"National Seminar On National Strategy for the Development of Statistics "

(1stJuly 2013)

Organized by : Central Bureau of Statics UK aid UNDP

k|ltj]bsM ljgf]b z/0f cfrfo{

sfoqmd ;+rfns —lgb]{zs >L /fhg l;njfn

k|d'v cltly — df=pkfWoIf 8f= /ljGb| zfSo, /f=of]=cfof]u

ljz]if cltly —d'Vo ;lrj >L lnnfd0fL kf]v|]n ,g]kfn ;/sf/

cltly —;lrhHo"x? —ljleGg dGqfno

cltly —;lrj >L gfy'k|;fb rf}w/L ,nf]s ;]jf cfof]u

cltly—Andy Murray, DFID

sfo{qmd p2]Zo M—

g]kfndf ;'b[9 tYofÍ k|0ffnL tyf bL3{sflng tYofÍ gLltsf] lgdf{0f ug{ /fli6«o:t/sf ;/f]sf/jfnfx?;+u 5nkmn tyf ;'emfj ;+sng ug]{ .

sfo{kq k|:t'tstf{ M—

!_ dxflgb]{zs >L pTtd gf/fo0f dNn ,s]Gb|Lo tYofÍ ljefu

@_ Statistics Advisor of Results lead Andy Murray , DFID

#_ ;x;lrj >L j}s'07 cof{n, cy{ DfGqfno .

Kf|yd sfo{kq -dxflgb]{zs >L pQd gf/fo0f dNn , s]=t=lj_

k|d'v ljifoj:t'x? M—

  • Existing Statistical System and the need of NSDS
  • Historical Background of Nepal's Statistical System
  • CBS and Other agencies
  • Activities of CBS
  • Periodic Surveys
  • Analysis of existing Statistical System
  • Problems in the current Statistical System Data gaps/inconsistencies/inadequate manpower
  • Strength of Nepal's Statistical System
  • Need of NSDS

bf]>f] sfo{kq -Andy Murray, DFID_

k|d'v ljifoj:t'x? M—

  • Co-ordination of development partner's Statistical activities in Nepal
  • Importance of Statistics
  • PARIS 21 and NSDS process
  • Role of development partners in Nepal
  • NSDS process in Nepal
  • Investment in Statistics

t]>f] sfo{kq -;x;lrj >L j}s'07 cof{n, cy{ dGqfno _

  • Evidence based Policy Making
  • What is evidence based Policy Making?
  • Why it is different than normal Policy Making ?
  • What is needed for evidence based Policy ?
  • Why Statistics?
  • Statisticsin Economic Policy
  • Statistics is needed in every phase of Policy process
  • Difference between Statistics and Data
  • What is offcial Statistics ?
  • Demand and Supply of Statistics .
  • National Statistical System

sfo{kq k|:t'lts/0fsf] sfo{qmd kZrft\ ePsf] v'nf 5nkmn tyf lh1f;fdf ;xefuLx?af6 k|fKt ePsf ;'emfjx? M—

!_ s[i0f 9sfn, k//fi6« dGqfno

  • g]kfnsf] ;Gbe{df tYof+ssf] c;fWo w]/} gap 5 . pbfx/0fsf] nflu ljleGg b]zx?df ePsf ld;gx?df Toxf+sf nufgLstf{x? g]kfnsf] xfO8«f]kfj/sf] ;DjGwdf tYofÍ vf]Hg cfpF5g, h'g xfdLn] pknAw u/fpg ;s]sf 5}gfF} .
  • Data sf] inconsistencies kof{Kt 5 . ljleGg ;/sf/L lgsfosf tYofÍx?df Ps?ktf gx'+bf tYofÍ k|of]ustf{x?nfO{ ;d:of k}bf e}/x]sf] 5 . pbfx/0fM g]kfn /fi6« a}+s / Jofkf/ k|j{wg s]Gb|n] lgsfNg] tYofÍ Ps?ktf b]lvb}g .
  • ;+o'Qm /fi6« ;+3 nufotsf lgsfon] g]kfnsf ;/sf/L lgsfox?n] pTkfbg u/]sf tYofÍx?eGbf cGo lgsfosf tYofÍx? k|of]u ub]{ cfPsf] 5 . h'g lj8Dagf xf] .
  • NGO / cGo ;|f]tsf tYofÍ;+u ;/sf/L tYofÍx? bfFlhg xF'b}g . tYofÍdf k|of]u ePsf cjwf/0ff / kl/efiff a'emfpg ;Sg'k5{ .
  • tYofÍ ;]jfsf sd{rf/L ;a} ;/sf/L lgsfodf x'g'k5{ .
  • tYofÍ ;fj{hlgsLs/0f ug'{cl3 To;nfO{ authenticatic ug'{kg]{ lgod agfpg' k5{ .

