BULLETIN ITEM: Earth Changes Bulletin Update As of September 28 2005

BULLETIN ITEM: Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of October 12 2005

[ECB, Black Canyon City Arizona, October 12, 2005, 23:00:00 UTC]

CRITICAL ALERTS:

· DANGER OF MAJOR QUAKE ACTIVITY IN THE AEGEAN – NEPAL SEISMIC BELT REMAINS HIGH THROUGH TO OCTOBER 19. GREATER ACTIVITY THAN SEEN SO FAR IN KASHMIR IS POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN THE AEGEAN-NEPAL SEISMIC BELT.

· SOLAR VORTEX IS FLATLINE MILD AFTER ONLY A SLIGHT RISE IN ACTIVITY LAST WEEK. ACTIVITY SHOULD RISE SUBSTANTIALLY FOR THE NEXT 7-25 DAYS.

· WEATHERFRONTS ARE ABOUT AS WEAK AS THEY ARE GOING TO BE FOR OCTOBER, STORM STRENGTH AND SIZE WILL NOW ESCALATE DURING THE NEXT 25 DAYS.

· CRITICAL HURRICANE DANGER PERIOD IS OCTOBER 15-NOVEMBER 5, PROBABLY GREATEST AROUND OCTOBER 20-25.

· LA NINA PROBABLY IS ON THE WAY.

· LONG DRY COLD WINTER WITH SUBSTANTIAL SNOWPACK IN THE HIGHER SKI AREAS BEFORE THANKSGIVING.

· NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS QUITE OUT OF NORM ON THE WARM SIDE – EXTREMELY OUT OF PLACE JET STREAM AND LAST YEAR’S FALL/WINTER ON THE PACIFIC COASTLINE IS LIKELY TO BE REPEATED AT LEAST THROUGH DECEMBER.

· WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE MEDITERRANEAN-HIMALAYAN BELT, QUAKE ACTIVITY IS LOW AND PROBABLY WILL REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT 10 DAYS. NEXT GREAT DANGER PERIOD FOR MAJOR QUAKES IS PROBABLY NOT UNTIL THE LUNAR SYZYGYIES IN DECEMBER 2005.

· DESPITE MANY PSYCHIC AND SIGNAL-BASED WARNING FORECASTS AND THE EXCEPTIONAL ACTIVITY IN SOUTHERN EURASIA, SEISMIC ACTIVITY IN CALIFORNIA IS STILL DECLINING AND I PREDICT WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO DECLINE DURING THE NEXT 60 DAYS.

· MAYAN ELDERS ARE NOW WARNING OF EXCEPTIONAL ESCALATION OF EARTH CHANGE ACTIVITY DURING THE NEXT 18 MONTHS, NEW ROUNDS OF MAJOR DESTRUCTIVE QUAKES WITH MANY VOLCANOES ERUPTING STRONGLY.

COSMIC VORTEX:

The next wave of Solar activity has barely commenced. After a series of slight rises and ups and downs in the Sunspot Count last week, ranging between 0 and 21 with the Solar Flux wobbling between 83 and 74, yesterday’s (October 11) Sunspot Count was only at 25.

Date Flux Sunspots Area

2005 10 03 74 0 0

2005 10 04 83 15 60

2005 10 05 81 31 150

2005 10 06 80 28 130

2005 10 07 79 31 120

2005 10 08 78 24 80

2005 10 09 79 16 30

2005 10 10 79 11 20

2005 10 11 78 25 50

Solar Activity is essentially flat line as of today, NASA expects no activity for the next few days, and thus the outlook remains similar to the past seven days. The Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska presently shows little or no disturbance in the solar wind and magnetosphere of the Earth. NASA predicts about only a 1% probability of a major X or M class flare during the next 48 hours, respectively.

This forecast is probably true for the next 48 hours, but conditions could change in as little as 24 hours. NASA reports that a coronal hole is sending forth a solar wind current which should impact the Earth in about 48 hours on about October 14.

Beyond this, significant solar flare and storm activity should be anticipated in about three to seven days. This activity should rise for a succession of planetary alignments.

We are currently in an virtual double-headed alignment of Mercury | Pluto with Venus | Neptune and the ups and downs in the Sunspot count this past week no doubt reflect these alignments. Since these inner planets (Mercury and Venus) are very from these two outer planets (Pluto and Neptune), the Sun’s response has been very subdued, barely noticeable.

