2010-11 Workplan for WRAP Technical Data & Analysis Systems and Projects
DRAFT March 9, 2009 DRAFT
Table of Contents
Introduction and Summary………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 3
Emissions Inventory Forum……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 5
Oil & Gas Emissions WorkGroup…………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 9
Regional Haze Implementation WorkGroup…………………………………………………………………………………………….. 11
Smoke & Fire Emissions Forum……………………………………………………………………………………………………………13
Technical Analysis Forum…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 16
Technical Oversight Committee…………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 23
Tribal Data & Analysis WorkGroup……………………………………………………………………………………………………… 25
Appendix A - Collaborative Regional/National Technical Projects relying upon WRAP Technical Systems/Projects…………….. 27
Introduction - review current projects and schedule from existing grant
Projects are presented for each Committee/Forum/WorkGroup. The projects are listed by title, then a completed project table, with sufficient text to describe scope, time frame, and deliverables. The background and need for the projects is described in the WRAP 2008-12 Strategic Plan (http://www.wrapair.org/WRAP/documents/WRAP_2008-12_Strategic_Plan3_08final.pdf) and technical needs further refined at 2 workshops during 2008, the Workshop on Monitoring & Data for Regional Analysis (http://www.wrapair.org/forums/toc/meetings/080515m/) and the Workshop on Regional Emissions & Air Quality Modeling Studies (http://www.wrapair.org/forums/toc/meetings/080729m/index.html). This draft workplan was prepared in response to an Air Managers Committee November 25, 2008 memo entitled Cost Information Relating to Future Operation, Maintenance, and Development of WRAP Technical Support Systems (http://wrapair.org/forums/iwg/meetings/090310m/AMC_memo_final_request.pdf). The table below summarizes the relationship of the activities listed in the Strategic Plan and the AMC memo to each of the active Committee/Forum/WorkGroups. The following table summarizes costs by Committee/Forum/WorkGroup for the base and additional effort defined in the AMC memo.
WRAP Activities by Committee/Forum/WorkGroup
Emissions Inventory Forum / Oil & Gas Emissions WG / Regional Haze Implementation WG / Smoke & Fire Emissions Forum / Technical Analysis Forum / Technical Oversight Committee / Tribal Data & Analysis WGTechnical Activity Type
1. Operation, Maintenance, and Development of a WRAP technical system
2. Develop and/or Analyze New or Existing Data
3. Combined / X / X / X / X / X / X / X
Strategic Plan Activity Area - Base Effort
1.1 Technical Infrastructure – data and systems to address ongoing RHR requirements and regional air quality analysis needs / X / X / X / X / X / X / X
1.2 Regional Haze Plan Implementation, Tracking, and Periodic Planning - ongoing RHR requirements + related PM NAAQS as needed / X / X / X / X / X / X
Infrastructure - staff, travel, communications, indirect costs / X
Strategic Plan Activity Area - Additional Effort
2. Ozone NAAQS – monitoring, emissions, formation, transport / X / X / X / X / X / X
3. Mercury – monitoring, emissions, transport, deposition / X / X / X / X / X
4. Nitrogen – monitoring, emissions, transport, deposition / X / X / X / X / X / X
5. Control Strategy studies / X / X / X / X / X / X / X
Infrastructure - staff, travel, communications, indirect costs / X
WRAP Committee/Forum/WorkGroup Cost Summary for Base and Additional Projects (no staff, travel, meetings, calls, or overhead costs included)
Base / Additional / Base + Additional Total1. Emissions Inventory Forum 2010 / $465,000 / $225,000 / $690,000
2011 / $365,000 / $200,000 / $565,000
2. Oil & Gas Emissions WG 2010 / $210,000 / $40,000 / $250,000
2011 / $125,000 / $10,000 / $135,000
3. Regional Haze Implementation WG 2010 / $85,000 / $0 / $85,000
2011 / $135,000 / $0 / $135,000
4. Smoke & Fire Emissions Forum 2010 / $160,000 / $100,000 / $260,000
2011 / $180,000 / $105,000 / $285,000
5. Technical Analysis Forum - Subtotals 2010 / a) $175,000
b) $1,100,000
c) $85,000 / a) $300,000
b) $250,000
c) $100,000 / $2,010,000
TAF Total 2010 / $1,360,000 / $650,000
5. Technical Analysis Forum - Subtotals 2011 / a) $175,000
b) $1,100,000
c) $80,000 / a) $250,000
b) $250,000
c) $100,000 / $1,955,000
TAF Total 2011 / $1,355,000 / $600,000
6. Technical Oversight Committee 2010 / $115,000 / $0 / $115,000
2011 / $45,000 / $0 / $45,000
7. Tribal Data & Analysis WG 2010 / $385,000 / $90,000 / $475,000
2011 / $385,000 / $90,000 / $475,000
2010 Total / $2,780,000 / $1,105,000 / $3,885,000
2011 Total / $2,590,000 / $1,005,000 / $3,595,000
2010-11 Grand Total / $5,370,000 / $2,110,000 / $7,480,000
1. Emissions Inventory Forum Technical System and/or Project Description
a) operation of EDMS
b) develop related technical systems
c) development of regional emissions inventories for new base years, and
d) development of regional emissions inventory projections
System and/or Project Name / Activity Type / Applicable Activity Areas / 2010 Cost / 2011 Cost / Start/Completion Dates / Ongoing costs after 2011 / WRAP Lead Group(s)a) EDMS operations (as subsystem of VIEWS-TSS)
i) Changes with new NEI requirements
