9 Maki Place, Ottawa, OntarioK2H 9R5, Canada
Tel/Fax: (613) 726-1808
Education
Ph.D.Economics, University of Rochester, New York (1975)
M.A. Economics, University of Rochester, New York (1971)
B.A.Economics, School of Economics & Business, Athens (1968)
Career
Data Probe Economic Consulting Inc., President (1996-present)
Canadian Labour Market & Productivity Centre, Researcher (1988-96)
Bureau of Management Consulting, Principal Consultant (1984-88)
Department of Regional Industrial Expansion, Policy Analyst (1982-84)
Economic Council of Canada, Economic Researcher (1976-82)
Ontario Economic Council, Economic Researcher (1974-76)
Teaching at OttawaU.
Macroeconomics, Executive M.B.A. (1996, 1997)
Statistical Analysis M.B.A. (1987)
Project & Program Evaluation, M.B.A. (1985)
Consulting Areas
1. Labour Market Analysis
2. Employment Insurance Analysis
3. Social Policy Studies
4. Education, Training, and Literacy
5. Health and Disability Studies
6. First Nations Studies
7. Sectoral Studies
8. Database Development
About Data Probe Economic Consulting
My company has been operating since 1996. Over the years, my research assistant Pierre Tourigny and I have developed considerable expertise working with several Statistics Canada surveys (like the Labour Force Survey and the Census data) as well as administrative databases (such as the Longitudinal Administrative Databank; EI files; and CRA files).We have extensive experience in SAS and SPSS programming. We have personal security clearance at the “Enhanced Reliability” level and my office has industrial security at the “Protected Level B.” Finally, we have experience working directly with databases at our office, at the COOLRDC, and by remote access.
Study Areas
1. Labour Market Studies
1.1 Non-Standard Employment
1.2 Wage Analysis
1.3 Migration, Transitions, Unemployment
2. Employment Insurance Analysis
2.1 EI Eligibility
2.2 EI Impact
2.3 EI Pilot Projects
2.4 Other EI Topics
3. Social Policy
3.1 Poverty and Social Exclusion
3.2 Social Assistance
3.3 Retirement and Pensions
3.4 Voluntarism, Federal Funding
4. Education Studies: Literacy
4.1 Literacy
4.2 Adult Training
4.3 Student Loans
5. Health and Disability
6. First Nations Studies
8. Database Development
9. Other Areas
LIST OF ACRONYMS
1. Labour Market Studies
1.1 Non-Standard Employment
Impact of Non-Standard Employment on Wages and Benefits.
Based on the SLID. Labour Market Policy, HRSDC, March 2008.
Precarious Employment: Magnitude and Implications.
Based on the SLID. HRSDC, 2004.
Duration of Non-Standard Employment.
Based on the SLID. In Perspectives on Labour and Income, December 2004, vol. 5, no. 12, Catalogue no. 75-001-XPE. [view]
Seasonal Work and Employment Insurance Use.
Based on the SLID. In Perspectives on Labour and Income, September 2003, vol. 4; no. 9,(with Shawn de Raaf and Carole Vincent).[view]
The Approach to Seasonal Employment in the Nordic Countries:
A Comparison with Canada.
HRSDC, 2001 (with Patrick Grady). [view]
Profile of Seasonal Workers in Canada.
Based on the LFS. Learning, Employment and Labour Policy, HRSDC, 2001.
1.2Wage Analysis
Wage Discrimination: The Case for Reverse Regression.
Data Probe Working Papers Series: No. 2010-2, December 8, 2010. [view]
Non-Wage Benefits.
Based on the SLID and the WES. HRSDC, 2008.
The Returns to Education and the Increasing Wage Gap between Younger and Older Workers.
Based on the SCF and the LMAS. In Statistics Canada, Research Paper Series, No. 131, May 1999 (with Garnett Picot and Rene Morissette).[view]
An Explanation of the Increasing Age Premium.
Based on the SCF. In Statistics Canada, Research Paper Series, No. 112, June 1998. [view]
A New Measure of Wage Discrimination.
