Agenda
FOCRAII 2008 Final Programme
April 9(Wednesday), 2008
Registration（08:00-09:00）
Location：Lobby of BeijingClimateCenter
Opening Ceremony (09:00-10:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair:LI Weijing
09:00-09:10Welcome address by head of CMA
09:10-09:20Address by WMO representative (Ms.Leslie MALONE)
09:20-09:30Address by Executive Director-General of BCC (Dr. XIAO Ziniu)
09:30-10:00Group Photo and Tea Break
Invited Lectures (10:00-12:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: Chih-Pei CHANG
10:00-10:40Methods and tools for climate adaptation: WMO initiatives
Leslie MALONE, WMO
10:40-11:20Terrain Effects on Southeast Asian Monsoon
Chih-Pei CHANG, USA
11:20-12:00Diagnosis of the atmospheric circulation in winter 2007/08 focusing on unusually strong Siberian high and cold surges over Asia
Kumi HAYASHI, TCC/JMA, Japan
Lunch (12:00-13:30)(CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)
Session 1：Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon and summer climate in 2008 (13:30-18:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Invited Lectures (13:30-14:10)
Chair: Liqiang SUN
13:30-14:10 Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) and Summer Precipitation in China
DING Yihui, BCC/CMA
14:10-14:50Regional Climate Modeling in Seasonal Climate Prediction: Advances and Future Directions
Liqiang SUN, IRI, USA
Oral Presentations (14:50-15:50)
Topic I: Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change
14:50-15:10Climate and flood in Cambodia
BIN Chann Mony, DOM, Cambodia
15:10-15:30 TBD
Md. Shadekul ALAM, Bangladesh Meteorological Department
15:30-15:50Overview of Recent Climate over Korea
LEE, Hyun-Soo, CPD/KMA
15:50-16:10 Tea Break
Oral Presentations (16:10-17:530)
Chair: Kumi HAYASHI
Topic I: Overview of Recent Climate and Climate Change (cont.)
16:10-16:30An Analysis of the Snow Storms Affecting China in January 2008
Song YANG, NOAA's ClimatePredictionCenter
16:30-16:50Characters of Meteorological Disasters Caused by the Extreme Synoptic Process in early 2008 inChina
WANG Zunya, BCC/CMA
16:50-17:10Wind Condition Changes in Kazakhstan
Bayan SAZANOVA, Kazhydromet
17:10-17:30Climate in Bahrain
Nader Ahmed Abdulla Mahmood, CAA, Bahrain
17:30-17:50Assessment of Recent Dry Spell and Impacts of La Niña in the Philippines
Rusy G. ABASTILLAS, PAGASA-DOST
Reception by BCC (18:00-20:00)(Hubei Hotel, 36 Zhongguancun Nandajie)
April 10 (Thursday), 2008
Invited Lectures (08:30-10:30) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: Song Yang
08:30-09:10Improving Observational Data Towards Better Climate Monitoring,
Assessment and Prediction - A Regional Perspective
G. KRISHNAKUMAR, IMD, India
09:10-09:50Monitoring and prediction of the Asian-Australian and Indo-Pacific climate
Song YANG, NOAA's ClimatePredictionCenter
09:50-10:30The APCC prediction efforts: Operations and Research
Karumuri ASHOK, APCC, Korea
10:30-10:50Tea Break
Session 1 (cont.)：Prediction on East Asian Summer Monsoon and summer climate in 2008 (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Oral Presentations (10:50-12:30)
Session 1 Topic II: Climate Prediction System and Modeling
Chair:Karumuri ASHOK
10:50-11:10Application of Long-term Climatic Models on the Territory of Tajikistan
Shakhlo RADZHABOVA, MFC,Tajikistan
11:10-11:30Multiyear Hindcast Simulations of Summer Monsoon over Pakistan by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (BCC_RegCM1.0)