On October 21, Venus will align with Uranus and the impact on the Sun should be about on par with this past week’s alignments. However, on October 30, another double header will form up with Mercury | Uranus while Earth | Mars. The impact could be seen by the end of next week, by about October 20.

The Earth | Mars alignment should produce spectacular results. The atmospheres of both planets will magnetically and electrically fuse together to serve as an electrical circuit which will induce tremendous ion flows from the Sun. As the ion flow increases, the atmospheres of both planets will become energized and support vast storm systems. On Earth this could produce Category Five hurricanes and cyclones within 24 hours of a sudden spike in the Sunspot Count.

As correctly forecasted last week, the Sunspot Count is likely to waggle up and down between 20 and 50 until the spike begins in the Sunspot Count. Existing storm systems are not likely to be affected much until the Sunspot Peak forms up well past 50.

The window for this peak has closed somewhat since last week. It appeared in preceding weeks that the window most likely would occur within the window of October 15 - November 3. This may still be true, but the low level of Solar Activity suggests a much narrower response which comes much closer to the actual alignment date. The window may tighten to October 21 – October 26.

CURRENT WEATHER FRONTS

National Hurricane Center reports for the Easter Pacific that no Typhoon activity existed and none was expected. But, they reported that a dangerous Typhoon in the West Pacific: “*As of early Wednesday, Typhoon Kirogi was located near Latitude North 20.9 degrees and Longitude East 132.1 degrees with sustained winds of 130 mph. Movement was northwest at 4 mph. A northwest track and some fluctuation in strength is expected over the next 24 hours, then a more northerly track and gradual weakening are forecast thereafter.”

Kirogi likely will not be impacted by Solar Activity.

The National Hurricane Center also reported that “in the tropical Atlantic Basin [in Hurricane Ally], there are several tropical waves to watch. One is along 30 west, south of 18 north. Another is along 43 west, south of 17 north. A third was along 54 west, south of 16 north, with a fourth wave along 65 west south of 20 north, or over the Lesser Antilles. All waves are moving west at about 10 knots. The large upper-level low north of Puerto Rico is causing strong westerly wind shear over the Caribbean and into the central Atlantic, so it will be very difficult for any of these waves to become better organized through the end of the week and into the weekend.”

These should be watched carefully. If the Sunspot Count rises rapidly during the next several days, one or more of these “Wave’s” could become another Category Five Superstorm.

FOR THE NEXT MOST DANGEROUS WINDOWS:

Window shortened from previous weeks, perhaps beginning on:

October 17 - November 4: The Mars | Earth Alignment: STRONGER POSSIBILITY FOR MULTIPLE OCCURANCE OF STORMS EVEN MORE DANGEROUS THAN KATRINA.

These predictions are based on reasonably predictable surges in solar activity combined with the Global Warming Trend. Danger "Windows" are defined from generalizations made with three years of observation.

BACKGROUND INFORMATION ON ALIGNMENTS AND SYZYGY:

For background information on the planetary alignments and lunar syzygy, see

<http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/almanac/index.htm>http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/almanac/index.htm

look for the latest date.

For latest information on planetary alignments, go to

<http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar>http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

and make sure you reset the view to see "equal" orbits

All you need to know is that the solar system revolves counter-clockwise in your spaceship’s eye view.

PARTIALLY REPEATED FROM PREVIOUS WEEKS:

Another very important upcoming alignment will shape much of the solar activity and weather patterns October 2005. The big one will be the Earth | Mar alignment. Earth is already headed for its rendezvous with Mars on October 30 and as these two planets draw closer together, I expect their "tension" in the field of the solar system will keep the general average of solar activity higher than normal. Then at some point, perhaps a week before the alignment, the Sunspot Count will explode in numbers and the peak could climb past 100 amidst major solar X class flares, CME's hurled directly at the two planets, magnetic storms, very gusty solar winds, and other phenomenon of unusual strength. The atmospheres of the two planets will become ionically linked, Mars will become covered in vast dust storms, and the hurricanes and cycles which form on Earth during this time will rival the records. IF THERE IS ANOTHER KATRINA DUE THIS YEAR...THIS IS THE WINDOW: about October 17 - November 4. There is strong possibility that this window of exceptional storm danger will extend through to near the end of November, depending upon how this long, slow alignment between Earth and Mars influences the Sun during this point in Cycle 23 of the Sunspot Cycle.

