List of Figures and List of Tables September 10, 2010

Assessment of Emerging Opportunities for Real-Time, Multimodal Decision Support Systems in Transportation Operations

Concept of Operations Final Draft

Contract Number: DTFH61-06-D-00005 Task Order T-10-007

Submitted to:

United States Department of Transportation

ITS Joint Program Office

Research and Innovative Technology Administration

RITA Report Number FHWA-JPO-10-058

Submitted by:

Science Applications International Corporation and Delcan Corporation

May 17, 2011

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Technical Report Documentation Page

1. Report No.
TBD / 2. Government Accession No. / 3. Recipient’s Catalog No.
4. Title and Subtitle:
Assessment of Emerging Opportunities for Real-Time, Multimodal Decision Support Systems in Transportation Operations
Task 4 Concept of Operations / 5. Report Date
May 17, 2011
6. Performing Organization Code
7. Authors:
Dan Lukasik, Bruce Churchill, Jackie Golob, Teresa Malone, Elliot Hubbard / 8. Performing Organization Report No.
9. Performing Organization Name and Address
Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)
8301 Greensboro Drive, Mailstop E-12-3
McLean, VA 22102-3608 / 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)
11. Contract or Grant No.
DTFH61-06-D-00005, Task No. T-10-007
12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address
United States Department of Transportation
ITS Joint Program Office
Research and Innovative Technology Administration (RITA)
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC 20590-0001 / 13. Type of Report and Period Covered
14. Sponsoring Agency Code
HOIT-1
15. Supplementary Notes
Mr. Dale Thompson (COTM)
16. Abstract
Not Applicable
17. Key Words
Multimodal, Decision Support Systems, DSS, Real-time, Transportation Operations / 18. Distribution Statement
No restrictions.
19. Security Classif. (of this report)
Unclassified / 20. Security Classif. (of this page)
Unclassified / 21. No of Pages
63 / 22. Price
N/A

