USLAT2004-513
Country: United States
Title: Los Angeles Times Poll # 2004-513: National and
California General Election Exit Poll
Survey Organization: Los Angeles Times
Sponsor:
Field Dates: November 2, 2004
Sample: National and California Exiting Voters
Sample Size: 8,511
Sample Notes: The California sample is 3,357 for 50 polling places
across the state.
Interview method: Self-administered
Weight Location: Columns 1-7 (xxxxx.xx)
No. of records per
respondent: 1
Usage Notes: For the California sample, use the weight located in
Columns 131-137 (xxxxx.xx).
Please note that data purchased from The Roper Center for Public Opinion
Research may not be redisseminated without written permission. The results
of any analyses conducted on the data may, however, be published with
appropriate acknowledgments and source citation.
LOS ANGELES TIMES POLL
METHODOLOGY
LAT 513
This Los Angeles Times poll is one of a series of surveys undertaken to sample the opinions of voters as they participate in key elections. This particular exit poll was conducted nationally and in California during the November 2 presidential general election.
The sampling frame for this exit poll is all voters in the nation. Eight thousand five hundred and eleven voters were interviewed on November 2, 2004, as they left 136 polling places across the nation. The sample included 3,357 California voters as they exited 50 polling places across the state. Precincts were chosen based on the pattern of turnout in past general elections. The survey was a self-administered confidential questionnaire and was offered in English and Spanish. Interviews at the precinct level were conducted by Davis Research of Calabasas, California and Schlesinger Associates of Edison, New Jersey.
The entire sample of general election voters has a margin of sampling error of three percentage points. Because the survey does not include absentee voters or those who declined to participate when approached, the sample was adjusted slightly using absentee estimates, actual returns and demographic estimates by the interviewers.
Surveys of this kind may be subject to errors not associated with sampling methods but resulting instead from the practical difficulties involved in conducting any survey of public opinion.
Susan Pinkus directs the Los Angeles Times Poll under the general supervision of Dean Baquet, managing editor. Jill Darling Richardson is the associate director, Roger Richardson is the field director, Claudia Vaughn is the data management supervisor and Farnaz Calafi is the publications coordinator.
Further information regarding this study is available by writing to the Los Angeles Times Poll, 202 West 1st Street, Los Angeles, California 90012, or by calling (213) 237-2027. In addition, poll data can now be found on the World Wide Web. Visit us at http://www.latimes.com/timespoll
This report conforms to the standards of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls and the American Association for Public Opinion Research.
Data Locations
Variable Rec Start End Format
WTVAR 1 1 7 F7.2
CASE 1 8 14 F7.0
STRATUM 1 15 16 A2
CALAREA4 1 17 18 A2
INTNO3 1 19 20 A2
PRES 1 21 22 A2
CPRES 1 23 24 A2
SUPPORT 1 25 26 A2
SENVOTE 1 27 28 A2
CSENVOTE 1 29 30 A2
VOTE68 1 31 32 A2
CVOTE68 1 33 34 A2
VOTE70 1 35 36 A2
CVOTE70 1 37 38 A2
VOTE71 1 39 40 A2
CVOTE71 1 41 42 A2
VOTE72 1 43 44 A2
CVOTE72 1 45 46 A2
WHYVOTE1 1 47 48 A2
WHYVOTE2 1 49 50 A2
DECIDE 1 51 52 A2
CDECIDE 1 53 54 A2
ISSIMPO1 1 55 56 A2
ISSIMPO2 1 57 58 A2
AFFIL 1 59 60 A2
GENDER 1 61 62 A2
CENRACE1 1 63 64 A2
CENRACE2 1 65 66 A2
CENRACE3 1 67 68 A2
CENRACE4 1 69 70 A2
CENRACE5 1 71 72 A2
TRACK 1 73 74 A2
GWBUSHJO 1 75 76 A2
CGWBUSHJ 1 77 78 A2
BUSHPOL 1 79 80 A2
BTRWRSE 1 81 82 A2
CBTRWRSE 1 83 84 A2
NOTADMIT 1 85 86 A2
CHGPOSIT 1 87 88 A2
WORTHWAR 1 89 90 A2
PASTVOT1 1 91 92 A2
PASTVOT2 1 93 94 A2
LOCATION 1 95 96 A2
PBIAS 1 97 98 A2
AGE 1 99 100 A2
SCHOOL 1 101 102 A2
MARITAL 1 103 104 A2
MILITAR1 1 105 106 A2
MILITAR2 1 107 108 A2
MILITAR3 1 109 110 A2
MILITAR4 1 111 112 A2
OWNGUN 1 113 114 A2
RELIGION 1 115 116 A2
ATTSVCS 1 117 118 A2
UNION 1 119 120 A2
OCCUP 1 121 122 A2
INCOME 1 123 124 A2
FIRSTVOT 1 125 126 A2
GAYORNOT 1 127 128 A2
COMPLETE 1 129 130 A2
WCAOUT 1 131 137 F7.2
CGROUPS 1 138 139 A2
Los Angeles Times Poll - LAT0513 Codebook - Weighted **SPSS FILES**
NATIONAL SAMPLE
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : WEIGHT LOCATION : CARD (NOT PUNCHED)
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : WEIGHT DATA TYPE : 2: Floating Point
QUESTION NUMBER : SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/0
________________________________________________________________________________
USE WEIGHT FOR NATIONAL SAMPLE ONLY
SEE WCAOUT FOR WEIGHTS FOR CALIFORNIA SAMPLE
(Table too long to display...)
