Outline schedule – RUN Summer School
Day 1
Introductions
Outline of the programme
History of EU/UK relationship
Formation of EEC – Initial application for membership/De Gaulle – EFTA – ECA 1972 – Referendum – Thatcher – SEA/Single Market – UK rebate – Major – TEU – Social Chapter – ex p Rees Mogg – Constitutional challenges for the UK – Sovereignty – Costa, Litster, Factortame – EU Constitution – Lisbon Treaty – NB Article 50.
Prelude to the referendum
UK political positions – rise of UKIP/Farage – Euro-scepticism in the Conservative Party – GE 2015 – Referendum legislation – Campaigns – Voting rights of ex-pat UK citizens – Selection of ‘official’ campaigns – Campaigns and polling leading up to the referendum – 23/24 June 2016
Referendum result and repercussions – UK
Immediate response – Breakdown and analysis of voting demographics – Miller v Secretary of State for Exiting the EU – Govt White Paper – Parliamentary debate on Brexit Bill – Party positions on Brexit – Triggering of Article 50 notification – ‘Hard’ vs ‘Soft’ Brexit – ‘Second’ referendum (as these issues emerged at the time).
Overview of the scope of the task
Regulatory issues – financial services, medicines, air traffic, chemicals, Euratom
Trade issues – supply chain issues, customs union, regulatory convergence
Trade agreements with third countries
Security and justice issues
Day 2
Prelude to negotiations – EU and UK
Political responses to referendum result – appointment of negotiating teams, who does what – role of the various stakeholders – EU position papers – priorities in negotiations – analysis of Article 50.
Initial conduct of negotiations – Summer/Autumn 2017
The Divorce Agreement issues:
The divorce bill – completing the current budgetary period – pension and other liabilities – payment for future SM access
Citizens rights – UK in EU/EU in UK – future migrants – residence, social security, pensions, EHIC
Ireland – border arrangements
Review of Position as at November/December 2017
Review of developments in Jan-Jul 2018
Day 3
Possible solutions (as this outline is being prepared in November 2017, it identifies what are seen as plausible outcomes, but this will probably change as the situation develops and some solutions are ruled out). These will probably include:
Hard Brexit – no agreement
Agreed implementation period followed by a trade based agreement (e.g. Canada or Ukraine models)
EEA membership or similar (the Norway option)
Reversal of Brexit
SWOT analysis of the respective options from the UK and EU27 perspectives
Day 4
Specific Case Studies – e.g.
Citizens rights – migration, social security, health, education
Automotive industry
Agriculture
Science and higher education
The UK legislative framework for Brexit
EU (Withdrawal) Bill/Act and other implementing legislation
Retention of the acquis/role of the European Court of Justice
Prospective amendments
Constitutional implications
Day 5
Lessons for the EU
Relationship of institutions, esp EP and the Council/Commission
Role of the presidents
Effects on future dynamics of the EU, including relationship between Member States and the EU Institutions
Likely future developments – to be ascertained in the light of developments .