Online Resource 11.Regional and National Wildfire Results by Region and Decade for All Models/Scenarios
Climatic Change Article: Quantifying and Monetizing Potential Climate Change Policy Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Wildfires in the UnitedStates
Authors: David Mills, Russell Jones, Karen Carney, Alexis St. Juliana, Richard Ready, Allison Crimmins, Jeremy Martinich,Kate Shouse, Benjamin DeAngelo,and ErwanMonier
Corresponding author: David Mills, Stratus Consulting Inc.,
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Table 11.1 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under IGSM-CAM WIND=1Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
IGSM-CAM WIND = 1, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / (126,451) / 33,644 / 148,477 / (389,034) / (234,203) / (157,496) / (107,092) / (342,226) / 51,105 / 307,261 / (816,016)
California South Ops / (684) / (770,639) / 147,961 / 497,630 / 339,866 / 1,399,436 / 1,455,714 / 633,576 / 934,707 / 1,360,775 / 5,998,342
East Basin / 16,439 / 416,767 / (1,384,604) / 1,727,698 / 1,045,080 / 294,471 / 2,973,638 / (1,229,251) / (424,922) / (2,735,189) / 700,128
Eastern Area / 894 / (3,509,510) / (790,897) / 2,430,367 / 10,604,919 / 1,216,049 / 4,364,965 / 5,801,048 / 913,732 / 1,251,833 / 22,283,400
Eastern Great Basin / (71,616) / (849,500) / 48,745 / 912,397 / 155,058 / (36,893) / 500,171 / (831,241) / 176,898 / (108,184) / (104,167)
Northern Rockies / (1,256,406) / 19,109 / 2,321,881 / (5,926,457) / 5,354,416 / (947,475) / 12,069,271 / 3,020,481 / 4,482,161 / 9,426,083 / 28,563,062
Northwest / (809,553) / 195,528 / (926,618) / 2,778,971 / (1,802,451) / 1,560,523 / (211,333) / (236,853) / 129,337 / 147,175 / 824,726
Rocky Mountain / (149,848) / 781,224 / (9,648,229) / 3,486,831 / 9,584,384 / (1,198,263) / 19,560,299 / (3,887,961) / (1,250,525) / 21,395,565 / 38,673,477
Southern Area / (1,879,977) / 13,264,239 / (5,141,663) / 11,278,328 / 6,519,160 / 673,634 / 1,274,883 / (4,560,407) / (4,084,916) / (3,832,162) / 13,511,120
Southwest / (137,693) / 4,314,894 / (3,430,909) / 2,920,479 / 3,688,305 / 8,868,206 / 596,054 / 6,960,125 / 5,028,677 / 6,221,172 / 35,029,311
Western Great Basin / (32,115) / 285,454 / 1,187,166 / 714,353 / 586,378 / (63,684) / 109,491 / (110,765) / 456,577 / 778,571 / 3,911,426
Total / (4,447,011) / 14,181,211 / (17,468,690) / 20,431,562 / 35,840,912 / 11,608,507 / 42,586,061 / 5,216,525 / 6,412,831 / 34,212,900 / 148,574,809
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005(low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / ($245) / $77 / $126 / ($355) / ($138) / ($82) / ($51) / ($102) / $10 / $38 / ($722)
California South Ops / ($1) / ($777) / $87 / $270 / $127 / $377 / $299 / $83 / $104 / $105 / $674
East Basin / $0 / $5 / ($9) / $7 / $3 / $1 / $7 / ($3) / ($0) / ($3) / $8
Eastern Area / $0 / ($332) / ($52) / $122 / $355 / $36 / $97 / $81 / $13 / $7 / $328
Eastern Great Basin / ($13) / ($147) / ($4) / $82 / $4 / $1 / $18 / ($26) / $2 / ($4) / ($88)
Northern Rockies / ($757) / ($149) / $920 / ($1,679) / $1,156 / ($35) / $1,513 / $218 / $291 / $440 / $1,918
Northwest / ($761) / $433 / ($545) / $1,235 / ($567) / $376 / ($47) / ($35) / $6 / $9 / $104