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : CASE LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 2-6
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : CASE DATA TYPE : 2: Floating Point
QUESTION NUMBER : SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/1
________________________________________________________________________________
(Table too long to display...)
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Nine Sample Strata LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 8
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : STRATUM DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : NA9 SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/2
________________________________________________________________________________
QST. STRATA
1 New England
2 Mid Atlantic
3 Industrial Midwest
4 Midwest Farm
5 New South
6 Deep South
7 Mountain and Desert
8 Pacific
9 California
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) NEW ENG 494 6% 6%
2) MID ATL 1514 18% 18%
3) IND MID 1368 16% 16%
4) MIDFARM 688 8% 8%
5) NEW SO 2064 24% 24%
6) DEEPSO 689 8% 8%
7) MTN+DES 519 6% 6%
8) PACIFIC 254 3% 3%
9) CALIF 921 11% 11%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Four Calif Strata LOCATION : CARD (NOT PUNCHED)
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : CALAREA4 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : CA4 SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/5
________________________________________________________________________________
QCA5. Five California Strata
1 Los Angeles
2 Orange
3 Rest of South
4 Bay Area
5 Rest of North
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) LA 234 3% 25%
2) R/SOUTH 319 4% 35%
3) BAY 143 2% 16%
4) R/NORTH 225 2% 24%
ý69) OMIT 7590 89%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : 3 Digit Field Intno LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 9-11
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : INTNO3 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : INT3 SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/7
________________________________________________________________________________
QFI. Field Interviewer Number
(Table too long to display...)
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Which Cand for Pres LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 19
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : PRES DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QE SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/17
________________________________________________________________________________
QE.
IN THE ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT, FOR WHOM DID YOU JUST VOTE?
1 John Kerry (Dem)
2 George W. Bush (Rep)
3 Ralph Nader (Nader may not appear on the ballot in your state)
4 Someone else
5 Didn't vote for president
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) KERRY 4083 48% 48%
2) BUSH 4339 51% 51%
3) NADER 30 0% 0%
4) S/ELSE 55 1% 1%
5) NO VOTE 3 0% 0%
ý69) OMIT 1 0%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Candidate Support LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 20
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : SUPPORT DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QF SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/20
________________________________________________________________________________
QF.
DO YOU SUPPORT YOUR PRESIDENTIAL CHOICE TODAY MOSTLY: (Check only one box)
1 Because you like your candidate
2 Because you are voting against his opponent
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) LIKECAND 5693 67% 69%
2) AGST/OPP 2537 30% 31%
ý69) OMIT 281 3%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Whch Cand for US Sen LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 21
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : SENVOTE DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QG SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/21
________________________________________________________________________________
FOR CALIFORNIA BALLOTS ONLY
QG.
IN THE ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATOR, FOR WHOM DID YOU JUST VOTE:
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) BOXER 537 6% 59%
2) JONES 320 4% 35%
3) S/ELSE 33 1% 4%
4) NO VOTE 14 0% 2%
ý69) OMIT 7607 89%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Prop 68 Vote-Ind Gam LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 22
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : VOTE68 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QH SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/23
________________________________________________________________________________
HOW DID YOU JUST VOTE ON:
.
QH.