Table of Contents May 17, 2011

Contents

1 Section 1 – Scope 1-1

1.1 Identification 1-1

1.2 Document Overview 1-1

1.3 Real-Time Multimodal DSS Definition 1-2

1.4 System Overview 1-2

2 Section 2 – Referenced Documents 2-1

3 Section 3 – Current System or Situation 3-1

3.1 Background, Objectives and Scope 3-1

3.2 Operational Policies and Constraints 3-2

3.3 Description of the Current System or Situation 3-3

3.3.1 Existing RTMDSS Technologies and Methodologies 3-3

3.3.2 DSS Implementation 3-4

3.3.3 RTMDSS Capabilities 3-5

3.4 Classes and Other Involved Personnel 3-6

3.5 Support Environment 3-6

3.6 Conclusions Regarding the Current Situation 3-11

4 Justification For and Nature of Changes 4-1

4.1 Justification for Changes 4-1

4.2 Description of Desired Changes 4-2

4.3 Priorities among Changes 4-3

4.4 Changes Considered but not Included 4-4

4.5 System Needs 4-4

5 Concepts for the Proposed System 5-1

5.1 Background, Objectives and Scope 5-1

5.1.1 Background 5-1

5.1.2 Objectives 5-1

5.1.3 Scope 5-2

5.2 Operational Policies and Constraints 5-2

5.2.1 Policies 5-2

5.2.2 Constraints 5-2

5.3 Description of the Proposed System 5-2

5.3.1 GIS-Based Visualization Platform 5-6

5.3.2 Source(s) of Real-Time Data 5-6

5.3.3 Source(s) of Historical or Archived Data 5-6

5.3.4 Persistent Data Storage 5-6

5.3.5 Business Process Engine 5-6

5.3.6 Expert Systems or Other Rule-Based Systems 5-7

5.3.7 Traffic Responsive and Other Predictive Algorithms 5-7

5.3.8 Faster Than Real-Time Modeling 5-7

5.3.9 Off-Line Modeling 5-8

5.4 Modes of Operation 5-8

5.5 System User Groups and Other Involved Personnel 5-8

5.6 Support Environment 5-10

6 Operational Scenarios 6-1

6.1 Real-Time Multimodal DSS Assumptions 6-1

6.2 “Generic” Scenarios 6-1

6.3 Scenario Analysis 6-2

6.3.1 Scenario #1: Daily Operations 6-4

6.3.2 Scenario #2: Major Traffic Incident 6-6

6.3.3 Scenario #3: Major Evacuation 6-9

6.3.4 Scenario #4: Significant Winter Weather Event 6-11

6.3.5 Scenario #5: Special Event 6-13

7 Summary of Impacts 7-16

7.1 Operational Impacts 7-16

7.2 Organizational Impacts 7-16

7.3 Procurement/Development Impacts 7-16

7.3.1 Iterative Development 7-16

7.3.2 Communications 7-17

7.3.3 Data Management 7-18

7.3.4 Web Access 7-18

7.3.5 Interoperability 7-18

7.3.6 Logistical Support 7-18

8 Analysis of Proposed System 8-1

8.1 Summary of Improvements 8-1

8.2 Disadvantages and Limitations 8-1

8.2.1 Disadvantages 8-1

8.2.2 Limitations 8-1

8.3 Alternatives and Trade-Offs Considered 8-2

9 Appendices 9-1

Real-Time Multimodal DSS Concept of Operations (Final Draft) iii

List of Figures and List of Tables May 17, 2011

List of Figures

Figure 11: Conceptual View of an RTMDSS with Inputs, Processing, and Outputs 1-4

Figure 51: Notional RTMDSS 5-4

Figure 52: Response Plan Processing Hierarchy 5-4

Figure 53: Nominal High-Level Architecture for RTMDSS 5-5

Figure 54: Notional Example of a Freeway Management Business Process 5-7

Figure 61: Generic System Information Flow Diagram 6-3

Figure 62: Scenario 1 System Information Flow Diagram 6-4

Figure 63: Scenario 2 System Information Flow Diagram 6-6

Figure 64: Scenario 2 Phasing Diagram 6-8

Figure 65: Scenario 3 System Information Flow Diagram 6-9

Figure 66: Scenario 3 Phasing Diagram 6-10

Figure 67: Scenario 4 System Information Flow Diagram 6-11

Figure 68: Scenario 4 Phasing Diagram 6-12

Figure 69: Scenario 5 System Information Flow Diagram 6-13

Figure 610: Scenario 5 Phasing Diagram 6-15

Figure 71: Notional Data Architecture for a Regional Transportation Network 7-19

List of Tables

Table 11: A Taxonomy of Transportation Modes and Facilities. 1-2

Table 31: Generic Support Environment – Agency Roles and Responsibilities 3-7

Table 41: System Needs 4-4

Table 51: System User Groups 5-8

Table 71: Iterative Deployment Functions and Benefits 7-17

Real-Time Multimodal DSS Concept of Operations (Final Draft) iv

List of Abbreviations May 17, 2011

List of Abbreviations

AMS Arterial Management System

ATMS Advanced Transportation Management System

CAD Computer Aided Dispatch

CCTV Closed-Circuit Television

CMS Changeable Message Sign

CONOPS Concept of Operations

COP Common Operating Picture

COTS Commercial Off-the-Shelf

DMS Dynamic Message Sign

DOT Department of Transportation

DSS Decision Support System

EMS Emergency Medical Service

ESM Event Scenario Matrix

EOC Emergency Operations Center

FHWA Federal Highway Administration

FMS Freeway Management System

FOC Full Operational Capability

GIS Geographical Information System

GLIDE Green LInk DEtermination

GUI Graphical User Interface

HAR Highway Advisory Radio

HAT Highway Advisory Telephone

HOV High Occupancy Vehicle

HP Highway Patrol

ICM Integrated Corridor Management

ICMS Integrated Corridor Management System

IOC Initial Operational Capability

ISP Information Service Providers

ITS Intelligent Transportation Systems

IVR Interactive Voice Response

LCS Lane Closure System

MDSS Maintenance Decision Support System

MEO Medical Examiner’s Office

MMS Modal Management System

MPO Metropolitan Planning organization

NTCIP National Transportation Communications for ITS Protocol

OBU On-Board Unit

OODA Observe-Orient-Decide-Act

PND Personal Navigation Device

PPP Public Private Partnership

RMS Road Management System

RSU Road Side Unit

RTMDSS Real-Time Multimodal Decision Support System

SMS Short Message Service

SOA Service Oriented Architecture

TIMS Traffic Incident Management System

TMC Transportation Management Center

TMS Transportation Management System

TMDD Transportation Management Data Dictionary

TMT Traffic Management Team

TOC Transportation or Traffic Operations Center

TODSS Transit Operations Decision Support System

TRB Transportation Research Board

TSCS Traffic Signal Control System

TSP Transit Signal Priority

USDOT United States Department of Transportation

VDOT Virginia Department of Transportation

XML Extensible Markup Language

Real-Time Multimodal DSS Concept of Operations (Final Draft) 5-8

Referenced Documents May 17, 2011

1  Section 1 – Scope

1.1  Identification

Through the United States Department of Transportation (USDOT) Connected Vehicle Research Program, the Intelligent Transportation Systems Joint Program Office (ITS JPO) is engaged in assessing the potential of the multi-source, active-acquisition data paradigm to enhance current operational practices and transform future surface transportation systems management. The Connected Vehicle Research Program is a collaborative initiative spanning the Intelligent Transportation Systems Joint Program Office (ITS JPO), Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), and the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA). Program objectives include:

·  Enable systematic data capture from vehicles, mobile devices, and infrastructure;

·  Develop data environments that enable the integration of data from multiple sources for use in transportation management and performance measurement; and

·  Reduce costs of data management and eliminate technical and institutional barriers to the capture, management, and sharing of data.

One foundational element of the Connected Vehicle Research program is the investigation of how to transform the transportation management and operations archetype by utilizing Connected Vehicle data (i.e., real-time user data captured from personal mobile devices and vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure communications). One such initiative is the deployment of real-time, multimodal Decision Support Systems, the topic of this Concept of Operations document.

