PUBLICATIONS
EDWARD NORTON LORENZ
1950: Dynamic models illustrating the energy balance of theatmosphere. J.Meteor.,7, 30-38.
1951:Seasonal and irregular variations of the northern hemispheresea-level pressure profile. J.Meteor., 8, 52-59.
1952: Flow of angular momentum as a predictor for the zonalwesterlies. J.Meteor., 9, 152-157.
1953:The interaction between a mean flow and random disturbances. Tellus, 3, 238-250.
1953: A proposed explanation for the existence of two regimes of flowin a rotating symmetrically-heated cylindrical vessel. FluidModels in Geophysics, Proc. 1st Sympos.Models in Geophys. FluidDynamics, Baltimore, Johns Hopkins U., 73-80.
1953: A multiple-index notation for describing atmospheric transportprocesses. Geophys. Res.Papers, 24, 100-110.
1953: Displacement and intensification associated with variations oflocal angular momentum. Geophys. Res. Papers, 24, 164-170.
1953: The vertical extent of Jupiter's Atmosphere. Geophys. Res. Papers, 24, 123-127.
1954: A study of the general circulation and a possible theorysuggested by it. Sci. Proc. Internat. Assoc.Meteor., Rome,603-608.
1955: Available potential energy and the maintenance of the generalcirculation. Tellus, 7, 271-281.
1955: Generation of available potential energy and the intensity of the general circulation. Scientific Report No. 1, UCLA, Dept. of Meteorology, July 1955.
1956: Empirical orthogonal functions and statistical weather prediction. Scientific Report No. 1, Statistical Forecasting Project. Air Force Research Laboratories, Office of Aerospace Research, USAF, Bedford, MA,
1957: Static stability and atmospheric energy. Scientific Report No. 9, General Circulation Project, Starr, V. P., director, Geophysics Research Directorate of the AirForceCambridgeResearchCenter, 41 pp.
1960: Generation of available potential energy and the intensity ofthe general circulation. Dynamics of Climate (R. L. Pfeffer,Ed.), Oxford, Pergamon Press.
1960: Maximum simplification of the dynamic equations. Tellus, 12,243-254.
1960: Energy and numerical weather prediction. Tellus, 12, 364-373.
1961: A numerical study of the effect of vertical stability on monsoonal and zonal circulations (with E. B. Kraus). Changes of Climate, UNESCO, Belgium, pp. 361-372.
1962: Simplified dynamic equations applied to the rotating-basinexperiments. J. Atmos. Sci., 19, 39-51.
1962: The statistical prediction of solutions of dynamic equations. Proc. Internat. Sympos. Numerical Weather Prediction, Tokyo,629-635.
1963: The predictability of hydrodynamic flow. Trans.N.Y. Acad. Sci.,Ser. II, 25, No. 4,409-432.
1963: Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-141.
1963: The mechanics of vacillation. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 448-464.
1964: The problem of deducing the climate from the governingequations. Tellus, 16, 1-11.
1965: Energetics of atmospheric circulation. International Dictionary of Geophysics, Pergamon Press, 1-9.
1965: On the possible reasons for long-period fluctuations of thegeneral circulation. WMO-IUGG Symp. on Research and DevelopmentAspects of Long-range Forecasting, Technical Note No. 66,WMO-No. 162.TP.79, 203-211.
1965: A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmosphericmodel. Tellus, 17, 321-333.
1966: Atmospheric predictability. Advances in Numerical Weather Prediction, The Travelers Research Center, Inc., 34-39.
1966: Nonlinearity, weather prediction, and climate deduction. Final report, Statistical Forecasting Project, Air Force Cambridge Research Laboratories, Office of Aerospace Research, USAF, Bedford, MA, 22 pp.
1966: The circulation of the atmosphere. Amer. Scientist,54, 402-420.
1966: Numerical experiments with large-scale seasonal forcing (withE. B. Kraus). J. Atmos. Sci., 23, 3-12.
1966: Reply. J. Atmos. Sci.,23, 629-630.
1966: Large-scale motions of the atmosphere: circulation. Advances in Earth Science, MIT Press, 95-109.
1967: The nature and theory of the general circulation of the atmosphere.[Part 1][Part 2][Part 3] World Meteorological Organization, No. 218, TP 115, 161 pp.
1967: The nature and theory of the general circulation of theatmosphere. WMO Bulletin, April 1967, 74-78.
1968: Climatic determinism. Meteor.Monographs,Amer.Meteor. Soc., 25, 1-3.
1969: The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales ofmotion. Tellus, 21, 19 pp.
1969: Three approaches to atmospheric predictability. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 50, 345-351.
1969: Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurringanalogues. J. Atmos. Sci., 26, 636-646.