Rocky Mountain / ($77) / ($149) / ($3,458) / $940 / $1,571 / ($50) / $2,134 / ($489) / ($13) / $789 / $1,199
Southern Area / ($173) / $993 / ($354) / $455 / $200 / $23 / $37 / ($69) / ($42) / ($33) / $1,036
Southwest / ($33) / $873 / ($550) / $305 / $281 / $560 / $45 / $239 / $121 / $105 / $1,945
Western Great Basin / ($3) / $22 / $70 / $31 / $19 / ($2) / $2 / ($1) / $4 / $6 / $147
Total / ($2,064) / $849 / ($3,768) / $1,412 / $3,011 / $1,205 / $4,054 / ($104) / $495 / $1,459 / $6,549
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Table 11.2 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under IGSM-CAM WIND=13
Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
IGSM-CAM WIND = 13, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / 366,114 / (330,587) / (21,481) / 131,886 / 72,544 / 347,274 / 329,936 / (7,818) / 363,226 / 310,385 / 1,561,479
California South Ops / 329,181 / 686,211 / 66,084 / 458,553 / (167,120) / 606,098 / 1,129,646 / 557,359 / (537,244) / 862,795 / 3,991,561
East Basin / 377,411 / (619,844) / (87,624) / 2,281,053 / 835,122 / (3,256,939) / 378,521 / 481,893 / (2,036,943) / 1,452,340 / (195,012)
Eastern Area / 3,294,477 / (2,981,329) / (1,232,503) / 3,101,817 / 6,106,262 / (2,394,858) / 2,372,954 / 3,521,133 / (8,124,093) / 3,365,582 / 7,029,442
Eastern Great Basin / 1,012,962 / (735,107) / (468,098) / (509,611) / (595,542) / 91,289 / (571,455) / 986,759 / (2,053,956) / 27,934 / (2,814,824)
Northern Rockies / 4,554,205 / 2,297,623 / (6,639,307) / 1,771,751 / (355,531) / 4,911,912 / (878,135) / 8,225,050 / (3,659,844) / (3,202,221) / 7,025,504
Northwest / 850,204 / (1,342,136) / 390,378 / 2,510,252 / 257,035 / 3,070,971 / 2,855,409 / 1,406,952 / (165,384) / (1,149,808) / 8,683,872
Rocky Mountain / 5,938,935 / (654,418) / (19,488,934) / (252,612) / (2,315,616) / (4,779,562) / (2,872,277) / 24,203,509 / (12,256,984) / (8,981,393) / (21,459,351)
Southern Area / 564,847 / 2,407,705 / (2,818,481) / (622,309) / 3,675,215 / (4,143,402) / (206,722) / 2,078,762 / (1,640,544) / (3,351,523) / (4,056,454)
Southwest / 172,867 / 3,304,037 / (763,330) / 354,486 / 3,909,870 / (540,844) / 5,259,925 / 6,133,390 / 5,138,212 / 7,131,618 / 30,100,230
Western Great Basin / 77,777 / (1,005,395) / (389,401) / (90,507) / (440,042) / (119,043) / (642,765) / 392,605 / (1,797,730) / (82,093) / (4,096,594)
Total / 17,538,981 / 1,026,761 / (31,452,698) / 9,134,760 / 10,982,196 / (6,207,104) / 7,155,037 / 47,979,593 / (26,771,285) / (3,616,386) / 25,769,855
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005(low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / $709 / ($580) / ($50) / $90 / $49 / $177 / $111 / $3 / $72 / $46 / $628
California South Ops / $358 / $444 / $24 / $226 / ($98) / $161 / $257 / $80 / ($68) / $76 / $1,461
East Basin / $4 / ($8) / ($1) / $13 / $4 / ($10) / $2 / $1 / ($2) / $1 / $4
Eastern Area / $353 / ($308) / ($91) / $178 / $250 / ($63) / $57 / $59 / ($99) / $28 / $364
Eastern Great Basin / $191 / ($127) / ($74) / ($51) / ($41) / $0 / ($23) / $27 / ($40) / $1 / ($138)
Northern Rockies / $2,745 / $1,083 / ($2,697) / $467 / $138 / $787 / ($137) / $791 / ($211) / ($155) / $2,811
Northwest / $800 / ($1,109) / $144 / $906 / $67 / $752 / $472 / $181 / ($7) / ($86) / $2,119
Rocky Mountain / $3,043 / ($916) / ($6,831) / ($83) / ($387) / ($779) / ($114) / $2,088 / ($722) / ($385) / ($5,086)
