Ninth International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy

Ninth International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy

Ethiopian Economics Association

Ninth International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy

July 21 – 23, 2011

EEAConferenceCenter, Addis Ababa

Conference Program

8:00-8:30 Registration

8:30-9:00 Opening Ceremony

Welcoming address by Dr. Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse,President, Ethiopian Economics Association

Official Opening Statement by H.E. Ato Mekonnen Manyazewal,Minister, Ministry of Trade.

9:00- 9:45Presidential Address by Dr Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse President, Ethiopian Economics Association

9:45 - 10:00Presentation of Honorarium

Conference Room 1

10:00-10:30 TEA/COFEE BREAK

10:30 – 12:30PLENARY SESSION ICo-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2

Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) of Ethiopia

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Assefa Admassie




12:30 – 14:00: LUNCH


2011 Economic Report by EEA

Water Management in the Nile Basinby Nile Co-operative Project

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Getnet Alemu

Wolday Amha: Financial Sector Development, challenges and Policy

Seid Nuru: Explaining the High Growth – High Inflation Episode of the Ethiopian Economy

Tilahun Amede: Agricultural Water Management in the Nile Basin for improving livelihood and resilience of system

15:30-16:00TEA/COFEE BREAK


Successful Farmers Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Seid Nuru

Bethelehem Koru, Fanaye Tadesse and Ibrahim Worku: Poverty Decomposition

Bart Minten: Effects of roads on Poverty

Derek Headey: Food Crisis

Agriculture Water Management Technology, Irrigation and Marketing

Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Zenebe Gebreegziabher

Hagos, F., Awulachew, S. B., Erkossa, T. and Yilma: Determinants of Successful Adoption of Agricultural Water Management Technologies: Case of Ethiopia, A.D

Muleta Yirga, Yesuf , Mohamednur, Gebrehaweria Gebregziabher: Assessment and Analysis of the cost- benefit (CBA) of ground water irrigation investment in Raya valley and Kobo area of Northern Ethiopia

Guta Legesse: Asymmetric Farm-Retail Price Transmission in the Marketing of Vegetables in the Central and Eastern Ethiopia

Getaw Taddesse: Clientelism among smallholders and Grain Traders in Ethiopia: Opportunity and Trait.

Aid and External Debt

Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Haile Kibret

Nega Ejigu: Foreign Aid and Economic Growth in Ethiopia: a Time Series Approach

Yohannes Ghebru Alemayehu: Impact Evaluation of Foreign Aid on Ethiopian Economy post 1991/92

Hailemariam Ayalew: The Impact Of External Debt On Economic Growth andPrivate Investment Of Ethiopia: A Vector Auto Regressive Approach

Export related issue

Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Amin Abdella

Yonannes Yebabe and Emmanuel G/Yohannes: The Structural Trend of the Export Trade of Ethiopia across Continents and over time

Oumer Berisso: Economic Efficiency of Export–oriented Livestock Production in Ethiopia: the case of Urban and Peri-Urban Cattle-Fattening Farms in Adama City and its Surroundings

Yonannes Yebabe and Emmanuel G/Yohannes: An Assessment of the Variation of the Export Trade of Ethiopia across Continents

Michael Tedla: Determinants of Trade in Services in Africa: a Gravity Model Approach

Performance of Banking and Microfinance

Conference Room 5

Chairperson: Tewodros Makonnen

Yemesrach Fisseha: Assessing Market Power and Abuse of Dominance in the Ethiopian Banking Industry

Yesuf Mohammednur and Zaid Negash: Effect of Microfinance Participation on Farmers’ Technical Efficiency: Panel Evidence from Tigray, Northern Ethiopia

Esubalew A. Assefa: Competition and Performance of Ethiopian Microfinance Institutions: The NBE Dilemma


Behavioral EconomicsCo-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Degnet Abebaw

Fanaye Tadesse, Alemayehy Seyoum Taffesse, Ibrahim Worku: Formation of Aspiration

Bethelehem Koru, Fanaye Tadesse and Kibrom Tafere: Synthesis on SuccessfulFarmers

Ruth Vargas-Hill and Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse: Weather Index Insurance

10:30-11:00TEA/COFEE BREAK


Climate Change and Economic Growth

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Alemu Mekonnen

Seid Nuru: Climate Change and Economic Growth in a Rain-fed Economy: How Much Does Rainfall Variability Cost Ethiopia?