ljleGg ;/sf/L lgsfox?sf] ;fd~h:otf sfod u/L tYofÍ k|sfzg ug'{k5{ .

  • tYofÍsf] k|of]unfO{ k|f]T;fxgug'{k5{ .
  • o; ;DaGwdf k//fi6« DfGqfnon] ug]{ ;xof]u ug{ dGqfno tof/ 5 .

@_ s[i0fxl/ k'is/, dxflgb]{zs , >d ljefu

  • >d / /f]huf/ ;DaGwL tYofÍsf] g]kfndf cefj 5 .
  • >d ljefu / s]=t=lj aLr co-ordination ePsf] 5}g, ;f] lsg x'g;ls/x]sf] 5}g < ;f] ul/g'k5{ .
  • casf] tYofÍ k4ltnfO{ cybernetics system df nfg' kb{5 . Manual System n] k'Ub}g .
  • Child Labor Statistics sf] tYofÍ 5}g . ePklginconsistencies ljBdfg 5 .
  • Integrated data collection codeof conduct agfO{ nfu" ul/g'k5{ .

#_ /fdz/0f kf7s, k|d'v tyf k|fWofks, hg;+Vof s]Gb|Lo ljefu

lqe'jg ljZjljBfno

  • xfd|f] s]Gb|Lo ljefu ;+u klg k|z:t tYofÍx? /x]sf 5g\ . lt tYofÍ / s]=t=lj= ;+u ePsf tYofÍx?sf] k|of]u ug{ ;lsG5 .
  • Vital registration Psbd} dxTjk"0f{ 5 . xfn;Dd o;sf] efffective implementation

x'g ;s]sf] 5}g, h'g tTsfn ul/g'k5{ .

  • Co-ordination among different agencies Psbd} sdhf]/ 5 .
  • Data for Development sf] gLlt nfu" ug'{kg]{ .
  • Quality data pTkfbg ug{ Wofg lbg] .

$_ k|f=8f= choljqmd :yflkt, k|d'v, tYofÍ s]Gb|Lo ljefu, lq=lj=

  • sfo{qmd / uf]i7Ldf tYofÍsf] ljsf; ;DaGwdf 7"nf–7"nf s'/f ePklg sfof{Gjogsf] cj:yf sdhf]/ b]lvFb} cfPsf] 5 . sfof{Gjog kIf jlnof] x'g'k5{ .
  • ljZjljBfno klg tYofÍ If]qsf] hgzlQm pTkfbg ug]{ Ps dxTjk"0f{ Component xf] . casf] of]hgf agfp+bf o;nfO{ klg Wofg lbg'k5{ .

