CONTENTS

PresidentÕs Message...... 2

EditorÕs Message...... 3

Forthcoming Conferences and Workshops...... 4

News from Statistics New Zealand...... 8

Departure of New ZealandÕs Government Statistician...... 9

The Maori Outcomes Analysis Team, Te Puni Kokiri...... 11

Welcome to New Members...... 12

Population Studies Centre Update...... 13

Migration Research Group, Waikato...... 16

The Longitudinal Immigration Survey: New Zealand (LisNZ)...... 20

APA News...... 21

Jacoby Student Essay Competition, 2000...... 22

New Zealand Population Review...... 23

PANZ Council Directory...... 24

Incoming Council...... 25

Invitation to Join PANZ...... 26

Application Form...... 27

PRESIDENTÕS MESSAGE

The planned millennium meeting between the delegates of the Australian Population Association and the New Zealand Population Association is well in its final stages. This meeting will be held in Wellington on 29 and 30 June 2000. The details of this meeting are published in this Newsletter. Councils of both the associations have agreed to publish the proceedings of this conference. I strongly urge our members and others to make an effort to attend this conference.

I have been the President of PANZ for the last three years. I have tried my best to uphold the basic goals of promoting discussion and research on population issues. During the last few years we have been able to rejuvenate our journal publication and improve its quality. We have also been able to publish the journal at regular intervals. This has been possible due to the various initiatives taken by our editor (Dr Dharmalingam). The publication of the journal would not be possible without the contributions received from the members and other researchers. I strongly urge our members and other researchers to submit their research findings to Population Review for publication. Secondly we have also been able to start a new monograph series. The revitalization of our publication program certainly has provided a useful outlet to the demographic/population research findings and helped to further our understanding of the demographic issues and enhance the discussion on population matters.

In the past we experienced significant difficulties in up grading our Web Site. Recent efforts made by James Newell have made it possible for us to up grade and improve our Web Site. We are constantly looking for any suggestions for further improvements. Please do not hesitate to communicate your ideas directly to James Newell or other members of the PANZ council.

I end my Presidential term with a sense of satisfaction knowing that PANZÕs effort to promote the understanding of population matters through its various activities has been significant.

Arvind Zodgekar

PANZ website:

EDITORÕS MESSAGE

As I am not seeking re-election to Council the PANZ newsletter in November, will be assembled by a new editor. I have appreciated the opportunity to serve the association as a Councillor. Involvement in the organisation at this level has provided me with the chance to meet and work with a very diverse group of people. I am happy that the newsletter is beginning to reflect that diverse membership and I trust that the members that have begun contributing news on a regular basis will continue to do so. As I have stressed in the past, this newsletter is a medium through which you, the members, can publicise your research together with recent publications in the population field. So please keep that material rolling in and consider letting your name go forward as a member of Council in future years.

Many thanks to those people who have contributed Ònews itemsÓ for publication in the past three years while I have been editor. Your contributions are a vital part of making the newsletter interesting, relevant and informative for the membership (in addition to helping the editor). Special thanks to Dr Dharmalingam, a University colleague here at Waikato, and Andrew Middleton, editor of DEMOZ. I have been grateful for the practical and moral support they have both offered.

Recall, in the November 1999 issue I suggested if there was interest I would begin a ÒLetters to the editorÓ section in this edition. As no one to date has taken up the offer this suggestion is on hold for future reconsideration. I remind you, as Andrew has his members, that it takes time to Òcobble togetherÓ newsletters, particularly those that are reliant upon material which members submit for publication. Please send material in at any time to any member of Council. An editor really appreciates having material Òon fileÓ for publication before the due date.

Remember that the PANZ website is now an integral part of the AssociationÕs communication network. It contains the newsletter, PANZ Elist, PANZ background and constitution, affiliations, officers, membership details, Annual General Meeting, conferences, seminars, workshops, etc plus information on the Jacoby Prize (a Student Essay Competition). In addition there are links to other New Zealand Social Science Associations and Organisations. Bookmark the address to keep up-to-date with the website:

In conclusion, I wish the incoming Council and my successor all the best, and look forward to seeing many of you at the PANZ/APA Millennium Meeting.

