JAPANESE / US COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE: WIDTH AND DEPTH OF CO-ORDINATION
Hajime Oniki
Department of Economics, Osaka-Gakuin University, Osaka, Japan
INTRODUCTION
There is a remarkable difference in the overall performance of Japanese producers relative to American ones in the 1970-80s and in the 1990s. Japanese corporations performed very well in producing automobiles and electronic appliances in the 1970-80s, but they did quite poorly in producing personal computers (PC) and information-telecommunications (IT) services in the 1990s. This chapter attempts to explain the difference. First, a brief summary of the growth of the postwar Japanese economy is given with emphasis on the importance of strategic industries. The chapter then discusses the characteristics of the process by which each product or service is created, produced, and improved.
To lay a basis for the analysis in this chapter, we consider the co-ordination for production of workers of corporations. Two measures will be introduced to characterise co-ordination: width and depth. The width is the size of the range of co-ordination activities; it may be expressed by the number of workers who participate in the co-ordination in question. The depth is the average intensity of co-ordination activities; it may be represented by the degree to which co-ordinating workers understand each other. It is pointed out that the relative importance of the width and the depth of co-ordination differs depending on the characteristics of each product or service. On the one hand, the depth plays an important role in producing such goods as automobiles and electronic appliances. On the other hand, the width is more important in producing network-type goods such as PCs, hardware and software, and IT services.
The chapter then compares Japanese corporations with American ones with respect to the width and the depth of co-ordination. On average, the depth of co-ordination is greater in Japanese corporations, whereas the width of co-ordination is greater in American corporations. Thus, the difference in the performance of Japanese corporations between the 1970-80s and the 1990s came from the shift in the strategic industry of Japan from automobiles and electronic appliances to PCs and IT services. Comparative advantage of Japanese corporations was changed in accordance with the difference in the characteristics of co-ordination between the two countries. The chapter concludes with other explanations of the absence of comparative advantage in the PC and IT industries in Japan.
Background
This chapter is a case study inthe economic theory of organisation and information, in which Don Lamberton played a pioneering role in the 1970s and 1980s (Lamberton, 1971, 1988, 1992). The theory emphasises the importance of the flow of information to the functioning of various economic organisations, such as firms, corporations, governments, nonprofit institutions, and society as a whole (see Putterman and Kroszner, 1996; Buckley and Michie, 1996). Co-ordination is the form of work in economic organisations, and the flow of information is a primary means of co-ordination. This chapter presents an approach for characterising economic organisations by distinguishing wide and deep co-ordination. The distinction is related to, but not the same as, that of market and command, or that of centralisation and decentralisation.
Japanese organisations, particularly Japanese corporations, have drawn the attention of research scholars since the 1980s, because the performance of Japanese corporations in manufacturing, especially in automobiles and electronic appliances, was high inthe 1970s and 1980s. Attempts were made to explain the source of the high performance of Japanese corporations and the underlying structure of Japanese society was particularly investigated (for example, Johnson, 1982, 1995; Aoki, 1988; Wolferen, 1989). It was pointed out that Japanese style co-ordination, as was seen in tightly-formed workgroups, close relation between labour and management, and lifetime employment, contributed significantly to the high performance of Japanese corporations.
In the 1980s, the growth centre of the economy in advanced countries was shifted gradually from manufacturing to the PC and IT industries. This trend has been studied by a group of social scientists, Don Lamberton being an active leader in this research area (Lamberton, 1992a, 1993, 1995, 1995a). Recently, however, it was pointed out in Japan that the growth of the Japanese PC and IT industries was far slower than the growth of these industries in the US and in other advanced countries. Research workers have attempted to explain this observation, but no agreement has been reached as to its cause (Kokuryo, 1997; Methe et al., 1997; MPT, 1996). The main objective of this chapter is to provide an explanation of this observation from the standpoint of the distinction of deep and wide co-ordination.
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE IN THE JAPANESE ECONOMY
The role of strategic industries
The development of the Japanese economy during the postwar period depended on the success of a small number of strategic industries. The Japanese economy, at each stage of its development, was able to generate one or two strategic industries having the capability of exporting goods to the world market. In the 1950s, the textile industry was the driving force of the economy, and in the 1960s, shipbuilding became the most important exporting sector. The iron and steel industry was the source of development of the Japanese economy in the 1970s. Since the beginning of the 1980s, two industries (automobiles and electronic appliances) have been contributing to the Japanese economy as major strategic industries. What industries, if any, will become strategic to the Japanese economy in the coming age?
The determination of strategic industry depends on the level of technological development, the skill and the cost of the labour force, the availability of capital and money, and, above all, the structure of the world trade market. This is nothing but an application of the principle of comparative advantage inthe international division of labour. Until the middle of the 1980s, the core of the development of the Japanese economy was in the manufacturing sector, from which all of the Japanese strategic industries emerged. The sectoral composition in the overall economic trend was changed in the 1980s; the service sector, particularly the IT-related industries, became the main source of economic growth.
