Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

List of Tables:

Winchester Table 1. Winchester population forecast

Winchester Table 2. Winchester changes and forecast

Winchester Table 3: Commuter data

Winchester Table 4 The locations and destinations of commuters

Winchester Table 5. Families accessing Working Tax Credits

Winchester Table 6. Socials Grades for Basingstoke

Winchester Table 7. Availability of places

Winchester Table 8. Childcare places analysis

Winchester Table 9. Ratio of places per population of children

Winchester Table 10. Ratio of places per 100 (0 – 16 years)

Winchester Table 11. Ratio of places per 100 (0 – 4 years)

Winchester Table 12. Ratio of places per 100 (5 – 16 years)

Winchester Table 13. Number of responses

Winchester Table 14. Ethnicity

Winchester Table 15. Family employment status

Winchester Table 16. Childcare usage

Winchester Table 17. Parental demand survey

Winchester Table 18. Tax credits

Winchester Table 19. Changes in supply

Winchester Table 20. Cost to parents

Winchester Table 21. SEN

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Winchester

Area demographic profile

Number and ages of children

Population forecast statistics suggest that Winchester’s child population, grouped under the key childcare milestones of 0-2, 3-4, 5-8, 9-11 and 12-16 years will change as displayed below:

2006 / 2008 / 2010 / % growth
0-2 / 3571 / 3633 / 3617 / 1.3
3-4 / 2383 / 2455 / 2601 / 9.1
5-8 / 5180 / 5062 / 5152 / - 0.5
9-11 / 4058 / 4154 / 4093 / 0.8
12-16 / 7306 / 7325 / 7465 / 2.18

Table Winchester 1

Population changes and forecasts

2001 / 2011 / 2021 / 2026 / % growth 2001 to 2026
Hampshire / 1,240,071 / 1,282,173 / 1,320,230 / 1,344,719 / 8.44
Winchester / 107,220 / 112,868 / 117,746 / 120,183 / 12.09

Table Winchester 2

Commuter data

Commuter travel locations into and out of Winchester is shown in the table below:

Origin of inward commuters
Destination / Principal origin / Second highest / Third highest / Fourth highest / Fifth highest
Winchester / Eastleigh / Southampton / Test Valley / Fareham / Portsmouth
Destination of outward commuters
Origin / Principal destination / Second highest / Third highest / Fourth highest / Fifth highest
Winchester / Southampton / Eastleigh / London / Portsmouth / Basingstoke

Table Winchester 3

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Numbers of daily
commuters / Total resident workers / Out commuters / Resident self-containment ratio (%) / Total workplace workers / In commuters / Workplace self-containment ratio (%)
Hampshire / 625,900 / 181,400 / 71 / 564,400 / 120,000 / 79
Winchester / 53,300 / 21,600 / 59 / 63,900 / 32,200 / 50

Table Winchester 4

The levels, locations and destinations of commuters are likely to have an impact on the sufficiency of childcare. Where there are large numbers of commuters in or out of an area this may well have an effect on the temporary population of an area, which in turn can affect the demand for childcare. Winchester has over 10,000 more in-commuters than out-commuters on a daily basis, suggesting that the population swells at these times. At this time the breakdown on the commuter movements of parents accessing childcare is not known, and so to draw specific conclusions is not possible, therefore it can only be surmised that these most common journeys could create higher demand for childcare.

Lone parents

Families accessing Working Tax Credit

(Numbers in 000s) / Total / Out of work / CTC above family element / CTC below family element / Families with no children
Families / Children / Families / Children / Families / Children
Hampshire / 103.8 / 15.8 / 29.5 / 37.6 / 71.5 / 46.8 / 75.4 / 3.6
Winchester / 6.8 / 0.9 / 1.8 / 2.4 / 4.6 / 3.1 / 4.9 / 0.4

Table Winchester 5

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Employment profiles and income

The unemployment level in Winchester is currently lower than the Hampshire average, with 0.8% (551 people) of the resident working age population out of work. The average residence-based earnings are the second highest in Hampshire at just over £550 a week, whilst workplace-based earnings are lower at £450, the second highest figure in the county. The disparity between these figures suggests that those individuals commuting out of Winchester are working in the more highly paid jobs, whilst residents working within the area in less well, but relatively well paid positions.

