CHAPTER 7: POINT ESTIMATION AND CONFIDENCE INTERVALS
PRACTICE PROBLEMS
1. The mean age for the population of inmates in state correctional facilities is 31.84. Some researchers believe that this may not be the same for some groups of inmates. In a sample of Native American inmates (n = 112), researchers find a mean age of 33.46 with a standard deviation of 9.62. Create a 95% confidence interval around the sample mean value. Interpret your confidence interval.
2. In a sample of 15 marijuana users, the mean number of prior emergency room admissions was 2.4 with a standard deviation of 0.8. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the population mean number of emergency room admissions and interpret your results.
3. We take a sample of 119 gun owners in Prince George’s county and ask them how many days in a month they carry a gun on their person. The sample mean is 2.1, with a standard deviation of 1.3. Construct a 91% confidence interval around the sample mean and interpret it.
What would happen to our confidence interval if it we increased our confidence level from 91% to 96%? Why?
What would happen to our confidence interval if we increased our sample size to 1000? Why?
4. We have information from a nationwide sample of 20,000 gun owners that the average number of days carried in a month is 1.12. Can you conclude that PG County gun owners carry their guns at a different rate than the national average?
5. A candidate running for mayor of your city wants to propose a new policy which allows for needle exchange for drug addicts. She is not sure, however, how the public feels about this so she hires you to carry out a poll to see what people want. You poll 500 people and find that 52% support her idea for a needle exchange program.
a. Construct a 93% confidence interval around this proportion and interpret it.
b. Since she was trailing in the polls, would you have advised her to propose her plan? Why or why not?
6. Following the economic collapse in the fall of 2008, the presidential candidates were unsure about what to propose - they didn’t want to propose an unpopular policy right before the election. Senator McCain commissioned you, a statistician, to carry out a poll to see what people want. You poll 500 people and find that 52% support his idea for the Treasury to buy and renegotiate bad mortgages.
a. Construct a 93% confidence interval around this proportion and interpret it.
b. Since he was trailing in the polls, would you have advised Senator McCain to propose his plan? Why?