Electronic Supplemental Material

Effect of rapid response systems on hospital mortality,

A systematic review and meta-analysis

Running title: Rapid Response System and Hospital Mortality

Audrey De Jong 1*, Boris Jung 1-2*, Aurelien Daurat 1, Gerald Chanques 1-2, Martin Mahul 1, Marion Monnin 1, Nicolas Molinari 3, Samir Jaber 1-2

Authors affiliations:

1 Intensive Care Unit, Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, University of Montpellier, Saint Eloi Teaching Hospital, 80 avenue AugustinFliche, F-34295 Montpellier, Cedex 5, France

2Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS 9214) - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale (INSERM U-1046), Montpellier University, Montpellier, France

3 Department of Statistics, University of Montpellier Lapeyronie Hospital, UMR 729 MISTEA, Montpellier, France

* Contributed equally to the study.

Corresponding author:

Samir Jaber
Intensive Care Unit, Anesthesia and Critical Care Department
Saint Eloi Teaching Hospital
80 Av Fliche
34295 Montpellier Cedex 5
France
Phone: (33) 4-67-33-72-71
Fax: (33) 4-67-33-74-48
E-mail:

Authors conflicts of interest

Boris Jung reports personal fees from Merck (Whitehouse station, NJ) and Astellas (Tokyo, Japan) without relations with the present study, AurelienDaurat has nothing to disclose; Nicolas Molinari has nothing to disclose; Audrey De Jong, Martin Mahul, Marion Monnin, Gerald Chanques, Nicolas Molinarihave nothing to disclose; Samir Jaber reports personal fees from Maquet, Draeger, Hamilton Medical, Fisher Paykel and Abbott without relations with the present study.

Source of funding: This study was supported by the University Hospital of Montpellier.

Key words: Medical Emergency Team, Rapid Response Systems, Meta-analysis, Patient safety

Introduction

The aim of the present study was to conduct an updated meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of RRSon hospital mortality.

We hypothesized that the implementation of a MET would improve the overall and unexpected hospital mortality.

Methods

This article reports our meta-analysis and systematic review of studies of RRScompared to no-RRSin accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement.[25]

Search strategy

We performed a computerized search of MEDLINE (1966 to July 31, 2015), EMBASE (1977 to July 31, 2015) and the Cochrane Center Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (1943 to July 31, 2015) for studies comparing RRS to no-RRS regarding the total hospital adult mortality and the unexpected hospital mortality. For the bibliographic review, keywords (“rapid response team”, “rapid response system”, “hospital mortality”, “unexpected mortality”, "medical emergency team", "critical care outreach"), medical subject headings ("quality improvement", "mortality", "intensive care unit" and "critical care") and Emtree terms (“rapid response team”, "rapid response system", "RRT" and “RRS”) were used in our Boolean search strategy. We identified and deleted any duplicate papers. All potentially eligible papers were retrieved in full. References in the retrieved articles were also examined for relevant publications.

Selection criteria and outcome measures

We screened for relevant studies that compared the rate of total hospital adult mortality and unexpected mortality between RRS and no-RRS.

Then we made a quantitative synthesis performing a meta-analysis and systematic review. For this purpose, we selected the following study designs: randomized controlled trials, prospective observational studies (before and after treatment) and retrospective observational studies.

The primary endpoint of this meta-analysis was the incidence of overall hospital mortality. The secondary endpoint was the incidence of unexpected mortality.

We included studies reporting at least one clinical outcome of interest to perform a meta-analysis.

Data collection and analysis

First, two authors (AD and BJ) independently screened the retrieved studies by title and then by abstract for exclusion. They assessed the full text of the possible relevant studies for inclusion and exclusion criteria. Disagreement was resolved by discussion and arbitrated if necessary by a third author (ADJ). Data were then added to an excel database, specifically designed for this review and analysed in RevMan 5.3 software.