In Economics Letters, HarvardUniversity, Vol. 9, pp. 287-293, 1982. [view]
1.3Migration, Transitions, Unemployment
Measuring Occupational Migration Using Employment Insurance Data. Based on the ROE, the STVC, and the Business Register. HRSDC, 2008
Analysis of Labour Market Transitions.
Based on the SLID. HRSDC, 2003.
The Nature of Unemployment in Canada: Evidence from Job Vacancy Information. Based on the Help Wanted Index. In Canadian Labour Market and Productivity Centre, Technical Paper Series, No. 1, 1988.
Econometric Estimation of Labour Supply Functions. Based on the SCF. Ph.D. Dissertation. University of Rochester, NY, 1975.
2. Employment Insurance Analysis
2.1 EI Eligibility
Potential EI Eligibility of Employed Canadians.
Previously based on the SLID and now the LFS. EI Monitoring and Assessment Report to Parliament (annual report). [view]
Factors Affecting the EI Eligibility of Unemployed Individuals.
Based on the EI Coverage Survey. Program Assessment and Policy Integration, HRSDC, 2014.
EI Eligibility of Unemployed Workers.
Based on the COEP, the ROE, and the STVC. HRSDC, Audit and Evaluation, 2004 (with Philip Leonard).
EI Benefit Coverage of the Unemployed According to their Work Pattern Prior to Unemployment. Based on the SLID and the EICS. Applied Research, HRSDC, 2002. [view]
Explaining the Decline in the EI Beneficiary-to-Unemployed Ratio.
Based on the EICS, the ROE, the STVC, the LMAS, and the LFS. HRSDC, 1998.
2.2EI Impact
Financial Impacts of Receiving Employment Insurance.
Based on the SLID. EI Monitoring and Assessment Report to Parliament, 2012. [view]
Employment Insurance and the Financial Hardship of Unemployment.
Based on the EICS. EI Monitoring and Assessment Report to Parliament, 2012. [view]
Estimates of the Employment Insurance Replacement Rate.
Based on the SLID. EI Monitoring and Assessment Report to Parliament, 2012. [view]
Experience of Beneficiaries after EI.
Based on the SLID. Program Assessment and Policy Integration, HRSDC, 2012.
Sectoral Impacts of the 5-Week Extension of EI Benefits.
Based on the ROE and the STVC. HRSDC, Audit and Evaluation, 2005.
Employment Insurance and its Impact on Communities.
Based on the COEP, the ROE, and the STVC). Audit and Evaluation, HRSDC, 2004
(with Philip Leonard).
The Impact of Bill C-12 on New Entrants and Re-Entrants.
Based on the COEP, the ROE and the STVC. Working Paper SP-AH125-03-00E, HRSDC, 2000. [view]
2.3EI Pilot Projects
Profiles of Beneficiaries of Three EI Pilots.
Based on the Canadian-Out-of Employment Panel survey. Strategic Evaluation, ESDC 2011.
Evaluation of New Entrants and Re-Entrants.
Based on the ROE and the STVC. Audit and Evaluation, HRSDC, 2008.
Technical Report on the Profile of Workers with Variable Work Hours, New Entrants and Re-entrants to the Workforce, and Workers who Work while on Claim.
Based on the ROE and the STVC.Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC, 2008.[view]
Fishing Benefits and EI Reform.
Audit and Evaluation, HRSDC, 2005.
Evaluation of the Work-Sharing Program Using Administrative Data.
Based on the ROE and the STVC. Evaluation and Data Development, HRSDC, 2003.
2.4Other EI Topics
Who are EI Claimants Working for while on Claim. Based on the STVC, the ROE, and the T4. Strategic Evaluation, ESDC, 2015.
Use of EI Sickness Benefits.
Based on the STVC. Employment Insurance Policy, ESDC, 2015.
A Simulation Model of the Employment Insurance Program.
Based on the SLID. HRSDC, 2003.
Unemployment Insurance: Insurance or Welfare.
In Canadian Public Policy, Vol. 4, Autumn 1979. [view]
3. Social Policy
3.1 Poverty and Social Exclusion
Profiles and Transitions of Groups at Risk of Social Exclusion
Five related studies based on the SLID, and focusing on the following at risk groups: lone mothers; individuals with disabilities; recent immigrants; older unattached individuals; and off-reserve Aboriginal individuals. HRSDC, 2002. [view]
Poverty Lines: An Alternative Method of Estimation.
Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 16, No. 3, Summer 1981. [view]
3.2Social Assistance
Social Assistance Dynamics.
Based on the SLID. HRSDC, 2008.
Social Assistance and the Employment Rate of Lone Mothers: An Analysis of Ontario's Live Experiment. Based on the LFS. In Women and Work, ed. Richard P. Chaykowski and Lisa M. Powel, John Deutch Institute for the Study of Economic Policy, QueensUniversity, 1999. [view]
Social Assistance Benefit Rates and the Employment Rate of Lone Mothers.
Based on the LFS. HRSDC, Working Paper W-96-5E, Sep. 1996. [view]
Income Security Reform and the Concept of a Guaranteed Annual Income.
In Redefining Social Security, Government and Competitiveness, Queen’s University, pp. 49-98), 1995, (with Patrick Grady). [view]
3.3Retirement and Pensions
Evaluation of the Canada Pension Plan Retirement and Survivor’s Pensions – Based on the Longitudinal Administrative Databank.
Strategic Evaluation, ESDC,2015
Evaluation of the Old Age Security Program Using the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics.
HRSDC, 2010.
3.4Voluntarism, Federal Funding
Employer Support for Employee Voluntarism.
Based on the National Survey of Giving. Volunteering and Participating, HRSDC, Research Paper R-99-11E.b, 1999. [view]
Block-Funding and Provincial Spending on Social Programs.
Canadian Tax Journal, March-April 1982.
4. Education Studies: Literacy
4.1 Literacy
Catching up with the Swedes: Probing the Canada-Sweden Literacy Gap.
Based on the IALS. National Literacy Secretariat, 2001. [view]
Literacy Profile of Ontario's Immigrants.
Based on the OALS. Ontario Ministry of Education, 2000. [view]
Literacy Profile of Ontario's Youth.
Based on the IALS. Ontario Ministry of Education, 1999. [view]
The Effect of Disabilities on Literacy Skills.
Based on the IALS. HRSDC, 1999. [view]
Literacy Survey of Ontario's Deaf and Hard of Hearing Adults.
Ontario Ministry of Education, 1998. [view]
The Connection Between Literacy and Work: Implications for Social Assistance Recipients.
Based on the IALS.HRSDC, Working Paper W-98-1E, 1998. [view]
4.2Adult Training
Skill Requirements of Jobs and Level of Education of Workers in Canada.
Based on the LFS. HRSDC, 2005.
Employee Training: An Assessment of the Workplace and Employee Survey. Statistics Canada, Technical Report, 2000.
Financing Adult Learning.
Based on the AETS and the Lifelong Learning Survey. HRSDC, 2000.
Learning Organization Survey.
Based on a survey of federal managers. CanadianCenter for Management Development, 2000.
An International Comparison of Employee Training.
Based on the IALS. In Perspectives on Labour and Income, Spring 1998, vol. 10, no. 1. [view]
Literacy Indicators of Labour Force Development.
National Literacy Secretariat, 1998.
Financial Barriers to Life-Long Learning.
Based on the AETS. Finance Canada, 1998.
Education and Youth Employment.
Based on the GSS. HRSDC, 1997.
The Role of Employees in Training Decisions in Canada.
Based on the AETS. In Canadian Business Economics, Vol. 5 (1), Fall 1996. [view]
Employee Training: An International Perspective.
Based on the IALS. In Statistics Canada, 1997, Catalogue no. 89-552-MPE, no.2. [view]
Determinants of Employer-Sponsored Training: An Analysis of the 1994 Adult Education and Training Survey.
In HRSDC, Research Paper R-96-14E, August 1996.
Employee Training in Canada: Reassessing the Evidence.
Based on the AETS. Canadian Business Economics, Fall 1993, Vol. 1 (5).
Employer-Sponsored Training: An Employee Survey.
Based on a household survey of employees. CLMPC, 1991.
4.3Student Loans
Labour Market Outcomes of Canada Student Loan Borrowers and Grant Recipients.