1969: Studies of atmospheric predictability.[Part 1][Part 2][Part 3][Part 4] Final Report, February, Statistical Forecasting Project. Air Force Research Laboratories, Office of Aerospace Research, USAF, Bedford, MA, 145 pp.
1969: The nature of the global circulation of the atmosphere: apresent view. The Global Circulation of the Atmosphere, London, Roy.Meteor. Soc., 3-23.
1969: How much better can weather prediction become? TechnologyRev.,July/August, 39-49.
1970: Climatic change as a mathematical problem. J. Appl.Meteor., 9, 325-329.
1970: Forecast for another century of weather progress. ACentury of Weather Progress. Amer.Meteor. Soc., 18-24.
1971: An N-cycle time-differencing scheme for stepwise numericalintegration. Mon. Wea. Rev., 99, 644-648.
1972: Investigating the predictability of turbulent motion. Statistical Models and Turbulence, Proceedings of symposium held at the University of California, San Diego, July 15-21, 1971, Springer-Verlag, pp. 195-204.
1972: Barotropic instability of Rossby wave motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 29,258-264.
1972: Low-order models representing realizations of turbulence. J. Fluid Mech., 55, 545-563.
1973: Predictability and periodicity: A review and extension. Proc. 3rd Conf. Prob. and Statis.in Atmos.Sci.,Amer.Meteor. Sci., 1-4.
1973: On the existence of extended range predictability. J. Appl.Meteor., 12, 543-546.
[no copy] 1975: Climatic predictability. GARP Publications Series, April, pp. 132-136.
1976: Nondeterministic theories of climatic change. QuarternaryRes., 6, 495-506.
1976: A rapid procedure for inverting del-square with certaincomputers. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 961-966.
[no copy] 1976: Limitations on weather prediction. Colloquium on Weather Forecasting and Weather Forecasts: Models, Systems, and Users, Boulder, CO., Notes from a Colloquium, vol:1 pp. 214 -218.
1977: An experiment in nonlinear statistical weather forecasting.Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 590-602.
1978: A reply to comments by Franz Fliri. Letter to the editor, University of Washington, 249-250.
1978: Available energy and the maintenance of a moist circulation. Tellus, 30, 15-31.
1979: Numerical evaluation of moist available energy. Tellus, 31,230-235.
1979: Forced and free variations of weather and climate. J. Atmos. Sci.,36, 1367-1376.
1979: On the prevalence of aperiodicity in simple systems. Global analysis, New York, Springer Verlag, 53-75.
1980: Noisy periodicity and reverse bifurcation. Ann.N.Y. Acad. Sci., 357, 282-291.
1980: Attractor sets and quasi-geostrophic equilibrium. J. Atmos. Sci.,37, 1685-1699.
1980: Nonlinear statistical weather prediction. [Abstract only]WMO Symposium on the Probabilistic and Statistical Methods in Weather Forecasting, Nice, Sept. 8-12, 1980, Collection of papers presented, Geneva, World Meteorological Organization, [1980]. pp. 3-8.
1982: Low-order models of atmospheric circulations. J.Meteor. Soc. Japan, 60, 1, 255-267.
1982: Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numericalmodel. Tellus, 34, 505-513.
1982: Some aspects of atmospheric predictability. European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Seminar 1981: problems and prospects in long and medium range weather forecasting, 14-18 September, Reading, Eng., March, 1982. pp. 1-20. 1982. Also in Problems and Prospects in Long and MediumRange Weather Forecasting (D. M. Burridge and E. Kallen, eds.), BerlinHeidelberg, Springer-Verlag, 1-20.
1983: A history of prevailing ideas about the general circulation ofthe atmosphere. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64, 730-734.
[1983: Crafoord Prize announcement. Tellus,36A, 97.]
1984: Formulation of a low-order model of a moist generalcirculation. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 1933-1945.
1984: Estimates of atmospheric predictability at medium range. Predictability of Fluid Motions (G. Holloway and B. West, eds.), NewYork, American Institute of Physics, 133-139.
1984: Irregularity: a fundamental property of the atmosphere. Crafoord Prize Lecture, presented at the RoyalSwedishAcademy of Sciences, Stockholm, September 28, 1983.Tellus, 36A, 98-110.
1984: The local structure of a chaotic attractor in four dimensions. Physica, 13D, 90-104.
1984: A very narrow spectral band. J. Stat. Phys., 36, 1-14.
1985: The growth of errors in prediction. In Turbulence andPredictability in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics and Climate Dynamics,Soc. Italiana di Fisica, Bologna, Italy, 243-265.
1985: Lyapunov numbers and the local structure of attractors. Physica, 17D, 279-294.