Southern Area / $52 / $106 / ($188) / $17 / $141 / ($121) / $8 / $36 / ($15) / ($27) / $9
Southwest / $42 / $635 / ($178) / $80 / $355 / ($57) / $271 / $230 / $127 / $138 / $1,643
Western Great Basin / $7 / ($79) / ($25) / ($3) / ($15) / ($3) / ($11) / $5 / ($18) / ($0) / ($144)
Total / $8,303 / ($857) / ($9,969) / $1,841 / $462 / $845 / $891 / $3,503 / ($985) / ($362) / $3,671
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Table 11.3 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under IGSM-CAM WIND=14
Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
IGSM-CAM WIND = 14, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / 33,951.25 / 204,876 / 136,531 / (320,258) / 592,846 / (448,923) / 386,862 / (153,796) / 44,287 / 477,341 / 953,717
California South Ops / (12,053) / (494,231) / 255,132 / (381,062) / 875,658 / (674,067) / 745,634 / 271,306 / 1,054,808 / 1,702,505 / 3,343,630
East Basin / (861,488) / 1,382,431 / 7,691,627 / (3,501,115) / 246,887 / 2,556,924 / 456,041 / (28,616) / (972,434) / 304,292 / 7,274,549
Eastern Area / 79,517 / 1,823,243 / 17,222,210 / (8,909,518) / (2,743,838) / 4,383,158 / 2,120,738 / (1,324,887) / 521,109 / 285,861 / 13,457,591
Eastern Great Basin / (648,961) / 453,250 / 791,627 / (590,476) / (534,633) / 221,322 / 554,216 / (74,656) / (886,756) / 1,046,864 / 331,797
Northern Rockies / (435,539) / (1,108,671) / 3,614,887 / (5,788,446) / 3,581,260 / (2,917,442) / 7,304,312 / (3,385,089) / 871,035 / (385,176) / 1,351,130
Northwest / (66,548) / (1,582,336) / 2,482,069 / (3,013,228) / 1,462,015 / (394,482) / 477,572 / (999,843) / (598,294) / 41,125 / (2,191,949)
Rocky Mountain / 1,207,217 / (2,796,759) / 19,152,369 / (19,001,449) / (1,663,065) / 10,993,137 / 7,889,871 / 15,827,210 / (29,067) / (5,810,477) / 25,768,986
Southern Area / (519,155) / 2,748,737 / 19,655,186 / (7,836,524) / (3,746,860) / 10,754,994 / 2,574,302 / (179,004) / (864,415) / 1,605,056 / 24,192,317
Southwest / (140,355) / 4,072,549 / 3,597,998 / (5,192,134) / (3,579,429) / 7,313,180 / 5,694,662 / 7,519,204 / 8,616,004 / 7,434,983 / 35,336,664
Western Great Basin / 177 / (758,765) / (122,914) / (377,804) / (648,348) / (486,488) / (23,300) / (536,979) / 456,916 / 684,824 / (1,812,681)
Total / (1,363,237) / 3,944,323 / 74,476,722 / (54,912,015) / (6,157,506) / 31,301,314 / 28,180,910 / 16,934,849 / 8,213,193 / 7,387,197 / 108,005,751
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005(low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / $66 / $325 / $90 / ($324) / $398 / ($246) / $141 / ($45) / $11 / $76 / $491
California South Ops / ($13) / ($479) / $186 / ($210) / $329 / ($202) / $170 / $36 / $128 / $147 / $93
East Basin / ($10) / $14 / $56 / ($16) / $1 / $7 / $1 / ($0) / ($1) / $0 / $54
Eastern Area / $9 / $179 / $1,166 / ($389) / ($106) / $118 / $45 / ($21) / $8 / $1 / $1,008
Eastern Great Basin / ($122) / $87 / $68 / ($68) / ($37) / $13 / $23 / ($1) / ($15) / $14 / ($39)
Northern Rockies / ($263) / ($410) / $1,071 / ($1,423) / $853 / ($430) / $901 / ($306) / $58 / ($46) / $5
Northwest / ($63) / ($1,196) / $1,347 / ($1,359) / $486 / ($142) / $75 / ($151) / ($46) / ($4) / ($1,052)
Rocky Mountain / $618 / ($1,015) / $5,846 / ($4,163) / ($128) / $1,460 / $885 / $1,198 / ($7) / ($325) / $4,369