%_ d'GgL s'df/L rf}w/L, tYofÍ clws[t, pBf]u ljefu

  • pBf]u ljefusf] tYofÍ k|0ffnL Psbd} sdhf]/ 5 .
  • s]Gb|Lo tYofÍ ljefu afx]s cGo ;j} ;/sf/L lgsfox?df tYofÍ o"lg6 v8f ug'{k5{ / To;df sfd ug]{ sd{rf/Lsf] j[lQ ljsf;df oyf]lrt Wofg k'¥ofpg'k5{ .
  • tYofÍ Unit x?nfO{ hgzlQm, ah]6 / ;Lksf cfwf/df alnof] jgfpg] kl/kf6L a;fNg'k5{ .
  • s]Gb|Lo tYofÍ ljefu tYofÍIf]qdf sfdug]{ sd{rf/Lx?sfparent organization ePsfn] p;n] s]=t=lj= df /x]sf sd{rf/Lx?sf] j[lQ ljsf;nfO{ dfq Wofg glbO{ cGo lgsfodf /x]sfx?sf] ;d]t j[lQ ljsf;df oyf]lrt Wofg lbg'k5{ .

^_ 8f= l8NnL cof{n, cy{ dGqfno

cWoIf, g]kfn tYofÍ ;+3 (NEPSA)

  • National Statistical System sf] ;Gb{df of]hgf agfOP cg';f/ sfof{Gjog gx'g' b'Mvb s'/f xf] .
  • tYofÍ P]g ;do ;fk]If ePg . ;f] ;Gbe{df P]g ;+zf]wgsf] nfuL kxn eP klg xfn;Dd sfof{Gjog ePg .
  • of]hgf ;d'x sfof{Gjog x'g ;s]sf] 5}g .
  • CBS sf] Status sf] ;DaGwdf w]/} klxn] b]lv cfjfh p7]sf] ePklg Statuspsf:g] ;DaGwdf pknJwL x'g ;s]sf] 5}g .
  • Designated Statistical System and Survey Clearance System nfu" ug'{k5{ .
  • d'Vo s'/f eg]sf] Implementation xf] . Implementation eP dfq o:tf ;]ldgf/x?sf] pkb]otf x'G5 .

&_ xl/jf]n >]i7, k"j{ ;x;lrj, s]Gb|Lo tYofÍ ljefu

  • tYofÍ ljefuleq National Account sf] ;Gbe{ Co-ordination sf] Psbd dxTjk"0f{ x'G5 . Ps csf{aLr Co-ordination gx'g' g]kfnsf] tYofÍ k¢ltsf] ;a}eGbf sdhf]/ kIf xf] .
  • Co-ordinationkIf sdhf]/ x'g'sf] d'Vo sf/0f CBS sf] low status eP/ xf] . CBS n] cGo dGqfno;Fu ;dGjo ug{+ xfnsf] cj:yfn] sl7g t'NofOPsf] 5 .
  • NPC cGt{ut CBS /flvg' csf]{ afws xf] , g]kfnsf] tYofÍsf] ljsf;sf] nflu .
  • CBS sf] g]t[Tj ;lrj :t/af6 x'g'k5{ .
  • ljBdfg ;+u7g ;+/rgf gu/L tYofÍsf] ljsf; ;Dej 5}g .

*_vu]Gb| kf]v/]n, n]vf clws[t , /f=of]=cfof]u

  • tYofÍsf] s'/fubf{ Budgetary datasf] s'/f cfpF5 , pbfx/0fsf] nflu g]kfndf NGO\INGO af6 EfPsf] vr{ Budgetsf] National data df b]lvb}g .
  • tYofÍ n'sfpg] k|j[lt 5 . Budgetory dataklg n'sfO{G5 .
  • unt af6f]af6 cfpg] ah]6nfO{ /f]Sg'k5{ / vr{ ;d]t ldtAooL tl/sfn] ug'{k5{ .

(_ :f? hf]zL , UNWOMEN

  • tYofÍdf dlxnfsf] tYofÍ n'Sbf]/x]5 . tYofÍx? k|sfzgubf{ gender disaggregated u/L lgsfNg'k5{ .
  • cGo d'n's;+u t'ngf ubf{ g]kfnsf] hgu0fgfdf w]/} k|Zgx? ;dfj]z ul/P klg g]kfnsf] hgu0fgf ;kmntfk"j{s ;DkGg x'g' /fd|f] xf] .
  • tYofÍsf] k|fljlws kl/efiff / Jojxfl/s a'emfO{ km/s 5 . h'g sd ug'{ clxn]sf] cfjZostf xf] .