The social grade data, based on job hierarchy, of Winchester residents showed far above Hampshire and National average percentages of those classed ‘AB’, and far less ‘C2’ and ‘D’ classifications.

Social grades

AB / C1 / C2 / D / E
% / % / % / % / %
England and Wales / 25.2 / 29.8 / 18.4 / 20.5 / 6.2
Hampshire / 31.5 / 31.0 / 18.1 / 15.8 / 3.5
Winchester / 39.3 / 30.5 / 13.8 / 13.2 / 3.2
The definition of the social grades are:
AB - Higher and intermediate managerial/administrative/professional workers
C1 - Supervisory, clerical, junior managerial/administrative/professional workers
C2 - Skilled manual workers
D - Semi-skilled and unskilled manual workers
E - On state benefit unemployed lowest grade workers

Table Winchester 6

The data shows that a far higher that average percentage of residents are working in managerial and administrative positions, and a lower level in manual roles or unemployed.

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Full Day Care / Sessional Day Care / Childminders / Out of School care / Holiday schemes / Crèche / Totals by Ward
Local district authority / settings / places / settings / places / settings / places / settings / places / settings / places / settings / places / Settings / Places
Winchester CD
Bishops Waltham / 2 / 42 / 1 / 26 / 7 / 31 / 1 / 24 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 11 / 123
Boarhunt and Southwick / 2 / 150 / 0 / 0 / 3 / 12 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 5 / 162
Cheriton and Bishops Sutton / 2 / 16 / 4 / 74 / 2 / 10 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 8 / 100
Colden Common and Twyford / 1 / 36 / 3 / 74 / 11 / 49 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 15 / 159
Compton and Otterbourne / 3 / 98 / 1 / 24 / 5 / 23 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 40 / 0 / 0 / 10 / 185
Denmead / 2 / 22 / 2 / 44 / 10 / 54 / 2 / 52 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 16 / 172
Droxford, Soberton and Hambledon / 1 / 47 / 1 / 26 / 3 / 8 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 5 / 81
Itchen Valley / 1 / 60 / 2 / 50 / 2 / 10 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 5 / 120
Kings Worthy / 1 / 46 / 2 / 34 / 7 / 38 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 75 / 0 / 0 / 11 / 193
Littleton and Harestock / 1 / 46 / 3 / 66 / 5 / 17 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 75 / 0 / 0 / 10 / 204
Olivers Battery and Badger Farm / 0 / 0 / 2 / 44 / 15 / 78 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 17 / 122
Owslebury and Curdridge / 1 / 89 / 2 / 32 / 8 / 37 / 3 / 837 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 14 / 995
St Barnabas / 1 / 50 / 2 / 26 / 6 / 26 / 2 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 15 / 13 / 117
St Bartholomew / 2 / 76 / 2 / 52 / 4 / 19 / 1 / 24 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 12 / 10 / 183
St John and All Saints / 2 / 100 / 2 / 52 / 5 / 21 / 3 / 196 / 2 / 116 / 0 / 0 / 14 / 485
St Luke / 0 / 0 / 2 / 48 / 6 / 23 / 1 / 75 / 1 / 0 / 0 / 10 / 146
St Michael / 1 / 61 / 1 / 48 / 5 / 17 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 155 / 0 / 0 / 9 / 281
St Paul / 3 / 233 / 1 / 26 / 8 / 33 / 1 / 40 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 13 / 332
Shedfield / 1 / 18 / 1 / 24 / 9 / 42 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 11 / 84
Sparsholt / 1 / 15 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 4 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 19
Swanmore and Newtown / 1 / 52 / 2 / 5 / 14 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 8 / 66
The Alresfords / 1 / 26 / 1 / 26 / 17 / 78 / 1 / 32 / 1 / 100 / 0 / 0 / 21 / 262
Upper Meon Valley / 1 / 20 / 2 / 36 / 3 / 17 / 1 / 20 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 7 / 93
Whiteley / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 9 / 32 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 60 / 1 / 10 / 11 / 102
Wickham / 3 / 77 / 2 / 70 / 4 / 17 / 1 / 24 / 1 / 80 / 1 / 54 / 12 / 322
Wonston and Micheldever / 1 / 24 / 2 / 47 / 14 / 61 / 1 / 32 / 1 / 20 / 1 / 16 / 20 / 200
35 / 1404 / 43 / 949 / 174 / 771 / 18 / 1356 / 12 / 721 / 6 / 107 / 288 / 5308