In the 1990s, the Japanese economy has not been able to find a new strategic industry; it is merely riding on the momentum from the past. A significant portion of the two strategic industries of the 1980s (the automobile and the electronic appliance industries) has moved to other East and Southeast Asian countries. Automobiles are still assembled in, and exported from, Japan, but a large portion of the parts of automobiles produced in Japan is imported today. Factories making electronic appliances have also moved out of Japan, although products with high value-added can still be produced competitively within Japan. It is clear that Japan is rapidly losing comparative advantage in automobiles and electronic appliances; without some new strategic industries, Japan will likely face a squeeze from the international balance of trade. In the worst case, the level of per capita GNP in Japan may start decreasing.
The PC and IT industries in Japan
The need for strategic industries has long been recognised by MITI (the Japanese Ministry of International Trade and Industry). For most of the industries strategic to the Japanese economy in the past, MITI adopted industrial policies, such as protection during the period of infancy and promotion of research and development. Most of MITI’s policies were successful and contributed greatly to the growth of the Japanese economy.
As early as the mid 1960s, MITI considered the computer industry (mainframe computers then) to be a potentially strategic industry for the Japanese economy. MITI, together with NTT (then the NTT Public Corporation), protected and subsidised the NTT family of manufacturers of telecommunications equipment so that they might become competitive producers of mainframes. As a consequence, major computer manufactures in Japan, such as NEC, Fujitsu, Hitachi, and Toshiba, survived within Japan despite the world-wide dominance by IBM. Further, starting in the late 1970s, MITI also subsidised research and development for LSI (large scale integrated circuits) by these manufacturers. Consequently, the productivity of LSI memories in Japan was raised significantly toward the middle of the 1980s to the extent that trade frictions took place between the US and Japan.
The personal computer industry was born in the beginning of the 1980s. During the fifteen years after its birth, the PC industry grew virtually from nothing to the size of the telecommunications industry or of the broadcast industry. As is widely known, the PC is a child of the mainframe computer. By the time the PC was born, the design and the operation of mainframe computers had been well developed. The distinction between hardware, operating systems, and applications software had already been established. The main objective at the time of the birth of the PC was how to create a new type of computer smaller in size, and cheaper in value, than mainframes. The drive for creating PCs was promoted by the emergence of LSI. In particular, the advent of the MPU (microcomputer processing unit, or CPU: central processing unit) was a key factor in the creation of PCs. Thus, at the time that the PC was first marketed in the US, inEuropean countries, and Japan, the idea of the PC today was already there. In short, it was considered to be a miniature of mainframes.
When the production of personal computers started in the early 1980s, however, MITI adopted virtually no industrial policy for the PC industry. The Japanese PC industry was thrust into a competitive environment, although MITI did not appreciate this. Probably, MITI was too busy with the LSI industry to extend protection to the emerging PC industry. MITI may have considered LSIs an indispensable element in almost all industrial activities, whereas the PC industry seemed to be just a branch application of LSIs. Also, MITI may have adopted no industrial policy for the PC industry because the PC was considered to be a miniature of mainfranies, which were the core of computer products.
There was an expectation in Japan that, because the future PC was considered to be a miniature of the mainframe, Japan would receive comparative advantage from predicting PCs. Japanese corporations were well known, by that time, for their capability in creating miniature products, such as transistor radios and portable tape recorders. Although Japanese corporations might not be able to create a new product or service from scratch, they were good at improving and trimming a product which had been produced and sold in the market. The PC at the beginning of the 1980s fitted this model perfectly. In addition, the PC was considered to be similar to electronic appliances, for which Japanese producers possessed comparative advantage. After all, the PC is a product made by assembling electric and electronic parts, as electronic appliances are.
Today, we know that this expectation did not materialise. Almost all major software products used in Japan are imported from the US, though the minor changes of rewriting the language from English to Japanese may be made in Japan. Second, the operating system is the monopoly of the Microsoft Corporation. Third, even in the area of hardware, Japanese products barely compete with US ones. New ideas in designing hardware and software seem to come exclusively from the US. The overall performance of the Japanese PC industry, when compared with that of other manufacturing industries, such as automobile and electronic appliances, is a disappointment to the Japanese. The objective of this chapter is to pursue an answer to the question: Why was the performance of the Japanese PC industry low relative to that of the American PC industry?