!)_ k'ik >]i7, UNWFP

  • g]kfndf Food Production / Food Security ;DaGwL tYofÍsf] cefj 5 . hlt tYofÍ pknAw 5g\ ltgLx?aLr klg ;fd~ho:otf 5}g . tYofÍx? aLr ;fd~h:otf x'g' h?/L 5 .
  • Evidence Based Policy sf] cjwf/0ff casf] gofF Policy sf] cfpg'k5{ .

!!_ k'iknfn zfSo,;x;lrj,/fli6«o of]hgf cfof]u

  • s'g lgsfon] s:tf tYofÍ /fV5g To;sf] Pp6f inventory agfpg h?/L 5 .
  • d'n's rf8} ;+3Lo ;+/rgfdf hfg] s'/fsf] ;Gbe{df s'g / s:tf k|sf/sf tYofÍ National Level af6 pTkfbg ug]{ / s:tf tYofÍx? Local Level df pTkfbg ug]{ s'/fsf] of]hgf agfpg' k5{ .
  • Data sf] demand cg';f/ supply ug{ ;lsPsf] 5}g . Budgetary Constraint tYofÍsf] ljsf;sf] csf]{ ;d:of xf] .
  • Data inconsistencies csf]{ ;d:of xf] . g]kfn LDC af6 DevelopingCountry df Upgrade x'g] ;Gbe{df :f"rsx?tof/ ubf{ data inconsistent n] ;d:of k}bf ul//x]sf] 5 .
  • ;"rgf k|ljlwsf] k|of]u a9fpg'k5{ / Data dissemination Plan agfO{ nfu" ug'{k5{ .
  • tYofÍ hgzlQmsf] Ifdtf clej[l¢ ug'{ k5{ .
  • d"No tYofÍ -CPI_ sf] data g]=/f=a}sn] k|sfzg ug]{ ul//x]sf] 5 . df}lb|s gLlt lgdf{0f ug]{ lgsfo CPI tof/ ug'{ unt xf] . of] sfd CBS df ;fg'{k5{ .
  • National Strategy tof/ ubf{ klxn]sf] CNSPnfO{ cfwf/ agfpg'k5{ . CBS nfO{ upgrade ug]{ .

!@_ ljz]if cltly >L lnnfdl0f kf}8]n , d'Vo ;lrj

  • sfo{qmd ;+rfng ubf{ ;se/ sd vr{ df ug]{ / ldtJolotf sfod ug'{k5{ .
  • tYofÍdf ;fd~h:otf ePg . b'O{j6f lgsfoaLr ePsf tYofÍx? d]n vfFb}gg . Method / Definition km/s kf/]/ ;f] ePsf] xf] eg] Ps?ktf sfod ug{ s] ug'{k5{, Totf Wofg lbg'k5{ .
  • s'g} klg ;/sf/L lgsfon] tYofÍ k|sfzg ubf{ authenticate ug]{ / validate ug]{ kl/kf6Lsf] ljsf; casf] Strategy df ;dfj]z ug'{k5{ .
  • Strategy /plan agfpFbf xr'jfsf] e/df x}g, sfof{Gjog x'g] u/L Nofpg'xf];\ .

!#_ /fdrGb| 9sfn, sfo{sf/L lgb]{zs, CEDA

  • ljleGg lgsfox?n] lgsfNg] tYofÍdf c;fd~h:otf ljBdfg tYofÍ k|0ffnLsf] k|d'v ;Df:of xf] . ;f] ;dfwfg ug]{tkm{ Wofg k'uf]; .
  • tYofÍsf] unt ljj/0f lbg] hf] sf]xLnfO{ cfjZos sf/jfxL ug{ ;Sg]u/L lgod agfpg'k5{ .
  • CBS nfO{ Data authenticate Pj+ validate ug]{ clwsf/ 5 . ;f]sf] sfof{Gjogdf Wofg lbg'k5{ .
  • lgtL lgdf{0fdf tYofÍsf] k|of]u ug]{ kl/kf6Lsf]ljsf; ug'{k5{ .

