Past Intensity of a Terminated Poisson Process”, O.R. Letters, Vol. 2, No. 6, January 1984.

Golhar, D. and S. Pollock, "Truncated SPRT for Non-Stationary Processes: Sensitivity of Assumptions”, Sequential Analysis, Vol. 3, No. 3 and 4, pp. 251-266, 1984.

Miller, G. and S. Pollock, "Application of Sequential Testing to Motor Vehicle Emission Certification”, Management Science, Vol. 31, No. 3, pp. 249-263, March, 1985.

Pollock, S. and K. Chen, "Strive to Conquer the Black Stink: Decision Analysis in the People's Republic of China", Interfaces, Vol. 16, No. 2, pp. 31-42, March-April 1986.

Golhar, D. and S. Pollock,"Efficient Recursions for Truncation of the SPRT”, Sequential Analysis, Vol. 5, No. 3, pp. 253-262, 1986.

Golhar, D. and S. Pollock, "Sequential Analysis for Diagnosing Diabetic Patients”, Medical Decision Making, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 47-51, January-March 1987.

Hancock, W., M.K. Kim and S. Pollock," A Model to Determine Staff Levels, Cost and Productivity of Hospital Units”, Journal of Medical Systems, Vol. 11, No. 5 pp. 319-330, 1987.

Golhar, D. and S. Pollock, "Determination of the Optimal Process Mean and the Upper Limit for a Canning Problem", Journal of Quality Technology, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp.188-192, July 1988.

"Operation Research, the Next Decade", (joint with the 4-member CONDOR committee and 24 member advisory group), Operations Research, Vol. 36 No. 4 pp. 619-637, July-August 1988

Chung, M., G. Herrin and S. Pollock, "A Stochastic Model for the Analysis of Occupational Injuries on Jobs of Varying Physical Stresses”, IIE Transactions Vol. 20, No. 3., Sept. 1988

Lee, H.-S. and S. Pollock, "Approximate Analysis for the Merge Configuration of an Open Queueing Network with Blocking", IIE Transactions, Vol. 21, No. 9, March 1989.

Birge, J. and S. Pollock, "Using Parallel Iteration for Approximate Analysis of A multiple Server Queueing System”, Operations Research, Vol. 37, No. 5, pp. 769-779, Sept-Oct. 1989.

Lee, H.-S. and S. Pollock, "Approximate Analysis of Open Exponential Queueing Networks with Blocking: General Configuration", Operations Research, Vol. 38, No. 5, Nov-Dec 1990.

Birge, J. and S. Pollock, "Modeling Rural Police Patrol", J. of Operational Research Society, Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 41-54, 1989.

Golhar, D. and S. Pollock, "Cost Savings Due to Variance Reduction in a Canning Process", IIE Transactions, Vol. 24, No. 1, pp. 89-92, March 1992

Bischak, D., D. Kelton and S. Pollock, "Weighted Batch Means for Confidence Intervals in Steady-State Simulations", Management Science, Vol. 39, No. 8, pp. 1002 - 1019, August 1993

Woo, T.C., R. Liang and S. M. Pollock, “Hammersley Sampling for Efficient Surface Coordinate Measurements”, Proceedings, NSF Conference on Design, 1993

Chou, S.-Y., T. Woo, and S. Pollock, "On Characterizing Circularity", J. of Design and Manufacturing, 4, 253-263, 1994

Duenyas, I., M. Keblis and S. Pollock, "Dynamic Type Mating", Management Science, Vol. 43, No. 6 June 1997

Chen, L.-L., T. Woo and S. Pollock, “Yield Optimization by Process Centering: An Application of Simulated Annealing", Engineering Design and Automation Journal, Aug 1996

Koopman, J., J. Jacquez, G. Welch, C. Simon, B. Foxman, S, Pollock, D. Barth-Jones, A. Adams, K. Lange, "The Role of Early Infection in the Spread of HIV Through Populations", Journal of AIDS and Human Retrovirology, Vol. 14, pp. 249-258, 1997

Golhar, D. and S. Pollock, "The Canning Problem Revisited: The Case of Fixed Demand and Variable Yield" European Journal of Operations Research, Vol. 105, No. 3 March 16, 1998

Birge, J., L. Qi and S. Pollock, "A Quadratic Recourse Function for the Two-stage Stochastic Program", Progress in Optimization (Eberhard et al. eds.), Kluwer Academic Publisher, Lowell, MA. USA, 1998.