Based on the Canada Student Loan Borrower and Grant Recipient Survey.HRSDC, 2010.
Impact of Student Financial Aid on Post-Secondary Enrolments.
Based on the CSLP-LAD linked database. Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC, 2009, (with Christine Neill).
Repayment of Canada Student Loans Program Direct Loans.
Based on the CSLP administrative data. Portfolio Analysis and Research, HRSDC, 2008.
Analysis of the Canada Student Loan Program: Does the Expected Parental Contribution Affect the Marginal Tax Rate in a Reasonable Way?
Audit and Evaluation, HRSDC, 2008.
Who Gets Student Loans.
Based on the CSLP-LAD linked database. In Perspectives on Labour and Income, March 2006, vol. 18, no. 2. [view]
Factors Affecting the Repayment of Student Loans, Centre for Education.
Based on the CSLP-LAD linked databaseStatistics, Research Paper, Catalogue no. 81-595-MIE - No. 039, March 2006.[view]
Rural Versus Urban Students - Differences in Accessing and Financing PSE, Their PSE Outcomes and Their Use of Distance Education.
HRSDC, 2006 (with Laval Lavallée and Alexander Usher). [view]
Assessing the Risk of Student Loan Delinquency.
Based on the CSLP administrative data. CSLP Directorate, HRSDC, 2006.
Canada Student Loans, Personal Loans and the Risk of Default.
Based on the SFS and the SCF. CSLP Directorate, HRSDC, 2002.
The Effect of Incentives on the Participation in Registered Education SavingsPlans.
Based on the SAEP and the LAD. HRSDC, 2002.
5. Health and Disability
Risk-Based Approach to CPP-Disability Appeals Management
Based on CPPD administrative data. CPP Disability, ESDC, 2016.
Analysis of the Canada Disability Savings Program Using Administrative and Canada Revenue Agency Data.
Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC, 2014.
Canada Disability Savings Program: Cost Implications of Raising the Age Limit for the Grant and Bond Incentives.
Based on the T1 file and CDSP administrative data. Justice Canada, 2013.
Using Logistic Regression to Predict the Outcome of Canada Pension Plan Disability Applications.
Based on the CDSP applications administrative data. HRSDC, 2012.
Analysis of the Canada Pension Plan Disability Program Using the Longitudinal Administrative Database.
HRSDC, 2010.
Disabilities and Low Income.
Based on the PALS, the NPHS, and the SLID. HRSDC, 2005.
An Evaluation of the Canada Prenatal Nutrition Program: Intermediate Outcome Indicators.
Based on a survey of participants. Health Canada, 2003.
The Extent and Implications of Disabilities.
Based on the NPHS. Applied Research, HRSDC, 2001.
Use of Chiropractic Services in Canada: A Study Based on the Statistics Canada's National Population Health Survey.
Canadian Chiropractic Association, 1999. [view]
Changes in Disability Status Over Time: A Technical Note on the 1994-96 NPHS. Applied Research, HRSDC, 1999.
6. First Nations Studies
Snapshot of the Profile of Aboriginal People - Using the Urban Aboriginal Peoples Survey.
Evaluation Performance Measurement and Review, Indian and Northern Affairs Canada, 2011.
Labour Migration Among Aboriginal Peoples.
Based on the 2001 Census data. Aboriginal Strategy Policy, HRSDC, 2007.
Aboriginal Occupational Gap: Causes and Consequences.
Based on the 2001 Census data. In Aboriginal Policy Research - Moving Forward, Making a Difference, ed. Jerry P. White, Susan Wingert, Dean Beavon and Paul Maxim, Vol. III, pp. 87-99. 2006.[reference][slides]
Fishery Opportunities and Challenges Among Atlantic Region First Nations. Atlantic Policy Congress, 2000 and 2005.
Funding Options for Nunavut Schools.
Nunavut Department of Education, 2001.
Akwesasne Community Gun Safety Survey.
Akwesasne Justice Department and the Canadian Firearms Centre, May 2001.
Regional Funding Allocation Formula for Nunavut's Health and Social Services. Government of Nunavut, 1998.
Funding Options for Indian Self-Government.
Indian and Northern Affairs Canada, 1987.