!$_lty{/fh 9sfn , ;x;lrj , /f=of]=cf=

  • CBS / NPC d'Vo tYofÍ pTkfbg ug]{ / k|of]u ug]{ lgsfo ePsfn] oL b'O{ lgsfosf] cfk;L ;DaGw dxTjk"0f{ 5 .
  • Vital Registration sf] TfYofÍ lsg k|of]u x'g ;ls/x]sf] 5}g . o;df Wofg s]lGb|t ug'{k¥of] .
  • Data Users / Producers aLr ljBdfg vf8nnfO{ sd ub]{ hfg'k5{ .
  • Data Analysis Capacity Psbd} sdhf]/ 5 .
  • tYofÍ ljsf;sf] nflu ;f] s'/f h?/L 5 .
  • CBS sf] upgrade h?/L 5 / tYofÍ If]qsf] b/aGbL ;d]t j[l¢ ul/g'k5{ .
  • ljleGg Line agencies/ CBS aLrsf] ;DaGw ;'dw'/ x'g'k5{ .

!%_ /fdxl/ u}x|], lgb]{zs , s]Gb|Lo tYof ljefu

  • tYofÍdf bf]xf]/f]kgfsf] sf/0f datacollection ug]{ JolQm/;+:yfdf kof{Kt Statistical Knowledge gx'g' xf] .
  • kl/efiffsf] a'emfO{n] klg slxn]sfxLF tYofÍdf km/s h:tf] b]lvG5 . h'g s'/f Users n] a‰g'k5{ .
  • ;"rgf-ljz]if u/L kl/efiff_ sf] gap 5 .
  • Survey df ePsf] vr{ cg';f/ resource v]/ u}/x]sf] 5 . Census sf] data analysis ug{ ;lsG5 .
  • k|fKt tYofÍx?sf] Econometric Analysis x'g'k5{ .
  • Statistical Training Centre lgdf{0f u/L tYofÍLo hgzlQmsf] Ifdtf clej[l¢ ul/g'k5{ .
  • Data sf] analysis ug{ Expert x?nfO{ promote ug{ cfjZos Joj:yf ug'{k5{ .

!^_ gf/fo0fxl/ uh'¥ofn,k"j{ pkdxflgb]{s, s]=t=lj

  • of]hgf lgdf{0f u/]/ dfq x'Fb}g, sfof{Gjog klg alnof] x'g'k5{ . CNSP sfof{Gjog lsg ePg< ;f]sf] ;dLIff ul/g'k5{ .
  • Planning sf] nflu rflxg] tYofÍ reliable / Consistent x'g'k¥of] . h'g clxn] b]lvFb}g .
  • Inter agency Co-ordination sdhf]/ 5 . To;df ;'wf/ Nofpg] ul/ cfjZos kxn ug'{k5{ .
  • CBSsf] cg'dltdf dfq tYofÍx? k|sfzg ug]{ Joj:yf nfu' ug'{k¥of] .
  • tYofÍ P]g k'/fgf] e};Sof] . gof‘ P]gfsf] tof/L / sfof{Gjog ug'{k¥of] .
  • CBS nfO{ k"0f{ clwsf/ lbg'k5{ .

!&_ lzj/fh Gof}kfg] ,tYofÍ zf:qL, lgjf{rg cfof]u

  • g]kfndf demand based policy 5}g . tYofÍIf]qdf co-ordination sf] cefj 5 .
  • d=n]=lg=sf= df h:t} tYofÍ ;]jf klg PsLs[t?kn] tYofÍ ljefun] ;+rfng ug'{k5{ .
  • cfly{s of]hgf ;d'xsf] sfof{Gjog ul/g'kb{5 .
  • National ID agfpg] s'/f pl7/x]sf] 5 . To;df ;/f]sf/jfnf lgsfox?aLr cfk;L ;dGjo ug'{kb{5 .

