Earth Changes Bulletin Update As of December 28 2005

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of January 18 2006

Major Anomaly In Chandler's Wobble - 2005/2006

(ECB - January 18, 2005, MWM) There is a relatively large, developing anomaly in the spiraling motion of the spin axis, including an huge phase shift, a shortening of the length of the normal 7 year cycle, the tightening of the spiral motion into an exceptionally small spiral, and a major acceleration in the drift of the Spin Axis (secular drift of the poles, or so-called True Polar Wander). This anomaly is on-going and portends major changes in tectonic activity during ensuing years.

See the latest plot: Go immediately and see the current wobble track. This introduction is written with the graph at

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/polarmotion/plots/wobbletrack_Jan17_05.gif

This rather large anomaly began in the Earth's Wobble (in so-called Chandler's Wobble) approximately November 1, 2005. The current spiral of polar motion (the track of the changing location of the Spin Axis in its regular 14 month wobble around its average location) has abruptly made a 90 degree "turn" to create a very small or tight "turn" in the spiral of the daily plot of the motion of the Spin Axis. This current turn can be seen in red in the graph below. It began approximately November 1 and is still on-going. This anomalous turn is the smallest turn which has ever appeared in Chandler's Wobble since reliable plots began to be drawn in 1900. It is currently at least one third of the average size.

The anomaly appears as a sudden phase shift (frequency change) in the current 7 year X WAVE of the Chandler Amplitude (size of the spiral). The Spin Axis has apparently entered into its MINIMUM wobble size some ten months early, thus abruptly shortening the 7 year length of the (X WAVE) cycle in the wobble. This phase shift can also be thought of as a sudden increase in the frequency of the wobble.

Normally, the red line in the diagram would be nearly horizontal at this time in its cycle, tracking to the right of the diagram. It should be tracking to move roughly horizontal to the right about three more grid lines (each grid line is equivalent to 5.1 feet or 0.05 arcsecond or 50 mas or 1.55 meters) during the course of the next eight months. QUITE OBVIOUSLY IT IS NOT GOING TO MAKE IT. NOT EVEN CLOSE.

At the current time the nearly vertical plot of the Spin Axis (as shown in red) is moving somewhat slowly at approximately a 20 to 25 degree angle to the X Axis (computed by averaging through a protractor). This equates to movement along Longitude East 160 to 155 by "dead-reckoning".

Of course this apparent motion is an illusion. The Spin Axis is not really moving, it stays oriented to the same fixed stars. It is really the crust of the Earth which is moving, sliding over the Spin Axis, moving from Longitude East 155-160 down towards Longitude West 20-25. Since this is nearly a 2.5 month track (the red portion), the crust of the Earth is actually wobbling or changing the actual location of the Spin Axis quite slowly compared to its more aggressive spirals, which can be see in the much larger black circular tracks. Each complete spiral turn into a completed circle normally takes about 14 months.

BUT, comparatively, the average location of the Spin Axis is being radically changed at a very high rate of speed, . The tight, 90 degree turn is creating a dramatic acceleration in the drift of the average location of the Spin Axis (secular drift of the pole or so-called True Polar Wander).

The speed of the drift for the first 90 years of the 20th century was estimated by geophysicists who contributed to the work of the IERS (International Earth Rotation Service) to average out at 10.2 centimeters per year. This number is widely supported by geophysicists as can be seen by this quote from "The Prophecies":

"numbers computed by Gross and Vondraik for the period 1900 to 1992. They estimated a direction of W79.2 with a rate of 33 feet per century (which is 10.05 centimeters/year. More recently, Zhigen Yang, a Chinese scholar, presented a poster calculation for proceedings on “Space Astronomy Survey and Earth Dynamics” for the Chinese Geophysical Society (see www.cgs.org.cn/event/16(14).htm) which finds a rate of True Polar Wander at .003356 arcsecond per year (10.4 centimeters) in a direction of Longitude W78.7 ± 2.5 degrees. This is in close agreement with the 1988 calculations by Moritz and Mueller and the 1996 numbers by Gross and Vondraik."