7. Sectoral Studies
Human Resource Study of the Construction Sector.
Construction Sectoral Council, 2003.
Prep for the Future - Issues and Challenges Facing the Canadian Collision Repair Industry. Based on a survey of HR managers and employees. HRSDC, 2000,(with Yaroslav Zajak and Geoff Golder of KPMG).[view]
Leadership Survey. CLMPC, 1996, 1998, 2000 (based on a survey of business and labour leaders on workplace issues).
Training for Critical Skills. Advisory Council on Science and Technology, Expert Panel on Critical Skills, 1999 (based on the AETS).
Key Sectoral Indicators. HRSDC, 1998.
Human Resource Study of the Food Retail Sector.
Based on a survey of HR managers and employees. HRSDC, 1997.
Human Resource Study of the Grocery Manufacturing Sector.
Based on a survey of HR managers and employees.Canadian Grocery Products Council, 1996.
Canadian Business Speaks Out on Access to Capital.
Based on a business survey. CLMPC, 1995.
Career Survey of Technicians and Technologists.
Based on an employee survey.Industrial Adjustment Service, HRSDC, 1991.
Human Resource Study of the Steel Industry.
Based on a survey of HR managers. Canadian Steel Trades and Employment Congress, 1991.
Training for World Trade: An Industry Survey.
Based on a survey of HR managers. Industrial Adjustment Service, HRSDC, 1990.
Training and the High-Tech Sector.
Based on a survey of HR managers of high-tech companies. CLMPC, 1990.
8. Database Development
Canada Student Loan Program Database to Assist Evaluation Work on
Access to and Persistence of Post-Secondary Education.
HRSDC, Strategic Evaluation, 2012.
Canada Pension Plan Disability Appeals.
Developed an analytical database from the CPPD appeals administrative data for the purpose of supporting future evaluation studies of the CPPD appeals process. Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC, 2011.
Canada Disability Savings Program.
Developed an analytical database from CDSP administrative data for the purpose of supporting future evaluation studies of the CDSP program. Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC,2011.
Canada Education Savings Program.
Developed an analytical database from CESP administrative data for linkage with the LAD and CSLP data, HRSDC, 2009.
Canada Student Loans Program Database.
Developed an analytical database from CSLP administrative data for linkage with the LAD data. HRSDC, 2005.
9. Other Areas
Evaluation of the Service Canada Passport Service Offering.
Based on three complementary studies. Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC, 2014.
Evaluation of the Hiring Credit for Small Business.
Based on the T4 file. Strategic Evaluation, HRSDC, 2014.
Bridging Logistic and OLS Regression.
Data Probe Working Papers Series: No. 2011-1, April 28, 2010. [view]
Commercialization Success of Academic Research in Canada.
Based on annual surveys of members of the Association of University Technology Managers. Industry Canada, 2003.
An Assessment of EI and SA Reporting in SLID.
Statistics Canada, Research Paper Series, Catalogue 1F0019MPE01166, 2001.[view]
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LIST OF ACRONYMS
AETS Adult Education and Training Survey
CENSUSCensus data (PUMF or special tabulations)
CESP Canada Education Savings Program administrative data
CLMPCCanadian Labour Market and Productivity Centre
COEP Canadian Out of Employment Panel
CDSP Canada Disability Savings Program
CSLP Canada Student Loan Program administrative data
EICSHRSDC EI Coverage Survey
ESDCEmployment and Social Development Canada
GSS General Social Survey
HRSDCHuman Resources and Skills Development Canada
IALS International Adult Literacy Survey
LADLongitudinal Administrative Database (based on T1)
LFS Labour Force Survey
LMAS Labour Market Activity Survey
NPHS National Population Health Survey
OALS Ontario Adult Literacy Survey
PALS Participation and Activity Limitation Survey
ROE Record of Employment
SAEP Survey of Approaches to Educational Planning
SCF Survey of Consumer Finances
SFS Survey Financial Security
SLID Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics
SAEPSurvey of Approaches to Educational Planning
STVCEI Status Vector
T1Canada Revenue Agency personal income tax data
T4Canada Revenue Agency payroll deductions data
WES Workplace and Employee Survey
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