MORE OF LESS CONFIRMED BY WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS: I expect a very stormy October in the higher latitudes and elevations, though the mid latitudes and the desert latitudes may be in the atmospheric "skip zone".

The Earth | Mars Alignment: Technically the alignment is due about October 30 when Mars will be at its closest to the Earth. During the week before and after this date, Solar activity should be much higher than normal. Expect a very high sunspot peak and intense atmospheric disturbances on both Mars and Earth. Keep in mind that because these two planets are in relatively close orbits and similar orbital speeds, they are drawing together only very slowly. Accordingly, their alignment is much longer than with any other pair of planets. Here are some additional facts from NASA: "Here are the facts: Earth and Mars are converging for a close encounter this year on October 30th at 0319 Universal Time. Distance: 69 million kilometers. To the unaided eye, Mars will look like a bright red star, a pinprick of light... At that distance, Mars shines brighter than anything else in the sky except the Sun, the Moon and Venus. The visual magnitude of Mars on Oct. 30, 2005, will be -2.3. Even inattentive sky watchers will notice it, rising at sundown and soaring overhead at midnight. You might remember another encounter with Mars, about two years ago, on August 27, 2003. That was the closest in recorded history, by a whisker, and millions of people watched as the distance between Mars and Earth shrunk to 56 million km. This October's encounter, at 69 million km, is similar. To casual observers, Mars will seem about as bright and beautiful in 2005 as it was in 2003. Although closest approach is still months away, I

EL NINO AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE WATCH:

La Nina is now seriously indicated. The Equatorial Zone to the West of Peru is getting colder by the week. La Nina generally is a very cold but relatively dry winter in the Northern Hemisphere except high in the Mountains. This could make for a very good ski season at high elevations, long lasting with fine dry powder.

This condition will be seriously “entrained” by the hot spot in the North Pacific. In a manner very similar to last Fall, the temperature of the Central North Pacific (Gulf of Alaska area North of the Hawaiian Islands) is NOW MUCH warmer than normal. This “heat island” will most likely act as it did last year by radically kinking the Jet Stream to flow into Alaska towards the North and then kink down over the Yukon to flow down parallel with the Coast of North America as far as Southern California before bending back up to flow over the Rockies of Northern New Mexico/Colorado. This will tend to make a dry but cold Northwest, early snow high in the Mountains, and a relatively wet Southwest, with much early snow in the Rockies. This condition is likely to reinforce the near La Nina like condition of the Equatorial Zone. All in all, Farmer’s Almanac has it right. A long, cold, dry winter with early snow in the Mountains – last Fall/Winter conditions and extremes only more so.

POLAR MOTION:

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: The 6.5-7 year X Wave in Chandler's wobble is close to its MIN point. Its tightly turning spiral is now confirming that the wobble has indeed wobbled somewhat irregularly this past seven years. It is beginning to appear that the center of the wobble has been displaced by perhaps 35% of the width of the Minimum Spiral Track. This may represent an acceleration of the rate of displacement. Although it is too early to be certain, the Spiral Track also appears to have migrated slightly to the Northwest of England from the Greenwich Meridian. This represents a shift in the direction of the drift of the average location of the spin axis, which generally has drifted to the Southwest of the Greenwich Meridian.

This drift is not necessarily all that unusual, the track of the drift has meandered a few times during the past 100 years. What is significant is the distance of the drift during the past seven years. If an increase in the rate of drift is confirmed, it will strongly confirm the entire paradigm of Vortex Tectonics. This will be a highly important fact which will confirm, when confirmed, that the accelerating tempo of earthquake, volcano, and Global Warming phenomenon are all linked to force vectors which are created by changes in the rate and direction of the Earth's spin axis. These have been hypothesized as the key variables for the Vortex Tectonics Paradigm. These variables partially explain tectonic motion and the related phenomena of earthquakes, volcanism, rifting, downwarping, and uplifting.

GEOPHYSICAL QUAKE AND VOLCANISM FRONT:

Most of the Earth was virtually asleep tectonically this past seven days, with the major exception of the belt which extends from the Aegean Sea, through Turkey and the Himalayas to roughly Nepal.

The quake was very similar to other quakes which have struck in that zone during previous years. Previously India was hit very hard, this year it was Kashmir.

It of course blew all the paradigms and my predictions for this period of time.