This is an audio-enhanced PowerPoint presentation.
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To hear the audio, please open this presentation
in “Slide Show” view.
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This presentation will overview one way that
depth grid information can be paired with
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local information to analyze the depth of
flooding at a number of locations throughout
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the community.
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This presentation will focus on a depth grid
that describes a storm equal to a 1 in 100
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chance of occurring each year, also known
as the 1-percent annual chance storm event.
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This event is the national standard used to
define areas as “flood prone” on FEMA’s
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Flood Insurance Rate Maps.
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This presentation is intended to describe
how the Percent Annual Chance and Percent
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30-year Chance Grid information may be paired
with local spatial information to better understand
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the probability of flood risk at a point within
the community related to certain time periods.
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- A Recipe Card with limited instructions
on coupling the depth grid with local Address
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Location Points, or “Building Footprints”,
to identify the flood depth at site-specific
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locations is available for your use.
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- This information allows communities to convey
flood risk in simple terms and provides a
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data point to determine possible flood losses
within a structure, prioritize between elevation/acquisition
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projects, and inform grant applications.
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- Through a series of screen shots, this presentation
will take you through those same steps outlined
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on the recipe card.
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- Our hope is that these non-regulatory datasets
can provide additional understanding of the
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natural hazard risk.
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A variety of information is produced by Flood
Risk Studies.
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- Regulatory Flood Risk Products include the
Flood Insurance Rate Map, or FIRM, and the
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Flood Insurance Study (also known as the FIS).
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- These two items have been delivered to communities
across the nation since the early 1970s.
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- The FIRM and FIS should be used to assist
residents and business owners in determining
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whether their structures are inside or outside
of the Special Flood Hazard Areas.
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- The FIRM, FIS and its Water Surface Elevation
profiles contained within the text remain
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the basis of a flood determination.
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FEMA’s Risk MAP program allows us to provide
communities with a variety of non-regulatory
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tools to better understand flood vulnerability
throughout their community.
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- These datasets, if prepared, will be made
available to community staff and officials
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during the Flood Risk Review or Resilience
meetings as part of the Flood Risk Database
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- These datasets may be used by community
officials as they prioritize elevation/acquisition
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projects
- These datasets may assist communities in
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reviewing local development protocols, or
assist in supporting higher standards or more
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stringent building codes in some areas of
the community.
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- Knowledge of flood prone areas can aid local
building permit and inspection staff in reviewing
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development permits for correct building codes
in areas that are flood prone.
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You may wonder what types of data are used
to prepare these analyses, let’s take a
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closer look.
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Flood Risk Studies use engineering analysis
to determine updated flood risk along streams
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and channels.
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The engineering analysis is prepared in three
steps:
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• Hydrologic analysis estimates the amount
(or volume of water) that is expected during
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a storm event
• Hydrologic analysis reviews the historic
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flooding of streams by referencing stream
gage readings.
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• Hydrology is affected by the amount of
pavement within a study area.
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• Hydraulic analysis determines how the
streams, channels and rivers will convey that
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water.
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• In the event there is too much water for
the stream channel, the storm water may leave
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the stream channel and expand into parks and
roadways to transport the flood waters downstream.
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• Some development practice constrict streams
and hurry flow with concrete lined channels.
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• Other development practices maintain greenspace
and floodplain areas with community parks
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to allow some relief to other residential
areas within a community.
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• The result of these analysis is a series
of water surface elevations along the stream
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channel that are then able to be mapped.
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• These calculated water elevations are
mapping on terrain models that describe the
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ground.
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• This mapping effort assists FEMA in determining
flood prone areas in the vicinity of the streams
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analyzed.
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With different land use practices and different
ground elevation variation, comes a variability
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of flood inundation area.
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Some areas of your community are likely more
flood prone than others.
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Low lying culvert and bridge crossings may
be overtopped, some areas of the community
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are closer to streams and some are built on
elevated foundations to reduce their likelihood
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of flooding.
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Across the 1-percent annual chance floodplain
extent there is a variety of flood depth.
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The flood potential of each location within
the floodplain can be described with the gridded
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datasets prepared.
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With the information provided we can investigate
the different flood potential throughout the
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flood extent described on the Flood Insurance
Rate Map.
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Well, there is no way to predict when the
next flood will happen, or how severe it will
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be.
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However, engineers and scientists can use
statistical data (what has happened in the
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past) to estimate the probability or chance
that floods of a certain size will occur in
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the future.
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The chance of a flood of a certain size occurring
and then re-occurring is like flipping a coin
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or spinning a wheel.
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Just because heads comes up on one try, doesn’t
mean the next try will come up tails.
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The annual chance analysis grids delivered
to your community define the variable possibility
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of flooding throughout the floodplain, highlighting
locations within a community that may be more
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vulnerable to flooding.
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Two probability grid datasets will be available
for the streams studied.
