SavvyConsumer:Lookforwaystoimproveinvestmentincome
PostedThursday,Jan.20,2011
BYTERESAMCUSIC
IndustrywatcherBankratehasreleasedits2011 interestrateforecast,andthenewsisnotprettyforsavers or investorslookingforincome.
"CDswillseesomemarketimprovementin2011,"butnotalot,saidGregMcBride,seniorfinancialanalystatBankrate,whichtracksinterestratesonbankingproductsacrossthenationdailyatitspopularwebsite,
CDsareFDICinsuredandofferafixedrateofreturn,whereasbothprincipalandyieldofinvestmentsecuritiesdohaveriskandmayfluctuate withchangesinmarketconditions.
Moneymarketsonaveragewillseeevenlessofarise,McBridesaid.
"UntiltheFederalReserveBank increasesitsrate-- andtheFedisinnohurryto raiseitsrates
--wewon'tseeimprovementsinmoneymarketaccounts,"hesaid."Atbesttheywon'tgetworse,whichwill beanimprovement."
Ifit'sanyconsolation,FortWorthandsomesurroundingcitiesmaynowbehometooneofthebestmoneymarketaccountratesinthecountry.
LegendBankthisweeklaunchedano-feesavingsaccountcalledSaverthatpays1.25percentaveragepercentageyield(orAPY,whichincludestheeffectsof compounding)onbalancesup to$15,000,saidMikeMonroe,presidentofthebank'sFortWorthbranchat3001WesternCenterBlvd."ItpaysmorethananybodyI'vebeenabletofind,"hesaid.
AsearchatBankrate.comconfirmsthatLegend'stermsareattractive.TheonlyotherbankthatofferedasimilarrateisDiscover BankinNewcastle,Del.,butthatbankrequiresa$500minimumtoopentheaccount.
Theaveragemoneymarketrateforthenationyieldsjust0.7percentwithanaverageminimumdepositof$1,970,accordingtoBankrate.Locally,ratesareeven lower,averaging0.27percentAPY,withChaseatthe lowestrateof .01percentforitsmoneymarketaccount.
ThenewLegendproductdoeshavesomestrings,butoneofthemmaybemoreattractive thanthesavingsaccount. Togetthe newaccount,customersmustsignupforUltimateChecking,ano-costcheckingaccountpaying3.75 percentAPYonbalancesupto$15,000.
UltimateCheckingatthebank hasbeenaroundsince2007andwasfeaturedinthiscolumnbefore.TogetthetopAPY,accountholdersmustusetheirdebitcard12timesamonth,haveat
leastonedirectdepositintotheaccountandacceptonlyonlinestatements.Otherwise,theAPYfallsto.05percent.Thebankalsosaysit willrefundanyATMfeesaslongastheaccountholdermeetsthedebitcardanddirectdepositrequirements.
MonroesaidLegend,acommunitybankbasedinBowiewithsevenotherbranchesincitiesnorthofFortWorth,hassignedup6,000customersinthepast45months.
"Ifyougotothebigboys,you'regoingtoseefee-basedaccountsnow,"hesaid."Thisisstillafreeaccount,andwepayyouinterest.We haveawholedifferentapproachtoourbusinessmodel."
Suchbankproductsmaybeapartialanswertoinvestorswearyofthestockmarket.Historically,thebondmarkethasbeenthealternativeforinvestorsseekinglessrisk.Afteramultidecade
run,however,eventhat'sinquestion.
"Alotofinvestorsstronglyvestedinbondswiththe2008financialcrisisandhavedoneverywellwithoverthelastfewyears,"McBridesaid."But2011verywellmaybetheyearbondinvestorsgetalessonininterestraterisk."
Bondsaregenerallyconsideredasafehavenforinvestorsbecauseoftheirsetreturnsand,oftentimes,governmentbacking.
Butifinterestratesclimb,bondfundscanactuallylosevalue,hesaid,aslow-ratebondsbecomeuncompetitivewithbondspayinghighermarketrates.
Ingeneralthebondmarketisvolatile,andfixedincomesecuritiescarryinterestraterisk.(Asinterestratesrise,bondpricesusuallyfall,andviseversa.Thiseffectisusuallymorepronounced forlonger-termsecurities.)Fixedincomesecuritiesalsocarryinflationriskandcreditanddefaultrisks.Anyfixedincomesecuritysoldorredeemedpriortomaturitymaybesubjecttoasubstantialgainorloss.
Becauseofthat relationship,FortWorthfinancialadviserBurkRosenthal,acertifiedfinancialplanner,willnotputclientsintolong-term bondsrightnow,hesaid.Mostpeopledon'tinvestinindividualbonds,butinbondfundsthatbuyandsellpackagesofbonds,giving themalevelofrisksimilartostockfunds,hesaid.
