AGRE-COIN
“An e-currency based on the need for a balanced/steadying market fund in cryptocurrency.”
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- INTRODUCTION………………………………………………………………………… 4
- THE NEED FOR STABILITY……………………………………………………….5
- MARKET INDICATORS……………………………………………………………. 6
- CRYPTOCURRENCY FOG…………………………………………………………. 6
- AGRE-COIN………………………………………….………………………………….. 7
- ERC-20……………….……………………………………………………………7
- WHAT IS ETEREUM? ……………….……………………………………………. 7
- THE TOP 6: WHY LIQUID COINS REIGN……………….……………………..... 8
- ALT-COIN MARKETS……………….……………………………………………... 8
- WHAT IS AGRE-COIN? ……………….……………………………………………...... 12
- PURPOSE OF AGRE-COIN……………….………………………………………..12
- AGRE-COIN IN ETHEREUM……….………………………………………………. 14
- WHY USE AGRE-COINS? ……….………………………………………………...15
- MOTIVATION……….………………………………………………………………16
- TOKEN DISTRIBUTION……….………………………………………………………… 18
- INTIAL COIN OFFERING (ICO) ……….…………………………………………. 18
- ICO PARAMETERS……….………………………………………………………... 18
- CONCLUSION……………………………………………………………………………. 20
TABLE OF FIGURES
FIGURE 1: 2017 CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET CAPITALIZATION………………………….. 4
FIGURE 2: BITCOIN, ETHEREUM, RIPPLE MARKET CAPITALIZATION FOR 2017………… 5
FIGURE 3: ADVANCEMENT OF ALT-COINS IN THE MARKET……………………………… 9
FIGURE 4: THE CRYPTOCURRENCY UNIVERSE…………………………………………..… 11
1.0 INTRODUCTION
The biggest news in 2017 was the rise of cryptocurrency into legitimate global economic spheres worldwide. This long awaited opportunity was a way to manifest radical economic shifts otherwise not possible given the current tight tendencies of the conventional markets towards startup culture. Instead of limiting wealth to the usual suspects, the ICO markets have quickly made many radical businessideas intotangible reality. The issue is that instability in such radical markets easily spooks investors, due to the rapid swings in prices, even amongst the top dogs in the market. This is why Agre-Coin was invented. It went from a baby market to a juggernaut seemingly overnight.
See the cryptocurrency figures for yourself below….
Figure 1: 2017 Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization
It is also noteworthy that Bitcoin is not the only “dominant” form of crypto-reserve currently available. Stability is being established through having a basket of “top transactional” or “reserve crypto currencies” so to speak.
Figure 2:Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple Market Capitalization for 2017
1.1 THE NEED FOR STABILITY
The issue this presented, is like that of most fast growth industries; stability and rapid growth are not exactly the synonymous duo. Many investors made a mint on the rise of crypto, but others bet it all and lost big… As such, the need for a more stable market equilibrium is quickly presenting itself. Such a hedge would provide stability to both investors and common crypto users alike. Say what you want about the viability of crypto long-term; because if there is no stability, then there is no solid market. Chances for Crypto survival decrease aslong-term market volatility increases. Hence we have created the solution for base level and advanced investors alike. A coin fund based upon the top 6 selling coins at any one time on the market. Thereby diversifying risk, while consolidating gains for the top 6 most stable currencies on the market. This will ensure traders the ability to trade without needing to worry about overt diversification or super high riskaltcoins loosing 2,000 percent in a day.
1.2 MARKET INDICATORS
Similar to the S&P500 on the New York stock exchange, the need for a digital currency index that serves as the market indicator is apparent. Without such an indicator, laymen have difficulty determining how the market is doing on the whole and thus volatility continues to increase. Agre-Coin will serve as just such an indicator, relinquishing the need for trade specific knowledge to be gleaned every time someone wanted to gauge the overall trends or health of the crypto market.
1.3CRYPTOCURRENCY FOG
The number of currencies increases on a daily basis. For investors with little knowledge of these currencies, choosing the currency to invest in becomes a complex and arduous problem. Most investors will simply sidestep the research phase and chose to purchase well known currency or two such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dash and Litecoin.
During this process they will also initially fail to realize that there are hundreds of other currencies that are also viable investments on the market. These lesser known alt-coins,while unknown, can still be very stable and profitable despite their obscurity. Due to a lack of relevant information, investors usually end up paying out the nose for small profits. These profits could be greatly increased had the common investor had access to our type of stable growth coin.
These highly known currencies have a very high valuation, which usually increases daily. Therefore, their demand is very high. Nonetheless, the changes to the valuation cannot be highly controlled and investors want to maximize their investments. But all the while, more aggressive investors want to find investments that are not only stable but also have higher returns that the top stocks sometimes carry. There is little information available to the public in regards to the cryptocurrency market index, which could be used to track the market movements.