Computer software, telecommunications services, and other IT products and services were also considered in the early 1980s to be candidates for strategic industry status. Computer software is a product close to computer hardware; anyone who can produce computer hardware efficiently should be able to produce computer software efficiently. Telecommunications services can be viewed as an extension of computer services, too. First, for telecommunications, computerised equipment, such as smart terminals and digital switches, is widely used. Second, telecommunications networks combine computers (terminals). The properties possessed by computers should, therefore, be shared by telecommunications networks. Third, a telecommunications network may be viewed as a giant computer in which the functions are not concentrated in one geographic location, but distributed and dispersed in many distant locations. In the late 1980s and the early 1990s, a great deal of effort was concentrated on producing computers, software, and telecommunications services in Japan as efficiently as possible. The quality and the quantity of skilled labour devoted to producing them was remarkable. The outcome of these efforts devoted in the PC and other IT industries, however, was quite different from the outcome in the automobile and the electronic appliances industries.
CHARACTERISTICS OF PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
Determinants of comparative advantage
We will attempt to explain the presence and the absence of comparative advantage in Japan with such products as personal computers, telecommunications services, automobiles, and electronic appliances. This section is devoted to comparing the characteristics of each of these products. In the standard economics textbooks, it is stated that comparative advantage of a product is determined by technology and factor endowments. Such a statement may be appropriate to explain the difference in comparative advantage at large. Examples include the one between agriculture and manufacturing, or the one between lightweight manufacturing and heavyweight manufacturing. Here, however, we are concerned with comparative advantage of products classified into finer categories; say, personal computers and electronic appliances. For such a microscopic comparison, factor endowment, such as the capital-labour ratio, is not important; the main determinant of comparative advantage should be sought with some aspects of technology and management spelled out in more detail.
We need to consider technology and management for creating and developing a new product, for constructing a production system, and for improving the product and the production system. The level of technology and management appropriate for this kind of analysis depends on the quality and the type of technology-oriented workers and how they are organised. It should be the case that some difference in the characteristics between PCs and electronic appliances, on the one hand, and the level of technology and management of producer corporations, on the other hand, interact with each other to generate the presence or the absence of comparative advantage.
Comparison of the structure of products and services
Tables 1 and 2 list the products (and services) we will examine in this chapter. We are interested in PCs and IT-related products, such as telecommunications hardware/infrastructure and telecommunications software/services, as they are candidates for strategic industries for the Japanese economy in the future. For the sake of comparison, we also consider automobiles and electronic appliances, since Japan obtained comparative advantage in them in the 1980s. We also consider LSI (CPU and memories), since Japan also obtained imperfect comparative advantage in LSI memories in the 1980s, and LSI is an information-related product. Thus, we will consider eight products altogether: telecommunications hardware/infrastructure, telecommunications software/services, PC hardware, PC software, automobiles, electronic appliances, LSI used as the CPU for PCs, and LSI used for memories of PCs. We are interested in finding the presence of comparative advantages in Japan with automobiles and electronic appliances in the 1970-80s, and the absence of comparative advantages with telecommunications hardware/infrastructure, telecommunications software/services, PC hardware, and PC software in the 1980-90s.
In general, a product has many characteristics, such as physical properties, economic data, utility to users, characteristics in the production process, and so on. We are concerned with those characteristics which have direct relationships with the level of technology and management. In particular, we will compare these eight products from two standpoints: the structure of each of the products, and the characteristics of research and development for each of the products. In addition, we also compare each of the products in terms of institutional factors affecting free entry and promotion of competition. In the second row of each of Tables 1 and 2 is entered the location of comparative advantage for each of these products. The US has comparative advantage in telecommunications software/services, PC hardware and software, and LSI, particularly CPU. Japan has comparative advantage in automobiles and electronic appliances. Comparative advantage in telecommunications hardware/infrastructure and LSI for memories is shared between the US and Japan.
We first concentrate on the physical and the functional structure of each of the eight products. It is seen that the first six products in Table 1 are produced by combining parts or assembling components. Telecommunications hardware/infrastructure is a network system, which is composed of cables, switches, terminal equipment, and so on. PC hardware is far smaller than telecommunications hardware/infrastructure, but it is composed of components, too. Telecommunications software/services and PC software are software-type products. A software-type product is a collection of steps (for example, orders or instructions) to be followed by computer hardware (in the case of PC) or by a telecommunications network system (in the case of telecommunications services). Frequently, the steps composing a software-type product are grouped into a set of subprograms. Furthermore, sub-programs are grouped into upper-level programs, and so on; the entire system possesses a hierarchical structure. Unlike telecommunications hardware/infrastructure or PC hardware, the components of a software-type product are combined not physically, but informationally. As a consequence, as indicated in Table 1, the degree of flexibility of the interface among the components of a product differs depending on whether the product is assembled physically or assembled logically. Software interfaces are flexible so that a portion of a product can easily be changed or replaced. The same is true with telecommunications hardware/infrastructure or with PC hardware. The interface between their components, however, is less flexible; it needs more work to replace a part of the hardware product than a part of the software product.