TammyTomczyk, ASA

© 2003 GRASP Study Manuals

OVERVIEW OF THE MANUAL

When I sat for the SOA Course 8M exam, I found that no one had yet developed a thorough, comprehensive study guide. As a result, I had to create my own detailed set of notes. Having an infant daughter and a 2 ½ year old son, I knew that my study time would be limited. Therefore, I summarized all of the material so that I would be able thoroughly review the entire syllabus several times.

As part of my exam preparation, I also created a set of integrated lists, comparative tables, and developed several practice problems. Those notes that helped me pass the exam formed the basis for this study guide. I hope that they will benefit you as much as they did me. Below is a description of what you will find in the manual.

  1. Detailed Outline of the Core Readings
  • This section outlines each chapter and study note included on the syllabus. The material within each chapter is presented in the same order as it appears in the original readings, which makes it easy to look something up when you need to refer back to the source for greater detail. The objective was to provide enough detail here so that reference back to the readings them selves would be minimal (that Managed Care Handbook is heavy to carry around). At the same time, I confined my notes to the material as presented, including extra detail only where it was needed to clarify a complex topic.
  1. Condensed Outline
  • This section mirrors the detailed outline with respect to the order that the material is presented. Subject matter remains grouped by the chapter that it was presented, however all of the supporting detailed explanations have been excluded, leaving only the major points from each chapter. This section is great for memorization.
  1. Integrated Lists
  • This section takes list type information that overlaps between multiple readings and combines it. For example, rather than memorize a list of characteristic for underwriting groups and another list of characteristics for underwriting individuals, I created one list of underwriting characteristics since the two separate lists have many items in common. Then, at exam time if a question is asked only about group underwriting, I could pick from that list the items that apply to groups. The condensed outline is good for determining which list items apply in each case.
  1. Summary Comparison Tables
  • This section contains a group of tables for topics where a “Compare the advantages and disadvantages of ……” question could be asked. It includes only the major points and is great for memorizing. There are also tables that compare different methods or models. For example, a table that compares characteristic of case management with disease management.
  1. Practice Problems
  • While there are no real complex formulas to memorize for this exam, there are quite a few exam points allocated to math problems. Most of the material implicitly, rather than explicitly, leads to the potential for math type questions. This section is a group of practice problems that I created for myself when studying. With reservation, I have included suggested solutions, however they are based on my interpretation of the readings as many of the them do not present actual problems, but rather the background needed to solve a problems.

Canadian Handbook of Flexible Benefits

Chapter 2 – Elements of Flexible Benefits

A flexible benefit plan allows employees to decide among types of benefits, levels of coverage, and forms of compensation.

Design Approaches

  1. Opt-Up-or-Down
  • Employer pays for specified level of benefits
  • Opt-down and receive credits
  • Opt-up and pay with payroll deduction or credits from opting down elsewhere
  1. Core + Options + Credits
  • Choose from a range of options with the lowest being the core (needed from a public relations standpoint)
  • Pay for options with employer credits or payroll deductions
  1. Health Care Expense Account
  • Added to a flex plan
  • Employer funds in Canada; in US employee can contribute too
  • Used for unreimbursed health care expenses
  • Provides benefits on a tax free basis
  1. Combination
  • Core + options + credits + health care expense account

Advantages of Flex Plans to Employers

  1. Allows for management of costs
  2. Meets the diverse needs of employees
  3. Allows offering a greater variety of benefits
  4. Perceived value added
  5. Tax advantages

Sources of Funds for Choice Making System

  1. Rearrangement of Existing Dollars
  • Allows employees to increase/decrease benefits in specific areas
  • Opt-up-or-down approach

Canadian Handbook of Flexible Benefits

Chapter 2 – Elements of Flexible Benefits

  1. Cutback From Existing Level
  • Core + option + credit approach
  • Used when current benefits exceed employee, needs or cannot be afforded
  • Core benefits are offered along with additional credits to buy new benefits
  1. Introduction of New Money
  • Employee money through payroll deduction
  • Employer money as a flat dollar, percent of salary, or profit related