!*_>L gfy'k|;fb rf}w/L ,;lrj, nf]=;]=cfof]u

  • tYofÍ lgsfNbf To;df k|of]u ul/Psf zAbx?sf] kl/efiff :ki6 x'g' h?/L 5 . cGoyf o;n] unt cy{ lbg ;S5 . pbfx/0fsf] nflu ckf+usf] kl/efiff ljleGg 9+un] a'‰g] x'Fbf cfof]unfO{ sf]6f lgwf{/0f ug{ ;d:of kg]{ u/]sf] 5 . To:t} ;Df:of Livestock Census df klg b]lvG5 .
  • Intersectoral linkages / co-ordination geO{ s'g} klg If]qsf] ljsf; ;+ej 5}g .
  • tYofÍsf] k|sfzg one window system af6 ul/g'k5{ .

dfly pNn]lvt dxfg'efjx?sf] lh1f;f / ;'emfjx?k|lt s]Gb|Lo tYofÍ ljefusf dxflgb]{zs >L pTtd gf/fo0f dNnn] hjfkm lbg'ePsf] lyof] . hjfkmsf d'Vo a'Fbfx? o; k|sf/ 5g\ M

  • k//fi6«;+u ;DaGwLt ;d:of ;dfwfgsf] nflu casf] Plan df OverseasDissemination sf] Joa:yf /flvg]5 .
  • ckf+usf] tYofÍdf ;d:of ePsf] ;fFrf] xf] . xfnsf] hgu0fgfsf] tYofÍdf w]/} ;'wf/ cfPsf] 5 .
  • /f]huf/ / Vital Registration System ;DaGwL Issues casf] Strategy df oyf]lrt Wofg lbOg]5 .
  • cGo lgsfodf /x]sf tYofÍLo hgzlQmx?nfO{ Official Statistics sf] ;DaGwdf ;Lkd"ns tflnd ;+rfng ug{ CBS n] sfo{qmd Nofpg]5 .
  • tYofÍ P]g lgod kl/dfh{gsf] nflu k|lqmof cufl8 a9fOPsf] 5 .
  • cjwf/0ff / kl/efiffdf :ki6tf Nofpg] Public awareness / Communication ug]{ ;DaGwdf casf] Policy df oyf]lrt Wofg lbOg]5 .
  • Designated StatisticalSystem nfu" ug{ ;lsP Data Inventory tof/ ug]{ s'/f ;xh x'G5 . ;f]sf] nflu CBS k|oTgzLn 5 .
  • CPI lgsfNg] ;DaGwdf olb g]kfn /fi6« a}+s jf ;f] sfo{ CBS df ;fl/P ljefu To;sf] nflu tof/ 5 .
  • CBS sf] Raw data pknAw u/fpg] :fDjGwdf uf]kgLotfnfO{ ;d]t Wofg lbg'kg]{ ePsfn] s]xL ;d:of cjZo 5 . tfklg o;sf] nflu 5'§} gLlt tof/ u/L cl3 a9\g s] =t=lj tof/ 5 .
  • casf] gofF Strategy sfof{Gjog x'g] k|sf/n] lgdf{0f ul/g]5 .

sfo{qmdsf] cGtdf k|d'v cltly df=pkfWoIf >L /ljGb| ZffSoHo"af6 cfˆgf] dGtJo k|s6 ug]{ tYofÍIf]qdf b]lvPsf ljljw ;d:ofx?sf] ;dfwfg ug{ gofF Strategy cfjZos ePsf] / ;f]sf] lgdf{0f kl5 sfof{Gjogsf] nflu cfkm" ;sf/fTds /x]sf] Aoxf]/f hfgsf/L u/fpg'ePsf] lyof] . To;kZrft\ sfo{qmdsf cWoI. /f=of]=cf= sf ;lra >L o'j/fh e';fnaf6 ;dfkg dGtJo JoQm ul/Psf] lyof] .

l/kf]6stf{ M ljgf]bz/0f cfrfo{ ;dfKt