Jacqueline Lidgard

FORTHCOMING CONFERENCES AND WORKSHOPS

29 and 30 June 2000

A joint meeting of delegates of the Population Association of New Zealand/Te Roopu Whaka Waihanga Iwi o Aotearoa and the Australian Population Association will be held to mark the Millennium. The conference is titled Populations of New Zealand and Australia at the Millennium. This meeting will be held in the Royal Society Rooms, Turnbull Street, Wellington.

On the first day speakers will cover broad demographic, immigration and population issues facing both countries. This day is open to the PANZ-APA members and the public.

At the conclusion of day one, PANZ will hold their AGM.

On day two, delegates from PANZ and APA will discuss more specific issues. Members of both the associations are free to observe these proceedings.

The programme is as follows:

Thursday 29 June 2000

(Public Session)

9:00Opening Remarks

9:20Key Demographic Issues Facing Australia
Graeme Hugo & Peter McDonald

10:20Morning Tea

10:40Key Demographic Issues Facing New Zealand
Ian Pool

11:40Discussant: To be confirmed

12:10Open for General Discussion

12:30LUNCH

1:30Immigration & Population Policy (New Zealand)
Richard Bedford & Andy Trlin

2:30Immigration & Population Policy (Australia)
Siew-Ean Khoo & Don Rowland

3:30Afternoon Tea

3:50Discussant: To be confirmed

4:20Open for General Discussion

4:45Conclusion

5.00 - 6.00PANZ AGM

Friday 30 June 2000

(Delegates and Members)

9:00Fertility & Family Formation
(Australia) Gordon Carmichael & Natalie Jackson
(New Zealand) A. Dharmalingam & others

10:20Morning Tea

10:50Future Demographic Changes
(New Zealand) A. Zodgekar & M. Khawaja
(Australia) John Paice & Rebecca Kippen

12:10Lunch

1:00Internal Migration
(Australia) Martin Bell
(New Zealand) James Newell & Ward Friesen

2:20Afternoon Tea

2:50Indigenous Population Issues
(New Zealand) Cyril Mako & Paul Spoonley
(Australia) John Taylor & Kate Ross

10.10Conclusion

13-17 November, 2000

Fifth International Metropolis Conference

Vancouver, Canada

Themes include:

¥Building social, cultural and economic capital

¥Creating opportunity: growth, access and equity

¥Managing gateways and managing change

¥Investing in the future

Further information available at:

23-24 November, 2000

Ninth Conference

ON LABOUR, EMPLOYMENT AND WORK

Victoria University of Wellington

The first of these national conferences on Labour, Employment and Work was held in May 1984, the second in 1985, the third in 1987, the fourth in October 1990 and the fifth in November 1992 and the sixth, seventh and eighth in November 1994, 1996 and 1998 respectively. Their aim continues to be to offer researchers from throughout the country an opportunity to meet and discuss their research. Proceedings of the fifth, sixth, seventh and eighth conferences may be consulted in major public and university libraries. Proceedings of the seventh and eighth conferences may be ordered through the website:

Papers are invited from any university discipline, CRI or other public or private organisation or individual undertaking research. The only criterion is that the paper reflect the authorÕs current or recently completed research on labour, employment or work issues in New Zealand. Proceedings will be published.

Special sessions:¥Implications of the new Employment Relations Act

¥ Aging and the work force ¥ The future of work

¥ Work and location ¥ New employment institutions

For further information please contact Philip Morrison,

Assoc. Professor, Institute of Geography,School of Earth Sciences,Victoria University of Wellington, PO Box 600, Wellington

Ph: 04 463-6655

e-mail: .

website:

29th November Ð 1st December 2000

Australian Population Association 10th Biennial Conference

Melbourne, Australia

The venue is Rydges Riverwalk Hotel, Richmond.

Themes include:

  • ÔGlobal cities: nodes in the international information network or choked megalopolises?Õ
  • ÔImmigration: symbolic analysts on the move or victims of push factors in a new era of instability?Õ
  • ÔPopulation futures: green growth or high-rise dystopia?Õ.

