2016 PONI Fall Conference
Draft Agenda
October 18-19, 2016
Sandia National Laboratories, Center for Global Security & Cooperation
10600 Research Road Southeast
Albuquerque, New Mexico87123
Day One: Tuesday, October 18
8:15Shuttle Departs from Hotel to Sandia, Center for Global Security & Cooperation
8:30Conference Check-in & Breakfast
9:00Conference Welcome
Rebecca Hersman, Director Project on Nuclear Issues and Senior Adviser, International Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies
9:05Opening Remarks
Jill Hruby, Director, Sandia National Laboratories
9:15Panel 1: The Future of Deterrence
Panel Moderator: TBA
Capability or Will? 21st Century Nuclear Deterrence for Global Strike Operators
Captain Chris Conant, United States Air Force
Missile Defense’s Role in 21st Century Deterrence
Wes Rumbaugh, Research Assistant, Center for Strategic and International Studies
Scottish Independence Part II: The End of the UK Nuclear Deterrent?
James McKeon, Policy Analyst, Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation
Anticipatory Strikes in Russian Military Doctrine
Alex Velez-Green, Research Assistant, Center for New American Security
10:45Break
11:00Panel 2: Nonproliferation Themes & Regimes
Panel Moderator: TBA
The ‘Accidental Middlemen’: Nuclear Umbrella States and the Humanitarian Initiative
Emil Dall, Research Analyst, Royal United Services Institute
A Bayesian Approach to Nuclear Proliferation
Ariya Hagh, Doctoral Student, Georgetown University
12:30Lunch & Breakout Session: Priorities for the Next Nuclear Posture Review
Participants will be placed into one of five schools of thought on nuclear thinking and asked to draft recommendations for what they believe should be the priorities for the next nuclear posture review based on their school of thought.
12:30 – 1:00: Lunch and review of schools of thought
1:00 – 1:45: Group discussion about priorities
1:45 – 2:15: Write bullet-point rationales for priorities
2:15 – 3:00: Return to conference room for 5-minute briefsand group discussion
3:00Break
3:20Panel 3: Securing Nuclear Materials and Facilities
Panel Moderator: TBA
How Vulnerable Are Radiological Materials Stored at U.S. Civilian Entities to Theft by a Terrorist Group?
Maciej Lempke, MA Graduate, Georgetown University
Leveraging Nuclear Cybersecurity Leadership to Foster U.S.–Russian Collaboration
Elsie Bjarnason, MA Candidate, George Washington University
Strategic Foresight: 2035
Elizabeth Kistin Keller, Systems Analysis, Sandia National Laboratories
5:00Shuttle Departs for National Museum of Nuclear Science & History
601 Eubank Blvd. SE
Albuquerque, New Mexico 87123
6:00Reception
7:00Dinner & Evening Keynote Address
8:30End of Day One/Shuttle Returns to Sheraton
Day Two: Wednesday, October 19
8:15Shuttle Departs from Sheraton to Sandia, Center for Global Security & Cooperation
8:30Breakfast at Sandia, Center for Global Security & Cooperation
9:00Small Group Sessions 1 & 2: Policy-Focused Panels
Session 1: What’s in the numbers? The nuclear modernization budget debate
Moderator: TBA
Session 2: Implications of Brexit on NATO, US, and UK Nuclear Debate
Moderator: TBA
10:30Break
10:45Small Group Sessions 3 & 4: Career-FocusedPanels
Session 3: TBA
Session 4: TBA
12:15Lunch and Small Group Overview
1:00Shuttle Departs forKirtland AFB for Sandia Facility tours
4:00End of Conference
Shuttle Departs for Hotel