ii) Meet continuing RHR planning needs and support Nonattainment and Exceptional Event needs
iii) Expansion of emissions data to EDMS for better/more complete tracking (ammonia and other nitrogen emissions, biogenics, mercury, surrounding geographic areas, GHGs, et cetera)
iv) Apply results of NASA ROSES and related projects to use satellite and remote sensing data to visualize, compare, and analyze ground-based EIs / Combined / Supports all Base and Additional Effort Activity Areas / Base
$75,000 / Base
$75,000 / Ongoing, see notes below about each subsection:
i) Need to identify NEI timeline requirements for 2008 and subsequent EIs
ii) Start 2010, coordinate with RHIWG and AMC
iii) Start 2010, finish 2011
iv) Products due from NASA ROSES project in 2010, work on application to EDMS in 2011 / Emissions Inventory Forum, with support and review from Regional Haze Implementation WG and Air Managers Committee
Additional
$50,000 / Additional
$50,000
b) Develop & maintain a web-based portal for air quality planners (leverage & build off current EDMS)
i) Cross-reference state, tribal, local, and national emission control effectiveness to historic and projected future emissions inventories
ii) Tools to easily identify and assess control programs and evaluate progress toward air quality standards and goals
iii) Which sources and regions contribute to air quality issue at a point of interest?
iv) What controls and programs exist now and in the future to mitigate those issues? / Combined / Supports all Base and Additional Effort Activity Areas / Base:
$40,000 / Base
$40,000 / Develop tasks/SoW in 2009, begin in 2010, workshops 2010 & 11 to review prototypes and progress, and complete in 2011. / Emissions Inventory Forum, with support and review from Regional Haze Implementation WG, Technical Oversight Committee, and Air Managers Committee
Additional
$0 / Additional
$0
c) New Base Year EIs for:
i) Point
ii) Area
iii) Mobile
iv) Dust / Combined / Supports all Base and Additional Effort Activity Areas / Base
$250,000 / Base
$200,000 / Develop tasks/SoW for “base years” in 2009, collect/analyze in 2010, and complete in 2011. / Emissions Inventory Forum, with support and review from Regional Haze Implementation WG, Technical Oversight Committee, and Air Managers Committee
Additional
$100,000 / Additional
$75,000
d) Revised and Additional Projection Years’ EIs for:
i) Point
ii) Area
iii) Mobile
iv) Dust
(SoW for these to include direction from TOC on incorporating climate change [TOC project “c”] and energy supply changes ([TOC project “d”] into projection scenarios) / Combined / Supports all Base and Additional Effort Activity Areas / Base
$100,000 / Base
$50,000 / Develop tasks/SoW for “projection years” from base years in “c” above, in 2009, do projections in 2010, and complete in 2011. / Emissions Inventory Forum, with support and review from Regional Haze Implementation WG, Technical Oversight Committee, and Air Managers Committee
Additional
$75,000 / Additional
$75,000
Total Base / $465,000 / $365,000
Total Additional / $225,000 / $200,000
Grand Total / $690,000 / $565,000
For the WRAP region, the emissions inventories for the traditional regulatory source categories of point, area, mobile (on-road, non-road, planes, trains, ships), and dust have been extensively studied and quality-assured across the many reporting entities (states and tribes) for the criteria pollutants (SO2, NOx, PM2.5, PMcoarse, and CO), for the 2002 regional haze planning base year and the 2018 regional haze milestone projection year. The exception on the list of criteria pollutants was VOCs; they are included, but did not receive any substantial analysis for completeness, accuracy, and comparability across the reporting entities, due to the assumption that they are not a significant contributor to regional haze. Work by the National Park Service and others has shown that ~50% of the measured organic carbon at Class I areas is secondary organic aerosol formed from complex photochemistry downwind at various distances from mixtures of wildland fire and urban areas’ emissions. Further, there was a very limited effort to project dust and some area source categories to 2018 as the methodologies available from EPA and others are highly uncertain. Updated and more complete base and projection years’ emission inventories across the region are required for the for the 2012 RHR planning update. In the meantime, some states, FLMs, EPA, and others have “grown and controlled” the existing 2002 WRAP EIs to 2005 or 2006 base years for their subregional analyses for ozone, nitrogen deposition, and related control strategy studies. These “grow and control” projections have been done in the specific context of the individual subregional study, and have not been comprehensive across all source categories and across the WRAP region. For regional comparability and completeness for future RHR and other air quality planning needs, it is necessary to complete major updates to the point, area, mobile, and dust regional emissions inventories across the WRAP region. These inventories would be the basis for regional analysis and modeling under TAF project “b” for the 2012 RHR check-in as well as supporting other air quality planning needs.
