Wal-Mart Vs. Inflation
Business Week; New York; May 13, 2002; Gene Koretz;
Issue: / 3782
Start Page: / 32
ISSN: / 07398395
Subject Terms: / Research
Deflation
Supermarkets
Classification Codes: / 8390: Retailing industry
1110: Economic conditions & forecasts
9190: United States
9000: Short article
Geographic Names: / United States
US
Abstract:
A recent UBS survey of the impact of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. on grocery prices in locations where its Supercenter stores have been undercutting traditional supermarket chains shows that in such areas rivals' prices for grocery items were as much as 27% to 39% higher than Wal-Mart's. The researchers also found that Wal-Mart's presence forces down rival stores' prices
Copyright 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
One reason the Federal Reserve is less concerned about inflation than the European Central Bank, say economists at UBS Warburg, is the deflationary impact of America's more competitive retail environment.
As evidence, they point to a recent UBS survey of the impact of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. on grocery prices in locations where its Supercenter stores have been undercutting traditional supermarket chains. In such areas, the survey found that rivals' prices for grocery items were as much as 27% to 39% higher than Wal-Mart's, with the average discount offered by Wal-Mart stores for a comparable basket of goods running about 20% (table).
The researchers also found that Wal-Mart's presence forces down rival stores' prices--some 13% lower than in markets where Wal-Mart isn't a factor. With Wal-Mart opening more Supercenters and smaller grocery-focused outlets, price competition is heating up.
That spells less pressure on U.S. household budgets than in Europe where grocery competition is less intense. And, of course, less pressure on the Fed to step on the monetary brakes.
(available online)THE WAL-MART EFFECT
WAL-MART'S PRICES* VERSUS THOSE
OF RIVAL GROCERY CHAINS
MARKET PERCENT
AREAS LOWER
LAS VEGAS -19.9%
HOUSTON -19.8
TAMPA -20.8
* AVERAGE PRICES IN MARCH 2002 FOR SIMILAR BASKETS OF GROCERY ITEMS
Data: UBS Warburg