Southern Area / ($48) / $201 / $1,165 / ($381) / ($82) / $275 / $47 / ($4) / ($6) / $10 / $1,178
Southwest / ($34) / $872 / $521 / ($669) / ($269) / $513 / $278 / $257 / $220 / $143 / $1,832
Western Great Basin / $0 / ($55) / ($6) / ($16) / ($22) / ($11) / $0 / ($8) / $4 / $5 / ($108)
Total / $141 / ($1,478) / $11,509 / ($9,017) / $1,426 / $1,354 / $2,565 / $955 / $353 / $22 / $7,830
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Table 11.4 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under IGSM-CAM WIND=26
Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
IGSM-CAM WIND = 26, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / 2,445 / (262,808) / (178,050) / (171,523) / 23,676 / (31,123) / (89,208) / (194,132) / 11,402 / 298,448 / (590,874)
California South Ops / 37,852 / (69,789) / (582,369) / (254,086) / 177,329 / 1,854,395 / 474,950 / 108,941 / 743,603 / 807,616 / 3,298,441
East Basin / 1,073 / 1,372,745 / (333,340) / 1,967,082 / (3,174,083) / 5,729,176 / (1,931,229) / 597,126 / (2,209,195) / 1,905,648 / 3,925,005
Eastern Area / (1,121) / 4,783,221 / (1,126,715) / 9,477,254 / (6,447,063) / 25,394,153 / (3,263,687) / 2,559,474 / (3,283,237) / 6,494,469 / 34,586,749
Eastern Great Basin / (22,247) / (1,236,062) / 157,618 / 1,626,225 / (1,152,321) / (539,516) / (850,837) / 909,295 / 273,827 / (230,009) / (1,064,027)
Northern Rockies / (1,626,121) / 2,747,780 / 2,677,613 / 6,307,670 / (12,381,457) / 13,316,832 / (5,150,326) / 6,048,197 / 601,793 / 5,963,136 / 18,505,116
Northwest / (154,703) / 1,019,126 / 884,134 / 785,624 / (216,807) / 1,270,662 / 860,843 / (761,622) / 317,726 / 2,307,853 / 6,312,835
Rocky Mountain / (13,831,245) / 18,859,802 / 3,282,247 / 7,400,663 / (5,954,900) / 19,273,695 / (25,113,048) / 13,683,737 / (6,993,519) / 35,267,364 / 45,874,796
Southern Area / (541,804) / 5,152,786 / (3,080,622) / 588,867 / (304,535) / 5,976,671 / (10,588,990) / 6,740,903 / (2,706,594) / 432,629 / 1,669,311
Southwest / 100,608 / (3,618,785) / (320,673) / 1,593,206 / 2,187,971 / 3,635,446 / 2,632,855 / 6,995,722 / 3,357,363 / 2,991,117 / 19,554,830
Western Great Basin / (534) / (655,183) / (52,211) / (745,741) / (12,979) / (23,127) / 916,501 / 1,262,202 / 874,445 / 968,760 / 2,532,135
Total / (16,035,798) / 28,092,832 / 1,327,632 / 28,575,241 / (27,255,169) / 75,857,264 / (42,102,176) / 37,949,844 / (9,012,385) / 57,207,032 / 134,604,317
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005(low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / $5 / ($411) / ($191) / ($170) / $25 / ($11) / ($35) / ($53) / $5 / $38 / ($798)
California South Ops / $41 / ($44) / ($382) / ($129) / $81 / $508 / $108 / $17 / $90 / $71 / $362
East Basin / $0 / $13 / ($4) / $10 / ($12) / $17 / ($4) / $1 / ($3) / $2 / $20
Eastern Area / ($0) / $439 / ($77) / $454 / ($258) / $703 / ($72) / $41 / ($35) / $57 / $1,252
Eastern Great Basin / ($4) / ($197) / $24 / $137 / ($87) / ($32) / ($29) / $29 / $7 / ($3) / ($156)
Northern Rockies / ($980) / $1,544 / $1,320 / $1,710 / ($2,731) / $2,138 / ($593) / $605 / $14 / $329 / $3,356
Northwest / ($146) / $767 / $492 / $302 / ($72) / $303 / $184 / ($69) / $43 / $191 / $1,995
Rocky Mountain / ($7,086) / $9,298 / $1,304 / $1,784 / ($1,128) / $2,590 / ($2,556) / $1,102 / ($381) / $1,592 / $6,519