The USDOT is undertaking this project to assess the emerging opportunities for Real-time Multimodal Decision Support Systems (RTMDSS) in transportation operations. One of the first tasks of this project has been to conduct a scan of the current Decision Support System (DSS) practice and capabilities. That task has been completed and a RTMDSS Stakeholder Working Group has been formed to help identify user needs and expectations and help communicate those needs to a wider audience of potential developers and supporters of the RTMDSS concept. The current task, and the subject of this document, concerns a Concept of Operations (ConOps) developed with input from stakeholders obtained during an initial RTMDSS ConOps webinar and a two-day face-to-face ConOps meeting held on March 23-24, 2011. During this meeting it was agreed that the ConOps should be developed to represent a year 2020-2025 timeframe.

Once finalized, a set of functional systems and data requirements will be added to the study, and the first phase of the project will be completed with a Gap Analysis Assessment Report with recommended RTMDSS research activities.

1.2  Document Overview

This document is organized and will be presented following the guidelines of IEEE 1362-1998 - IEEE Guide for Information Technology - System Definition - Concept of Operations (ConOps) Document. The sections are as follows:

Section 1 - Scope

Section 2 - Referenced Documents

Section 3 - Current System or Situation

Section 4 - Justification for and Nature of Changes

Section 5 - Concept for Proposed System

Section 6 - Operational Scenarios

Section 7 - Summary of Impacts

Section 8 - Analysis of Proposed System

Section 9 - Appendices

1.3  Real-Time Multimodal DSS Definition

It is necessary to take as a starting point an agreed definition of Real-Time Multimodal DSS. With support from the various descriptions of transportation DSS in the current situation the following represents a working definition of Real-Time Multimodal DSS:

“Real-Time, Multimodal Decision Support Systems (RTMDSS) are information systems that support multimodal, transportation operational decision-making in real time. An RTMDSS is an interactive, software-intensive system that gathers data from multiple relevant real-time data sources and knowledge bases. It uses this data, along with models, processes or analyses to implement context-specific actions and recommendations to assist managers in the process of collaboratively managing a multimodal transportation network to increase system efficiency and improve individual mobility, providing safe, reliable, and secure movement of goods and people.”

RTMDSS actions are most often provided as a function (or functions) within modal management system software and are intended to influence traffic control devices, communications systems, traveler information devices and traveler information media (e.g., 511 systems).

1.4  System Overview

We begin with the modes applicable to this project. Table 11 lists commonly encountered modes in surface transportation and the facilities on which they typically operate. These are the modes applicable to this project.

Table 11: A Taxonomy of Transportation Modes and Facilities.

Mode / Facility /
Privately owned vehicles / Freeways, toll roads, arterials, parking
Commercial vehicles (goods)
Commercial vehicles (passengers) / Freeways, toll roads, arterials
Freeways, toll roads, arterials, airport (ground side roadways)
Buses / Freeways, toll roads, arterials, busways
Public Safety vehicles / All roadways
Light rail / On-street tracks, dedicated rail right-of-way
Commuter rail / Dedicated rail right-of-way – used/owned
Heavy Rail / Dedicated rail right-of-way – used/owned; generally covers a larger geographic area than Commuter Rail
Freight rail / Dedicated rail right-of-way - owned
Inter-City rail (Amtrak) / Dedicated rail right-of-way - used
Ferry / Waterway

The RTMDSS is envisioned to consist of the following high level components and features:

·  Existing agency single-mode management systems, including:

o  Freeway Management Systems

o  Arterial Management Systems

o  Bus Transit Management Systems

o  Rail Transit Management Systems

o  Parking Management Systems

o  Commercial Vehicle Systems

o  Airport (Ground) Management Systems

o  Ferry Systems

·  External information and data sources that are necessary for the DSS process. Sources include weather data, special event data (e.g., major sports events impacting congestion), external congestion data, emergency/evacuation information, news/data feeds, etc.

·  A common network interface that extracts information from both legacy and new modal management systems, facilitates communications among such systems, and provides useful outputs to other external systems (e.g., end users and user systems).

·  A centralized DSS, seen as an interactive, software-based system that extracts useful information from a combination of modal data sources and knowledge bases (operational rules) and converts these into actions and/or recommendations that influence performance of the transportation network. Its purpose is to detect network anomalies and to produce recommended and/or automated decisions, based on accepted operational rules, targeted to system managers. Note the question of whether all RTMDSS recommendations must be implemented by an operator is subject to the requirements of the system(s) to be developed.

Figure 11 presents a conceptual view of the flow of RTMDSS inputs and outputs with respect to its users.

Figure 11: Conceptual View of an RTMDSS with Inputs, Processing, and Outputs

Note the difference between “active” RTMDSS outputs, which directly influence traffic control systems and devices, and “passive” outputs, which provide information to transportation system users and managers in human-understandable form (e.g., e-mail, text messages, web pages, integrated voice response, in-vehicle signing). System “users” are divided into commercial and fleet users vs. private users. “Managers” can be divided into single mode managers (freeway, arterial, transit, etc.) and multimodal managers. The latter are not yet commonly found but will become increasingly needed as RTMDSS systems mature.