Plenary session keynote speaker: Professor Paul Ehrlich

Web site:

4th Ð 6th December, 2000

Centre for Asia Pacific Social Transformation Studies (CAPSTRANS) University of Wollongong and University of Newcastle, Australia

Social Transformations in the Asia Pacific

The first of an international series of conferences sponsored by UNESCO-MOST exploring globalisation and social transformation in world regions.

Registration forms and programme available via CAPSTRANS website:

29th January Ð 2 February 2001

New Zealand Geographical Society (NZGS) and

Institute of Australian Geographers (IAG) Joint Conference

2001 Geography, a Spatial Odyssey

University of Otago, Dunedin

Themes include:

¥Journeys and movement

¥Spaces and places

¥The future

¥Environmental change

Further information: Pam Quin Division of Science, University of Otago. Email:

Web site:

NEWS FROM STATISTICS NEW ZEALAND

2001 Census of Population & Dwellings: Dress Rehearsal

On 7 March 2000, Statistics New Zealand carried out a Dress Rehearsal in order to test systems being developed for the forthcoming Census of Population and Dwellings in March 2001. This included testing the enumeration and processing systems, as well as the 0800 Helpline facilities and evaluation and output procedures.

The Dress Rehearsal entailed enumerating about 12,600 dwellings in four areas of approximately the same size (around 3,000 dwellings each) in Tauranga, Gisborne, Lower Hutt and Wainuiomata. This involved four district supervisors and 47 enumerators. Considering that this was, unlike the census proper, a voluntary exercise, a very good 90 percent delivery rate was achieved. The collection phase was completed by 19 March. Around 76 percent of all households returned completed forms. This equates to forms for about 10,000 dwellings and 29,000 people. During this time, the Helpline fielded some 600 calls, which if typical of the whole of New Zealand implies that over 70,000 calls may be expected on Census Night 2001. Processing of the forms began on 11 April. This will confirm whether or not the current estimates of scanning and processing throughputs are valid.

As a follow-up, some 300 of the households enumerated were surveyed by telephone between March 27 and March 29 to establish whether there were any problems associated with the collection phase. It was pleasing to see that in most cases respondents were happy to participate in this dress rehearsal and that in general the process was handled efficiently and effectively.

2001 Post Enumeration Survey

Following the 2001 Census, Statistics New Zealand will once again hold a Post Enumeration Survey (PES) to establish the completeness of census coverage and to ascertain broad demographic characteristics of those missed by the census. Planning for the 2001 Census includes testing PES questionnaires and procedures. The PES dress rehearsal was held between 21 March and 3 April 2000. It included a sample of 300 households (approximately one in 40 of those in the census dress rehearsal).

Four PES interviewers administered the survey. The PES ran smoothly and public feedback was generally positive. Results of the PES are currently being analysed to provide a picture of the kind of people who were missed or counted more than once. This information proves valuable in improving both census coverage and the quality of the final PES survey. At the 1996 census, the net under-enumeration rate was 1.2 percent.

Area Unit (Suburban) Population Projections

Statistics New Zealand has recently completed a revised set of population projections for the 1775 Census Area Units. This involved an updating of the 1996-base population projections for cities, districts, regions and urban areas. The revised projections have the estimated resident population at 30 June 1999 as a base, and have taken into account recent changes in births, deaths and net migration, especially the significant shift in external migration balance from a large net gain during 1994-97 to a significant net outflow during 1999-2000. The Area Unit projections will be useful to planners, policy makers, administrators, researchers and others for local planning and related applications.

These population projections can be obtained from Statistics New Zealand. The contact person is Richard Speirs (Telephone: 03 3748779; email: richard_speirs @stats.govt.nz.

Mansoor Khawaja

email:

Chief Demographer

Departure of New ZealandÕs Government Statistician

After working as New ZealandÕs top statistician for the past eight years, Len Cook has taken his expertise to Britain. In February, Mr Cook was appointed the first National Statistician of the United Kingdom and director for national statistics. He left to take up his three-year contract on 22 May.