Southern Area / ($50) / $434 / ($194) / $21 / ($17) / $138 / ($191) / $91 / ($30) / $3 / $206
Southwest / $24 / ($718) / ($35) / $119 / $187 / $224 / $124 / $251 / $80 / $61 / $318
Western Great Basin / ($0) / ($50) / ($3) / ($35) / ($0) / ($0) / $17 / $17 / $9 / $7 / ($38)
Total / ($8,195) / $11,074 / $2,254 / $4,204 / ($4,011) / $6,578 / ($3,046) / $2,030 / ($200) / $2,349 / $13,036
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Table 11.5 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under IGSM-CAM WIND=28
Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
IGSM-CAM WIND = 28, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / (134,638) / (7,279) / (72,277) / (398,466) / (260,766) / (103,004) / (109,540) / (73,293) / (376,135) / 643,609 / (891,790)
California South Ops / 67,327 / 889,387 / 1,609,392 / 116,285 / 770,530 / (321,662) / 210,762 / 758,142 / (28,238) / 1,000,129 / 5,072,052
East Basin / 2,756 / (371,034) / (364,602) / (2,456,059) / 977,998 / 2,048,001 / (259,862) / (2,796,788) / 4,415,901 / 2,906,851 / 4,103,162
Eastern Area / 43,799 / (3,955,851) / 2,125,622 / (1,857,858) / 6,177,350 / 6,830,209 / (3,272,917) / (9,667,522) / 9,019,009 / 12,631,575 / 18,073,417
Eastern Great Basin / (70,511) / 1,006,591 / 694,185 / 707,997 / (558,094) / 389,434 / 1,999,157 / (347,089) / 968,270 / 723,001 / 5,512,942
Northern Rockies / (197) / (5,051,444) / 7,152,893 / (1,588,677) / 6,770,945 / 6,250,495 / 7,804,450 / (2,517,156) / 6,099,504 / 8,267,272 / 33,188,084
Northwest / (32,928) / (249,570) / 2,276,417 / (292,137) / (46,902) / 3,284,948 / 1,763,580 / 2,471,807 / 209,222 / 2,271,502 / 11,655,940
Rocky Mountain / 33,176 / 5,075,587.52 / (4,835,630) / 8,066,918 / 733,397 / 19,369,348 / 6,247,543 / 1,654,453 / 12,472,785 / 23,790,694 / 72,608,271
Southern Area / 185,257 / 8,202,956 / (6,030,119) / 1,626,140 / (4,081,109) / 692,702 / 3,917,541 / (8,452,655) / 5,521,462 / 1,362,177 / 2,944,351
Southwest / (387,825) / 569,252 / (1,936,672) / (3,099,824) / 3,161,115 / 2,591,279 / 3,573,293 / 11,466,904 / 6,330,249 / 9,356,118 / 31,623,889
Western Great Basin / 118,165 / 2,874,994 / 2,120,112 / 3,277,928 / 1,177,500 / 1,323,016 / (318,750) / (636,732) / 283,696 / 1,338,169 / 11,558,099
Total / (175,620) / 8,983,590 / 2,739,320 / 4,102,247 / 14,821,964 / 42,354,766 / 21,555,256 / (8,139,930) / 44,915,725 / 64,291,096 / 195,448,414
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005(low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / ($261) / ($65) / ($141) / ($357) / ($172) / ($53) / ($23) / ($13) / ($70) / $107 / ($1,049)
California South Ops / $73 / $806 / $1,065 / $33 / $313 / ($105) / $32 / $129 / ($4) / $86 / $2,428
East Basin / $0 / ($5) / ($2) / ($12) / $5 / $6 / ($0) / ($3) / $5 / $2 / ($5)
Eastern Area / $5 / ($392) / $134 / ($78) / $236 / $185 / ($68) / ($130) / $102 / $97 / $92
Eastern Great Basin / ($13) / $147 / $67 / $41 / ($33) / $12 / $71 / ($10) / $20 / $8 / $311
Northern Rockies / ($0) / ($2,691) / $2,309 / ($621) / $1,532 / $889 / $864 / ($164) / $401 / $380 / $2,898
Northwest / ($31) / ($328) / $1,232 / ($279) / $53 / $727 / $314 / $366 / $45 / $178 / $2,277
Rocky Mountain / $17 / $1,735 / ($1,993) / $1,818 / $310 / $2,509 / $555 / $246 / $683 / $874 / $6,754