Daniel Gulti: Which Sector Should Lead in Ethiopia? Industry or Agriculture?

Solomon Retta: Does social Trust help for Effective Functioning of Free Market Economy?

Kassahun Aberra: The Impact of Climate Variability on Crop Production inEthiopia: Which Crop Is More Vulnerable to RainfallVariability?

Child welfare Determinants of Trade BalanceCo-organized by the African Child Policy Forum (ACPF) and EDRI

Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Fanaye Tadesse

Shimelis Tsegaye and Yehualashet Mekonen: Looking at the budget from a child wellbeing perspective

Yehualashet Mekonen and Shimelis Tsegaye: Child-friendly Budgeting

Alekaw Kebede and Frehiwot Fantaw: Investigating Determinants of Trade Balancein a Fast Growing Agrarian Economies: A case of Ethiopia.

Tesfaye Abate Zewdu: Analysis of Child Poverty Dynamics and Vulnerability in Ethiopia

Smallholder Commercialization, Marketing and Risk Attitude

Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Befkadu Behute

Samuel G/Selassie: Smallholder Commercialization, Performance and Household Demographic Cycle: Some Results from Analysis of Exceptionally Performing Farm Households in Lume Wereda, Ethiopia

Assefa Admassie (EEA), Degnet Abebaw (EEA) and Mamo Girma: determinants of Smallholder Crop Farmers’ Decision to Sell and for whom to sell: micro-level data evidence from Ethiopia

M. Raman & Kassie Dessie: the Commercialization of Agriculture in the Amahara Region

Mehari Hiluf Abay, Yesuf Mohammednur and Gebrhawaria Gebreegziabher : Farmers’ Risk Attitude and Demand for Weather Index Insurance (WII): Evidence from Rural Tigrai

Health and Social Issues

Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Workie Mitiku

Israel Fekade: A Study on the Feasibility of Health Insurance Schemes for Community Based Groups’ in Addis Ababa city.a Case Study on Iddir

Birtukan Bishaw Workie and Zenebe G.Egziabher: Household Demand for Improved Solid Waste Management service in Ethiopia; the case of Bahir Dar

Derek Headey and Fanaye Tadesse: Urbanization and Fertility in Ethiopia?

Social Protection and Children Welfare, Co-organized by Young Lives Study

Conference Room 5

Chairperson: Amdissa Teshome

Tassew Woldehanna and Yisak Tafere: Social protection and child welfare in rural Ethiopia

Yisak Tafere: Children’s Experiences and Changing Perceptions of Poverty: Some evidences from Young Lives Qualitative Study in Ethiopia

Workneh Abebe: Early Childhood Care and Education in Ethiopia

Tassew Woldehanna and Leyousew Gebremedhin: Malnutrition and achievement in primary education: the case of 20 sentinel sites in rural and urban Ethiopia

12:30 – 14:00 Lunch

14:00 – 15: 30 Plenary Session III

Innovations, Animal Healthcare and Conflict Management in Pastoral Areas

Co-organized by Future AgricultureConsortiumand TUFTS University

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Assefa Admassie

Girma Kassa: Collaboration between government and Customary Institutions in mitigating conflict in pastoral areas: evidence from the field

Abdi Abdullahi Hussein: Pastoral Innovations - Town camels and milk villages: the growth of camel milk marketing in the Somali Region of Ethiopia

Berhanu Admassu: Primary animal healthcare in pastoralist areas: experiences with evidence-based policy reform