Pre-tax vs. After Tax Deductions

  • Pre-tax credits are more powerful
  • Credits are taxed based upon how they are spent
  • Credits used to purchase life insurance are taxable income to the employee

Areas of Choice

Medical

  • Benefits are fairly constant with choice among deductible, coinsurance, managed care, and maximums

Term Life

  • Options can vary by age/gender or be a flat rate
  • Employee contributions can be pre-tax or post-tax

Disability

  • Choices include employee vs. employer contributions and tax implications, pay replacement levels, and waiver

Vacation Time

  • buying and selling vacation days
  • Some employers only allow one or the other

Special Considerations

1. Adverse Selection

  • Employees choose options that provide the most coverage at the least cost, based upon their anticipated use
  • Can be controlled through the design of a flexible program

Canadian Handbook of Flexible Benefits

Chapter 2 – Elements of Flexible Benefits

Methods to Control Antiselection

  1. Restrict drastic changes in coverage from year to year
  2. Subsidize cost to encourage broad participation for some coverages
  3. Credit less than full value for waivers
  4. Group coverages with predictable expense with those that are less predictable
  5. Use health care expense accounts for predictable expenses

2. Waivers of Coverage

  • May be limited to certain areas
  • May not be allowed below a core level

Health Care Expense Accounts

  • Employee directs credits into their account each year
  • Changes throughout the year are not allowed unless there is a family status change
  • Eligible expenses are submitted by the employee for reimbursement and paid from the account
  • In Canada, Contributions cannot come from employee payroll deductions and maintain tax favorable status
  • In the US, unused deposits at the end of the year are forfeited
  • In Canada, unused deposits at the end of the year may be forfeited or carried forward
  1. If election is made to carry forward unused deposits, unused deposits can be carried forward one year and offset against expenses from the next year
  2. If election is made to carry forward expenses, unused deposits are forfeited at the end of the year but expenses in excess of deposits can be carried forward one year to be offset against deposits from the next year

Sources of Funds

  • Employer contributions
  • Credits from tradeoffs
  • Salary reductions (U.S. only)

Types of Benefits

  • Deductibles
  • Coinsurance
  • Vision care
  • Orthodontia

Canadian Handbook of Flexible Benefits

Chapter 2 – Elements of Flexible Benefits

Health Care Expense Accounts are Popular Because:

  • Allows expansion of benefits offered to employees with little or no additional cost to the employer
  • Encourages employees to self-insure predictable expenses, thus reducing adverse selection
  • Tax benefits

Actuarial Standards of Practice #18

Long Term Care Insurance

Purpose – standard for designing, pricing, funding or evaluating LTC

Scope – individual and group, riders, self insured plans

Select Definitions

Activities of Daily Living (ADLs)

  • Basic functions used to measure personal functionality (eating, toileting, bathing)

Long Term Care

  • A range of health services including:
  1. Adult Day Care
  • Social and health services provided in a group setting outside the home
  1. Custodial Care
  • Care to help a person perform ADLs provided by people without professional medical skills
  • Performed in many settings (home, nursing home, assisted living facilities
  1. Home Care
  • Skilled nursing or therapy received in the home
  1. Hospice Care
  • Care for terminally ill people and counseling for their families
  1. Intermediate Nursing Care
  • Daily, but not 24-hour nursing care
  • Often involves a lot of custodial care
  1. Respite Care
  • Temporary care that allows volunteers and family members a break from care
  1. Skilled Nursing Care
  • Care provided by nurses and therapists, but generally not in a hospital

Coverage and Plan Features

  • Consider eligibility, covered services, benefit amounts, and payment duration

Plan features needing special attention

  1. Acceleration of benefits under a life policy
  2. Other product providing LTC benefits
  3. Other programs providing LTC benefits such as HMOs, PPOs, EPOs, etc.
  4. Services provided by retirement communities

Actuarial Standards of Practice #18

Long Term Care Insurance

Assumption Setting

  • Consider experience data and adjust for expected changes
  • Consider appropriate provisions for adverse deviation
  1. Morbidity
  • Should be consistent with plan features
  • Consider incidence, termination, and benefits when estimating claim costs