"AfederallybackedTreasurybondthatyouholdtomaturitywouldbeOK,butyouhavetoholditfor30yearstogetallyourmoneyback,"hesaid."Let'ssayyouhaveaTreasurybondwithayieldof4percentandinterestratesgoup1percentthisyearandTreasurybondsgoupto5percent.Whywouldanyonewanttobuyyourbond?"
Rosenthalsaidheadvisesclientstoinsteadlookatshort-termbonds,fiveyearsorlessinduration,forconservativeinvestorswishingtoavoidputtingalotintothestockmarket.
"Short-termbondsaren'tas muchofaninterest raterisk,"hesaid."Yougiveupa littlebitofyieldandawholelotofrisk."
Justthisweek,Rosenthalsaid,heset upsomenewclientsintheirearly60swithaportfoliothatwas20percentstocks,61percentbondswithanaveragetermof1.79years,andtherestincashandevenshorter-termbonds.Hehasn'trecommendedCDsfor18months,hesaid.
Otherclientsuserealestateinvestmenttrusts(REITs)asanalternativeassetclassapartfromstocksandbondsforsmallpiecesoftheirportfolios,Rosenthalsaid.
Butstockshistoricallywillgiveyouthebestreturns,hesaid.
Onekeytoinvestingistoavoidmakingdecisionsbasedonemotionslikefearorfrustration,Rosenthalsaid.
"Investmentdecisionsshouldnotbeemotionallydriven,"hesaid."Studiesshowthatemotionscanleadinvestorstomakebaddecisionsatthewrongtime."
Atthesametime,adiversifiedportfoliothatisrebalancedaccording toageoftheinvestorandmarketconditionsgenerallyleadstogoodreturns,adviserssaid.
'Whethertheyare25 or85yearsold,investorsshould haveawell-diversifiedportfolioofcashand bonds,butalsostocksand REITs,"McBridesaid."Awell-diversifiedportfolioisgoingtoproduceincomefromitsperformance."
CDsare FDICinsuredandofferafixedrateofreturn,whereasbothprincipalandyieldofinvestmentsecuritiesdohaveriskandmayfluctuatewithchangesinmarketconditions.
Ingeneral,thebondmarketisvolatile,andfixedincomesecuritiescarryinterestraterisk. (Asinterestratesrise,bondpricesusuallyfall,andviceversa. Thiseffectisusuallymorepronounced forlonger-termsecurities.) Fixedincomesecuritiesalsocarryinflationriskand
creditanddefaultrisks.Anyfixedincomesecuritysoldorredeemedpriortomaturitymaybesubjecttoasubstantialgainorloss.
RE/Tsmaynotbeappropriateforallinvestors.CertainRE/Tsmayhavelimitedtransferabilityandlackliquidity. ThevalueofaninvestmentinaREITmayfluctuatebasedoneconomic,regulatoryandenvironmentalfactors. Thevalueoftheunitsofsharesofthetrustwillfluctuatewiththeportfoliooftheunderlyingrealestateproperties. Redemptionmaybeataprice,whichismoreorlessthantheoriginalpricepaidfortheunitsbytheinvestor.
RosenthalRetirementPlanning,LP•lOOE.lS'h Street,Suite100,FortWorth,TX76102•(817)336-2000•(214)752-1000
Theinformationcontainedinthisnewsletterisgeneralinnatureandshouldnotbeconstruedascomprehensivefinancial,tax,orlegaladvice.
Aswithanyfinancialorlegalmatter,consultyourqualifiedsecurities,tax,orlegalrepresentativebeforetakingaction.
Certainstatementscontainedwithinareforward-lookingstatementsincludingbutnotlimitedto,statementsthatarepredicationsoforindicatefutureevents,trends,plansorobjectives.
Unduerelianceshouldnotbeplacedonsuchstatementsbecause,bytheirnature,theyaresubjecttoknownandunknownrisksanduncertainties.
Investmentsseekingtoachievehigherratesofreturngenerallyinvolveahigherdegreeofriskofprincipal.
Diversificationhelpsyouspreadriskthroughoutyourportfolio,soinvestmentsthatoopoorlymaybebalancedbyothersthatdorelativelybetter.
Neitherdiversificationnorrebalancingcanensureaprofitnorprotectagainstaloss.
Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Rosenthal Advisory Services, LP, a registered investment advisor. Rosenthal Advisory Services, LP and Rosenthal Retirement Planning, LP are separate entities from LPL Financial.
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