15:30 – 16:00 TEA/COFEE BREAK


Evidence- based Constructive Engagement of CSOs for pro-poor policies: the experience of PANE co-organized by PANE

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Degnet Abebaw

Eshetu Bekele and Mamusha Lemma: Evidence-Based Policy Input Making Process: Experiences and Lessons of Poverty Action Network in Ethiopia (PANE)

Zinash Kefale: Tools for improving Pro-poor Service Delivery: The case of PANE’s CRC surveys

Tamiru Sebsibe: the impact of climate change on PASDEP and MDGs implementation in Ethiopia

Education and Health

Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Habtamu Tadesse

Teferi Daba Lemma: Demand for Traditional Health Care in Rural Ethiopia

Stefano Mainardi: Disparities in public service provision in Niger: Cross-department evidence on primary schools and healthcare

Adugna Lemi: Multilateral Agreements and Trade in Education Services: Implications for Ethiopia

Energy and Climate Change

Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Kassahun Abera

Zenebe Gebreegziabher, G. Cornelis van Kooten and Daan P. van Soest: Stove adoption, Land degradation, and climate change mitigation: the case of Ethiopia

Muluwork Kahsay: Techno-economic Standing of Solar

Zenebe Gebreegziabher and Alemu Mekonnen: Sustainable financing of Ethiopia’s energy infrastructure: an economic analysis

Intergovernmental Grants, Economic Growthand Monetary Policy

Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Bethelehem Koru

Emerta Asaminew: Inflation and Economic Growth: An Estimate of threshold level of Inflation for Ethiopia

Fitsum Z. Mulugeta and Naod Mekonnen: Manufacturing industries to Accelerate Economic Growth and Reduce Volatility in Ethiopia

Gashaw Tsegaye: Monetary Policy Shocks Transmission to Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Ergete Assefa Ferede: The Effects of Intergovernmental Grants in a Federation: International Lessons for Ethiopia

Networking, Resettlement and Financial Market Development

Conference Room 5

Chairperson: Getachew Ahmed

Teferi Mequaninte and Paul Thangata: The role of networks in knowledge management and innovations in Ethiopia and Rwanda

Jemal Ahmed, Alemat Hagos, Alem Araya, Gebre-egziabher Gebreyohannes: Impact of Resettlement on Food Security: The Case of Kafta Humera in Tigray, Ethiopia

Haile Kibret Fantaqye and Kassahun Aberra: Linkages between Financial Market Development and Economic Growth in Ethiopia

Tewodros Makonnen and Seneshaw Tamru: Ethio-China Trade in the Face of Free Trade Negotiations: A CGE Analysis


Co-organized by World Bank

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Getnet Alemu

The Dynamics of Poverty

Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Zinash Kefale

Yonas Alem: the dynamics and persistence of urban poverty: Panel data evidence from Ethiopia

Kelemework Geleta: Dynamics of Child Poverty and Its Determinants: Longitudinal Evidence from Ethiopia

Syed Ali: Poverty Alleviation through Capacity Building by the Self-help Groups – a Study in Kapiri Mposhi District of Zambia

Getachew Ahmed: Vulnerability to Poverty and Policy Responses: The Effectiveness of Social Protection in Ethiopia

Large-Scale Land Transfers, Rural Poverty Reduction and Climate Change

Co-organized by FSS

Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Samuel G/Selassie

Dessalegn Rahmato: Land to Investors: Large-Scale Land Transfers in Ethiopia

Abeje Berhanu & Ezana Amdework: Peasant Entrepreneurship and Rural Poverty Reduction: The Case of Model Farmers in Bure Wereda, West Gojjam Zone

Alebachew Adem: Climate Change and Rural Livelihoods in Northern Ethiopia: Impacts, Local Adaptation Strategies and Implications for Institutional Interventions.