2.0 MARKET PEGGING
With a vision of creating a market indicator, we assembled our team to create Agre-Coin, a coin based upon the top 6 cryptocurrencies at any given time period. These currencies are all liquid and pliable adding to our flexibility as a company, but in essence we will invest in the top pool of 6 currencies daily so that the common investor does not need to micro manage their accounts. Not everyone has time to be a trader, or the money to pay someone else to trade. This is where we will help people to become very successful in their diversification efforts, by doing nothing more than investing in our coin. Our coin will instantly have value when it hits the exchanges, because, we are backed by our audited holdings of our basket of crypto assets. These assets will eventually be a larger indicator as to the health of the market overall and will be a way for people to peg money movement in the altcoin world.
Our Agre-Coin and Upstart1k will be able to be burned and redeemed via our website with 24-48 hour notice, should the investor not want to sell the coins back to the public market and instead take them out of circulation. Either way works for us, but the monies put into the fund will be continually auditable and accounted for other than the 5 percent transaction fee’s, which will be used to administer the fund and derive profitability for our platform.
2.1 ERC-20
Agre-Coin will be based on the Ethereum platform. Agre-Coins will have the same level of technological advancement and security as Bitcoin orEthereum. Before bouncing into what Ethereum is, we have to comprehend the burgeoning Ethereum marketplace.
2.2 WHAT IS ETHEREUM?
Ethereumthe “2nd Wave” form of cryptocurrency that is currently dominant on the altcoin market. “ETH”, as it’s known, is an open source decentralized figuring platform. A platform that relies upon a revolutionary technology known as smart contracts.These are just contracts the are automated in their workings and therefore are able to be trusted in many otherwise difficult to manage business applications. Many feel that it will replace the current budgetary, and even internet systems. It is regularly called the "World's Computer".
The cryptocurrency "Ether" (ETH) is utilized both for payments on the network and as a store of significant worth. In this respect it is like Bitcoin, however with a few noteworthy differences….1. It’s substantially quicker and 2. Transaction fees are essentially less. Significant companies in the budgetary (Santander, JP Morgan, ING), tech (Microsoft, Intel, Samsung), and other (BP, Toyota) enterprises are putting resources into the system. Even countries as large as India are trying to implement their own blockchain/ether based systems and currencies.
2.3 THE TOP 6: WHY LIQUID COINS REIGN
The decision to focus on the top 6 coins came from an analysis of the top 6 coins and their viability and usability to the marketplace as a whole. Why is Bitcoin on top? Well besides just being the first, it is also the most simple to transfer into fiat, at least at the current time. This makes it invaluable as an exchange token to the rest of the altcoin marketplace. Without Bitcoin, it would be hard to pull out cash in essence. Yes there are other placeholder coins, but basically the top ten coins are the easiest to sell quickly and thus have the best longterm viability due to their liquidity. Even though the top 6 are usually very liquid, they are still considered alt-coins by many experts estimation.
2.4 ALT-COIN MARKETS
Since 2009, when the first Cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) was launched, there have been numerous other cryptocurrenciesof note that came out of nowhere.Becoming fan/market favorites and rising to prominence overnight. Based on the initial assessment of the marketplace, we can assume that crypto utilization will only continue to rise. And in 2017, we will likely see a continued spike in blockchain interest levels;along with the further development of cryptocurrency as a worldwide asset.
Even though Bitcoin is the ‘Big Daddy’ of cryptocurrency and accounts for just under 70% of overall market capitalization today, the altcoin boom predicted would outpace Bitcoin by a wide margin.
Based on the Elliott Wave theory, the prediction posited is that the cryptocurrencyaltcoin markets would increase to over $6 billion (bn) in market capitalization. This marker has already been far surpassed when compared to the total market capitalization.
Recently, the crypto space has been seeing an unprecedented bull-run across almost all coins with the bitcoin price climbing up to an all-time high of over $6,000 and it looks like it may go even higher from here. While the Bitcoin price increase alone is very impressive, many other altcoins, from all walks of business life have gone up 30-100x in value. Truly insane jumps in value. Many of these price jumps happen overnight and can be very volatile, although they are all trending upward on the whole.