Statistical analysis

Data were extracted as they were reported in the original paper or based on the answers of the authors to our queries. Included studies were appraised for their risk of bias by two authors (ADJ, NM) using the Cochrane Collaboration’s tool[26] for assessing risk of bias in randomized controlled trialsand the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale[27] for assessing risk of bias in observational studies. We used fixed or random effects models, depending on statistical heterogeneity between studies.[28] We used odds ratio (OR) as the summary measure for dichotomous outcomes. Statistical heterogeneity was quantified by the Q-Cochrane heterogeneity test (Q statistic with degree of freedom (df)) and the I² statistic[27]. In case of heterogeneity, a random effect model was performed.Predefined subgroups analysis and exclusion of outlying studies were performed to reduce heterogeneity for the primary outcome.4,5.(référence de la cochrane + Hole Lancet 2015)To assess the effect of potential confounding factors (adjustment of OR or not, multiple or single center study, prospective or retrospective study, single afferent limb, multiple afferent limb, physician lead team efferent limb for the main endpoint (unexpected hospital mortality) we performed a meta-regression using the restricted maximum likelihood estimate method, a recommended random effect approach that accounts for residual between-trial heterogeneity[29] using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis 3.0 software.

A funnel plot (plot of treatment effect against trial precision) was also created to determine the presence of publication bias, true heterogeneity, data irregularities and choice of effect measure in the meta-analysis. The funnel plot is skewed and asymmetrical in case of bias that usually leads to an overestimate of the treatment effect.

Results

The updated literature search identified 10additionalstudies to the work of Winters et al[7]including the present study to provide a total of 31studies and 10,544,745 patients (detailed flow chart is provided in the appendix: Figure S1).Of those, 9 studies (1,045,364 patients) provided data on unexpected mortality and 32 studies (9,517,719 patients)reported overall mortality rate. The meta-regression did not reveal any significant effect of potential confounding factors (adjustment of OR or not (P = 0.55), multiple or single centre study (P = 0.10), prospective or retrospective study (P = 0.99), single afferent limb (P = 0.08), multiple afferent limb (P = 0.89), physician lead team efferent limb (P = 0.54)) for overall hospital mortality.

RRS were associated with a significant decrease in both overall hospital mortality (OR 0.89; 95% CI 0.85-0.93 (Figure1A.) andunexpected mortality (OR 0.51; 95% CI (0.35-0.76) (Figure1B.). The overall test for heterogeneity among studies was statistically significant both for overall and unexpected mortality analysis (P< 0.001). Funnel plots did not reveal publication bias for overall mortality or unexpected mortality (Figure S2 and S3).Subgroups analysis performed according to the multicentric or monocentric design (FigureS4), the prospective or retrospective design (Figure S5) and the location of the studies (Figure S6) showed consistent results, with a significant decrease of overall hospital mortality. After exclusion of outlying studies (Figure S7), heterogeneity became low and a fixed model could be applied, showing identical results with a decreased incidence of overall hospital mortality (OR 0.92; 95% CI (0.90-0.94).

Discussion

In this updated systematic review and meta-analysis, MET implementation was associated with a significant decrease in overall and unexpected mortality of hospitalized patients.One limitation was the large amount of statistical heterogeneity. Nevertheless, we considered that to combine data using a random effect meta-analysis would allow a more useful result than to include a small number of homogeneous studies as presented in Figure S7. (Hole Lancet 2015) Moreover, subgroups analysis and exclusion of outlying studies allowing reducing heterogeneity showed similar results.Until now, the effect of RRS on mortality remains debated with several discordant studies.[60]The meta-analysispublished by Chan et al in 2010reporteda reduction in cardiac arrest ratebut no significant effect on mortality.[6]More recently, the updated review by Winters et al suggested a positive impact on patients outcome, howeverthe statistical significance was not reached.[7]In this setting, the present updated systematic review is a substantial contribution, because itstrongly suggests a positive effect of RRSon overall and unexpected mortality.

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Acknowledgements

We thank the nurses and physicians of the rapid response team of the ICUof Saint Eloi hospital for their work in collecting data and their support in the MET implementation. The authors also acknowledge Valerie Maccioce for the english editing, David Demoulin for his invaluable help and support in extracting data from the hospital database and the Montpellier University Hospital communication department for having designed the MET flyers and poster.