5 How well the new teaching method works

From the data, we are 95% confident that the new teaching method is (1.73, 157) times effective than the old method.

> library(faraway)

> data(spector)

> help (spector)

A data frame with 32 observations on the following 4 variables.

grade 1 = exam grades improved, 0 = not improved

psi 1 = student exposed to PSI (a new teach method), 0 = not

exposed

tuce a measure of ability when entering the class

gpa grade point average

> head(spector)

grade psi tuce gpa

1 0 0 20 2.66

2 0 0 22 2.89

3 0 0 24 3.28

4 0 0 12 2.92

5 1 0 21 4.00

6 0 0 17 2.86

library(survival)

> cmod<-clogit(grade~tuce+gpa+strata(psi),spector)

> summary(cmod)

Call:

coxph(formula = Surv(rep(1, 32), grade) ~ tuce + gpa + strata(psi),

data = spector, method = "exact")

n= 32

coef exp(coef) se(coef) z p

tuce 0.0883 1.09 0.136 0.651 0.51

gpa 2.5850 13.26 1.189 2.174 0.03

exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95

tuce 1.09 0.9155 0.837 1.42

gpa 13.26 0.0754 1.290 136.37

Rsquare= 0.242 (max possible= 0.601 )

Likelihood ratio test= 8.85 on 2 df, p=0.012

Wald test = 6 on 2 df, p=0.0499

Score (logrank) test = 8.31 on 2 df, p=0.0157

Drop tuce as the p-value is large (0.51)

> cmod2<-clogit(grade~gpa+strata(psi),spector)

> summary(cmod2)

Call:

coxph(formula = Surv(rep(1, 32), grade) ~ gpa + strata(psi),

data = spector, method = "exact")

n= 32

coef exp(coef) se(coef) z p

gpa 2.80 16.5 1.15 2.44 0.015

exp(coef) exp(-coef) lower .95 upper .95

gpa 16.5 0.0606 1.73 157

Rsquare= 0.231 (max possible= 0.601 )

Likelihood ratio test= 8.4 on 1 df, p=0.00375

Wald test = 5.94 on 1 df, p=0.0148

Score (logrank) test = 7.9 on 1 df, p=0.00493

From the data, we are 95% confident that the new teaching method is (1.73, 157) times effective than the old method.

halfnorm(residuals(cmod2))