Exchange Rate and Trade

Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Kassie Dessie

Hailemariam Ayalew: the Effect of Devaluation of Birr on Trade Balance of Ethiopia

Dessalegn Lencho: The Response of Export to Exchange Rate Movement in Ethiopia

Tigineh Mersha, Haile Yeshanew and Yonathan Gebre: Customer Perceived Quality of Ethiopian Banks: A Preliminary Study

Shoeb Ahmad: Economic Growth of Ethiopia

10:30-11:00 TEA/COFEE BREAK

11:00 – 12:30 PARALLEL SESSION V

Livestock Co-organized by IFPRI-ESSPII

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Samuel G/Selassie

Ayele Gelan, Ermias engda and Stefano Caria: A study on Livestock based on a CGE analysis

Fantu Nisraneand Seneshaw Tamiru: Spatial Integration of the Livestock Market in Ethiopia

Resource Mobilization and Economic Growth

Conference Room 2

Chairperson: Emerta Asaminew

Giulia Mascagni: Domestic resource mobilization in Ethiopia:A cointegration approach

Befekadu Mulatu: Mobilization of Domestic Saving: Lessons Learned from China

Marshall W. Thompson: Foreign Capital and National Capital in Natural Resources Exploitation: Prospects for Capital Accumulation and Development in the Global South

Entrepreneurship and Commercial Contracts Enforcement

Conference Room 3

Chairperson: Ibrahim Worku

Guush Berhane and Derek Headey: Entrepreneurship in Ethiopia

Tigineh Mersha and Ven Sriram: Skills, Resources and Entrepreneurial Performance: a Preliminary Study from Ethiopia

Tigineh Mersha and Ven Sriram: Social Entrepreneurship as a Vehicle of Social Change: Generating Profits to Make a Difference in Peoples’ Lives

Daniel Alemu Woldegiorgis: Commercial Contracts Enforcement in Ethiopia

Rural Development Road Transport and Foreign Trade

Conference Room 4

Chairperson: Fitsum Zewdu

Berhanu G/Mariam: Rural –Urban migration in Ethiopia: Cause, impacts, and linkages to Rural Development:- the case of Wolliso Woreda, Southwest Shewa Zone of the Oromia Regional State, Ethiopia

Temesgen Aklilu: Road transport and traffic system, and safety problems in Ethiopia: The two decades Experiences

Yonannes Yebabe: An Econometric Modeling of the Net Payment of the Foreign Trade of Ethiopia

Technical Efficiency in Rural Farm Household and Non-farm IncomeConference Room 5

Chairperson: Seneshaw Tamru

Kidanemariam G. Egziabher, Erik Mathijs, Miet Maertens, Jozef Deckers, and Hans Bauer: Is non-farm income relaxing marginal farms’ farm investment liquidity constraints? , a double hurdle approach

Abebe Ejigu Alemu, Erik Mathijs, Miet Maertens, Seppe Deckers, Kidane G/egziabher, Hans Baur: Vertical Coordination And Honey Production In Tigray: Motivation And Income Effects

Getachew Ahmed: Cereal Productivity in Ethiopia: An Analysis based on ERHS data (1999 and 2009)

Mohammed Adem: Comparative Analysis of Technical Efficiency in rural farm household evidence from northern Ethiopia, Tigray, Stochastic Frontier Approach

12:30 – 14:00 LUNCH

14:00 – 15:30 PLENARY SESSION IV

AgricultureCo-organized by IFPRI-ESSP2

Conference Room 1

Chairperson: Getnet Alemu

Fantu Nisrane: Trends in total Factor Productivity in the Agriculture Sector: A Growth Accounting Approach

Fantu Nisrane, Alemayehu Seyoum Tafesse: Agricultural Productivity in Ethiopia Challenges to Further Growth: Synthesis of Findings, Implication and Further Research

Ayele Gelan, Ermias, Stephanos Caria and Fantu: Synthesis on Livestock

15:30 -16:00Closing

16:00 – 19:30 Cocktail Reception at EEA Atrium