a) EDMS operations (as subsystem of VIEWS-TSS) – this project will sustain the ongoing operation of the Emissions Data Management System. The EDMS is the storage “bucket” and analysis center for the emissions inventories across the state and tribal reporting entities for the NEI as well as for their agency recordkeeping and regulatory activities. The analysis functions of the EDMS are on quality assurance, comparability across jurisdictional lines, and identifying and filling key gaps in reported emissions. The EDMS also covers the tracking function for regional haze, where anyone can look at reported emissions for sources and source categories across various jurisdictions for emissions reduction obligations identified in the regional haze SIPs and FIPs, including BART. The EDMS operates as a subsystem of the VIEWS/TSS data and decision support system (TAF project “a”).
i) Changes with new NEI requirements – the EDMS will seamlessly align with new EPA data reporting and completeness standards for the NEI, which begin with 2008 data. The primary motivation is to have the states and tribes expend as little (or no) additional effort to report and use the data intended for the NEI in the EDMS for regional coordination and support of air quality planning needs.
ii) Meet continuing RHR planning needs and support Nonattainment and Exceptional Event needs – the RHR, nonattainment planning, and exceptional events require updated and complete inventories for key pollutants and sources for upwind source areas beyond the immediate area of the impacted monitoring site(s).
iii) Expansion of emissions data to EDMS for complete tracking (ammonia and other nitrogen emissions, biogenics, mercury, surrounding geographic areas, GHGs, et cetera) – support of air quality planning needs in the broadest sense requires the most complete emissions inventory data for the sources and source categories affecting multiple air quality management issues.
iv) Apply results of NASA ROSES and related projects to use satellite and remote sensing data to visualize, compare, and analyze ground-based EIs – as a subsystem of VIEWS/TSS, EDMS can leverage applicable data and results from the NASA-funded ROSES project.
b) Develop & maintain a web-based portal for air quality planners (leverage & build off current EDMS) – this project will develop a standardized methods and tools to related emissions inventories to control strategies and programs that are adopted by EPA, states, and tribes. The tools would allow users to know the emissions reductions applicable and assumed for historical emissions inventories, as well as the “rules on the books” for projected emissions inventories. Users could compare regulatory programs for quantitative emissions inventories between various jurisdictions. These tools would directly support the RHR 2012 update and could be used for other air quality planning support. The primary functions of this portal would be:
i) To cross-reference state, tribal, local, and national emission control effectiveness to historic and projected future emissions inventories
ii) Develop tools for air quality analysts and planners to easily identify and assess control programs and evaluate progress toward air quality standards and goals
iii) Identify which sources and regions contribute to air quality issue at a point of interest; and
iv) Identify what controls and programs exist now and in the future to mitigate those issues.
c) New Base Year Emissions Inventories for Point, Area, Mobile, and Dust – for these source categories, this project will involve development of a 2006 interim base year inventory and a complete and a “planning-quality” 2008 base year inventory for RHR 2012 planning and support of related air quality planning needs. These 2006 and 2008 emissions inventories would also be the basis of the inventory projections work in “d” below. The scope and scale of this project would be a combination of projects done previously by the Stationary Source Joint Forum, the Tribal Data Development WorkGroup, the Dust Emissions Joint Forum, and the Emissions Forum – combining the effort for these base year inventories into a single project would results in cost savings compared to the manner that the different groups had prepared separate inventories previously, and would benefit from the EDMS data as a starting point.
d) Revised and Additional Projection Years’ Emissions Inventories for Point, Area, Mobile, and Dust - for these source categories, this project will involve development of a 2012 and 2018 projection years’ inventories from the 2006 interim and 2008 planning-quality base year inventories, for the 2012 planning check-in for the 2018 RHR milestone, and support of related air quality planning needs. Further, the project would identify factors for each year 2013 through 2017 and 2019 and 2020 to project emissions for other air quality planning milestones. These projection inventories and factors would include direction from TOC on incorporating climate change [TOC project “c”] and energy supply changes ([TOC project “d”].