Considerations for setting claims costs:

  1. Cost varies by type of benefit (nursing home, home care, etc.)
  2. There is a substitution effect among benefits
  3. Demand increases when there is insurance
  4. Consider benefits available from other programs
  5. The availability of LTC services impacts utilization and therefore cost
  6. Selection
  7. Mortality
  1. Mortality
  • Consider selection and classification
  • Select an appropriate mortality table
  1. Voluntary Lapse
  • Consider the method of marketing, product and premium competitiveness, premium mode, payment method, nonforfeiture benefits
  1. Expenses
  • Should be consistent with the business plan and method of delivery
  1. Taxes
  • Be consistent with the tax reserve basis of the plan
  • Consider all types (premium tax, income tax, etc)
  1. Investment Income
  • Be consistent with the return on the assets that support the products
  1. Mix-of-Business
  • Reflect the age, gender, marital status, distribution system, underwriting class, and plan options of anticipated distribution

Actuarial Standards of Practice #18

Long Term Care Insurance

  1. Change-Over-Time Assumptions
  • Reflect expected changes in the assumptions

Premium Rate Recommendations

  • Required reserves include:Premium Reserves

Contract Reserves

Claim Reserves

  • Can use the same method as health insurance

Sensitivity Testing

  • Do prior to finalizing the assumptions
  • Do more testing for less credible assumptions

Cash Flow Testing

  • Important because of the long term nature of benefits

Experience Monitoring

  • Compare the prior assumptions with emerging experience
  • Assess implications of any differences
  • If industry data are used, apply new data in a timely fashion

Communication and Disclosure

  1. Documentation
  • Assumptions, processes used and data sources
  1. Disclosure
  • Disclose the sensitivity of actuarial work to variations in assumptions
  1. Actuarial Opinion
  • This ASOP doesn’t require an actuarial opinion

Reasons LTC Work is Challenging

  1. Data is limited
  2. Benefits change rapidly
  3. New financing approaches
  4. UW, marketing, and claim payment practices vary under different LTC plans

Actuarial Standards of Practice #18

Long Term Care Insurance

  1. Changes in consumer behavior
  • Changes in utilization as more insurance in available
  • Control of nursing home beds
  • Medical advances
  • Attitudes toward nursing homes
  • Divorce rates
  • Government funding
  • New LTC services

Provisions in LTC Plans

  1. Eligibility
  • An elimination period may have to be satisfied
  • Must show medical necessity
  • Must use covered services
  1. Covered Services
  • May be integrated into one lifetime maximum
  1. Benefit Amount
  • Can be fixed or related to cost
  1. Benefit Duration
  • Consecutive days
  • Benefit days covered
  • Maximum dollar benefit

Other Features Affecting the Cost

  • Alternative plan of care provision (covers substitutes)
  • Shortened benefit periods from a non-forfeiture option
  • Restoration of benefits
  • Provider discounts

Existing Practice

  • Reliance on noninsured data and emerging experience for pricing
  • Much sensitivity testing is done due to long term nature of benefits
  • There is a sensitivity to cash flow requirements and investment strategies

SN 8GM – 206 - 00

Variation by Duration in Small Group Medical Claims
Overview
  • Study measures variation in small group costs by duration
  • Claims costs vary by duration since issue as a result of underwriting and pre-existing condition limitations
  • Claims were adjusted to remove differences due to benefits, area, time period and demographics

Study Results:- Claim costs rise for 4-6 years and then level out

- Guarantee issue business has higher claims cost than underwritten business

- Highest claims were for the smallest and largest groups (claims cost by size exhibit a U-shaped pattern)

- Absence of pre-ex results in higher costs later on

Methodology
  1. Participating Companies
  • 7 companies in small group market
  • data from 1988 and 1989 with runout through early 1991
  1. Data Collection Guidelines
  • Data was collected by month for the first 3 years, then by year for years 4-6, then grouped 7+
  • Separated by underwriting method, group size, and pre-ex limitation
  1. only groups size 1 – 25 were studied
  2. major medical plans with deductibles <= $500
  3. incurred claims before reinsurance were used
  4. duration is number of months since issue
  5. exposure was broken into single vs. other categories
  6. pre-ex grouped by # of months of required coverage before pre-existing conditions are covered