The Dominion 21 February 2000, reported that ÒGovernment statistician Len Cook feels like the new boy at a big school. From a country of fewer than four million people to one of more than 59 million, the newly appointed chief statistician of Britain is certainly going to be a small fry in a big pond. É The smallest sprat in Lake Taupo.Ó

Mr Cook was modest about his promotion. ÒItÕs been quite wonderful working as a statistician in New Zealand. The job IÕve got is one I have always valued, as, in New Zealand government, the statistician holds a real role of power. But when I was offered the job in the UK, there was no way I could pass up the opportunity.Ó He will move from overseeing 600 staff to directing more than 3000.

One of the first tasks for Mr Cook when he gets to London will be to organise the 2001 census. Unlike New Zealand, Britain holds a census only once every 10 years. In addition, the British statistics organisation has fragmented into five separate areas, and as a result of the decentralisation, Mr Cook says that strained relationships have developed. This will make organising the census in the UK a tough job.

The public trust of Statistics New Zealand is very high. By comparison, the British public is very distrusting. As Mr Cook points out, ÒTrust in the census gives us trust in everything else we do, but in the UK itÕs been split into separate departments in the past, so it hasnÕt had the same response.Ó

The self-confessed Ònumbers manÓ believes that being a New Zealander will work in his favour. He says our public sector is seen internationally as highly innovative. ÒOne of my jobs will be to make the organisation work more effectively and build on what has already been created. The actual quality and range of British statistics is pretty sound, but their technology base is several years behind New Zealand. The quality of their statistical methods and thinking needs to be improved. They quite openly recognise this.Ó

During his time at the top of statistics, Mr Cook has seen many changes. He says New Zealanders have developed a better understanding of the ethnic diversity in the country. ÒI think weÕve had to confront the importance of recognising Maori and Pacific Islanders development in our statistics. This is an area that a New Zealander could contribute a lot to. In Britain, theyÕre only just coming to grips with this.Ó

Mr Cook has also seen the agency go through major economic reforms. He says the changes were positive and reflected a changing financial climate. ÒWeÕre much more global now. Most of our statistics have to recognise that weÕre pretty much a little blob in the world and we canÕt be insular in anything that we do.Ó

Len Cook was appointed Government Statistician in January 1992 following a period as one of two Deputy Government Statisticians. He joined the department in 1971 with a Bachelor of Arts (Hons) degree in mathematics and statistics. Subsequent responsibilities included the application of statistical methods to statistical processes, the development of the departmentÕs macro-economic statistics and demographic statistics. Mr Cook was a member of the Royal Commission on Social Policy.

Dianne Macaskill, Deputy Government Statistician, is acting Government Statistician until a permanent appointment is made.

THE MAORI OUTCOMES ANALYSIS TEAM,

TE PUNI KOKIRI

Earning, Learning, and Unpaid Work

The following are three recent fact sheets on Maori:

¥ Maori Personal Income

¥ The Maori Language and Education

¥ Maori and Unpaid Work

If you are seeking answers to questions such as;

How much do Maori earn? Are income levels different for self employed Maori?

How many Maori children learn te reo Maori? How many Maori are enrolled in kura kaupapa Maori? Are enrolment levels different around the country?

Who does the most unpaid work inside and outside their own homes? What types of unpaid work are people doing?

The above fact sheets, recently produced by Te Puni Kokiri, should supply the answers to the above questions for you.

The Maori Outcomes Analysis team in Te Puni Kokiri regularly analyses interesting information about Maori. To ensure that this information is distributed to iwi, hapu, Maori, and the general public, the team has been producing a series of fact sheets. These two page fact sheets use graphs, tables, maps and text to provide quick reference information on topical issues. The fact sheets focus on either an interesting topic in one particular sector, or on a specific population group.

The following fact sheets have been produced to date:

¥ Maori Self Employment

¥ Kaumatua

¥ Maori Unemployment

¥ Maori Living in Urban and Rural New Zealand

¥ Maori Smoking Patterns

¥ Rangatahi - Maori Youth

¥ Maori Personal Income

¥ The Maori Language and Education

¥ Maori and Unpaid Work

Other topics planned for future fact sheets include Nga Tane Maori and Maori Graduates.

If you would like a copy of any of the fact sheets that have already been produced or would like to be put on the fact sheet mailing list, please contact Liza Henare at Te Puni Kokiri Head Office on phone (04) 922-6179, or email .