Southern Area / $17 / $557 / ($387) / $69 / ($114) / $21 / $82 / ($99) / $61 / $9 / $217
Southwest / ($94) / $92 / ($331) / ($399) / $267 / $172 / $177 / $411 / $175 / $177 / $647
Western Great Basin / $11 / $218 / $124 / $142 / $39 / $31 / ($5) / ($9) / $3 / $10 / $565
Total / ($277) / $73 / $2,076 / $358 / $2,436 / $4,394 / $2,000 / $723 / $1,421 / $1,929 / $15,133
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Table 11.6 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under CCSM
Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
CCSM, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / 7,693 / (35,455) / 38,923 / (45,843) / 117,131 / (72,152) / 204,017 / 302,637 / 77,437 / 2,954 / 597,343
California South Ops / (14,466) / (78,325) / (104,245) / 130,542 / 319,123 / 781,938 / 397,436 / 679,149 / 1,022,124 / 857,011 / 3,990,287
East Basin / 0 / 482 / 16 / (872,735) / (144) / 161 / 95 / (894) / (416,243) / 578 / (1,288,683)
Eastern Area / 877 / 3,144 / 14,345 / (133,453) / 5,426 / (6,770) / 798,995 / 220,398 / 90,838 / (1,580) / 992,221
Eastern Great Basin / (85,734) / 77,604 / (54,072) / (140,354) / 494,811 / 551,384 / 518,148 / 851,062 / 771,699 / 1,678,718 / 4,663,265
Northern Rockies / 15,040 / 412,661 / 166,982 / 1,275,632 / 103,502 / 3,516,041 / 1,801,152 / 3,496,529 / 2,928,571 / 5,265,675 / 18,981,787
Northwest / (51,181) / (240,269) / 243,749 / 300,608 / 1,189,187 / 1,150,128 / 1,996,296 / 1,759,485 / 4,600,279 / 3,509,471 / 14,457,752
Rocky Mountain / (220,967) / 984,287.28 / (217,130) / 7,468 / 320,038 / 2,498,460 / 4,256,563 / 4,827,167 / 4,605,740 / 5,201,269 / 22,262,897
Southern Area / (154,060) / (441,231) / 191,994 / (734,160) / (16,841) / 538,548 / 2,137,295 / 2,559,465 / (977,317) / 2,057,859 / 5,161,551
Southwest / 207,818 / (86,756) / (484,250) / 374,905 / 968,791 / 1,485,787 / 3,041,582 / 3,507,885 / 4,398,254 / 4,745,665 / 18,159,680
Western Great Basin / (27,045) / (26,661) / (18,737) / 112,953 / 128,307 / 85,041 / 476,563 / 484,848 / 368,429 / 1,071,927 / 2,655,625
Total / (322,022) / 569,481 / (222,426) / 275,563 / 3,629,331 / 10,528,565 / 15,628,142 / 18,687,734 / 17,469,812 / 24,389,547 / 90,633,725
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005 (low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / $20 / ($55) / $47 / ($41) / $85 / ($36) / $63 / $83 / $13 / ($2) / $177
California South Ops / ($14) / ($77) / ($95) / $67 / $120 / $223 / $87 / $108 / $121 / $75 / $617
East Basin / $0 / $0 / $0 / ($5) / ($0) / $0 / $0 / ($0) / ($0) / $0 / ($5)
Eastern Area / $0 / $0 / $1 / ($7) / $0 / ($0) / $16 / $3 / $1 / ($0) / $15
Eastern Great Basin / ($17) / $15 / ($8) / ($15) / $32 / $28 / $18 / $23 / $16 / $25 / $117
Northern Rockies / $10 / $198 / $75 / $374 / $22 / $523 / $196 / $301 / $194 / $248 / $2,140
Northwest / ($63) / ($186) / $139 / $144 / $416 / $293 / $359 / $237 / $471 / $262 / $2,072
Rocky Mountain / ($113) / $473 / ($66) / $24 / $35 / $334 / $413 / $365 / $253 / $209 / $1,927
Southern Area / ($7) / ($33) / $17 / ($33) / ($1) / $12 / $34 / $30 / ($10) / $15 / $25
Southwest / $62 / ($19) / ($78) / $44 / $85 / $95 / $140 / $119 / $112 / $93 / $653
Western Great Basin / ($3) / ($2) / ($1) / $5 / $4 / $2 / $8 / $7 / $4 / $8 / $31