Sajjad SAEED, PMD
11:30-11:50Application Time-Frecuency Wavelet Analyse for the Validation and Verification the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Model Output
Erwin Eka Syahputra MAKMUR, IMGA, Indonesia
11:50-12:10High Resolution Climate Modeling in Indonesia: Lessons Learned from Applications of Rainfall Prediction in Regency/District Scale
Fierra SETYAWAN, IMGA, Indonesia
Lunch (12:30-13:50) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)
Oral Presentations (13:50-18:00) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Session 1 Topic III: Seasonal Climate Prediction of the summer 2008 over East Asia Area
Chair:SUN Zhaobo
13:50-14:10Seasonal Outlook of the 2008Summer
LEE, Jeong-Seog, CPD/KMA
14:10-14:30Seasonal Outlook of 2008 Summer by the METRI/KMA CPS
KANG, Hyun-Suk, METRI/KMA
14:30-14:50 JMA's Seasonal Forecast for 2008 Summer
Ryuji YAMADA, TCC/JMA, Japan
14:50-15:10Seasonal Outlook of the 2008 Summer: East Asia Monsoon and PrecipitationAnomalies in China
ZHANG Peiqun, BCC/CMA
15:10-15:30Summer Precipitation Prediction and Interdecadal Variations in East China
SUN Zhaobo, NUIST, China
15:30-15:50Prediction of the Tropical Storm Activity over the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea in 2008
JIA Xiaolong, BCC/CMA
15:50-16:00 Tea Break
Topic III (cont.): Seasonal Climate Prediction of the summer 2008 over East Asia Area
Chair:H. Joe KWON
16:00-16:20Forecast for 2008 Rainy Season
LEONG Weng Kun, MGB, Macao, China
16:20-16:40Monthly Temperature and Rainfall Forecasts for Hong Kong
LEE Sai Ming, HKO
16:40-17:00 Latest IRI Seasonal Climate Forecasts
Liqiang Sun, IRI, USA
17:00-17:20Seasonal prediction of TC activity and its validations
H. Joe KWON, Kongju National University, Korea
17:20-17:40Outlook of Summer Prediction over East Asian in 2008 by DCMPS/BCC
KE Zongjian, BCC/CMA
17:40-18:00ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions
HAN Rongqin, BCC/CMA
18:00-18:20Prediction of 2008 summer climate anomalies over Asia by IAP DCP
CHEN Hong, IAP/CAS
Dinner (18:30-19:30) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)
April 11 (Friday), 2008
Invited Lectures (08:30-09:10) (Conference Hall at the 1st floor of BCC)
Chair: QIAN Weihong
08:30-09:10 Developments in Extended and Long-range Forecasting at theHadley Centre
Richard Graham,HadleyCenter, Met Office
Session 2: Climate Information Application（09:10-10:30）
09:10-09:30 Floods Risks Mapping Assessment in Burundi,Case Study of Burundi with ICPAC
Aaron NTIRANYIBAGIRA, NMH,Burundi
09:30-09:50Projection on the 2008 Summer Climate from the Air-Sea Coupled Relation in the Last Two Decades
QIAN Weihong, Peking University, China
09:50-10:10Climate Monitoring,Assessment And Prediction For Myanmar
Chit Kyaw,DMH, Myanmar
10:10-10:30Climate Monitoring and Long-range Forecast in Laos
Vanhdy Douangmala, DMH, Laos
10:30-10:50 Tea Break
Session 3: Discussion and Summary (10:50-12:10)
Chair:DING Yihui
A summary of predictions on Asian summer 2008 climate will be produced together by APCC，BCC/CMA, CPC/NOAA, IMD, IRI, Hadley Center/UK, JMA, KMA and other NMHSs from Asia.
Closing Ceremony (12:10-12:30)
Chair: XIAO Ziniu
12:10-12:20Speech by representative of FOCRAII participants
12:20-12:30Address by representative of CMA
Lunch (12:30-14:00)(CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)
Dinner (19:00-20:00) (CMA’s guesthouse restaurant)
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