Duffuua, S. and S. Pollock, "Optimal Sequencing of Inspection of Dependent Characteristics ", Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 103, No. 3, December 1999

Glenn, D. and S. Pollock, “Process Adjustment for Assemblies: Should Components, or Assemblies, be Made to Specifications?”, Analysis and Modeling of Manufacturing Systems Kluwer Acad. Press, 2003, pp. 69 –81

Maillart, L. and S. Pollock, “Effect of Failure Distribution Specification Errors on Maintenance Costs”, IEEE Proceedings of the Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, 1999, pp. 69 – 75.

Ivy, J. S. and S. Pollock, “Classification of Spot Welds Using Power Factor Time Profiles”, International Journal of Production Research Vol. 39, No. 3 pp. 549-566, 2001

Ivy, J. S. and S. Pollock, “Maintenance of Deteriorating Machines with Probabilistic Monitoring and Silent Failures”, Contemporary Mathematics, Vol. 275, pp. 69-93, 2001

Maillart, L. and S. Pollock, “Cost-Optimal Condition Monitoring for Predictive Maintenance of 2-Phase Systems”, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol. 51 No. 3 September 2002

Ivy, J.S. and S. Pollock,“Marginally monotonic maintenance policies for a multi-state deteriorating machine with probabilistic monitoring, and silent failures”, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol 54 (3) Sept. 2005, pp 489 -497

Nowak, M., M. Epelman and S. Pollock, “Assignment of Swimmers to Dual meet Events”, Computers andOperations Research33: 1951-1962, 2006

Pollock, S., M. Epelman, B. Low and B Netter, “Anisogamy, Expenditure of Reproductive Effort, and the Optimality of Having Two Sexes”, Operations Research, 53(3), 560-567, 2005

Lam, K.L., R. Ten Haken, D. Litzenberger, J. Balter and S. Pollock, “An Application of Bayesian Statistical Methods to Adaptive Radiotherapy”, Phys. Med. Biol., 50pp. 1–10, 2005

Sir, M., S. Pollock, M. Epelmen, K. Lam and R. Ten Haken, “Ideal Spatial Radiotherapy Dose Distributions Subject to Positional Uncertainties", Phys. Med. Biol. 51 (2006) 6329-6347

Cox, L.A., Brown, G. G. and S. Pollock, “When Is Uncertainty About UncertaintyWorth Characterizing?, Interfaces.Vol. 38, No. 6, November–December 2008, pp. 465–468

Bordley, R. and S. Pollock, "A Decision Analytic Approach to Reliability-Based Design Optimization”, Operations Research. Vol. 57, No. 5, September–October 2009, pp. 1262–1270

Sir, M., M. Epelman and S. Pollock. “Stochastic Programming for Off-line AdaptiveRadiotherapy, Ann. Oper Res., August 2010, DOI: 10.1007/s10479-010-0779

Bordley, R. and S. Pollock “Assigning Resources and Targets to an Organization's Activities”, European Journal of Operational Research, 220 (2012), pp. 752-761, 10.1016/j.ejor.2012.02.032

Molnar, L., D. Eby, V. Nair, Y. Yang, K. Dasgupta and S. Pollock “Explaining State-to-State Differences in Seat Belt Use: A Multivariate Analysis of Cultural Variables”, Accident Analysis and Prevention (2012), pp. 78-86, 10.1016/j.aap.2012.01.006

BOOKS:

Growth Policy: Population, Environment and Beyond, (with K. Chen and K. Lagler, et al.), The University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, Michigan, 1973.

"Operations Research in the Public Sector", (ed. with Rothkopf, M. and Barnett, A.), Volume VI of the Handbooks in Operations Research and the Management Sciences, North-Holland, 715 pp., 1994

BOOK REVIEWS:

System Analysis in Public Policy: A Critique, by I.R. Hoos. Science, pp.739-740, November 17, 1972.

Principles of Model-Building - The Construction of Models for Decision Analysis, by P. Rivett. Operations Research, Vol. 21, No. 5, pp. 168-169, September-October, 1973.