Availability of places

Table Winchester 7

Childcare places analysis

Table Winchester 8

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Projection trend of ratio of places per population of children 2007 – 2010 based on total of places held within iCHIS November 2007

The childcare places in this projection have not taken account of the opening and closures of childcare businesses but provides an indication of how the population changes would affect the childcare ratio if places remained constant. Further work is being undertaken to trend and forecast opening and closure in childcare places and to produce data at lower SOA to provide further detailed analysis.

Ratio of places per population of children

Table Winchester 9

The table above indicates the number of childcare places and type of setting in the Winchester local authority area for 2007.

Hampshire provides a ratio of 18 places per 100 children (0-16 years). The parental survey confirmed that approximately 32% of respondents preferred not to use formal childcare but chose to secure childcare through family and friends. Taking this into account (by removing these children from the population requiring childcare) this would suggest that the current stock of places would provide a ratio of 27 places per 100 children in families who wish to access childcare.

Winchester 0 – 16 years childcare places

When applying the same methodology, Winchester has a ratio of 24 childcare places per 100 children (0 – 16 years) rising to 35 places per 100 children when applying the 32% adjustment.

Ratio of places per 100 (0 – 16 years)

Table Winchester 10

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Winchester 0 – 4 years childcare places

When applying the same methodology, Winchester has a ratio of 47 childcare places per 100 children (0 – 4 years) rising to 70 places per 100 children when applying the 32% adjustment.

This ratio drops through the population projections. There is a small ratio reduction of 2.12%% (1) and 2.85% (2) places respectively by the year 2010. This suggests that this area needs careful monitoring with respect of take up of childcare and possible development in areas where forecast population is likely to grow.

Ratio of places per 100 (0 – 4 years)

Table Winchester 11

Winchester 5 – 16 years childcare places

When applying the same methodology, Winchester has a ratio of 10 childcare places per 100 children (5 – 16 years) rising to 14 places per 100 children when applying the 32% adjustment. This is 33% higher than the Hampshire average.

This ratio remains constant through the population projections from 2007 to 2010.

This suggests that there is a need to consider the impact of extended schools and possible further development where demand is indicated.

Ratio of places per 100 (5 – 16 years)

Table Winchester 12

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Hampshire County Council March 2008

Childcare Sufficiency Assessment - Winchester

Number of responses

Parental postal survey results for Winchester

Responses
Total number of parent questionnaires sent to the Winchester District Council Area / 907
Total number of respondents from the Winchester District Council Area / 203
Percentage Return Rate / 22.38%
Total number of HCFF respondents from the Winchester District Council Area / 34
Revised total number of parent questionnaires sent to the Winchester District Council Area / 941
Revised total number of respondents from the Winchester District Council Area / 237
Revised percentage Return Rate / 25.19%

Table Winchester 13

Ethnicity

Ethnicity in Winchester District Council - The responses indicated below refer to question 6.8 on the Parent questionnaire
Ethnicity / Number of responses / % of responses in Winchester DC area
Any other Asian heritage / 0 / 0.00
Any Chinese heritage / 1 / 0.42
Any other Black heritage / 0 / 0.00
Any other Mixed heritage / 2 / 0.85
Any other White heritage / 3 / 1.27
Asian - Indian / 2 / 0.85
Asian - Pakistani / 0 / 0.00
Black - African / 0 / 0.00
Black - Caribbean / 0 / 0.00
Gypsy/ Roma / 0 / 0.00
Mixed - White and Asian / 0 / 0.00
Mixed - White and Asian, British. / 0 / 0.00
Mixed - White and Black African / 0 / 0.00
Mixed - White and Black Caribbean / 0 / 0.00
Other White European heritage / 3 / 1.27
White - Irish / 4 / 1.69
Did not Answer Question / 13 / 5.51
White - British / 208 / 88.14
Total / 236 / 100

Table Winchester 14