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These datasets describe the probability of
flooding related to location and water/or
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ground and finished floor elevations at any
location within the 1-percent annual chance
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floodplain.
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Here are three examples of homes that are
built at different locations along the stream.
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- On the left side of the screen you can see
the ANNUAL chance of flooding depicted by
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the Percent Annual Chance grid, which described
the possibility of flooding in each individual
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year
- House C, which is not only closest to the
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stream, but built directly on the ground elevation
is more likely to flood than the home at location
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A.
- The probability of flooding at the location
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of House C is 10%.
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- This means that the chance of flooding EACH
year is 10%.
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- While the chance of flooding at House A
is lower at 0.2% possibility EACH year
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- Most home mortgages are signed for a 30
year period.
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For that reason, we have also created the
Percent 30-Year Chance grid, that describes
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the possibility of flooding during a 30 year
period.
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The information on the right side of your
screen shows the probability of flooding across
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30 years for these same home locations.
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- House B is located at the edge of the 1-percent
annual chance floodplain.
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- Each year there is a 1% chance that this
home would flood.
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- When we review the possibility of flooding
over the 30 year mortgage term, the probability
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of flooding is determined to be 26%
With this information local officials can
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identify vulnerable areas throughout the community
and through their local hazard mitigation
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plan, identify areas to employ mitigation
projects to reduce the long term risk of flooding
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throughout the community.
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As discussed previously:
Two gridded datasets will be available for
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each stream studied.
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They are delivered to local communities in
the Flood Risk Database at the Flood Risk
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Review Meeting and the Resilience Meeting.
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The data, if available, can also be downloaded
from FEMA’s Map Service Center.
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- The Percent Annual Chance grid describes
the chance of flooding each year
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- The Percent 30-YEAR Chance grid describes
the probability of flooding in a 30-year period
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The visualization may be beneficial to communities
preparing the flood hazard profile in a Local
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Hazard Mitigation Plan.
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The information may be used to describe the
flood extent and/or the vulnerability of a
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community.
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It may also be of use to local community officials
to determine areas that are more susceptible
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to flooding, or to prioritize areas of risk
communication efforts.
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“Targeting Mitigation to High Risk Properties”
is just one of our “Recipe Cards” intended
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to assist local officials in the use of the
data prepared as a part of the Flood Risk
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Project.
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The Recipe Cards are intended to promote better
understanding of areas within a community
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that may benefit from mitigation planning,
floodplain management, emergency response
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plans, and flood risk awareness communications.
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• The next few slides describe in greater
detail the GIS steps needed to create a visualization
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tool to describe depth of flooding.
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• These instructions and screenshots for
this tutorial were developed using ESRI’s
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ArcMap.
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It is a part of the ArcGIS Package.
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• In order to perform the analysis described
in the ArcMap Software you will also need
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to have access to the Spatial Analyst Extension.
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The steps defined in this presentation are
applicable in other software, however the
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software tools used may utilize a different
naming convention.
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• Pair your local spatial building data
with the Percent Annual Chance grid to determine
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the probability of flooding to structures
in the vicinity of the 1-percent annual chance
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floodplain.
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• This analysis may assist community staff
in determining areas where structure acquisition
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and elevation projects may be beneficial to
reduce the long term flood risk within the
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community.
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Let’s begin with loading the Data to ArcMap
or comparable software.
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• Open the software and using the Add Data
tool add the Percent Annual Chance data.
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• The Percent Annual Chance data will be
found in the Flood Risk Database.
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• Load the file named PctAnnChance.
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• Also load the Percent 30-year Chance data,
which will be named Pct30yrChance
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At this time, also load the structure location
point file, building footprints, aerial image
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or other reference layer to assist you in
the identification of structures located in
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the vicinity of the 1-percent annual chance
floodplain.
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• For this example, we will be using a structure
location point file.
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To assist in better communicating the changes
that are being shown in the Percent Annual
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Chance grid, it is suggested that the symbology
be modified after the data is loaded.
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To change the symbology (the manner in which
a polygon appears in your window) begin with…
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• Right-click on the Depth_01pct layer and
from the menu on the left of your screen,
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select Properties ( at the bottom of the list)
from the selection list that appears.
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• In the Layer Properties box that appears
on your screen, select the Symbology Tab (it’s
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the final tab on the right hand side of the
Layer Properties window shown in the example).
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• And In the left pane of the window, select
“Stretched”
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• Stretch removes the “no data areas”
of any raster allowing the software to increase
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the visual contrast of the data within the
display, resulting in a crisper image, making
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some features easier to distinguish.
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• In the middle of the Layer Properties
window, locate the Color Ramp and select a
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color schema to assist your review of the
information.
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• We have selected the color schema showing
Green to Red (from left to right) for this
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example
• This color selection will display areas
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with small percent chance of flooding as Green
and progress to Yellow (middle range percent
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chance) and Red cells for the areas of greatest
probability of flooding.
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• Click Apply, then OK to close the window
when you are done.