When the rate of drift of the average location of the Spin Axis (which is the center point of the spiral tracks, as seen in the diagram) is computed for the entire 20th century, an acceleration appears to be noticable, most likely as a consequence of the addition of numbers from the 1990's. This is summarized in "The Prophecies":

"Perhaps even more convincing are calculations made by Joachim Hopfner in a technical paper for the IERS consortium (Science Technical Report ISSN 1610-0956). With a lengthy statistical analysis of several systems of defining the location and motion of the pole during the past 100 years, Hopfner compared the results of several of the most well known geophysicists and concluded that a good mean figure for True Polar Wander is .00391 arcsecond/yr (12.13 centimeters moving in the direction of Longitude W65.17."

If we analyze the rate of drift directly from the geometry displayed in the Wobble Track diagram above, we can plainly see that in the period 1999-2005, the apparent drift between the centers of the two smallest circles. The 1999 spiral is the small black circle near the center of the diagram. The spiral which is currently forming is shown by the red line. Notice the huge difference in size. The displacement between the approximate centers by dead reckoning is at least .1 arcsecond, which is some 10.2 feet or 310.9 centimeter over a 6 year period. This is an average of .017 arcsecond/yr. or some 51.823 centimeters/yr for the period 1999-2005.

This is easily an acceleration of at least 4.25, possibly more like 5. CURRENTLY NOW POLAR MOTION GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF MOVING IN "TRUE POLAR WANDER" AT A RATE WHICH IS ABOUT 4.25 to 5 TIMES FASTER THAN DURING THE 20TH CENTURY, USING BASE COMPARATIVES COMPUTED AT DIFFERENT TIMES BY DIFFERENT SCHOLARS IN CHINA, U.S., AND GERMANY WHICH ARE RELATIVELY RECENT. (ALL WITH THE LAST 18 YEARS).

MOST OF THIS APPARANT SHIFT IS BEING GENERATED BY A HIGHLY VISIBLE ANOMALY WHICH BEGAN IN NOVEMBER 2005 AND WHICH IS STILL ON-GOING. In other words, this apparent shift is not really over a six year period. It is over a much narrower window of time comprising just the last few months, which on a short time factor gives us an acceleration factor minimally in the range of 30 plus, perhaps larger.

Or not. It is possible that the Earth will somewhat recover its more normal wobble track. The wobble is well known to be somewhat irregular, as can be seen in the somewhat jagged appearance of the 1999 small black circle. Thus, it is a little early to be certain about the actual magnitude of the change which is being created at the current time. The track of the Spin Axis may begin to flatten horizontally and reduce the degree of displacement and the amount of phase shift. But even so, most likely the shift is already too advanced to be merely a fleeting blip in the statistics. The acceleration of the drift of the average location of the Spin Axis will not completely evaporate, it is likely to remain a significant multiple, well over 2. A real shift has occurred, most likely the largest since the plots began to be made with enough points per year to produce a reasonable graph (circa 1900).

One interesting result of this shift is the resurgence of the trend of drift along W80. The center of this spiral for 2006 is likely to reduce the apparent drift down W65-75.

One intriguing possibility is that this shifting is purely related to the mass functions of and IN the Earth. This anomaly is directly correlated with gravity since it is showing up at Earth’s Perihelion (closest approach to the Sun) during an extremely close alignment with Venus and a New Moon at Perigee in its South Node (South of the Equator) all drawing up on the heavy “pear-bottom” of the Earth (Antarctica). Alignments hardly come more synchronized than this. Does the truncated X MIN spiral which is forming reveal that mass vectors in the Earth have reached a stage of arrangement which can accelerate the pulling of the Earth’s crust in a way which accelerates the centrifugal push of the Earth’s crust past its well-worn “grooves” in the mantle? If so, this truncation of the spiral circles of the Wobble may be seen more and more, most especially during each succeeding X MIN phase. In other words, is an acceleration of the shifting of the average location of the Spin Axis beginning to occur at a rate which squishes the short, relatively slow X MIN spirals?

One highly interesting question which remains is whether this apparent acceleration and increase of instability in the Spin Axis will build progressively. This we have no way to answer this at the current time.

One interesting implication is the likely increase in tectonic activity which may follow during the next 20 years or so. The last major anomaly in the MIN phase of the X WAVE was during 1936, which induced a major phase shift and sharp change in direction of the drift of the pole. Following that anomaly, the frequency of 7.0 plus quakes nearly doubled from some 18 per year to over 30 per year. The year following the anomaly saw many major increases in volcanism. We are likely headed towards a similar 20 year season of increase in tectonic activity, beginning with a major increase in volcanism during 2006-08 and the occurrence of more 7.0 plus quakes, even as many three per month for many years afterwards. This activity, combined with the effects of Global Warming on the creation of Super Storms, are likely to keep the news channels quite busy.