Figure 3: Advancement of Alt-Coins in the Market
While this crazy bull-run has pushed up the entire cryptocurrency market cap to more than 50 billion dollars quickly for the first time according to the coinmarketcap.com, the Bitcoin dominance rate has sharply fallen to the all-time low now nearing 50%. Its now obvious that Altcoins are gaining ground.. Financial firms from around the globe are commenting on this and taking notes on how to effectively use this boon for their own interests as well. It’s been a very busy time for everyone in finance it seems. Crypto is keeping everyone on his or her toes in this regard. Not to mention the sheer volume of new coins hitting the market, which is giving some people a reason to pause…
At its roots, blockchain technology shows we don’t need a centralized solution for anything and with that “decentralization”, the implications are huge. The cryptocurrency economy is attempting to become free of all government oversight and monitored by a peer-to-peer Internet protocols. Whether that actually happens is another story. There are now close to 1,200 digital currencies and many hold great potential for growth.
There are too many altcoins to practically list, but rest assured, the legit ones will end up redefining the technology of the next 10-20 years. This is the internet boom 3.0…
3.0 WHAT IS AGRE-COIN/UpStart1k?
Agre-Coin is a token that represents ownership of underlying assets that make up the market index. The value of this token is derived from the existing cryptocurrency assets and is expected to vary according to the values in the current markets. The index number and the index coin value indicate the status of the market based on the performance of the top 6/bottom coins at any given time. Therefore, the coins in this index will vary over time, and can be replaced severally over each period. Agre-Coin will only feature coins in this index that have been on the market and exchanges for the last six months. As a further barrier to entry, our qualifying Agre-Coin top 6 willhave to have been amongst the top 100 coins in the market cap for at least 90 consecutive days. In addition, these coins should have an active and viable public project scope. Through this position in the market, Agre-Coin will dictate due influence on the market and the decisions of investors. It will allow the market to naturally self-regulate and promote coins that are less volatile and to ensure that investors are diversified for long-term market sustainability. Our index will in essence become a sort of default “market maker” like you would have on the traditional stock market. Which will help to bring stability to a volatile marketplace. Upstart 1k coin is really all about playing the field and trying to find a coin with a way to invest in the whole thing, without just being a Bitcoin supporter. While still remaining a high risk investment, It also presents a much better upside potential longterm.
3.1 PURPOSE OF AGRE-COIN & Upstart1k
A key purpose of Agre-Coin is to promote diversification of the very volatile cryptocurrency market. Through this, investors will have the ability to invest in the entire cryptocurrency space without the problems of having coins in different wallets or exchanges and without the risks of betting in a single coin. The high number of coins in the market leads to some coins having a very low value as compared to others. The goal of Agre-Coin is to manage an index fund of the coins that have a weighted average of the top 30 coins in the market. The qualifications of a top performing coin might be subjective but the goal for Agre-Coin is to minimize the risks of investment and maximize the returns investors might get from their investment.
To achieve this, the creation of negatively correlated or un-correlated coins that have the highest possible expected return and the possibility of replacing coins within the top 30 indexes is necessary. With some coins being highly unpredictable, highly correlated and also having non-zero probability of unforced failure, there are competing metrics for which investors can optimize a portfolio towards maximizing their expected returns versus minimizing unpredictability. Therefore, Agre-Coin has a goal of maximizing the sharpe ratio, which can be described as the ratio of expected portfolio returns over the portfolios standard rate of deviation.
In the selection process, a simulation of millions of possible future single market prices is conducted, which is based on the notable historic instability and correlation of returns. These figures are correlated using data from the past twelve months. In addition, a penalty is used on the new coins with less previous data and also a bigger chance of impulsive failure by use of a proprietary scoring function; which is based on the lindy effect. The lindy effect states that future life expectancy or probability of failure is comparative to both the existing permanence and health of entity of interest. This shows that old things tend to remain while trends fade more quickly. Consequently, those coins that have been in the market for a longer period and have more historic data have a higher likelihood of getting the near zero spontaneous failure, while the newer coins in the market, which have a lower volume, contain a higher likelihood of instinctively becoming worthless. The probability that a coin can fail in a single day is therefore defined by the percentage of coins in circulation, the market cap, sentiment and also longevity.
During the simulation process, a report is generated that contains the maximum expected draw-dawn, expected Sharpe ratio, expected return, maximum days of return and the expected 95th percentile return or loss. An optimal portfolio is developed by the utilization of an optimization process by the use of a generic algorithm. The portfolio is rebalanced after each simulation, through the process of up-weighting top performing assets and down-weighting those that perform poorly until the creation of an optimum portfolio of assets through future settings in terms of maximizing returns and minimizing unpredictability. This portfolio keeps being reweighted in order to move the new top performers in the market in and remove the bottom performers from the list.
Those assets expected to fail due to various reasons such as fraud or hacking are also removed from the list to make way for the next best performing coin. Rebalancing of the numbers on the list is triggered by schedule and information. When there is information about the likely failure of a certain coin, there should be a rebalancing towards a more stable asset. This rebalancing of a portfolio is scheduled to occur after every seven days. However, a full scope audit and the adjusting of the overall index balance isset to be performed annually.