OTHER PUBLICATIONS:

"Evaluation of Current and Proposed Quality Determination Tests," A Report to the Whirlpool Corporation. Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, (1972).

"Algorithmic Approaches to Political Redistricting: A Report of the Activities of a Seminar," S. M. Pollock, et al., January, 1972.

"Limiting Behavior of a Sequential Outlier Rejection Algorithm," Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, Technical Report, 1972.

"Bayesian Generalizations of the Null Hypothesis Pl = P2", PEPS Working Paper No. 2, presented to the 5th Annual Bayesian Research Conference, May 21-22, 1973.

"Engineering Approaches to Social Problems," Discussion Paper, STAFF Seminar, November, 1973.

"Engineers in Politics," Technium, (Fall, 1974), p. 16.

"Stochastic Models of Sewage Plant Operations," (with J. Bulkley, et al.), Proceedings, Second Annual National Conference on Environmental Engineering Research, Development and Design, July 20-23, 1975.

"Some Comments on Proposed Design of Urban Cable Communication Experiments," Publication No. TC-9, University of Michigan Program in Telecommunications Research, 1975.

"Probabilistic Bounds for the Allocation Problem Greedy Heuristics," CORE Discussion Paper, 1976.

"Optimal Forecasting of Finite-Sample Time Series," CORE Discussion Paper, 1976.

"Work Measurement Study of the Light Duty Team of the Laboratory Branch," (with J. Miller), Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, The University of Michigan, July 15, 1977.

"Analysis of Suspected Collusion in Bids for Corrugated Metal Pipe," (2 Vols.), Report to Genesee County Prosecutors Office, May 31, 1978.

"Methods of Analysis for Aiding in the Prosecution of Bid-Rigging Cases," Report to the National District Attorney's Association, August 15, 1978.

"Methodology for Characterizing Potential Adversaries of Nuclear Materials Safeguards Systems," (with C. Kirkwood), Woodward-Clyde Consultants, San Francisco, October, 1978.

"Analysis of Bidding Behavior in the Northeast U.S. Road Salt Market 1971-1978," (2 Vols.), Report to Eastern States Anti-trust Committee, August 15, 1979.

"Forecasting from Finite-Sample Time Series: Optimal Weights, Back-forecasting and Projections," Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, 1980.

"Covariate Analysis of Split Population Distributions," in Development of New Measures of Correctional Effectiveness, (M. Maltz, ed.), Report to National Institute of Justice, 1981.

"System Analysis in Different Social Settings: A Case in Comprehensive Planning for Water Pollution Control of the Huangpu River in China," (with K. Chen, et al.), Report to National Science Foundation, 1983.

"Parallel Iteration for Multiple Servers," (with J. Birge), Technical Report 83-16, Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1983.

"A Model of Wide Area Patrol Policy Evaluation," (with J. Birge and W. Hopp), Technical Report 82-15, Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1982.

"A Formalism for Dynamic Programming," (with R. L. Smith), Technical Report 85-3, Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1985.

"Approximation Analysis for Open Tandem Queues with Blocking", (with J. Birge, J. Alden), Technical Report No. 85-30, Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1986.

"A Decision Support System for Project Selection, Resource Allocation, and Management", (with T. Ploughman, N. Karabakal), The Upjohn Company 1990.

"Rectangle Layout Optimization", (with K. Tang) Technical Report 90-26, Dept. of Industrial & Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1990.

"Weighted Batch Means for Confidence Intervals for Steady-State Processes", (with D. Bischak and D. Kelton), Technical Report, No. 91-118, University of Minnesota Supercomputer Institute, 1991

"Operating Characteristics for the Detection of Process Change, Part 1: Theoretical Development", (with J. Alden), Technical Report, No. 92-34, Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan 1992.

"Operating Characteristics for the Detection of Process Change, Part 2: Computation for Normal Monitoring", (with J. Alden), Technical Report, No. 92-35, Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan 1992.

"Process Capability Measurements for a Bivariate Characteristic Over an Elliptical Tolerance Zone", (with Littig, S.J., Lam, T), Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan Technical Report 92-42

“Solving a Pair of Linked Fredholm Equations Originating from a Monitoring Problem” [with P. Jorna], Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan Technical Report 98-12, 1998

Process Centering With Uncertain Tool Adjustment”, (with D. Glen), Dept. of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan Technical report 98-11, 1998

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