1986: The index cycle is alive and well. In Namias Symposium, Roads, J. O., ed. California. Univ., Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, SIO Reference 86-17, Aug., 1986. pp. 188-196. 1986.
1986: On the existence of a slow manifold. J. Atmos. Sci., 43, 1547-1557.
1986: Atmospheric models as dynamical systems. Perspectives inNonlinear Dynamics, World Scientific Publishing Co., 1-17.
1987: Deterministic and stochastic aspects of atmospheric dynamics. Irreversible Phenomena and Dynamical Systems Analysis inGeosciences. D. Reidel Publishing Co., 159-179.
1987: Low-order models and their uses. Irreversible Phenomenaand Dynamical Systems Analysis in Geosciences. D. Reidel PublishingCo., 557-567.
1987: On the nonexistence of a slow manifold (with V. Krishnamurthy). J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 2940-2950.
1989: Effects of analysis and model errors on routine weather forecasts. Ten Years of Medium-Range Weather Forecasting. Reading, England, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), pp. 115-128.
1989: Computational chaos: a prelude to computational instability. Physica, 35D, 299-317.
1990: Can chaos and intransitivity lead to interannual variability?Tellus, 42A, 378-389.
1990: Charney—a remarkable colleague. In The Atmosphere—a challenge, the science of Jule Gregory Charney, Lindzen, R. S., Lorenz, E. N., and Platzman, G. W., eds. Boston, MA, American Meteorological Society, pp. 89-91.
1991: Chaos, spontaneous climatic variations and detection of thegreenhouse effect. Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climatic Change: ACritical Appraisal of Simulations and Observations,M. E. Schlesinger, Ed. Elsevier Science Publishers B. V., Amsterdam,
pp. 445-453.
1991:The general circulation of the atmosphere: an evolvingproblem. Tellus, 43AB, 8-15.
1991:Dimension of weather and climate attractors. Nature, 353, 241-244.
1992: The slow manifold: What is it? J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 2449-2451.
[No copy]1993: The Essence of Chaos. Univ. of Washington Press,Seattle, 227 pp.
1996: The evolution of dynamic meteorology. Historical essays on meteorology 1919-1995, J. R. Fleming, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3—19.
1998: Optimal sites for supplementary weather observations: simulations with a small model (with K. A. Emanuel). J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 399-414.
[no copy]2005: Some reflections on the theoretical predictability of climate. [Abstract only] Ed Lorenz Symposium, San Diego, CA, 8-14 January. American Meteorological Society.
2005: Designing chaotic models. J. Atmos. Sci.,62, 1574-1587.
2005: A look at some details of the growth of initial uncertainties. Tellus,57A, 1-11.
2006: Predictability―a problem partly solved. In Predictability of Weather and Climate, ed. Tim Palmer and Renate Hagedorn. CambridgeUniversity Press, 40-58.
2006: Reflections on the conception, birth, and childhood of numerical weather prediction. Ann. Rev. Earth Planetary Sci.,34,37-45.
2006: An attractor embedded in the atmosphere. Tellus,58A, 425-429.
2006: Computational periodicity as observed in a simple system. Tellus,58A, 549-557.
2006: Regimes in simple systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 63,2056–2073. DOI: 10.1175/JAS3727.1
2008:Compound windows of the Hénon map. Physica D,237, 1689-1704.
2008: Reply to comment by L.-S. Yao and D. Hughes. Tellus. To be published.
MISCELLANEOUS (LECTURES, AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL WORKS, ETC.)
1970: Progress report on atmospheric predictability. Never printed.
1972: Limits of meteorological predictability. Prepared for the American Meteorological Society, February.
1972: ``Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wings in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas?'' Talk presented Dec. 29, AAAS Section on Environmental Sciences, New Approaches to Global Weather: GARP. Sheraton Park Plaza Hotel, Boston, Mass.
1979: Dynamical and empirical methods of weather forecasting. November. Unknown context.
[No copy] 1987: The Ideal Hadley Circulation: Fundamental Flow or Fairy Tale? [Starr lecture]
1991: Reply to questionnaire. For Kyoto Award.
1991: A scientist by choice. Kyoto Award lecture.
1997?: Climate is what you expect. [Prepared for publication by NCAR; unknown if actually printed. Possibly related to presentation at NCAR colloquiem, Applications of statistics to modeling the Earth’s climate system, November 1994.]
[No copy] [1999?: The simplest chaotic Hamiltonian system. Physica D. Withdrawn?]
[date unknown] Chaos and the weather forecast.
2007: Foreword. Empirical methods in short-term climate prediction, van den Dool, H., ed. Oxford University Press, pp. xi-xii.
2008: The butterfly effect. Premio Felice Pietro Chisesi e Caterina Tomassoni award lecture, University of Rome, Rome, April.
1