SN 8GM – 206 - 00

Variation by Duration in Small Group Medical Claims
  1. Data Adjustments
  1. Benefits
  • 52 broad categories of adjustment factors were developed
  1. Area
  • 3 digit zip code adjustment factors were used
  1. Trend
  • 13% annually
  1. Demographics
  • Age, sex, family status
  1. Data Credibility and Limitations
  • Short form underwriting includes no pre-ex
  • All guarantee issue has 12 month pre-ex
  • Some newly underwritten employees are included at each duration
  1. Exposure
  • 70% was short form underwritten
  • 1/3 was size 2-4, 1/3 was size 5-9
  • 92% had 12 month pre-ex

SN 8GM – 206 - 00

Variation by Duration in Small Group Medical Claims

Results

  • Driven by underwriting method, size, and pre-existing limitations that are applied
  • Composite of single and family costs were used
  1. Underwriting Method

Durational Adjustment

  • Long and short forms are steep in the first two years, then level off. (About a 30% lower claim cost in the first year vs. the second year)
  • Guarantee issue doubles in the second year and then levels off at its ultimate claim level

Claim Cost

  • Guarantee issue has significantly higher claim costs in the first three years, but ultimate runs at about the same level as underwritten business

SN 8GM – 206 - 00

Variation by Duration in Small Group Medical Claims
  1. Size

Durational Adjustment

  • The same general durational pattern applies for all sizes, given the underwriting method is the same
  • Small groups have a somewhat steeper slope in the early years


Claim Cost

  • Claim costs exhibit a U-shaped pattern by group size
  • Groups size 5 – 9 have the lowest claim cost

SN 8GM – 206 - 00

Variation by Duration in Small Group Medical Claims
  1. Pre-Existing Condition Limitation

Durational Adjustment

  • The durational slope for groups with no pre-ex limitation is steeper than for those that have a 12 month pre-ex limitation

Claim Cost

  • Consistency in the first 2 years between no pre-ex and 12 month pre-ex
  • No pre-ex policies have significantly higher costs in the later years

  • TSAXXXIV

Cumulative Anti-Selection Theory

The study assumes that a large group of people are all underwritten at time zero. Due to underwriting, all people included are healthy at time zero. As time passes people’s health deteriorates.

The Classical Model assumes that individual’s claims follow a durational curve, with low claims immediately after being underwritten, and increasing as time passes.

The Cumulative Antiselection (CAST) Model assumes that people are either select (healthy) or impaired (unhealthy). Everyone is select at the time of underwriting. Over time, people move from healthy to impaired, impaired to healthy, or merely lapse from the group. This model assumes that as time passes and some people begin to become unhealthy, more of the healthy people lapse as a result of rate increase.

Reasons loss ratios on mature health blocks begin to decay:

  • Insured are more able to quantify the probability of a health claim than a life claim
  • Lapse rates are higher and impaired lives remain covered

Definitions and Assumptions

  • Separate the block into two groups, healthy and unhealthy lives
  • Assume the select period is the duration of the policy
  • Total claims are an increasing function of duration
  • Claim costs for healthy and impaired groups are only a function of attained age

Active Lives

alx = number of active healthy lives

ilx = number of active impaired lives

lx = alx + ilx = total number of lives

il[x] = 0 as a result of underwriting

Claim Costs

aS[x] + t = claims cost in year t for the al[x] + t people in the active healthy population

iS[x] + t = claims cost in year t for the il[x] + t people in the active impaired population

iS[x] + t = k2 * aS[x] + t

k2 is the ratio of impaired claim costs to healthy claim costs (e.g. if an impaired person generates 2.5 times as many claims as a healthy person, then k2 would be 2.5)

TSAXXXIV

Cumulative Anti-Selection Theory

k2does not vary with [x] and t

The antiselect period is the period during which the claim costs exceed the “ultimate” claims costs