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Repeat these steps for the Percent 30-Year
Chance grid.
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It is suggested that you choose a different
Color Ramp in order to distinguish the difference
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between the two grids shown in your data frame.
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The range of values for the percent chance
will vary for each study due to differences
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in stream alignment, channel geometry, flood
flow, development throughout the floodplain
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and other variations.
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In order to review a set range of probability
across the dataset, it is advisable to classify
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the values for the color ramp to a select
set of values to better understand the information
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in the dataset.
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In order to focus on a range of flood probability,
we advise the following classification of
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the grid data set:
- 0 to 0.2% flood chance (equivalent to areas
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within an Unshaded Zone X)
- 0.2% to 1% flood chance (equivalent to areas
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within a Shaded Zone X)
- 1% to 4%
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- 4% to 10%
- 10% or greater (the items within this are
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highly flood prone and may be reviewed for
elevation/acquisition projects)
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In order to classify the Percent Annual Chance
Grid in this manner:
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-Once again, right click on the PctAnnChance
layer and from the menu on the left side of
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your screen, select Properties (at the bottom
of the list) from the selection list that
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appears.
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-In the Layer Properties box that appears
on your screen, select the Symbology tab (it’s
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the final tab on the right side of the Layer
Properties window shown in the example).
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-In the left pane of the window, select “classify.”
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-In the right pane of the window, click the
“Classify” button.
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- When the Classification window opens, the
classification method should automatically
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default to Natural Breaks, if it is not, set
it to Natural Breaks.
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- Then select the desired number of classes
from the Classes drop down menu, which in
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this case is 5.
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- Then, in the Break Values window , click
the first value and replace it with a zero
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point two, click the second value and replace
it with a one, repeat this for the next two
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values using a four and ten respectively.
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The last value will remain unchanged as this
is the highest value found in the data set,
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which in this particular example is also 10.
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- You should notice that as you manually change
the break values, the classification method
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in the upper left corner will automatically
set itself to Manual.
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- Once you finish replacing the break values,
click the OK button to return to the Symbology
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Tab
-Now that the break values have been manually
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adjusted, you can set the color ramp.
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As before, it is recommended to use the green
to red ramp so that lower values appear in
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green and higher values appear in red.
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You may want to repeat these steps to review
the Percent 30-year Chance grid with the following
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value classification:
- 0 to 5%
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- 5 to 10%
- 10-26% (structures with 26% or greater chance
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are within the 1-percent annual chance floodplain)
- 26%-30%
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- 30%-40%
- 40%-50% and lastly,
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- 50% or greater
To complete the analysis shown in this presentation,
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you will need to add or create a dataset of
structure points.
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Here are some examples of data sources that
you can use to complete this analysis, and
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how some other data sources could be used.
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1 – Address Points – This data is usually
available through Emergency Response or community
0:15:23.100,0:15:25.070
E911.
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Point files will need to be reviewed against
an aerial image to assure that the location
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data points are placed at structure locations.
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These data is likely the most accurate for
the analysis shown in this example.
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You will need to determine whether the community
needs to remove points on garden sheds and
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other auxillary buildings when reviewing the
analysis.
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2 – Building Footprints or Parcel Data – This
data is usually available through Planning/Zoning
0:15:50.870,0:15:54.180
departments or the county/parish Tax Assessor.
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Building footprints describe the perimeter
of structures and parcel data describes the
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perimeter of property boundaries.
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These polygons may be used to analyze average
flood depth within the building footprint
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or on the property parcel.
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Another way to use this information is to
convert the data from polygon to point data,
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which is easily transformed using GIS tools
available in the ArcToolbox.
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• In order to convert the polygons to points,
open ArcToolbox, clicking on the Toolbox icon
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above the data frame.
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• ArcToolbox Menu window options that appear,
click on plus sign next to Data Management
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Tools to expand the menu.
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• From the menu under Data Management Tools,
click on the plus sign next to Features.
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• Under the Features menu - double right
click on the Feature to Point tool.
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• This will allow you to input the polygon
layer, and define the name and location of
0:16:50.170,0:16:51.860
the Point Layer.
0:16:51.860,0:16:56.690
You may need to review the output point file
against an aerial image to verify the points
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created are within the structures you are
interested in analyzing.
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3 – Aerial Imagery
If you are unable to find a readily available
0:17:05.529,0:17:09.600
point file, you can create one using ArcGIS.
0:17:09.600,0:17:15.429
- Using the Add Data button, you can add basemap,
or use local imagery if your community has
0:17:15.429,0:17:16.529
it available.
0:17:16.529,0:17:22.610
- Next, create a point Shapefile in ArcCatalog
and save it to your local computer following
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the prompts in the ArcCatalog window.
0:17:25.629,0:17:32.239
- Finally, add point features to your shapefile
in ArcMap by placing points on the center
0:17:32.239,0:17:36.669
of structures that fall within the floodplain
- It is advisable to add pertinent address
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