Total / ($125) / $314 / $32 / $558 / $800 / $1,474 / $1,333 / $1,276 / $1,174 / $933 / $7,768
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
Table 11.7 POL3.7 impacts on area burned under MIROC
Region / 2001–2010 / 2011–2020 / 2021–2030 / 2031–2040 / 2041–2050 / 2051–2060 / 2061–2070 / 2071–2080 / 2081–2090 / 2091–2100 / Total
MIROC, reduction in hectares burned with POL3.7 (REF – POL3.7), no discounting
California North Ops / (68,274) / 27,527 / 7,520 / (20,617) / 44,374 / 104,474 / (130,454) / 183,862 / 217,747 / 205,886 / 572,043
California South Ops / 6,464 / (40,621) / 64,848 / (128,001) / 490,723 / 151,675 / 630,505 / 739,141 / 703,365 / 707,959 / 3,326,060
East Basin / 0 / (106) / 234,315 / 144,293 / (78,572) / 630,512 / 145,860 / 537,276 / 222,456 / 68,804 / 1,904,836
Eastern Area / (228,671) / 215,984 / (497,440) / (337,774) / 194,306 / 1,013,647 / 1,870,299 / 1,002,791 / 1,581,868 / 609,751 / 5,424,761
Eastern Great Basin / (97,565) / 400,629 / 251,728 / 599,586 / 481,613 / 198,165 / 466,731 / 204,288 / (212,298) / 1,300,731 / 3,593,608
Northern Rockies / 124,065 / (90,242) / 579,175 / 215,893 / 790,886 / 3,396,112 / (190,562) / 2,304,244 / 1,229,995 / 2,975,949 / 11,335,517
Northwest / 240,083 / 473,373 / 145,947 / 347,648 / 426,812 / 2,027,237 / (209,637) / 1,449,420 / 2,370,600 / 2,135,200 / 9,406,682
Rocky Mountain / 330,168 / 1,111,800 / 1,571,996 / (1,000,169) / 1,670,425 / 3,951,916 / 4,187,327 / 1,863,825 / 4,864,846 / 4,983,114 / 23,535,248
Southern Area / (142,273) / (351,234) / 32,655 / 371,083 / 50,518 / 2,819,651 / 635,658 / 4,569,483 / 2,945,859 / 8,161,656 / 19,093,055
Southwest / (16,683) / (176,643) / 241,340 / (303,071) / 191,609 / 381,885 / (18,813) / 954,222 / 1,954,390 / 2,239,810 / 5,448,046
Western Great Basin / 26,645 / 17,563 / (50,121) / 51,988 / (189,550) / 86,988 / (214,034) / (125,571) / (372,318) / 968,553 / 200,144
Total / 173,958 / 1,588,031 / 2,581,963 / (59,141) / 4,073,145 / 14,762,261 / 7,172,880 / 13,682,980 / 15,506,510 / 24,357,412 / 83,840,000
Reduction in wildfire response cost in discounted millions of US$ 2005(low response cost), discounted to year 2015 base at 3.0%
California North Ops / ($135) / $53 / $4 / ($16) / $32 / $51 / ($36) / $50 / $46 / $31 / $79
California South Ops / $13 / ($48) / $38 / ($77) / $184 / $42 / $141 / $115 / $78 / $60 / $548
East Basin / $0 / ($0) / $1 / $1 / ($0) / $2 / $0 / $1 / $0 / $0 / $6
Eastern Area / ($32) / $19 / ($30) / ($16) / $7 / $29 / $39 / $15 / $18 / $5 / $54
Eastern Great Basin / ($15) / $63 / $29 / $47 / $30 / $12 / $18 / $5 / ($4) / $19 / $203
Northern Rockies / $77 / ($39) / $202 / $33 / $165 / $505 / ($42) / $200 / $88 / $134 / $1,324
Northwest / $259 / $337 / $113 / $105 / $125 / $492 / ($31) / $192 / $239 / $160 / $1,991
Rocky Mountain / $172 / $496 / $471 / ($232) / $292 / $541 / $407 / $144 / $271 / $193 / $2,755
Southern Area / ($15) / ($23) / $8 / $17 / $1 / $69 / $10 / $55 / $30 / $56 / $207
Southwest / ($2) / ($36) / $38 / ($37) / $26 / $27 / $0 / $33 / $52 / $44 / $145
Western Great Basin / $3 / $2 / ($3) / $3 / ($6) / $2 / ($4) / ($1) / ($4) / $7 / ($2)
Total / $325 / $823 / $873 / ($173) / $855 / $1,773 / $503 / $809 / $813 / $709 / $7,311
Totals may not sum due to rounding.
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