This anomaly will be of significant interest to fans of Edgar Cayce, the famed sleeping prophet. He predicted during the mid 1930's that a new cycle of the shifting of the poles would begin in 2000/2001 and thereafter an increase would begin in "upheavals" in the Earth. Since this anomaly has appeared in a "cycle" of Chandler's Wobble which began in 2000, just after the completion of the MIN PHASE in 1999, we are now seeing Cayce's prediction fulfilled with remarkable fidelity. We have both a new cycle of an increased shifting of the poles and an increase in “upheavals” with the activity which struck Sumatra in Dec 2004 and early 2005. Such upheavals are more likely during 2006, both by the previous patterns of increases related to the X MIN phase of Chandler’s Wobble and by Cayce’s predictions. Be advised accordingly.

A NEW CYCLE IN THE SHIFTING OF THE EARTH’S SPIN AXIS IS OCCURRING AND WE CAN AWARD EDGAR CAYCE WITH ONE OF THE BIGGEST CLAIRVOYANT HITS OF ALL TIME. MATTER OF FACT, I AM DOING IT NOW, REALLY. I AM GOING TO REVISE THE SCORE NUMBERS FOR CAYCE IN THE TRILOGY. I AM GOING TO LEAVE THE NUMBERS THE SAME IN BOOKS ONE AND TWO, PARTLY FOR HISTORICAL INTEREST, BUT I AM GOING TO MAKE AN ADDENDUM IN BOOK THREE AND COMPUTE A NEW SCOREBOARD FOR CAYCE.

I expect that now the Earth’s Wobble will become more and more eccentric in response to its obvious mass-instability. A significant phase shift will show a much faster rate of displacement than the previous century and this rate of displacement is likely to continue to accelerate. The end result will be a “pole shift”, as is said in the pop press, or more accurately, an avalanche of the crust will be the end result. Having said this, it is impossible to guess at the moment how this is grinding out.

SOLAR VORTEX

Sunspots for the January 21 three-way alignment Venus | Earth | Saturn peaked on January 14, just about seven days early as is very typical, at 46. They are now down to 36 and likely will fall to 10 or below, though the count may linger in the 30’s and 20’s for a week. Fluxgate is recording a few brief, small flurries of magnetic activity, mostly it is flat line. NASA reports less than 5% odds of flares, solar activity is low.

SO – You lucked out with the weird weather. It may be bizarre but believe me, it could have gotten much worse with a Sunspot Count of 100 or so. The bad news is that the jet stream has set up its regime for this Winter and it not budging with little Sun activity to nudge it. Accordingly, the drought will built in the desert zones. The Pacific Northwest, well, you have to live up to your legend once in awhile. This is your destiny calling in to remind you how wet it it is that you have telling everyone it is up there. You are getting your karma for those tall tales. Not to feel alone …Texas is getting its karma delivered in the Bushes.

QUAKES AND VOLCANOES

The Moon is sliding into oblivion for the next seven days, betwixt all Whammies. Quake activity is sharply down in both frequency and magnitude, more centered in the West Pacific (East Asia)than anywhere else. Six minor shape-shifters have struck the Great Rifts of the oceans this past seven days but there is no apparent build up of activity along the Western coasts of the Americas.

The next New Moon is January 28, 2004, once again close to a Perigee. Earthquake activity should be much more virulent in frequency and magnitude from about January 25 through to about February 3.

Next Perigee

Jan 30 7:48 357780 km N+ 17h

Maintain high vigilance during each of the next three Perigee New Moons, plus or minus four days either side. I believe you can relax after that.

El Popo was largely sleepy today but volcanic activity is still moving upwards. Augustine in Alaska is the most active but it company with 22 active volcanoes, most of which are now active enough to cause new reports to be written each week for gas, ash, or lava. SWVC also reports 6 restless and 62 on the alert list. This is a most vigorous start than 2005 and thus I expect that during 2006 volcanism will be more explosive and colorful than in the previous five years.