PROPOSITION 68? (NON-INDIAN CASINO GAMBLING)
1 Voted Yes
2 Voted No
3 Didn't vote on Prop 68
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) YES 154 2% 18%
2) NO 670 8% 78%
3) NO VOTE 31 0% 4%
ý69) OMIT 7656 90%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Prop 70 Ind Gambl LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 23
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : VOTE70 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QI SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/25
________________________________________________________________________________
QI.
PROPOSITION 70? (INDIAN GAMBLING)
1 Voted Yes
2 Voted No
3 Didn't vote on Prop 70
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) YES 207 3% 24%
2) NO 610 7% 72%
3) NO VOTE 31 0% 4%
ý69) OMIT 7663 90%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Prop 71 Stem Cell LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 24
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : VOTE71 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QJ SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/27
________________________________________________________________________________
QJ.
PROPOSITION 71? (STEM CELL RESEARCH)
1 Voted Yes
2 Voted No
3 Didn't vote on Prop 71
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) YES 495 6% 58%
2) NO 334 4% 40%
3) NO VOTE 17 0% 2%
ý69) OMIT 7665 90%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Prop 72 Health Ins LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 25
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : VOTE72 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QK SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/29
________________________________________________________________________________
QK.
PROPOSITION 72? (HEALTH INSURANCE)
1 Voted Yes
2 Voted No
3 Didn't vote on Prop 72
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) YES 406 5% 49%
2) NO 388 5% 47%
3) NO VOTE 32 0% 4%
ý69) OMIT 7685 90%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Why Vote for Cand LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 26-27
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : WHYVOTE1 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QL1 SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/31
________________________________________________________________________________
QL.
WHAT DID YOU LIKE MOST ABOUT YOUR CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT? (Check up to two
boxes)
01 He cares about people like me
02 He is a strong leader for the country
03 He has honesty and integrity
04 He shares my values
05 His overall political ideology
06 He would be best at keeping country safe from terrorism
07 He has better ideas for strengthening the nation's economy
08 He will build respect for the U.S. around the world
09 He will be a more effective commander-in-chief
10 He has a plan for achieving success in Iraq
11 His military service and record at the time of Vietnam War
12 He will stand firm in the positions he takes
13 He is personally likeable
14 None of the above
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) CARES 1739 21% 21%
2) STRNGLDR 2330 27% 28%
3) HONESTY 906 11% 11%
4) VALUES 955 11% 12%
5) POLBIAS 612 7% 8%
6) SAFETERR 363 4% 4%
7) STRNECON 340 4% 4%
8) WRLDRESP 272 3% 3%
9) COM-CHF 165 2% 2%
10) SUCCIRAQ 45 1% 1%
11) MILITREC 41 1% 1%
12) FIRM/POS 90 1% 1%
13) LIKEABLE 21 0% 0%
14) NONE 355 4% 4%
ý69) OMIT 277 3%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : Why Vote for Cand LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 28-29
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : WHYVOTE2 DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QL2 SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/32
________________________________________________________________________________
QL.
WHAT DID YOU LIKE MOST ABOUT YOUR CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT? (Check up to two
boxes)
01 He cares about people like me
02 He is a strong leader for the country
03 He has honesty and integrity
04 He shares my values
05 His overall political ideology
06 He would be best at keeping country safe from terrorism
07 He has better ideas for strengthening the nation's economy
08 He will build respect for the U.S. around the world
09 He will be a more effective commander-in-chief
10 He has a plan for achieving success in Iraq
11 His military service and record at the time of Vietnam War
12 He will stand firm in the positions he takes
13 He is personally likeable
14 None of the above
RESPONSES PERCENT ACTUAL
1) CARES 10 0% 0%
2) STRNGLDR 736 9% 11%
3) HONESTY 833 10% 13%
4) VALUES 858 10% 13%
5) POLBIAS 479 6% 7%
6) SAFETERR 665 8% 10%
7) STRNECON 542 6% 8%
8) WRLDRESP 769 9% 12%
9) COM-CHF 623 7% 9%
10) SUCCIRAQ 203 2% 3%
11) MILITREC 154 2% 2%
12) FIRM/POS 657 8% 10%
13) LIKEABLE 145 2% 2%
ý69) OMIT 1837 21%
SUM 8511 100 100
================================================================================QUESTION TITLE : When Decide Vote LOCATION : CARD 1, COL(S) 30
ABBV (MNEMONIC) : DECIDE DATA TYPE : 1: Small Integer
QUESTION NUMBER : QM SURVEY / INDEX NUMBER : 0513/34
________________________________________________________________________________